Investor Presentation • Nov 21, 2023
Investor Presentation
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November 2023
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The information contained in this presentation ("Presentation") has been prepared by Grenergy Renovables S.A. (the "Company") and has not been independently verified and will not be updated. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein and nothing in this Presentation is, or shall be relied upon as, a promise or representation. Neither the the Company nor any of its employees, officers, directors, advisers, representatives, agents or affiliates shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise, whether direct or indirect, under contract, tort or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this Presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this Presentation.
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The market and industry data and forecasts that may be included in this Presentation were obtained from internal surveys, estimates, experts and studies, where appropriate as well as external market research, publicly available information and industry publications. The Company, it affiliates, directors, officers, advisors and employees have not independently verified the accuracy of any such market and industry data and forecasts and make no representations or warranties in relation thereto. Such data and forecasts are included herein for information purposes only. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry or market data contained in this Presentation.
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A unique and very successful equity story
Highly efficient to maximize value creation
Flexibility to capture growth opportunities and mitigate risks
Only includes PV
Best-in-Class – 2.8TWh of PPAs signed, implying €2.7bn of contracted revenues
Significant step-up in 2023 (1.7TWh/y signed, c60% of total) First BESS PPAs signed in Chile (0.5TWh/y at peak hour)
c80% contracted revenues c20% merchant exposure
15-year Revenue breakdown
Bullet proof - \$0.7bn financing secured and another \$1.3bn well-advanced
Impressive track-record – 1.1GW sold for €0.9bn in 2017-23 at an implicit 1.5x EV/IC
High value creation of development activities Strong track-record using this lever to finance growth Assets rotated are less than c3% of total pipeline
| 58 projects | 1.1GW | €0.9bn proceeds | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| €335m capital gains (€0.37m/MW) | |||||||
| 1.5x EV/IC valuation achieved |
| BESS – A GAME CHANGER | STORAGE | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MW | Under | Backlog | Advanced Dev. |
Early Stage |
Total | Total | ||||
| • An efficient solution in Atacama (Chile) Output maximisation at higher |
Probability of execution |
Const. MWh |
100% | 90% | 70% | 50% | MW | MWh | ||
| captured prices | USA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 695 | 695 | 3,033 | ||
| Total USA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 695 | 695 | 3,033 | |||
| • PPAs contracted at attractive terms CPI adj. over 15 years |
Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 314 | 402 | 904 | ||
| Italy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 39 | 113 | 386 | |||
| • Enhanced growth at incremental returns 11-14% project IRR |
UK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 180 | 360 | ||
| Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 345 | 345 | 1,117 | |||
| Total Europe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 878 | 1,040 | 2,767 | |||
| Chile | 475 | 95 | 605 | 240 | 60 | 1,000 | 4,905 | |||
| Total Latam | 475 | 95 | 605 | 240 | 60 | 1,000 | 4,905 | |||
| Total | 475 | 95 | 605 | 402 | 1,366 | 2,735 | 10,705 |
Growing to the next level
| MARKET OVERVIEW | STRATEGY | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market stats (2022) | Chile | Colombia | Peru | Mexico | • Why LATAM? |
| Type of Market | Deregulated | Deregulated | Deregulated | Deregulated | • Grenergy´s second home-market. |
| Total Capacity (GW) | 33 | 19 | 13 | 95 | |
| Total Generation (TWh) | 83 | 87 | 56 | 341 | • Market approach |
| Renewables Capacity (GW, % of total) | 19.0 (58%) | 13.0 (69%) | 0.7 (5%) | 29.0 (30%) | • Selective in country selection and strategies. |
| Renewables Generation (TWh, % of total) | 51.0 (62%) | 57.0 (66%) | 2.7 (5%) | 106 (31%) | • Lead transition to firm renewables. |
| Solar PV Capacity (GW, % of total) | 7.6 (23%) | 0.5 (2%) | 0.3 (2%) | 8.5 (9%) | • Business model |
| PVOUT: Long term average of PV power potential, period 1999-2020 | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily totals: | 2.46 | 2.74 | 3.01 | 3.29 | 3.56 | 3.83 | 4.11 | 4.38 | 4.65 | 4.93 | 5.20 | 5.48 | 5.75 | 6.02 | 6.30 6.57 | ||
| kWh/kWp | |||||||||||||||||
| Yearly totals: | 900 | 1000 | 1100 | 1200 | 1300 | 1400 | 1500 | 1600 | 1700 | 1800 | 1900 | 2000 | 2100 | 2200 | 2300 | 2400 |
| RESILIENT MACRC | |
|---|---|
| Population (m) | 19.6 |
|---|---|
| GDP per capita (\$'000) | 17.3 |
| GDP growth (%) | 2.4 |
GDP per capita
Penetration of solar energy capacity
| MARKET OVERVIEW | STRATEGY | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market stats (2022) | Spain | Italy | Germany | Poland | Romania | • Why Europe? | |||
| Type of Market | Deregulated | Deregulated | Deregulated | Deregulated | Deregulated | • At the forefront of Energy Transition | |||
| Total Capacity (GW) | 119 | 118 | 238 | 63 | 18 | ||||
| Total Generation (TWh) | 262 | 317 | 507 | 175 | 57 | • Market approach | |||
| Renewables Capacity (GW, % of total) | 70 (59%) | 60 (51%) | 148 (62%) | 25 (40%) | 11 (59%) | ||||
| Renewables Generation (TWh, % of total) | 110 (42%) | 81 (26%) | 245 (48%) | 30 (17%) | 24 (42%) | • Create quality RTB pipeline at low cost | |||
| Solar PV Capacity (GW) | 20 (17%) | 25 (21%) | 68 (28%) | 14 (22%) | 0.2 (1.3%) | • Opportunistic to optimize capital allocation |
| PVOUT: Long term average of PV power potential, period 1994-2020 (1999-2020 in the Southeast part of this map) | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily totals: | 2.19 | 2.46 | 2.74 | 3.01 | 3.29 | 3.56 | 3.83 | 4.11 | 4.38 | 4.65 | 4.93 | 5.20 | |
| kWh/kWp | |||||||||||||
| Yearly totals: | 800 | 900 | 1000 | 1100 | 1200 | 1300 | 1400 | 1500 | 1600 | 1700 | 1800 | 1900 |
| MARKET OVERVIEW | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market stats (2022) | Southeast | MISO+SPP(1) | TEXAS | Total US | Total US 2030 |
|||||
| Type of Market | Deregulated | Deregulated | Deregulated | - | - | |||||
| Total Capacity (GW) | 175 | 190 | 139 | 1,262 | 1,690 | |||||
| Total Generation (TWh) | 515 | 651 | 428 | 4,231 | 4,557 | |||||
| Renewables Capacity (GW, % of total) | 18 (10%) | 42 (22%) | 53 (38%) | 309 (18%) | 3,600 (79%) | |||||
| Renewables Generation (TWh, % of total) | 26 (5%) | 123 (19%) | 131 (31%) | 901 (21%) | 2,195 (48%) | |||||
| Solar PV Capacity (GW) | 17 (10%) | 3.8 (2%) | 12 (9%%) | 79 (6%) | 432 (26%) |
(1) Current Administration goals and current policy settings (2) Utility-scale solar (Bloomberg)
21
| BESS vs. OTHER STORAGE TECHNOLOGIES | MAJOR BESS SUPPLIERS WORLDWIDE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BESS | Pumped hydro | Hydrogen | |||
| Land availability | |||||
| Speed of execution | Market Cap. \$94bn | Market Cap. \$119bn | |||
| Scalability | |||||
| Capital intensity | |||||
| External raw mat. need | |||||
| Grid support |
Grenergy is technology agnostic
26
• High solar penetration (c50% of total capacity)
• Existing cannibalisation & nodal risks
Largest BESS project in Latam with 4.1GWh
PROJECT IRR 11-14% TOTAL CAPEX c\$1.4bn
c1.0GW + 4.1GWh
| Phases | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phase 1 | ||||
| Phase 2 | ||||
| Phase 3 | ||||
| Phase 4 | ||||
| Phase 5 | ||||
| RTB COD |
PPA |
| PV | BESS | Financing | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MW | MW | MWh | Years | Ouput | Offtaker | ||
| Phase 1 - Quillagua | 103 | 95 | 475 | 15 | 128GWh/y | EMOAC | Mandated |
| Phase 2 - Quillagua 2 | 111 | 105 | 525 | 15 | 143GWh/y | EMOAC | Mandated |
| Phase 3 - Víctor Jara | 230 | 200 | 1,000 | 15 | 270GWh/y | EMOAC | Mandated |
| Phase 4 - Gabriela | 260 | 220 | 1,100 | - | - | Advanced | Mandated |
| Phase 5 - Algarrobal | 240 | 200 | 1,000 | - | - | In negotiation | - |
| OASIS ATACAMA | c950 | 820 | 4,100 |
Growing to the next level
3.5GW Solar PV + 3.0GWh BESS Net 5.0GW Solar PV + 4.1GWh BESS Gross
Gross capex €2.6bn 2023-26
CAPEX
€250-300m Energy EBITDA run-rate2 Asset rotation 350-450MW p.a.
Solar PV pipeline 100% secured1 until 2025 5.0GW gross capacity in 2026 (in Op & U/C) Asset rotation 350-450MW p.a.
BESS pipeline 100% secured1 until 2025 4.1GWh gross capacity in 2026 (in Op & U/C) Asset rotation 1.0GWh in 2023-26
9-11%
11-14%
Energy EBITDA run–rate ~ €250-300m in 2026 Asset Rotation ~ 350-450MW p.a. 2024-26 (170MW in 2023)
| Sensitivities | ||
|---|---|---|
PROJECT IRR
| +/- 10% capex PV | Project IRR -/+ 30bps |
|---|---|
| +/- 10% capex BESS | Project IRR -/+ 70bps |
| +/- 1% CPI adj. | Project IRR -/+ 100bps |
c50% already closed & advanced (c66% for 2023-25 period)
Asset Rotation of 350-450MW p.a. in 2023-26 €1.5-2.0bn proceeds in 2023-26 Implict valuation of 1.3x-1.5x EV/IC
INITIAL PLAN Sale of 530MW (49% of 1.1GW) for €0.9-1.1m/MW (implying c€0.53bn) MILESTONES TO DATE Sale of 447MW for €1.0m/MW (implying €0.45bn)
NEXT MILESTONES On track
| OUTCOME | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST MILESTONE | 2ND MILESTONE | YTD | |||||
| EQT-SPK deal | ALLIANZ CP deal | Valkyria | |||||
| MW | 150 | 297 | 447 | ||||
| Deal closing | 3Q23 | 2Q25 | - | ||||
| EV (€m) | 174 | 271 | 445 | ||||
| EV/MW (€m) | 1.16 | 0.911 | 1.00 | ||||
| EBITDA (€m) | 69 | 75-802 | 144-149 | ||||
| EV/IC (x) | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
SANTANDER/CESCE1 FINANCING FACILITY
39
Reasons for investing and enhancing ESG matters
41
GREEN FINANCING
GREEN ECONOMY >
POSITIVE IMPACT
BENEFITED COMMUNITIES AND ENVIRONMENT
>
> BUILDING STRONGER COMPANIES, DELIGHTING STAKEHOLDERS
ESG EXCELLENCE
Main highlights achieved
Expansion and improve positioning in ESG ratings
B+ B+ B+ B+
Confirmation of leadership in ESG ratings
Recognition by CDP of the level of ambition of Grenergy's climate strategy, placing it in the Leadership category, with a score of A-, two notches higher than the score received in the previous year, B-.
Expansion of index coverage, in this case Refinitiv, where Grenergy has obtained a score of 81/100, ranking 2nd out of 78 companies in the renewable energy sector.
| A Grenergy Renovables |
|---|
| Azure Power Global Ltd. |
| EDP Renovaveis SA |
| Encavis AG |
| Greencoat Renewables plc |
Structure | Dimensions, Drivers, Objectives and Actions
ASSET MANAGEMENT - COMMITTEES - COMMUNICATION AND MARKETING - COMPLIANCE - DEVELOPMENT - ESG EPC - FINANCIAL - GENERAL SERVICES - HEALTH AND SAFETY - HUMAN RESOURCES - INVESTOR RELATIONS IT & DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION - LEGAL - NEW TECHNOLOGIES - O&M - PURCHASE - RISKS AND INTERNAL CONTROL - TAX
• Climate neutrality and energy transition
Structure | Dimensions, Drivers, Objectives and Actions
Projects In Operation, Under Construction & Backlog
| Country | Project | Type | Solar PV MW |
BESS MWh(1) |
B20 | Resource (Hours) |
COD | Offtaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peru | Duna Huambos | Wind | 36 | 0 | No | 4,900 | 4Q20 | Auction 18 Yrs 100% |
| Chile | Quillagua 1 | Solar | 103 | 0 | Yes | 2,950 | 4Q20 | Basket of PPAs + Merchant |
| Mexico | San Miguel de Allende | Solar | 35 | 0 | No | 2,300 | 1Q21 | Auction 20 Yrs 100% |
| Argentina | Kosten | Wind | 24 | 0 | Yes | 5,033 | 1Q21 | Auction 20 Yrs 100% |
| Spain | Los Escuderos | Solar | 200 | 0 | Yes | 2,035 | 4Q21 | PPA PV Profile 85% |
| Chile | PMGDs (11, DS244) | Solar | 144 | 0 | Yes | 2,109 | 4Q21-3Q22 | 12 Yrs Stabilized Price |
| Colombia | Distribution (6 projects) | Solar | 77 | 0 | Yes | 1,990 | 4Q21-4Q22 | 14 Yrs PPA PaP 100% 15 Yrs |
| Chile | Gran Teno | Solar | 241 | 0 | Yes | 2,000 | 4Q23 | PPA PaP 100% 12 Yrs |
| Total in Operation | 860MW | |||||||
| Chile | PMGDs (15, DS244) | Solar | 112 | 0 | No | 2,000-2,700 | 4Q23-4Q24 | Stabilized Price 14 Yrs |
| Chile | PMGDs (15, DS244) | Solar | 83 | 0 | Yes | 2,000-2,700 | 4Q23-4Q24 | Stabilized Price 14 Yrs |
| Chile | Tamango | Solar | 48 | 0 | Yes | 2,000 | 1Q24 | PPA PaP 100% 15 Yrs |
| Peru | Matarani | Solar | 97 | 0 | No | 2,750 | 2Q24 | PPA PaP 70% 15 Yrs |
| Colombia | Distribution (5) | Solar | 65 | 0 | Yes | 1,990 | 2Q24-4Q24 | Merchant |
| Spain | Tabernas | Solar | 250 | 0 | No | 1,850 | 1Q25 | PPA PaP 75% 15 Yrs |
| Spain | Ayora | Solar | 172 | 0 | No | 2,000 | 4Q24 | PPA PaP 75% 15 Yrs |
| Spain | José Cabrera | Solar | 47 | 0 | No | 1,900 | 4Q24 | PPA PaP 75% 15 Yrs |
| Chile | Oasis Atacama - Quillagua 1 | BESS | 475 | Yes | 2,950 | 4Q24 | PPA 15y | |
| Total Under Construction | 873MW | + 475 MWh |
||||||
| Chile | PMGDs (6, DS244) | PSolar | 62 | 0 | Yes | 2,300 | 3Q23-2Q24 | Stabilized Price 14 Yrs |
| Peru | Nairas | Wind | 40 | 0 | No | 4,150 | 4Q24 | Est. PPA Pap 80% 15 Yrs |
| Colombia | Distribucion (4) | Solar | 96 | 0 | Yes | 1,900 | 4Q25 | Merchant |
| Chile | Oasis Atacama - Quillagua 2 | Solar PV+BESS | 111 | 525 | Yes | 2,800 | 3Q25 | PPA 15y |
| Chile | Oasis Atacama - Gabriela | Solar PV+BESS | 264 | 1,100 | Yes | 2,950 | 4Q25 | PPA 60-70% |
| Chile | Oasis Atacama - Victor Jara | Solar PV+BESS | 240 | 1,000 | Yes | 2,800 | 4Q25 | PPA 15y |
| Total Backlog | 813MW | + 2,625MWh |
(1) Colocation
48
| Country | Project | Type | Solar PV MW |
BESS MWh(1) |
Resource (Hours) |
COD | Offtaker | Negotiation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | Clara Campoamor | Solar | 259 | 0 | 2,000 | 2Q25 | PPA PaP 75% 15 Yrs | Contracted |
| Italy | Le Isole Projects | Solar | 282 | 0 | 1,250 | 2Q25 | PPA 60-70% | Initial |
| Poland | Jesionowo | Solar | 74 | 0 | 1,100 | 4Q25 | PPA 60-70% | Initial |
| UK | Solstice Projects | Solar | 95 | 0 | 1,100 | 1Q26 | PPA 60-70% | In Progress |
| USA USA |
Coosa Pines Creed |
Solar Solar |
108 68 |
0 0 |
1,689 1,681 |
4Q25 4Q25 |
PPA 100% PPA 100% |
Advanced Advanced |
| Chile Chile Chile Chile Chile Colombia |
Oasis Atacama - Algarrobal PMGDs (15, DS88) Monte Águila Planchón Triqueta Pack 5 PYs Dx |
Solar PV+BESS Solar Solar Solar Solar Solar |
240 68 240 210 90 60 |
1,000 0 0 0 0 0 |
2,300 2,300 2,000 2,000 2,000 1,990 |
4Q24 3Q25 4Q26 4Q26 4Q26 4Q25 |
PPA 60-70% PPA 60-70% PPA 60-70% PPA 60-70% PPA 60-70% PPA 60-70% |
Initial Contracted Advanced Advanced Advanced Initial |
| Total Advanced Development | 1,794 MW & 1,000 MWh (vs. 2,049 MW in previous report) |
(1) Colocation
SOURCE: Company ı COD: Commercial Operation Date ı In progress: searching for a proper offtaker ı Initial: conversation taking place with several offtakers ı Advanced: Negotiation moving forward to completion at a good pace ı Contracted: Already secured the stabilization of energy sales with offtaker or public auctions.
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