Investor Presentation • Jan 31, 2023
Investor Presentation
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January 31st 2023
1. Key highlights
2. Business activity
3. Financial results
4.Asset quality
5. Solvency & balance sheet
| ▪ Retail loan book is 1.8% up in the year with consumer and mortgage book growing |
Mortgage loan book |
+1.7% YoY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Business activity |
▪ The main focus on the corporate loan book is profitability, and less on volumes |
Consumer loan book | +3.5% YoY |
| ▪ Individuals' deposits are € 415m up QoQ, proof of our customer and franchise resilience |
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| ▪ NII up11% in the quarter on the back of lending and alco repricing with very stable retail funding costs |
Net Interest income |
+3% vs 2021 | |
| Profitability | ▪ Fee income stable in the quarter with a strong year on the back of business activity and off balance sheet products |
Fee income | +7% vs 2021 |
| ▪ OPEX decrease in the year as restructuring moves forward with 81% of planned staff departures and 100% of branch closures already achieved |
OPEX | -8% vs 2021 | |
| ▪ Cost of risk of 24bps on a recurrent basis in 2022, 39bps after strong reinforcement of coverage levels through p&l |
NPL Ratio (%) |
3.5% | |
| Asset quality | ▪ NPA ratio of 6.6%, down 58bps in the year with a strong coverage ratio of 65% |
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| ▪ Foreclosed assets down €54m in the quarter, supported by a wholesale portfolio sale |
NPL Coverage (%) | 67% | |
| ▪ CET 1 FL of 13.0% as of December2022 flat quarter on quarter (1), |
CET 1 FL excess | €1.6bn | |
| Solvency and share |
▪ Dividend accrual of 50% of 2022 net income, € 130m in the year |
(2) | |
| ▪ Unicaja Banco was included in the IBEX 35 Index in December 2022 |
TSR | +22% 2022 |
(2) Applying P2R (CRD IV) flexibility, art. 104
| Million Euros |
4Q21 | 3Q22 | 4Q22 | QoQ | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer funds on balance sheet | 73,969 | 69,661 | 69,833 | 0.2% | -5.6% |
| Public institutions |
9,259 | 6,693 | 6,889 | 2.9% | -25.6% |
| Private sector |
64,710 | 62,967 | 62,943 | 0.0% | -2.7% |
| Demand Deposits |
58,424 | 57,652 | 57,049 | -1.0% | -2.4% |
| Term Deposits |
6,104 | 5,257 | 5,874 | 11.7% | -3.8% |
| Other funds | 182 | 59 | 20 | -65.7% | -88.9% |
| Customer funds off balance sheet | 22,038 | 20,119 | 20,249 | 0.6% | -8.1% |
| Mutual funds | 12,410 | 11,205 | 11,249 | 0.4% | -9.4% |
| Pension plans | 4,033 | 3,652 | 3,682 | 0.8% | -8.7% |
| Insurance funds | 4,546 | 4,270 | 4,268 | -0.1% | -6.1% |
| Other(1) | 1,049 | 991 | 1,050 | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Total customer funds |
96,007 | 89,780 | 90,081 | 0.3% | -6.2% |
Sticky and granular retail customer base with low average deposit per client <€20k
Individuals deposits are € 415m up QoQ, offsetting the exit of more volatile corporate deposits
Mutual funds evolution (€bn)
Performing loan book (€m)
| Million Euros |
4Q21 | 3Q22 | 4Q22 | QoQ | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public sector | 5,563 | 5,983 | 5,767 | -3.6% | 3.7% |
| Corporate loans | 14,093 | 12,966 | 12,695 | -2.1% | -9.9% |
| Real Estate developers | 841 | 731 | 663 | -9.3% | -21.2% |
| Other corporates |
13,253 | 12,235 | 12,032 | -1.7% | -9.2% |
| Loans to individuals | 33,866 | 34,393 | 34,491 | 0.3% | 1.8% |
| Residential mortgages | 31,090 | 31,574 | 31,617 | 0.1% | 1.7% |
| Consumer & other (1) |
2,776 | 2,819 | 2,874 | 2.0% | 3.5% |
| Total Performing book | 53,522 | 53,343 | 52,953 | -0.7% | -1.1% |
Individuals new lending regains momentum after the integration and corporates focused on profitability
(1) Active clients with login activity in the last 12 months
strategy
| Million euros | 4Q21 | 3Q22 | 4Q22 | QoQ (%) | YoY (%) | 2021 | 2022 | 2022 vs 2021 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Interest Income | 235 | 263 | 293 | 11.5% | 25.0% | 1,028 | 1,058 | 2.9% |
| Dividends | 5 | 3 | 2 | -23.2% | -48.2% | 24 | 18 | -22.8% |
| Associates | 10 | 11 | 19 | 72.0% | 99.1% | 58 | 71 | 22.5% |
| Net Fees | 134 | 131 | 131 | 0.2% | -2.4% | 489 | 525 | 7.3% |
| Trading income + Exch. Diff. | 21 | 8 | 18 | 119.7% | -14.4% | 47 | 57 | 21.6% |
| Other revenues/(expenses) | (91) | 3 | (124) | na | 35.3% | (129) | (145) | 12.6% |
| Gross Margin | 313 | 419 | 340 | -18.9% | 8.7% | 1,517 | 1,584 | 4.5% |
| Operating expenses | (223) | (218) | (208) | -4.4% | -6.6% | (937) | (862) | -8.2% |
| Personnel expenses | (140) | (125) | (123) | -1.5% | -11.6% | (571) | (506) | -11.4% |
| SG&A | (61) | (70) | (62) | -11.3% | 2.3% | (269) | (265) | -1.6% |
| D&A | (22) | (22) | (22) | 1.4% | 0.6% | (96) | (90) | -6.0% |
| Pre Provision Profit | 90 | 202 | 132 | -34.5% | 46.5% | 580 | 723 | 24.6% |
| Other provisions | (34) | (32) | (10) | -67.7% | -69.9% | (100) | (94) | -5.7% |
| Loan loss provision | (56) | (40) | (85) | 114.0% | 51.9% | (271) | (214) | -20.8% |
| Other profits or losses | (23) | 2 | (32) | na | 36.1% | (29) | (53) | 80.7% |
| Pre Tax profit | (24) | 131 | 5 | -96.5% | -119.6% | 180 | 361 | 100.1% |
| Tax | 5 | (36) | (5) | -85.7% | -194.7% | (43) | (102) | 136.1% |
| Net Income | (18) | 95 | (1) | -100.5% | -97.2% | 137 | 260 | 88.9% |
(1) 2021 P&L is proforma including both Unicaja Banco and Liberbank under Unicaja Banco accounting criteria,
NIM Loan yield Deposit cost
Average quarterly customer spread (1) (%) Lending yields (eop) 4Q22
December Front Book: 3.15%
Net interest income quarterly evolution (€m)
A Lending:
Average yield improves from 1.48% to 1.85% mainly on the back of bonds swapped to variable rates
Funding:
C
Grows at 7.3% in the year despite market valuations decrease in the year on the back of strong core activity
Fee income evolution (€m) Fee income breakdown (€m)
| Million Euros |
4Q21 | 3Q22 | 4Q22 | QoQ (%) |
YoY (%) |
2021 | 2022 | 2022 vs 2021 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banking Fees |
79 | 69 | 72 | 4.5% | -9.2% | 283 | 282 | -0.1% |
| Non-Banking fees |
55 | 62 | 59 | -4.5% | 7.5% | 207 | 243 | 17.5% |
| Mutual funds | 27 | 34 | 34 | -1.5% | 27.1% | 97 | 129 | 32.8% |
| Insurance | 24 | 22 | 23 | 1.1% | -7.5% | 92 | 98 | 6.6% |
| Other | 4 | 5 | 2 | -51.5% | -38.4% | 17 | 15 | -10.8% |
| Total Fees | 134 | 131 | 131 | 0.2% | -2.4% | 489 | 525 | 7.3% |
Cost of Risk 39pbs Recurrent CoR 24pbs 62pbs 26pbs PMA & backstop €80m €49m 2022 4Q22 Loan loss provisions (€m)
Backstop provision (1) . We booked a € 60m provision in 2022 through P&L. Other option is to do it through capital deductions. The impact on capital is the same for both options.
Post Model Adjustment (PMA). We stressed the models to include an additional provision due to the uncertainty related to inflation. Total PMA provision not allocated to loans at the end of 2022 is € 148m vs € 60m in 2021.
Quarterly cost of risk(2) (bps)
(1) Backstop provision covers the difference between the accounting provisions and prudential provisions. This deficit can be covered through P&L, capital deductions or an increase of capital requirements (SREP). (2) Annualized quarterly cost of risk over EOP gross loans, (3) cost of risk assumes partial usage of provisions not allocated to loans.
Banking margin (NII + Fees - OPEX) evolution (€m) Return on Tangible Equity evolution(1)(%)
Loan book NPL ratio and coverage
50% of NPLs are residential mortgages
• >50% of NPL entries were subjective in 2022 and 66% in 4Q22
100% Corporate loan book coverage level including ICO guarantee
Foreclosed assets yearly evolution (€m)
| Foreclosed assets (€m) |
NBV | Coverage (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Residential | 212 | 58% |
| Building under construction |
76 | 70% |
| Commercial RE | 97 | 55% |
| Land | 269 | 69% |
| Total | 653 | 64% |
Sareb
Private debt
(2) Tier 2 2024 refers to call date.
| 2023 Guidance | |
|---|---|
| Net interest income | High teens |
| Fee income | c.5% |
| Operating expenses | 2-3% decline |
| Banking margin (1) |
>30% |
| Cost of risk (2) |
30-35 bps |
Credit breakdown by stages
NPLs breakdown
| December 2022 (€m) |
Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Balance | 49,282 | 3,671 | 1,938 |
| Provisions | 217 | 214 | 858 |
| Coverage level (%) |
0.4% | 5.8% | 44.3% |
22% total shareholder return in the year and the inclusion in IBEX 35
Share metrics and book value
| Share and liquidity: | 3Q22 | 4Q22 |
|---|---|---|
| # O/S shares (m) | 2,655 | 2,655 |
| Last price (€) | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Max price (€) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Min price (€) | 0.77 | 0.89 |
| Avg. traded volume (#shares m) | 2,921 | 3,805 |
| Avg. traded volume (€ m) | 2,589 | 3,666 |
| Market Capitalization (€ m) | 2,460 | 2,737 |
| Book Value: | ||
| BV(1) exc. minorities (€m) |
5,946 | 5,917 |
| TBV(2) (€m) |
5,820 | 5,789 |
| Ratios: | ||
| BVps (€) | 2.24 | 2.23 |
| TBVps (€) | 2.19 | 2.18 |
| PBV | 0.41x | 0.46x |
| PTBV | 0.42x | 0.47x |
(1) Book value excludes €547m of AT1 and includes other comprehensive income (2) Tangible Book Value excludes €53m of goodwill from associates.
Source. CNMV as of 30/12/2022 and 2021 Unicaja Banco corporate governance report
| euros Million |
1Q21 | 2Q21 | 3Q21 | 4Q21 | 1Q22 | 2Q22 | 3Q22 | 4Q22 | QoQ (%) | YoY (%) | 2021 | 2022 | 2022 vs 2021 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Interest Income |
277 | 266 | 251 | 235 | 235 | 267 | 263 | 293 | 11.5% | 25.0% | 1,028 | 1,058 | 2.9% |
| Dividends | 1 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 2 | -23.2% | -48.2% | 24 | 18 | -22.8% |
| Associates | 10 | 23 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 19 | 72.0% | 99.1% | 58 | 71 | 22.5% |
| Net fees | 117 | 117 | 121 | 134 | 133 | 130 | 131 | 131 | 0.2% | -2.4% | 489 | 525 | 7.3% |
| Trading income + Exch. Diff. | 17 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 10 | 21 | 8 | 18 | 119.7% | -14.4% | 47 | 57 | 21.6% |
| Other revenues/(expenses) | (2) | (28) | (7) | (91) | 2 | (26) | 3 | (124) | na | 35.3% | (129) | (145) | 12.6% |
| Gross Margin | 419 | 400 | 385 | 313 | 382 | 443 | 419 | 340 | -18.9% | 8.7% | 1,517 | 1,584 | 4.5% |
| Operating expenses | (239) | (240) | (235) | (223) | (219) | (217) | (218) | (208) | -4.4% | -6.6% | (937) | (862) | -8.0% |
| Personnel expenses | (145) | (145) | (141) | (140) | (129) | (129) | (125) | (123) | -1.5% | -11.6% | (571) | (506) | -11.4% |
| SG&A | (69) | (69) | (70) | (61) | (67) | (65) | (70) | (62) | -11.3% | 2.3% | (269) | (265) | -1.6% |
| D&A | (25) | (26) | (23) | (22) | (23) | (23) | (22) | (22) | 1.4% | 0.6% | (96) | (90) | -6.0% |
| Pre Provision Profit | 180 | 160 | 150 | 90 | 164 | 225 | 202 | 132 | -34.5% | 46.5% | 580 | 723 | 24.6% |
| Other provisions (1) |
(15) | (38) | (12) | (34) | (27) | (25) | (32) | (10) | -67.7% | -69.9% | (100) | (94) | -5.7% |
| Loan loss provision | (77) | (81) | (57) | (56) | (51) | (38) | (40) | (85) | 114.0% | 51.9% | (271) | (214) | -20.8% |
| Other profits or losses |
4 | 0 | (10) | (23) | (2) | (21) | 2 | (32) | na | 36.1% | (29) | (53) | 80.7% |
| Pre Tax profit |
92 | 41 | 71 | (24) | 84 | 141 | 131 | 5 | -96.5% | -119.6% | 180 | 361 | 100.1% |
| Tax | (26) | (5) | (18) | 5 | (24) | (36) | (36) | (5) | -85.7% | -194.7% | (43) | (102) | 136.1% |
| Net Income | 66 | 36 | 54 | (18) | 60 | 105 | 95 | (1) | -100.5% | -97.2% | 137 | 260 | 88.9% |
| Million euros |
31/12/2021 | 30/06/2022 | 30/09/2022 | 31/12/2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash on hand, Central Banks and Other demand deposits | 21,298 | 19,782 | 16,245 | 4,662 |
| Assets held for trading & Finantial assets at fair value through P&L | 273 | 205 | 190 | 203 |
| Financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income | 1,298 | 977 | 1,098 | 1,094 |
| Financial assets at amortised cost |
57,142 | 57,354 | 56,722 | 55,316 |
| Loans and advances to central banks and credit institution | 1,119 | 878 | 1,030 | 990 |
| Loans and advances to customers | 56,023 | 56,476 | 55,693 | 54,326 |
| Debt securities at amortised cost |
24,850 | 25,415 | 27,295 | 26,867 |
| Hedging derivatives | 815 | 1,586 | 2,201 | 1,813 |
| Investment in joint ventures and associates | 1,052 | 977 | 950 | 914 |
| Tangible assets | 2,249 | 2,176 | 2,125 | 1,996 |
| Intangible assets | 80 | 79 | 76 | 75 |
| Tax assets | 5,250 | 5,137 | 5,111 | 5,063 |
| Other assets | 544 | 541 | 353 | 427 |
| Non current assets held for sale | 700 | 602 | 590 | 558 |
| Total Assets | 115,550 | 114,832 | 112,956 | 98,987 |
| Financial liabilities held for trading & at fair value through P&L | 31 | 38 | 50 | 53 |
| Financial liabilities at amortised cost | 105,476 | 104,670 | 102,668 | 88,937 |
| Deposits from central Banks | 10,292 | 10,241 | 10,238 | 5,321 |
| Deposits from credit institutions |
6,665 | 7,960 | 9,069 | 3,418 |
| Customer Deposits | 84,154 | 79,921 | 77,843 | 74,386 |
| Other Issued Securities | 2,498 | 2,916 | 2,872 | 3,329 |
| Other financial liabilities | 1,867 | 3,633 | 2,646 | 2,482 |
| Hedging derivatives | 1,000 | 1,008 | 996 | 1,082 |
| Provisions | 1,428 | 1,294 | 1,204 | 1,085 |
| Tax liabilities | 389 | 398 | 436 | 366 |
| Other liabilities | 900 | 1,073 | 1,105 | 1,000 |
| Total Liabilities | 109,224 | 108,482 | 106,460 | 92,523 |
| Own Funds | 6,416 | 6,536 | 6,626 | 6,617 |
| Accumulated other comprehensive income | (90) | (186) | (131) | (153) |
| Minority interests |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total Equity | 6,326 | 6,350 | 6,496 | 6,464 |
| Total Equity and Liabilities | 115,550 | 114,832 | 112,956 | 98,987 |
This presentation (the Presentation) has been prepared by Unicaja Banco, S.A. (the Company or Unicaja Banco) for informational use only.
The recipient of this presentation has the obligation of undertaking its own analysis of the Company. The information provided herein is not to be relied upon in substitution for the recipient's own exercise of independent judgment with regard to the operations, financial condition and prospects of the Company. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive or to contain all the information that a prospective purchaser of securities of the Company may desire or require in deciding whether or not to purchase such securities, and, unless otherwise stated, it has not been verified by the Company or any other person.
The information contained in the Presentation may be subject to change without notice and must not be relied upon for any purpose. Neither the Company nor any of affiliates, advisors or agents makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of any information contained in this document and, by hereby, shall not be taken for granted. Each Unicaja Banco and its affiliates, advisors or agents expressly disclaims any and all liabilities which may be based on this document, the information contained or referred to therein, any errors therein or omissions therefrom. Neither the Company, nor any of its affiliates, advisors or agents undertake any obligation to provide the recipients with access to additional information or to update this document or to correct any inaccuracies in the information contained or referred to in the Presentation.
Unicaja Banco cautions that this Presentation may contain forward looking statements with respect to the business, financial condition, results of operations, strategy, plans and objectives of the Unicaja Banco and its affiliates. While these forward looking statements represent Unicaja Banco's judgment and future expectations concerning the development of its business, a certain number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors could cause actual developments and results to differ materially from the current expectations of Unicaja Banco and its affiliates. These factors include, but are not limited to, (1) general market, macroeconomic, governmental, political and regulatory trends; (2) movements in local and international securities markets, currency exchange rate and interest rates; (3) competitive pressures; (4) technical developments; and (5) changes in the financial position or credit worthiness of Unicaja Banco's and its affiliates customers, obligors and counterparts. These and other risk factors published in past and future filings and reports of Unicaja Banco, including those with the Spanish Securities and Exchange Commission (CNMV) and available to the public both in Unicaja Banco's website (https://www.unicajabanco.com/es/inversores-y-accionistas/informacion-economico-financiera/informes-financieros) and in the CNMV's website (https://www.cnmv.es), as well as other risk factors currently unknown or not foreseeable, which may be beyond Unicaja Banco's control, could adversely affect its business and financial performance and cause actual results to differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements.
Market and competitive position data in the Presentation has generally been obtained from industry publications and surveys or studies conducted by third-party sources. Peer firm information presented herein has been taken from peer firm public reports. There are limitations with respect to the availability, accuracy, completeness and comparability of such data. Unicaja Banco has not independently verified such data and can provide no assurance of its accuracy or completeness. Likewise, certain statements in the Presentation regarding the market and competitive position data are based on the internal analyses of Unicaja Banco, which involve certain assumptions and estimates. These internal analyses have not been verified by any independent source and there can be no assurance that the assumptions or estimates are accurate. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry, market or Unicaja Banco's competitive position data contained in the Presentation.
This Presentation includes accounts and estimations issued by the management, which may have not been audited by the Company's auditors. In addition, this document includes certain Alternative Performance Measures (APMs) as defined in the guidelines on Alternative Performance Measures published by the European Securities and Markets Authority on 5 October 2015 (ESMA/2015/1415es) (the ESMA guidelines). This report uses certain APMs, which are performance measures that have been calculated using the financial information from Unicaja Banco and its affiliates but that are not defined or detailed in the applicable financial framework and therefore have neither been audited nor are capable of being completely audited. These APMs are aimed to enable a better understanding of Unicaja Banco's and its affiliates' financial performance but should be considered only as additional disclosures and in no case as a replacement of the financial information prepared under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Moreover, the way the Unicaja Banco defines and calculates these measures may differ to the way these are calculated by other companies, and therefore they may not be comparable. Please refer to Unicaja Banco's past and future filings and reports including those with CNMV and available to the public both in Unicaja Banco's website (https://www.unicajabanco.com/es/inversores-y-accionistas/informacion-economico-financiera/informes-financieros) and in the CNMV's website (https://www.cnmv.es) for further details of the APMs used, including its definition or a reconciliation between any applicable management indicators and the financial data presented in the consolidated financial statements prepared under IFRS. In any case, the financial information included in this Presentation has not been reviewed to the extent of its accuracy and completeness and, therefore, neither such financial information nor the APMs shall be relied upon.
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All information prior to the merger is aggregated on a pro forma basis.
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