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Unicaja Banco S.A.

Investor Presentation Jan 31, 2023

1893_iss_2023-01-31_7d240c0c-dcbf-4c9c-a28c-7ecebd9e8e31.pdf

Investor Presentation

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4Q22 Earnings presentation

January 31st 2023

Agenda

1. Key highlights

2. Business activity

3. Financial results

4.Asset quality

5. Solvency & balance sheet

Key highlights

Key Highlights


Retail loan book
is 1.8% up in the year with consumer and mortgage book growing
Mortgage
loan book
+1.7% YoY
Business
activity

The main focus
on the corporate loan book is profitability, and less on volumes
Consumer loan book +3.5% YoY

Individuals' deposits are € 415m up QoQ, proof of our customer and franchise resilience

NII up11% in the quarter on the back of lending and alco repricing with very stable retail
funding costs
Net Interest
income
+3% vs 2021
Profitability
Fee income stable in the quarter with a strong year on the back of business activity and off
balance sheet products
Fee income +7% vs 2021

OPEX decrease in the year as restructuring moves forward with 81% of planned staff
departures and 100% of branch closures already achieved
OPEX -8% vs 2021

Cost of risk of 24bps on a recurrent basis in 2022, 39bps after strong reinforcement of
coverage levels through p&l
NPL Ratio
(%)
3.5%
Asset quality
NPA ratio of 6.6%, down 58bps in the year with a strong coverage ratio of 65%

Foreclosed assets down €54m in the quarter, supported by a wholesale portfolio sale
NPL Coverage (%) 67%

CET 1 FL of 13.0% as of December2022
flat quarter on quarter
(1),
CET 1 FL excess €1.6bn
Solvency and
share

Dividend accrual of 50% of 2022 net income, € 130m in the year
(2)

Unicaja Banco was included in the IBEX 35 Index in December 2022
TSR +22% 2022

(2) Applying P2R (CRD IV) flexibility, art. 104

Business activity

Customer funds

Customer funds breakdown

Million
Euros
4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 QoQ YoY
Customer funds on balance sheet 73,969 69,661 69,833 0.2% -5.6%
Public
institutions
9,259 6,693 6,889 2.9% -25.6%
Private
sector
64,710 62,967 62,943 0.0% -2.7%
Demand
Deposits
58,424 57,652 57,049 -1.0% -2.4%
Term
Deposits
6,104 5,257 5,874 11.7% -3.8%
Other funds 182 59 20 -65.7% -88.9%
Customer funds off balance sheet 22,038 20,119 20,249 0.6% -8.1%
Mutual funds 12,410 11,205 11,249 0.4% -9.4%
Pension plans 4,033 3,652 3,682 0.8% -8.7%
Insurance funds 4,546 4,270 4,268 -0.1% -6.1%
Other(1) 1,049 991 1,050 5.9% 0.0%
Total customer
funds
96,007 89,780 90,081 0.3% -6.2%

Sticky and granular retail customer base with low average deposit per client <€20k

Individuals deposits are € 415m up QoQ, offsetting the exit of more volatile corporate deposits

Mutual funds

Mutual funds evolution (€bn)

Insurance

Another strong year in insurance business to be further supported by the restructuring

Lending Individuals performing book grows at almost 2% in the year

Performing loan book (€m)

Million
Euros
4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 QoQ YoY
Public sector 5,563 5,983 5,767 -3.6% 3.7%
Corporate loans 14,093 12,966 12,695 -2.1% -9.9%
Real Estate developers 841 731 663 -9.3% -21.2%
Other
corporates
13,253 12,235 12,032 -1.7% -9.2%
Loans to individuals 33,866 34,393 34,491 0.3% 1.8%
Residential mortgages 31,090 31,574 31,617 0.1% 1.7%
Consumer
& other
(1)
2,776 2,819 2,874 2.0% 3.5%
Total Performing book 53,522 53,343 52,953 -0.7% -1.1%

New lending

Individuals new lending regains momentum after the integration and corporates focused on profitability

Lending Residential mortgage defensive book allows for new customer acquisition and profitable growth

Digital business: Continuous improvement of digital activity and customer acquisition

(1) Active clients with login activity in the last 12 months

ESG: New Sustainability Board Committe. Delivering in social commitments

strategy

Financial results

Quarterly income statement

4Q22 P&L statement (1)

Million euros 4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 QoQ (%) YoY (%) 2021 2022 2022 vs
2021 (%)
Net Interest Income 235 263 293 11.5% 25.0% 1,028 1,058 2.9%
Dividends 5 3 2 -23.2% -48.2% 24 18 -22.8%
Associates 10 11 19 72.0% 99.1% 58 71 22.5%
Net Fees 134 131 131 0.2% -2.4% 489 525 7.3%
Trading income + Exch. Diff. 21 8 18 119.7% -14.4% 47 57 21.6%
Other revenues/(expenses) (91) 3 (124) na 35.3% (129) (145) 12.6%
Gross Margin 313 419 340 -18.9% 8.7% 1,517 1,584 4.5%
Operating expenses (223) (218) (208) -4.4% -6.6% (937) (862) -8.2%
Personnel expenses (140) (125) (123) -1.5% -11.6% (571) (506) -11.4%
SG&A (61) (70) (62) -11.3% 2.3% (269) (265) -1.6%
D&A (22) (22) (22) 1.4% 0.6% (96) (90) -6.0%
Pre Provision Profit 90 202 132 -34.5% 46.5% 580 723 24.6%
Other provisions (34) (32) (10) -67.7% -69.9% (100) (94) -5.7%
Loan loss provision (56) (40) (85) 114.0% 51.9% (271) (214) -20.8%
Other profits or losses (23) 2 (32) na 36.1% (29) (53) 80.7%
Pre Tax profit (24) 131 5 -96.5% -119.6% 180 361 100.1%
Tax 5 (36) (5) -85.7% -194.7% (43) (102) 136.1%
Net Income (18) 95 (1) -100.5% -97.2% 137 260 88.9%

(1) 2021 P&L is proforma including both Unicaja Banco and Liberbank under Unicaja Banco accounting criteria,

Main quarterly variations

Revenues & OPEX:

  • NII: +11% in the quarter on the back of lending and bond portfolio repricing with very stable retail funding costs
  • Fee income: Strong banking activity and off-balance sheet products support fee evolution in the year
  • Associates: Strong insurance JVs results in the quarter
  • Other revenues: Includes €20m of extraordinary real estate assets impairments-losses
  • OPEX: supported by strong delivery of the restructuring plan, 100% of branches closed and >80% of employees

Cost of risk and provisions:

  • Cost of risk: Includes extraordinary provisions from the update of the macro scenario to reflect higher inflation
  • Other provisions: Includes €15m adjustment on defined benefit pension plan
  • Other profit or losses: Includes €17m positive impact from insurance restructuring, €14m gains from disposals and €60m real estate impairments that will allow to accelerate sales

Net interest income: Yields

NIM Loan yield Deposit cost

Average quarterly customer spread (1) (%) Lending yields (eop) 4Q22

December Front Book: 3.15%

Net interest income: Evolution

Net interest income quarterly evolution (€m)

A Lending:

  • Positive contribution from lending as the portfolio reprices, +18pb QoQ loan yield
  • Floating mortgage loan book current average Euribor of c.0.5% (Euribor benchmark still negative for 50% of them)

B Fixed income portfolio:

Average yield improves from 1.48% to 1.85% mainly on the back of bonds swapped to variable rates

Funding:

C

  • Retail: very contained customer deposits cost at 5bps in the quarter.
  • Wholesale funding costs impacted by SNP issued in November and issuances at variable rates.

Fee income

Grows at 7.3% in the year despite market valuations decrease in the year on the back of strong core activity

Fee income evolution (€m) Fee income breakdown (€m)

Million
Euros
4Q21 3Q22 4Q22 QoQ
(%)
YoY
(%)
2021 2022 2022 vs
2021
(%)
Banking
Fees
79 69 72 4.5% -9.2% 283 282 -0.1%
Non-Banking
fees
55 62 59 -4.5% 7.5% 207 243 17.5%
Mutual funds 27 34 34 -1.5% 27.1% 97 129 32.8%
Insurance 24 22 23 1.1% -7.5% 92 98 6.6%
Other 4 5 2 -51.5% -38.4% 17 15 -10.8%
Total Fees 134 131 131 0.2% -2.4% 489 525 7.3%

Operating expenses

  • ✓ Since the merger was announced, branches have gone down by 36%, achieving 100% of the branch restructuring plan
  • Number of employees have gone down by 20% since the merger, >80% of restructuring plan executed

Branches and employees evolution

Cost of risk

Cost of Risk 39pbs Recurrent CoR 24pbs 62pbs 26pbs PMA & backstop €80m €49m 2022 4Q22 Loan loss provisions (€m)

Backstop provision (1) . We booked a € 60m provision in 2022 through P&L. Other option is to do it through capital deductions. The impact on capital is the same for both options.

Post Model Adjustment (PMA). We stressed the models to include an additional provision due to the uncertainty related to inflation. Total PMA provision not allocated to loans at the end of 2022 is € 148m vs € 60m in 2021.

Quarterly cost of risk(2) (bps)

(1) Backstop provision covers the difference between the accounting provisions and prudential provisions. This deficit can be covered through P&L, capital deductions or an increase of capital requirements (SREP). (2) Annualized quarterly cost of risk over EOP gross loans, (3) cost of risk assumes partial usage of provisions not allocated to loans.

Profitability

Banking margin (NII + Fees - OPEX) evolution (€m) Return on Tangible Equity evolution(1)(%)

Asset quality

Non performing loans

Non performing loans evolution

Loan book NPL ratio and coverage

Defensive loan book

  • 75% of the loan book is individuals and public sector
  • 50% of NPLs are residential mortgages

  • 78% of NPLs have collateral

Prudent NPL recognition approach

• >50% of NPL entries were subjective in 2022 and 66% in 4Q22

Superior coverage levels

  • 76% NPLs coverage level including ICO guarantee
  • 100% Corporate loan book coverage level including ICO guarantee

Foreclosed assets

Foreclosed assets yearly evolution (€m)

Foreclosed assets breakdown and coverage

Foreclosed
assets
(€m)
NBV Coverage
(%)
Residential 212 58%
Building
under
construction
76 70%
Commercial RE 97 55%
Land 269 69%
Total 653 64%
  1. Net NPA ratio calculated as NPA (net of provisions) over net lending plus net foreclosed assets

Solvency & balance sheet

Solvency (I/II)

CET 1 Fully loaded(1) quarterly evolution (bps)

Main quarterly movements

  • Retained earnings. Mainly AT1 coupon
  • Valuation adjustments from equity stakes. Good performance of EDP is more than offset by write-down of our stake in Ceca to zero

RWAs

  • (-) Lower corporate loan book and NPAs
  • (-) Mortgage new lending under IRB
  • (+) Increasing risk weighting up to 370% in some equity stakes

Solvency (II/II)

Capital ratios. December 2022 Capital structure (fully loaded)

Fixed income portfolio

Sareb

Private debt

Liquidity and wholesale funding

(2) Tier 2 2024 refers to call date.

2023 Outlook

Guidance update supported by:

  • Sound business activity
  • Repricing at current interest rate scenario
  • Remaining synergies from restructuring process
  • Strong coverage levels and low risk profile
2023 Guidance
Net interest income High teens
Fee income c.5%
Operating expenses 2-3% decline
Banking margin
(1)
>30%
Cost of risk
(2)
30-35 bps

Appendix

NPL breakdown and credit stages

Credit breakdown by stages

NPLs breakdown

December
2022 (€m)
Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3
Gross Balance 49,282 3,671 1,938
Provisions 217 214 858
Coverage
level
(%)
0.4% 5.8% 44.3%
  • 2% Corporates (excl. RED)
  • Real Estate Developers
  • Residential mortgages
  • Other individuals

Share and book value

22% total shareholder return in the year and the inclusion in IBEX 35

Share metrics and book value

Share and liquidity: 3Q22 4Q22
# O/S shares (m) 2,655 2,655
Last price (€) 0.93 1.03
Max price (€) 1.06 1.06
Min price (€) 0.77 0.89
Avg. traded volume (#shares m) 2,921 3,805
Avg. traded volume (€ m) 2,589 3,666
Market Capitalization (€ m) 2,460 2,737
Book Value:
BV(1)
exc. minorities
(€m)
5,946 5,917
TBV(2)
(€m)
5,820 5,789
Ratios:
BVps (€) 2.24 2.23
TBVps (€) 2.19 2.18
PBV 0.41x 0.46x
PTBV 0.42x 0.47x

(1) Book value excludes €547m of AT1 and includes other comprehensive income (2) Tangible Book Value excludes €53m of goodwill from associates.

Shareholder base

Source. CNMV as of 30/12/2022 and 2021 Unicaja Banco corporate governance report

Income statement. Proforma

euros
Million
1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 QoQ (%) YoY (%) 2021 2022 2022 vs
2021 (%)
Net Interest
Income
277 266 251 235 235 267 263 293 11.5% 25.0% 1,028 1,058 2.9%
Dividends 1 17 1 5 1 12 3 2 -23.2% -48.2% 24 18 -22.8%
Associates 10 23 15 10 3 38 11 19 72.0% 99.1% 58 71 22.5%
Net fees 117 117 121 134 133 130 131 131 0.2% -2.4% 489 525 7.3%
Trading income + Exch. Diff. 17 6 4 21 10 21 8 18 119.7% -14.4% 47 57 21.6%
Other revenues/(expenses) (2) (28) (7) (91) 2 (26) 3 (124) na 35.3% (129) (145) 12.6%
Gross Margin 419 400 385 313 382 443 419 340 -18.9% 8.7% 1,517 1,584 4.5%
Operating expenses (239) (240) (235) (223) (219) (217) (218) (208) -4.4% -6.6% (937) (862) -8.0%
Personnel expenses (145) (145) (141) (140) (129) (129) (125) (123) -1.5% -11.6% (571) (506) -11.4%
SG&A (69) (69) (70) (61) (67) (65) (70) (62) -11.3% 2.3% (269) (265) -1.6%
D&A (25) (26) (23) (22) (23) (23) (22) (22) 1.4% 0.6% (96) (90) -6.0%
Pre Provision Profit 180 160 150 90 164 225 202 132 -34.5% 46.5% 580 723 24.6%
Other
provisions
(1)
(15) (38) (12) (34) (27) (25) (32) (10) -67.7% -69.9% (100) (94) -5.7%
Loan loss provision (77) (81) (57) (56) (51) (38) (40) (85) 114.0% 51.9% (271) (214) -20.8%
Other
profits
or
losses
4 0 (10) (23) (2) (21) 2 (32) na 36.1% (29) (53) 80.7%
Pre Tax
profit
92 41 71 (24) 84 141 131 5 -96.5% -119.6% 180 361 100.1%
Tax (26) (5) (18) 5 (24) (36) (36) (5) -85.7% -194.7% (43) (102) 136.1%
Net Income 66 36 54 (18) 60 105 95 (1) -100.5% -97.2% 137 260 88.9%

Balance sheet

Million
euros
31/12/2021 30/06/2022 30/09/2022 31/12/2022
Cash on hand, Central Banks and Other demand deposits 21,298 19,782 16,245 4,662
Assets held for trading & Finantial assets at fair value through P&L 273 205 190 203
Financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income 1,298 977 1,098 1,094
Financial assets at amortised
cost
57,142 57,354 56,722 55,316
Loans and advances to central banks and credit institution 1,119 878 1,030 990
Loans and advances to customers 56,023 56,476 55,693 54,326
Debt securities at amortised
cost
24,850 25,415 27,295 26,867
Hedging derivatives 815 1,586 2,201 1,813
Investment in joint ventures and associates 1,052 977 950 914
Tangible assets 2,249 2,176 2,125 1,996
Intangible assets 80 79 76 75
Tax assets 5,250 5,137 5,111 5,063
Other assets 544 541 353 427
Non current assets held for sale 700 602 590 558
Total Assets 115,550 114,832 112,956 98,987
Financial liabilities held for trading & at fair value through P&L 31 38 50 53
Financial liabilities at amortised cost 105,476 104,670 102,668 88,937
Deposits from central Banks 10,292 10,241 10,238 5,321
Deposits from credit
institutions
6,665 7,960 9,069 3,418
Customer Deposits 84,154 79,921 77,843 74,386
Other Issued Securities 2,498 2,916 2,872 3,329
Other financial liabilities 1,867 3,633 2,646 2,482
Hedging derivatives 1,000 1,008 996 1,082
Provisions 1,428 1,294 1,204 1,085
Tax liabilities 389 398 436 366
Other liabilities 900 1,073 1,105 1,000
Total Liabilities 109,224 108,482 106,460 92,523
Own Funds 6,416 6,536 6,626 6,617
Accumulated other comprehensive income (90) (186) (131) (153)
Minority
interests
0 0 0 0
Total Equity 6,326 6,350 6,496 6,464
Total Equity and Liabilities 115,550 114,832 112,956 98,987

Important legal information

This presentation (the Presentation) has been prepared by Unicaja Banco, S.A. (the Company or Unicaja Banco) for informational use only.

The recipient of this presentation has the obligation of undertaking its own analysis of the Company. The information provided herein is not to be relied upon in substitution for the recipient's own exercise of independent judgment with regard to the operations, financial condition and prospects of the Company. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive or to contain all the information that a prospective purchaser of securities of the Company may desire or require in deciding whether or not to purchase such securities, and, unless otherwise stated, it has not been verified by the Company or any other person.

The information contained in the Presentation may be subject to change without notice and must not be relied upon for any purpose. Neither the Company nor any of affiliates, advisors or agents makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of any information contained in this document and, by hereby, shall not be taken for granted. Each Unicaja Banco and its affiliates, advisors or agents expressly disclaims any and all liabilities which may be based on this document, the information contained or referred to therein, any errors therein or omissions therefrom. Neither the Company, nor any of its affiliates, advisors or agents undertake any obligation to provide the recipients with access to additional information or to update this document or to correct any inaccuracies in the information contained or referred to in the Presentation.

Unicaja Banco cautions that this Presentation may contain forward looking statements with respect to the business, financial condition, results of operations, strategy, plans and objectives of the Unicaja Banco and its affiliates. While these forward looking statements represent Unicaja Banco's judgment and future expectations concerning the development of its business, a certain number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors could cause actual developments and results to differ materially from the current expectations of Unicaja Banco and its affiliates. These factors include, but are not limited to, (1) general market, macroeconomic, governmental, political and regulatory trends; (2) movements in local and international securities markets, currency exchange rate and interest rates; (3) competitive pressures; (4) technical developments; and (5) changes in the financial position or credit worthiness of Unicaja Banco's and its affiliates customers, obligors and counterparts. These and other risk factors published in past and future filings and reports of Unicaja Banco, including those with the Spanish Securities and Exchange Commission (CNMV) and available to the public both in Unicaja Banco's website (https://www.unicajabanco.com/es/inversores-y-accionistas/informacion-economico-financiera/informes-financieros) and in the CNMV's website (https://www.cnmv.es), as well as other risk factors currently unknown or not foreseeable, which may be beyond Unicaja Banco's control, could adversely affect its business and financial performance and cause actual results to differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements.

Market and competitive position data in the Presentation has generally been obtained from industry publications and surveys or studies conducted by third-party sources. Peer firm information presented herein has been taken from peer firm public reports. There are limitations with respect to the availability, accuracy, completeness and comparability of such data. Unicaja Banco has not independently verified such data and can provide no assurance of its accuracy or completeness. Likewise, certain statements in the Presentation regarding the market and competitive position data are based on the internal analyses of Unicaja Banco, which involve certain assumptions and estimates. These internal analyses have not been verified by any independent source and there can be no assurance that the assumptions or estimates are accurate. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry, market or Unicaja Banco's competitive position data contained in the Presentation.

This Presentation includes accounts and estimations issued by the management, which may have not been audited by the Company's auditors. In addition, this document includes certain Alternative Performance Measures (APMs) as defined in the guidelines on Alternative Performance Measures published by the European Securities and Markets Authority on 5 October 2015 (ESMA/2015/1415es) (the ESMA guidelines). This report uses certain APMs, which are performance measures that have been calculated using the financial information from Unicaja Banco and its affiliates but that are not defined or detailed in the applicable financial framework and therefore have neither been audited nor are capable of being completely audited. These APMs are aimed to enable a better understanding of Unicaja Banco's and its affiliates' financial performance but should be considered only as additional disclosures and in no case as a replacement of the financial information prepared under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Moreover, the way the Unicaja Banco defines and calculates these measures may differ to the way these are calculated by other companies, and therefore they may not be comparable. Please refer to Unicaja Banco's past and future filings and reports including those with CNMV and available to the public both in Unicaja Banco's website (https://www.unicajabanco.com/es/inversores-y-accionistas/informacion-economico-financiera/informes-financieros) and in the CNMV's website (https://www.cnmv.es) for further details of the APMs used, including its definition or a reconciliation between any applicable management indicators and the financial data presented in the consolidated financial statements prepared under IFRS. In any case, the financial information included in this Presentation has not been reviewed to the extent of its accuracy and completeness and, therefore, neither such financial information nor the APMs shall be relied upon.

Neither this presentation nor any copy of it may be taken, transmitted into, disclosed or distributed in the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan. The distribution of this presentation in other jurisdictions may also be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this presentation comes should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions. The securities of the Company have not been and, should there be an offering, will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the Securities Act), or the U.S. Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the Investment Company Act). Such securities may not be offered or sold in the United States except on a limited basis, if at all, to Qualified Institutional Buyers (as defined in Rule 144A under the Securities Act) in reliance on Rule 144A or another exemption from, or transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act. The securities of the Company have not been and, should there be an offering, will not be registered under the applicable securities laws of any state or jurisdiction of Canada or Japan and, subject to certain exceptions, may not be offered or sold within Canada or Japan or to or for the benefit of any national, resident or citizen of Canada or Japan.

THIS PRESENTATION DOES NOT CONSTITUTE OR FORM PART OF ANY OFFER FOR SALE OR SOLICITATION OF ANY OFFER TO BUY ANY SECURITIES NOR SHALL IT OR ANY PART OF IT FORM THE BASIS OF OR BE RELIED ON IN CONNECTION WITH ANY CONTRACT OR COMMITMENT TO PURCHASE SHARES. ANY DECISION TO PURCHASE SHARES IN ANY OFFERING SHOULD BE MADE SOLELY ON THE BASIS OF PUBLICLY AVAILABLE INFORMATION ON THE COMPANY. By receiving or accessing to this Presentation you accept and agree to be bound by the foregoing terms, conditions and restrictions.

All information prior to the merger is aggregated on a pro forma basis.

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