Investor Presentation • Sep 13, 2022
Investor Presentation
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INDEPENDENT EQUITY RESEARCH

Expansion of intellectual property development business model to derive revenues from end-product sales; first project with Granot Group; stock price target remains unchanged.
NRGene Technologies Ltd (TASE: NRGN) is an AgTech company engaged in the research and development of technology in the field of artificial intelligence, including software tools, in order to analyze genetic information based on Big Data, for the acceleration and improvement of natural development of crops and animals in the global agriculture and food industry.
Strategy – The company continue to implement the change in it's business model, to become a one-stop shop for all plant and animal breeding genomic requirements, including ownership (exclusive or joint) of the IP (pharma like model). We deem that NRGene is in strong position for growth due to its large customer base, scalability potential, know-how, and agile business model.
Bottom line, the company is operating according to an orderly strategic plan including changing the business model (from one-time sales to the pharma company model). In our opinion, the company has enough capital to implement its strategy, and the contract with Granot Group is significant because of the expected revenues and because of the implementation of the new business model. In light of this, the target price remains unchanged. We will continue to monitor the company's progress in the next quarter.

Lead Analyst Dr. Tiran Rothman [email protected] Tel.: +972-9-9502888
Key events in the passing months and Q2 2022 (as detailed in the company's annual report for 2021, in the company's presentation to the capital market published by the company on 15.8.2022, and the immediate reports published during the quarter):
Agriculture is one of the oldest areas of technology and innovation in existence. Its objectives have changed little throughout history: finding ways to increase yields and maximize key traits of crops or animals, such as size, flavor, color, and resistance to pests. Agtech startups provide farmers with a variety of strategies and technologies to help improve crop resiliency and output. These include agrifinance tools, biotech solutions that can improve yields and resiliency, farm management software, and an emerging focus on data-driven AI & ML that can help automate decision making.
Modern Agtech startups began attracting venture funding roughly a decade ago, with the industry raising \$322.2 million in 2010. Since then, VC funding in agtech has grown to \$6.1 billion in 2020, a 33.8% CAGR. This explosive growth is a direct result of two primary factors: population growth and climate change. The global population is expected to swell to 9.8 billion people by 2050, driving more demand for food.i At the same time, greenhouse gases and warming climates are creating increasingly frequent extreme weather events that threaten crop yields.
NRGene Technologies Ltd. is an AgTech company engaged in the research and development of technology in the field of artificial intelligence, including software tools, with the aim of analyzing genetic information based on Big Data, for the purpose of accelerating and improving natural development of crops and animals in the global agriculture and food industry. The company does this through the development and commercialization of artificial intelligence (AI) technology and software tools for genetic information analysis in order to improve and streamline the natural improvement process of crops and animals. The uniqueness of this technology lays in its ability to analyses all gene combinations, locate the optimal genetic composition and enable the improvement of plant or animal traits naturally, by creating new varieties in an accelerated way.
NRGene's technology is widely used to create disease-resistant and climate-resilient varieties with healthier nutritional compositions and maximizes yield potential. In the field of plant genomics, the company offers a vast proprietary database and AI-based technologies. The solutions provided by the company have been widely accepted by several research organizations and big industrial players across ~300 projects.
The core of NRGene's technology is its cloud-based AI tool coupled with its extensive database of genomic information, field performance data, and information on pests, diseases, and seed and irrigation considerations. This information is fed into NRGene's AI model and computationally predicts elite varieties that consider the mentioned variables. Once the predicted variety is identified, then the variety is produced either using an expedited breeding process, gene editing, or CRISPR. This process allows improved varieties to develop in half of the time and at half the research and development costs.
NRGene's solution can be applied and utilized early in the R&D cycle to identify interesting or problematic genes. NRGene intends to continue and grow its seed and traits royalty business to solve specific challenges on the farm directly and to breeding organizations (seed, food & beverage, processor, retailer, etc.), including offering diseases resistance, drought-resistant, and pest-resistant varieties.
The company has an extensive R&D team that offers innovative solutions in the field of genomics. These capabilities have been combined and have allowed the company to easily identify several proprietary traits across a wide set of plant genomes that it can license in the future.
NRGene's long-term go-to-market strategy is to become a one-stop shop for all plant and animal breeding genomic requirements. We deem that NRGene is in a strong position for growth due to its initially large customer base, scalability potential, know-how, and agile business model.
The following three markets encompass significant portions of NRGene's addressable market: bioinformatics technologies, genotyping, and seeds (both genetically modified (GM and non-GM).
The bioinformatics technology market for agricultural applications generated revenue of \$3,296 million in 2020 and is expected to generate \$7,509 million in 2026, growing with a CAGR of 14.7% in 2021-2026. Due to the rise of the need to use bioinformatics to identify and cultivate unique traits and the amount of unaddressed opportunities across the world, it is expected that the demand for bioinformatic technologies will be immense. In general, Frost & Sullivan expects that revenue growth will range from 13% to 25%, dependent on the target application.
A key growth opportunity in the bioinformatics sector is addressing the need for integrated solutions and systems. NRGene's solution could help bioinformatics firms compensate for the lack of skilled personnel that hampers the market growth and facilitate their transition into integrated solutions and systems companies.
The seed market generated revenue of \$42,424 million in 2020 and is expected to generate \$54,926 million in 2026, growing with a CAGR of 4.4% in 2021-2026. Non-GM Seeds will also grow during the forecast period as some farmers, consumers, governments, and other relevant stakeholders slowly move away from GMproduced varieties. Non-GM crop demand is rising in Asia and the EU, and consequently, these crops command premia over GM varieties despite possible lower yields.
NRGene could help GM/non-GM companies boosting their R&D efforts and quickly achieve varieties with desirable traits such as increasing resistance to pests and tolerance to herbicides, and adverse weather )e.g., drought(.
The genotyping technology market generated revenue of \$1,855 million in 2020 and is expected to generate \$3,087 million by 2026, growing with a CAGR of 8.9% in 2021-2026. With the rise in the adoption of technologies in the plant and animal genomics market post COVID-19 pandemic, and the Russian invasion to Ukrain, the market size of support services is expected to grow simultaneously by 2026 to facilitate the adoption of services amongst the researchers and industrial giants.
NRGene is a growth firm. Thus, we based our valuation on current and future market trends and the company's assumption for future operations. Due to the high growth in the Ag Biotech market and the uniqueness of NRGene solution, we estimate the company is well-positioned to generate significant growth in the foreseeable future.
We conducted NRGene's valuation using market benchmarks from recent deals and analysis of VC's activity; Given the assessments and findings mentioned above, we value the company's stock price target in the range of NIS 29.4 to NIS 32.4, and a mean of NIS 30.9.
NRGene Technologies Ltd. is an AgTech company engaged in the research and development of technology in the field of artificial intelligence, including software tools, with the aim of analyzing genetic information based on Big Data, for the purpose of accelerating and improving natural development of crops and animals in the global agriculture and food industry. NRGene's technology is widely used to create disease - resistant and climate - resistant varieties, with healthier nutrients and maximizes the yield potential throughout the value chain. In the field of plant genomics, the company offers a huge database and artificial intelligence based technologies to some of the largest seed and agriculture companies. The company's tools and services are already in use by a number of AgTech companies and research institutes around the world.
During 2021, the company focused its activities through two complementary business models - an intellectual property development model against royalty income and a model of SaaS-based offering (subscription model) and genetic information analysis and production services.
The following is a summary of the company's key solutions:
and more. These DNA kits allow the company to discount significantly the costs of producing the genetic information required for the use of the computational tools in the analysis of the genetic tests.
Here are some examples of leading clients and partners by major target markets:
NRGene's mission is to provide artificial intelligence-based solutions that enable the enhancement and streamlining of natural plant and animal improvement processes. NRGene intends to fulfill this vision by leveraging its core benefits, including improving variety development processes, providing lower cost, streamlined and shortened R&D projects, wider use of data in the decision-making process, and increased cost-effectiveness in managing Big Data genomics which relies on cloud technologies (AWS), and a strong network of reliable and efficient partners for genomic analysis.
NRGene's long-term strategy is to become a one-stop shop for all genomic requirements in the development of crops and animals regardless of the location of partners and customers in the agricultural value chain, from data generation with laboratories (including the laboratory in Canada) and through other R&D activities including Identification of the genetic diversity for the production of new varieties until the supply of seeds / varieties to various organizations that support farmers around the world. Since the end of 2020 the company has been actively involved in partnership with its customers in a number of agricultural and animal crops and geographies. The company (exclusively or through a partner) invests in the development project of new varieties of crops and animals, so that the company owns the improved varieties and / or traits and benefits from the commercialization of traits or varieties in exchange for royalties from sales.
During the reporting period, the company operated using a number of complementary business models:
development) or develops property independent of the partner (such as breeding canola resistant to clubroot (fungal disease)).
To date, the company operates in 3 main categories in the model of intellectual property development:
In a mutual development project, the partner receives the final product (varieties or traits) and pays the company royalties from its revenues. Therefore, the financing and business risk of the partners is decreased since the payment to the company depends on the achievement of the development goals and the future income of the customer. Royalties for developed traits can range from 1% -15%, and for certain traits and varieties between 35% -70% of the partners' income (less production, marketing, and distribution costs), in projects where the company is responsible for the breeding process. In some cases, the partners also pay a down-payment for securing the right to integrate the developed trait or variety. As of the date of the report, the Company has assessed several material projects as follows:
| Project | Development | Commercialization | Expected | Potential | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| period | status | period for | market per year | royalties (Life |
|
| initial | (seeds/varieties) | Time Value of | |||
| royalties | 10 years) | ||||
| ToBRFV | 2020-2022 | 10 signed |
2023 | Higher than 500 | 100 million \$ |
| resistance in |
commercialization | million \$ / year | |||
| tomatoes | agreements | ||||
| Clubroot | 2021-2025 | Not yet begun | 2025 | Higher than 300 | 75 million \$ |
| resistance in |
million \$ / year | ||||
| Canola | |||||
| Alternative | 2021-2023 | Not yet begun |
2024 | Higher than 150 | 50 million \$ |
| Protein from |
(part of consortia | million \$ / year | |||
| Pea and Hemp | agreement in |
||||
| (alternative | Canada) | ||||
| protein) | |||||
| high-quality | 2021-2023 | Not yet begun (the |
2025 | Higher than 25 | 10 million \$ |
| cherry tomato | partner | is | million \$ / year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| varieties | responsible | for | ||
| commercialization) |
We believe that the above complementary models are beneficial to NRGene for two main reasons:
As of the date of the report, the balance of the financial means (cash, and short-term bank deposits) available to the Company are approx. USD 15.8 million (gross), and the company expects to be able to meet its needs in accordance with its business plans, without the need for additional financing. In addition, the company works to locate and obtain financing alternatives such as government grants.
The company has successfully assembled ~300 projects (over 600 genomes) of more than 80 species of crops and animals which some are stored and used in its internal database by applying proprietary AI models. The databases include crops that are the most commonly planted in the world (e.g., wheat, maize, rice and soybean), the most fecund (e.g., sugar cane, sugar beets and tomatoes), and crops that generate the most revenue for producers (e.g., hemp and cannabis). The company is also among one of most trusted emerging cloud-based genomic data solution providers with applications in both plant and animal breeding. The company has an extensive R&D team that offers innovative solutions in the field of genomics. These capabilities have been combined and has allowed the company to easily identify several proprietary traits across a wide set of plant genomes that it can license in the future.
Current & Expected Intellectual Property Deals:

Below is a summary of NRGene's key projects, partnerships and collaborations:
| Partner | Type | |
|---|---|---|
| Protein Industries Canada, Farmer's Business Network Canada, Inc., Pulse Genetics and Manitoba Harvest |
Partnership and Collaboration | |
| Government of Saskatchewan (NRC-IRAP and Innovation Saskatchewan) |
Business Expansion | |
| BGI | Partnership and Collaboration | |
| Macrogen Corp | Partnership and Collaboration | |
| Bridgestone | Partnership and Collaboration | |
| Bayer Crop Science | Licensing Agreement | |
| Syngenta | Licensing Agreement | |
| Mitsui & Co. (TSI) | Partnership and Collaboration | |
| Philoseed (ToBRFV) | Partnership and Collaboration | |
| CRISPR-IL | Partnership and Collaboration | |
| GAIN4CROPS consortium under Horizon 2020 | Partnership and Collaboration |
NRGene has completed comprehensive genomics projects for over >80 versatile species of crops and animals using its proprietary technology. This vast experience enables NRGene to address a wide range of markets that rely on agricultural crops and animals. However, four key end industries are targeted where the value of NRGene's technology has been demonstrated. These key industries include seed and agricultural chemical companies who are investing in R&D in order to discover new varieties, food & beverage companies who are seeking specific ingredients to improve their product's quality and reliability,
natural raw material companies (e.g., paper & pulp, rubber, natural fiber) who are seeking the same thing, and cannabis & hemp companies who are always looking for high quality varieties to produce value-adding products in order to stay competitive. NRGene's solution can be applied and utilized early in the R&D cycle in order to identify interesting or problematic genes and NRGene also intends to grow its IP development in exchange for royalty revenues business aimed at directly solving specific challenges on the farm including offering varieties and traits that are disease resistance, drought tolerant, and pest resistant.
The core of NRGene's technology is its cloud-based AI tool coupled with its extensive database (e.g., Big Data) of genomic information coupled with information on pests, diseases, and seed and irrigation considerations. This information is fed into NRGene's AI model and computationally predicts the most favorable genetic makeup of elite varieties that include all the aforementioned considerations. This information is easily integrated into the development phase of their customers and generates insight and a simple roadmap to advance their breeding programs. Once the predicted variety is identified, then the variety is produced either using an expedited natural breeding process, gene-editing or CRISPR technologies. This process allows improved varieties to be develop in half of the time and at half the research and development costs.
The bioinformatics technology market for agricultural applications generated revenue of \$3,296 million in 2020 and is expected to generate \$7,509 million in 2026, growing with a CAGR of 14.7% during the period 2021-2026. The market growth drivers of bioinformatics technology are attributed to the increasing demand for nucleic acid sequencing of the plant due to the reduction in the sequencing cost. Moreover, utilization in analysis, annotation, and storage of data, and expanding initiatives from government and private organizations to cater to the increasing food demand is expected to boost the growth of the market in the coming years. In 2020, the bioinformatics technology segment experienced a significant increase in the plant genome market due to the COVID-19 pandemic as majority of the industries have limited their operation due to lockdown being imposed to contain the spread of the virus. Therefore, the adoption of bioinformatics technologies is expected to rise, owing to the application of bioinformatic technology such as storing, retrieving, and analyzing the relevant biological data.
During the forecast period 2021-2026, the APAC region is expected to flourish as one of the most lucrative markets for plant genomics. APAC region is expected to exhibit significant growth opportunities for bioinformatics market for agricultural applications due to the increased optimism in the economic conditions of these countries. The countries in this region will witness rapid development of its bioinformatics technologies for agricultural applications due to increasing urban population size, growing market penetration of advanced technologies, and favorable government investments on the adaptation of innovative farming technologies.
In general, Frost & Sullivan expects that revenue growth will range from 13 to 25%, dependent of target application. Even row crops, the largest segment at \$1,361 million in 2020 will grow at an expected CAGR of 13.9% and approach \$2,900 million by 2026. The bioinformatics market for cannabis applications is expected to witness the greatest growth. In 2020, the bioinformatics market for cannabis applications was \$61 million and is on track to hit \$232 million by 2026 given a CAGR of 24.8% during the forecast period. Legumes are another category that will become increasingly important for bioinformatics technologies due to the rising demand for alternative meats/proteins. In 2020, the bioinformatics market for legume applications was \$92.4 million and is on track to hit \$248 million by 2026 given a CAGR of 17.9% during the forecast period.
The seed market generated revenue of \$42,424 million in 2020 and is expected to generate \$54,926 million in 2026, growing with a CAGR of 4.4% during the period 2021-2026. The market growth drivers of seeds are attributed to significant gains in GM corn cultivation in developing and growing countries, though discouraging political views might slow down this expected progress. Geographical expansion will support this growth, such as drought resistant corn in Africa, and specific crops in Asia. Newer GM crops in GM crop growing countries such as GM apple and potato, oilseeds with modified fat contents for healthier oil, and oilseeds with higher protein content are also expected to support market growth during the forecast period. Finally, engineering seeds to be compatible with certain pesticides will also support market growth, though this may create product dependence from farmers. Gene-editing techniques offer modified crop traits at much lower costs, making seeds more affordable and easier to increase market penetration.
In 2020, APAC was the largest seed market in the world, reporting annual revenue of \$19,920 million and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 4.7% during the forecast period. Europe is also a significant region of the seed market, recording \$11,674 million in 2020, though growth is expected to be slightly slower than the global average at 3.7% during the forecast period. The North American recorded total seed market sales of \$3,689 million in 2020 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.0% during the forecast period. The higher than global average growth rate for the U.S. seeds is attributed to farmers seeking greater efficiencies in maize and oilseed production coupled with the string growing cannabis seeds market.
In general, the seed market is a mature market, but with the advent of plant genetics, Frost & Sullivan expects that revenue growth will range from 3 to 6% for most crops, depending of target application. Row crops are the largest segment at \$29,552 million in 2020 will grow at an expected CAGR of 4.0% during the forecast period and approach \$37,350 million by 2026. Continued adoption of GM seeds for row crops in new regions will support market growth during the forecast period. The cannabis seeds market is expected to witness the greatest growth; in 2020, the seeds market for cannabis was \$312 million and is on track to hit \$875 million by 2026 given a CAGR of 18.7% during the forecast period. Growth in the use of cannabis products in under-penetrated regions will support market growth during the forecast period. Legumes are another category that will become increasingly important for seed supply due to the rising demand for alternative meats/proteins. In 2020, the legume seeds market was \$2,216 million and is on track to hit
\$3,300 million by 2026 given a CAGR of 6.9% during the forecast period. Vegetable seeds are also a part of a significant market space. Demand growth for vegetable seeds is expected to be 5.0%, compounded annually over the forecast period, and approach \$7,920 million by 2026.
The genotyping technology segment generated revenue of \$1,855 million in 2020 and is expected to generate \$3,087 million by 2026, growing with a CAGR of 8.9% during the forecast period 2021-2026. The market growth of genotyping technology is attributed to facilitate the evaluation of genetic inconsistency in existing crops and livestock and to develop the crop/animal with high nutritional content. Moreover, the adoption and utilization of genotyping is rapidly increasing in several research centers and universities across the globe to produce novel products that are also fueling the growth of the market. With the ongoing pandemic, agriculture industries are operating with a limited workforce. Therefore, the research and development for plant and animal genomics will contract due to the ongoing COVID-19 conditions in many parts of the world, thereby impacting the genotyping market.
The US market for genotyping services for agricultural applications generated revenue of \$758 million in 2020 and is expected to generate \$1,153 million in 2026, given a CAGR of 7.3% during the 2021-2026 forecast period, thus making it the largest region in terms of current adoption. The large market share of the region has been attributed to the developing advanced technology-based infrastructure, growing government and academic support and initiatives to adopt innovative technologies in the agriculture industry, and an increasing number of companies, which offer genomics services in the region. Europe is also a significant market segment for genotyping services. The European market for genotyping services for agricultural applications generated revenue of \$468 million in 2020 and is expected to generate \$669 million in 2026, given a CAGR of 6.1% during the 2021-2026 forecast period. The fastest growing region is expected to be APAC. During the forecast period 2021-2026, the APAC region is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 12.6% and reach \$837 million in regional revenue by 2026.
The genotyping services market is in the growth stage of its market lifecycle, though the adoption and utilization of genotyping services varies target crop/animal. Frost & Sullivan expects that revenue growth will range from 7 to 10% for most crops, with some exceptions. Row crops are the largest addressable segment at \$859 million in 2020 and this market segment is expected to grow at an expected CAGR of
7.0% during the forecast period and approach \$1,291 million by 2026. Continued adoption of GM seeds for row crops in new regions will support market growth during the forecast period. Outside of niche crop types contained within the All Other Crops segment, the cannabis market is expected to witness the greatest growth. In 2020, the cannabis segment for genotyping services was \$103 million and is on track to hit \$189 million by 2026 given a CAGR of 10.6% during the forecast period. Growth in the use of cannabis products in under-penetrated regions will support market growth during the forecast period.
Overall, the market is highly fragmented and encompasses many private companies. However, there are basically three tiers of companies in the plant and animal genomics market which corresponds to their scale. Each tier is described below.
Tier One: These companies lead the market by the innovation of products, diversification of product portfolio, strong market share, and prominent clientele.
Tier Two: These companies possess strength in the plant and animal genomics market due to their large market coverage.
Tier Three: These companies are either new to the plant genomics market or concentrate on a niche area of the market.
There are 7 levels of value chain in the plant and animal genomics market (the level NRGene operates in are bolded):
In its early stages, a startup company's valuation can be challenging due to limited cash flow (if any) and uncertainty regarding the future. As part of a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), the accepted method used in financial valuations, there are several modifications to a startup company's valuation. In general, there are four primary methods within the DCF method:
To evaluate NRGene's equity value, we based our valuation on the market benchmark approach.
As of the date of the report, the balance of the financial means (cash, and short-term bank deposits) available to the Company are approx. USD 23 million (gross), and the company expects to be able to meet its needs in accordance with its business plans, without the need for additional financing. In addition, the company works to locate and obtain financing alternatives such as government grants.
In 2021 H1, NRGene closed its TASE listing, raising ~\$30M gross according to approx. \$114.6M post-money valuation.
We analyzed a database of approx. 630 deals of Ag Biotech companies, using data from Pitchbook, a financial database. To form a representative sample, we cleaned the data by removing deals made before 2019, angel/seed deals, or observations that had partial data. Based on the mentioned sample, we calculated the Ag Biotech VC's average last known pre-money valuation size to be \$146.0M (n=22, appendix 2). This benchmark stands in line with NRGene valuation at its IPO of approx. \$114M.
We used the following multiples for our valuation:
Above all mentioned multiples, we determine that our median AgTech revenue multiple (=7.1) is the most suitable for evaluating NRGene activity.
We believe that NRGene is still in the early stages of penetrating the market with its products and anticipate high growth in revenues in the next 5-7 years. As mentioned above, we deem that the company revenues at 2021 aren't representing its potential.
We applied the First Chicago Method to use valuation multiples, which VCs use to evaluate growth firms like NRGeneiii . NRGene's current revenue doesn't reflect its potential, so we used similar companies' revenues as a benchmark. Based on our sample, the average revenue for a company in the same specific market was US\$39.9M (see appendix 2).
Therefore, assuming it would take NRGene approx. 5 years to reach US\$40M revenues, alternatively, US\$13.1M at present (using our CAPM rate and additional risk we added to reflect future risk). Thus, following the first Chicago method, NRGene's current EV will be US\$13.1M multiplied by 7.1, which equals US\$93.0M. Lastly, we added the cash as a non-operational asset of US\$26.9M. Thus, according to our revenue multiple, we value NRGene activity at \$119.9M.
NRGene is a growth firm. Thus, we based our valuation on current and future market trends and the company's assumption for future operations. Due to the high growth in the Ag Biotech market and the uniqueness of NRGene solution, we estimate the company is well-positioned to generate significant growth in the foreseeable future.
We conducted NRGene's valuation using market benchmarks from recent deals and analysis of VC's activity; Given the assessments and findings mentioned above, we value the company's stock price target in the range of NIS 29.4 to NIS 32.4, and a mean of NIS 30.9.
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Dr. Tiran Rothman T: +972 (0) 9 950 2888 E: [email protected]
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i "World Population Projected to Reach 9.8 Billion in 2050, and 11.2 Billion in 2100," United Nations, June 21, 2017.
ii http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New\_Home\_Page/datacurrent.html#multiples
iii Rothman, T. "Valuations of Early-Stage Companies and Disruptive Technologies: How to Value Life Science, Cybersecurity and ICT Start-ups, and their Technologies'', Springer Nature, 2020.
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