Investor Presentation • Feb 1, 2024
Investor Presentation
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This presentation and any accompanying oral presentation (together, the "presentation") has been prepared by Ferrovial SE (the "Company","we" or"us" and, together with its subsidiaries, the "Group"). By accessing/attending this presentation, you acknowledge that you have read and understood the following statements.
This presentation includes certain statements, expectations, estimates and projections provided by the Company and certain other sources believed by the Company to be reliable, and statements of the Company's beliefs and intentions about future events. The statements included in this presentation that are not statements of historical facts, including, but not limited to, those regarding the Company's financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking statements. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terms such as "may," "will," "should," "expect," "plan," "anticipate," "could," "intend," "aim," "target," "project," "contemplate," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "potential," or "continue," or the negative of these terms or other similar expressions, although not all forward-looking statements contain these words. Such statements, expectations, estimates and projections reflect various assumptions by the Company concerning anticipated results and are subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties and contingencies, and known and unknown risks, many of which are beyond the Company's control and are impossible to predict. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that such statements, expectations, estimates and projections will be realized. Any forecast made or contained herein, and actual results will likely vary and those variations may be material. The Company makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of such statements, expectations, estimates and projections contained in this presentation or that any forecast made or contained herein will be achieved.
Our forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, which include, but are not limited to, the following:
risks related to our acquisitions, divestments and other strategic transactions that we may undertake, including the planned divestment of our stake in Heathrow airport;
the impact of competitive pressures in our industry and pricing, including the lack of certainty of winning competitive tender processes;
In addition, certain industry data and information contained in this presentation has been derived from industry sources. The Company has not undertaken any independent investigation to confirm the accuracy or completeness of such data and information, some of which may be based on estimates and subjective judgments. Accordingly, the Company makes no representation or warranty as to such accuracy orcompleteness.
This presentation speaks only as of today's date, and, except as required by law, the Company does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements to reflect future events or circumstances.
The slides shown in this presentation are part of the Company's Capital Markets Day 2024 and comments are given to the slides adding content that cannot be seen from the slides on a standalone basis. The slides should thus not be viewed on a standalone basis but together with the oral presentation given by management.
This presentation may contain references to financial measurements that are supplemental to the Company's financial performance as calculated in accordance with the International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS"). These non-IFRS financial measures may include Adjusted EBIT, Adjusted EBIT Margin, Adjusted EBITDA, Comparable or "Like-for-like" ("LfL") Growth, Fair Value Adjustments, proportional results, Order Book, Consolidated Net Debt, Adjusted Cash Flows, Cash flows excluding infrastructure projects (Ex-Infrastructure Cash Flows), Cash flows from infrastructure projects (Infrastructure Cash Flows), and Ex-Infrastructure Liquidity. We believe these non-IFRS financial measures are frequently used by investors, securities analysts and other parties in the evaluation of our performance and liquidity with that of othercompanies in our industry. Our management uses these measures to evaluate our operating performance, liquidity and capital structure. The methods we use to produce these non-IFRS financial measures may differ from methods used by other companies. These measures should be considered in addition to, not as a substitute for, financial measures prepared in accordance with IFRS.
This presentation has been prepared by the Company and includes market data and other statistical information sourced from publicly available information about the Group, its projects, and third-party sources. Although the Company believes that these sources are reliable as of their respective dates, it has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of this information. Some data is also based on the Company's good faith estimates, which are derived from both the internal sources and the third-partysources described above.
Reference to consensus figures are not based on the Company's own opinions, estimates or forecasts and are compiled and published without comment from, or endorsement or verification by, the Company. By referencing consensus figures, the Company does not imply that it endorses, confirms or expresses a view on the consensus figures. The consensus figures are provided for informational purposes only and are not intended to, nor do they, constitute investment advice or any solicitation to buy, hold or sell securities or other financial instruments. No warranty or representation, either express or implied, is made bythe Company or its directors, officers and employees, in relation to the accuracy,completeness or achievability of the consensus figures and, to the fullest extent permitted bylaw, no responsibility or liabilityis accepted by any of those persons in respect of those matters.
The Company announced previouslythat it plans to applyfor a listing of its ordinaryshares in the United States. In connection with the planned listing, on January 5, 2024, the Company has filed a registration statement on Form 20-F (the "Registration Statement") with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC"), which remains subject to the review and approval by the SEC. The Registration Statementcould be accessed byvisiting EDGAR on the website of the SEC at www.sec.gov.
One of North America's leading road and airport infrastructure companies
\$27B Market Cap As of Dec. 31, 2023
Investment grade 2 Stable outlook
80% equity value in North America 3
24,000 employees As of Dec.31, 2022
22 years present in Dow Jones Sustainability Index
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DEVELOP AND OPERATE INNOVATIVE, EFFICIENT AND SUSTAINABLE INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS WITH HIGH VALUE CREATION FOR STAKEHOLDERS
Integrated platform to develop infrastructure projects with high value creation 81% TOLL ROADS Develop congestion relief solutions in North America
Business unit valuation breakdown (%) based on December analyst consensus as of Dec. 2023. Those valuations are based on external assumptions and expectations. Percentages are measured annually.
(1) Includes net cash and other
20-year track record managing pricing/demand using latest technologies
focusing on maximizing assets' long-term value
with design, bidding, construction and commissioning capabilities
focusing on projects with higher returns and cash generation, under strict investment governance
» LOCAL PARTNERS AND DIVERSIFIED INVESTORS BASE to reinforce local footprint and expertise
» STRONG RELATIONSHIP WITH LOCAL AUTHORITIES AND COMMUNITIES improving people's wellbeing
Growth in new greenfield projects in North America
Value creation in selected projects in other countries
Solid cash flow generation and financial discipline
GROWTH IN NEW GREENFIELD PROJECTS IN NORTH AMERICA
VALUE CREATION IN SELECTED PROJECTS IN OTHER COUNTRIES SOLID CASH FLOW GENERATION & FINANCIAL DISCIPLINE
10
» Focus on areas with strong economic growth (above US/Canada average)
» Exposure to population growth of large metropolitan areas in North America
Annually, Texas GDP has grown 1.4 pp above US average since 2010 (1)
+2.8M new immigrants expected by 2046 (Greater Toronto Area) (2)
VIRGINIA Virginia's GDP per capita
grew 3.2% in 2022 (vs 2021) (3)
Largest US metropolitan area with 24M residents(4)
» Owners of non-congested capacity providing better level of service than saturated alternative routes
Sources: (1) Statista (2) Ministry of Finance of Ontario
GROWTH IN NEW GREENFIELD PROJECTS IN NORTH AMERICA
VALUE CREATION IN SELECTED PROJECTS IN OTHER COUNTRIES SOLID CASH FLOW GENERATION & FINANCIAL DISCIPLINE
Revenue growth above GDP
Ability to capture value provided to users
» Value of time saved and reliability increasing as congestion grows
» Users seeking higher safety, convenience and "peace of mind"
» Flexible pricing with ability to set toll rates above inflation
NEW YORK Unregulated aeronautical charges
GROWTH IN NEW GREENFIELD PROJECTS IN NORTH AMERICA
VALUE CREATION IN SELECTED PROJECTS IN OTHER COUNTRIES SOLID CASH FLOW GENERATION & FINANCIAL DISCIPLINE
TORONTO 74 years to maturity
CHARLOTTE 45 years to maturity
VIRGINIA 42 years to maturity
DALLAS-FORT WORTH 37 years to maturity
36 years to maturity
(1) Average time to maturity calculated as weighted value, based on analyst´s consensus equity value as of December 2023. Those valuations are based on external assumptions and expectations
Revenue growth above GDP
Ability to capture value provided to users
Long duration assets
VALUE CREATION IN SELECTED PROJECTS IN OTHER COUNTRIES
SOLID CASH FLOW GENERATION & FINANCIAL DISCIPLINE
Infrastructure needs in North America
» Airport demand expected to grow above capacity supply and above GDP
(1) Global Infrastructure Outlook.
Solid pipeline of new projects for growth
» Local business development teams
VALUE CREATION IN SELECTED PROJECTS IN OTHER COUNTRIES
GROWTH IN NEW GREENFIELD PROJECTS IN NORTH AMERICA
SOLID CASH FLOW GENERATION & FINANCIAL DISCIPLINE
GEORGIA SR-400
TENNESSEE Choice Lanes
NORTH CAROLINA I-77 South
VIRGINIA I-495 Southside
Toll roads in India
next 5 yrs. 6.3%1 Middle class forecasted growth by 2045 +600M2
GDP growth expected over
9,000 miles New greenfield expressways expected to be built3
(4) 24.9% stake
GROWTH IN NEW GREENFIELD PROJECTS IN NORTH AMERICA
Toll roads in in India
Selective investments in other assets
» Develop toll roads and energy projects in geographies where our capabilities lead to competitive advantages
25 years concession of 1.4 km tunnel in London
CENTELLA TRANSMISSION LINE, CHILE 256 km
VALUE CREATION IN SELECTED PROJECTS IN OTHER COUNTRIES
Future cash flow generation levers
VALUE CREATION IN SELECTED PROJECTS IN OTHER COUNTRIES
COMMITMENT TO SHAREHOLDERS
Execute committed investments in ongoing projects
Investing for growth while keeping sound shareholder distributions1 . The latter would increase if capital is not deployed.
Unique infrastructure assets in North America
Growth in new greenfield projects in North America
Value creation in selected projects in other countries
Solid cash flow generation and financial discipline
Capital Markets Day 2024
High economic growth regions
Congested urban areas
Provide only free flow capacity
Flexible & dynamic pricing
Long asset duration
GROWTH BEYOND OUR ASSETS
A congestion-free toll road in the heart of Greater Toronto Area
UNIQUE ASSET PORTFOLIO
» 40% of traffic has 407-ETR as its preferred alternative4
25 GROWTH BEYOND OUR ASSETS
The only congestion-free route in the area
UNIQUE ASSET PORTFOLIO
» Total hours lost in traffic estimated to triple by 20512
» 407-ETR will continue to offer value to users as congestion in the network increases
» Pricing framework allows to set rates by segment and time of day, with no cap
GROWTH BEYOND OUR ASSETS
» Estimated population growth in the North and West expected to stress the already congested network
(1) Expected Population Growth (2023-2045): NCTCOG Mobility 2045 plan, pp 3-6
GROWTH BEYOND OUR ASSETS
The Express Lane network expected to be the best option for free-flow travel in DFW
Expected Congestion Levels in 2045 2
SEVERE CONGESTION
(1) North Central Texas Council of Governments (NCTCOG) Mobility 2045 Plan, 2023, p. 9-1 www.nctog.org/trans/plan/mtp/mobility-2045-2022 update
GROWTH BEYOND OUR ASSETS
» Future land development, expected to increase trip lengths and traffic volumes
(1) Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments (MWCOG) Cooperative Forecasting by TAZ Round 9.2
(2) Geospatial Management Office, July 2023
(3) TPB and COG Scenario Study Findings, 2022, p 12
I-77
UNIQUE ASSET PORTFOLIO
DIFFERENTIAL CAPABILITIES
GROWTH BEYOND OUR ASSETS
Expected % Population growth from 2015 to 2045 1
30
GROWTH BEYOND OUR ASSETS
33 GROWTH BEYOND OUR ASSETS
India | Great prospects with a great player
(1) Dec. 28, 2023 closing price vs entering price and Sensex closing on Nov. 26, 2021 (approx. date for setting IRB's entering price).
drivers reported high satisfaction
882,000
travel hours saved
wages earned
(1) Economic and Community Impact of Ferrovial Toll Roads, p i3 (Steer). Figures based on current portfolio as of December 31, 2022. (2) Integrated Annual Report of Ferrovial, S.A. 2022, p 78. Latest available data. Figures as of December 31, 2021. (3) Cintra analysis of Annual Customer Sentiment Survey, p 60. Satisfaction ratings for Managed Lanes as of September 30, 2023.
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GROWTH BEYOND
Best-in-class data set yields high-value insights
ASSETS PRODUCE HIGH QUALITY DATA INSIGHTS
MODELS AND BENCHMARKS TO BETTER UNDERSTAND CUSTOMERS BEHAVIOR
Reliable performance forecasts
Price management to optimize usage throughout the day
Project design to best serve users with optimal accessibility
PORTFOLIO
UNIQUE ASSET DIFFERENTIAL CAPABILITIES
GROWTH BEYOND OUR ASSETS
Smart solution designed to create a safer, more efficient environment for connected and automated vehicles
Integrating toll payments into mobile and vehicle technology
ROAD USAGE FUNDING
As EVs increase and gas tax revenues decrease, Road User Charge (RUC) projects allow Departments of Transportation to close the maintenance funding gap
PORTFOLIO
DIFFERENTIAL CAPABILITIES
GROWTH BEYOND OUR ASSETS UNIQUE ASSET
Constant scan of high-growth States and congestion problems Constant scan of high-growth States with increasing traffic congestion
Work with State of Transportation leaders in tailored solutions Work with State Transportation leaders in tailored solutions
Stakeholders with grassroots initiatives Partnering with Local Champion Gain support of local stakeholders with grassroots initiatives and local partnerships
Gain support of Local
Construction and the local supply chain Leverage Ferrovial Construction's local supply chain
Leveraging
4 to 5 year cycle to release a project to the market
Our competitive skills allow us to:
Capital Markets Day 2024
» Focus on North America and Europe
42
REVIEW HEATHROW JFK DIFFERENTIAL CAPABILITIES
NEW TERMINAL ONE
HEATHROW AIRPORT1
23M pax capacity
DALAMAN AIRPORT
(1) On November 28, 2023, we announced the planned divestment of our stake in Heathrow airport. For further details on this potential divestment, please refer to Ferrovial's press release (https://newsroom.ferrovial.com/en/press_releases/ferrovial-announces-agreementto-sell-stake-heathrow)
STRATEGY PORTFOLIO
REVIEW HEATHROW JFK DIFFERENTIAL CAPABILITIES
NEW TERMINAL ONE
DIFFERENTIAL CAPABILITIES Investing, building and managing top global airports
25+ years operational expertise managing worldwide airports
Long-term investor committed to long-term partnerships
US-based team provides competitive advantage in North American markets
Ferrovial Construction one of the world's most experienced airport contractors
45 45
STRATEGY PORTFOLIO REVIEW
CAPABILITIES
JFK NEW TERMINAL ONE AIRPORTS HEATHROW DIFFERENTIAL
The most internationally connected airport and Europe's busiest hub1 HEATHROW HEATHROW LONG TERM DELIVERY
Over 18 years we have:
(1) Source: OAG Megahubs Index 2023. (2) Cumulative figures for the year ended December 31, 2022.
STRATEGY PORTFOLIO REVIEW
CAPABILITIES
JFK NEW TERMINAL ONE AIRPORTS HEATHROW DIFFERENTIAL
47
REVIEW
50 STRATEGY PORTFOLIO JFK NEW TERMINAL ONE AIRPORTS DIFFERENTIAL CAPABILITIES HEATHROW 50
Capturing a higher share of a scarce resource
Value Levers
Access to a premium New York market
Transforming the passenger experience
Socio-economic value for local community
2023
(1) Source: Own elaboration from PA EA February 2021, public information and Google Earth; hardstands not included
JFK
(2) Terminal 7: Expected to be demolished to make way for the second phase of construction of new Terminal 6. Source: Port Authority New York and New Jersey 2022 Airport Traffic Report, p. 4
| PORTFOLIO | DIFFERENTIAL | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIRPORTS | STRATEGY | REVIEW | CAPABILITIES | HEATHROW | NEW TERMINAL ONE | 52 |
JFK
CAPTURING A HIGHER SHARE OF WIDE BODY GATES, A SCARCE RESOURCE
NTO expected to expand its share of overall wide body gate capacity by 20451
A quick ramp-up to capacity is expected due to the capacity constraints existing at JFK
14 WB gates through 2027; +4 new WB gates by 2028 (Phase B1); +4 new WB gates by 2029 (Phase B2)
(1) Source: Own elaboration from PA EA February 2021, public information and Google Earth; hardstands not included.
(3) In 2027 anticipated to be 5 live-hardstands providing support capacity to NTO.
(4) In 2045 also one Narrow Body gate is expected to be available at NTO.
CAPABILITIES HEATHROW
JFK NEW TERMINAL ONE AIRPORTS DIFFERENTIAL
CAPABILITIES HEATHROW
JFK NEW TERMINAL ONE AIRPORTS DIFFERENTIAL
Wide body gate access is critical to international carriers ACCESS TO A PREMIUM NEW YORK MARKET
airlines operating in the NY market operate exclusively at JFK (vs. 4 at Newark)1
NTO has executed long-term agreements with 5 airlines that represent 25% 2027's estimated traffic2
NTO is in advanced discussions with other premium carriers
(1) OAG Analyzer.
(2) Internal estimate. 25% considers Asiana's traffic as part of Korean Air (23% excluding Asiana).
NEW TERMINAL ONE AIRPORTS DIFFERENTIAL CAPABILITIES HEATHROW
New Terminal One's quality of service offering expected to surpass that of T4 and T6
New Terminal One's Cost Per Enplanement derived revenues expected to represent close to 90% of total revenues1
(2) Source: Steer Report (2023)
JFK
REVIEW
CAPABILITIES HEATHROW
56 STRATEGY PORTFOLIO JFK NEW TERMINAL ONE AIRPORTS DIFFERENTIAL
TRANSFORMING THE PASSENGER EXPERIENCE
CAPABILITIES HEATHROW
The project has specific targets in each area as well as contribution to tangible projects
\$16M in community development with tangible projects in partnership with the
Port Authority and other key stakeholders
local Queens community through training and mentorship
Tuition free six-month leadership program for local diverse professionals in southeast Queens
57
Capital Markets Day 2024
CONSTRUCTION
KEY TO FERROVIAL STRATEGY
DIFFERENTIAL CAPABILITIES
PROVEN TRACK RECORD
VALUE PROPOSITION
» Cash flow generator
Size, geographical footprint and capabilities defined by Ferrovial's strategy
Supporting other divisions on complex infrastructure projects
Involved from project origination to bidding, design and construction
DIFFERENTIAL CAPABILITIES
PROVEN TRACK RECORD
SUPPORTING TOLL ROADS AND AIRPORTS DIVISIONS PROJECTS FROM EARLY STAGES
(1) Size measured as total revenues of the projects included. Heathrow includes T2 and other projects (for example: Integrated Baggage T3IB, Stands and Taxi Lanes in T2B)
(2) On November 28, 2023, we announced the planned divestment of our stake in Heathrow airport. For further details on this potential divestment, see Ferrovial, Ferrovial announces agreement to sell its stake in Heathrow, subject to certain rights of other shareholders, available at https://newsroom.ferrovial.com/en/press_releases/ferrovial-announces-agreement-to-sell-stake-heathrow/.
PROPOSITION
CONSTRUCTION KEY TO FERROVIAL STRATEGY VALUE
DIFFERENTIAL CAPABILITIES
| Core activity | PRE-BIDDING Technical support for unsolicited proposals |
BIDDING Develop innovative and out-of-the-box winning solutions |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DESIGN & BUILDING With certainty in terms of price and delivery |
|||||
| Alternative delivery models |
PMO (Project Management Office) support |
Construction advice |
RECORD
PROVEN TRACK
CONSTRUCTION
KEY TO FERROVIAL STRATEGY
DIFFERENTIAL CAPABILITIES
PROVEN TRACK RECORD
Structured to support Ferrovial's strategy CAPABILITIES BUILT ON FOOTPRINT, BALANCED SIZE & RISK MANAGEMENT
Target to derive at least 25% revenues from other Ferrovial divisions1
VALUE PROPOSITION
Sized to maintain core capabilities
Strong local bases in Texas, Spain & Poland that support other geographies
Manage risks from bidding and design to project delivery
CONSTRUCTION VALUE
KEY TO FERROVIAL STRATEGY
PROPOSITION
PROVEN TRACK RECORD
Strong international in-house engineering services1
KEY TO FERROVIAL STRATEGY
PROVEN TRACK RECORD
» Operating model captures internal know-how and historical lessons learned
PROPOSITION
67 CONSTRUCTION KEY TO FERROVIAL STRATEGY
PROVEN TRACK RECORD
Sustainability at the core of our work
Protect the Environment
Improve Lives & Communities
» Provide our colleagues with high standards of health, safety and wellbeing
» Create a positive impact on communities
Lead Our Business Responsibly
CONSTRUCTION
KEY TO FERROVIAL STRATEGY
Technology and digitalization as key enablers
PROPOSITION
PROPOSITION
» Target of 20 to 24 months of revenues
(1) See Integrated Annual Report of Ferrovial, S.A. 2022, p. 45, available at https://static.ferrovial.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/01084415/ferrovial-integrated-annualreport-2022.pdf
PROPOSITION
» Average long-term target of 3.5% Adjusted EBIT margin3
» Cyclical cash flow related to advanced payments
(1) Adjusted EBIT is a non-IFRS measure defined as net profit/(loss) for the period excluding profit/(loss) net of tax from discontinued operations, income tax/(expense), share of profits of equity-accounted companies, net financial income/(expense) and impairment and disposal of fixed assets.
Capital Markets Day 2024
FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LOOKING AHEAD
TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN1
(1) Total Shareholder Return (TSR): calculated considering dividends received and share price change Source: Bloomberg as of December 31, 2023.
75
Uniquely positioned to deliver growth and future value creation
KEY DIFFERENTIATING FEATURES OF OUR MAIN ASSETS SUPPORT RESILIENT FINANCIALS
FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LOOKING AHEAD
Key component of the logistics network in top performing regions
Best-in-class assets with long duration Value accretive pipeline
Infrastructure assets perform well in inflationary environments
80%
of Ferrovial's equity value1 holds a high degree of freedom to set prices
Long-term maturities minimize liquidity risk
fixed rate debt (Ferrovial's consolidated infrastructure projects)2
(1) Analysts' consensus valuation as of December 2023, those valuations are based on external assumptions and expectations. (2) Percentage of fixed gross consolidated debt from infrastructure projects in the total gross consolidated debt as of September 30, 2023.
Infrastructure assets perform well in inflationary environments
80% OF FERROVIAL'S VALUE1 HOLDS A HIGH DEGREE OF FREEDOM TO SET PRICES
FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LOOKING AHEAD
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LOOKING AHEAD
Note: Financial figures as of and for the nine months ended September 30, 2023.
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LOOKING AHEAD
calculated in accordance with IFRS.
| FINANCIAL | |
|---|---|
| STRUCTURE |
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LOOKING AHEAD
FINANCIAL STRUCTURE
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
LOOKING AHEAD
Cash flow growth to feed investments and shareholder distributions1
COMMITTED TO BBB RATING
OVER THE PAST 10 YEARS2: €5.0B (2013-2022)
€4.8B Dividends from infrastructure assets
€1.8B
Infrastructure assets rotation €2.8B
Shareholder distributions1
Equity invested in infrastructure assets
58% of equity invested in
US Express Lanes
5x MoM3
on equity deployed in US Express Lanes4
(1) Dividends and buybacks.
(2) Equity and dividend figures include toll road and airport infrastructure assets only.
(3) Multiple of money (MoM) is measured as the total amount of equity invested in the US Express Lanes during the relevant period (2013-2022) divided by total equity value as of the end of the period (2022).
(4) Analysts' consensus valuation as of December 2022, those valuations are based on external assumptions and expectations.
» UNIQUE POSITION TO CAPTURE GROWTH FROM VALUE ACCRETIVE PIPELINE
(1) Dividends excluding Heathrow.
https://newsroom.ferrovial.com/en/press_releases/ferrovialannounces-agreement-to-sell-stake-heathrow/.
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