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Unicaja Banco S.A.

Investor Presentation Feb 6, 2024

1893_iss_2024-02-06_cecf81d3-99d0-4da3-94c3-956774be7ab9.pdf

Investor Presentation

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2023 Earnings presentation

February 6th 2024

Agenda

1. Summary

  • 2. Business activity
  • 3. Financial results
  • 4. Asset quality
  • 5. Solvency & balance sheet

Summary

2023 has laid the foundations towards a significant improvement of structural profitability and shareholder remuneration

4

(1) The Board of Directors has agreed to appoint José Sevilla Álvarez as an independent director, foreseeing his appointment as Chairman of the Board of Directors as from his ratification at the next General Shareholders' Meeting

(2) Proposal that the Board of Directors intends to submit to the Annual General Meeting.

(3) Subject to formal regulatory approval and limited to a maximum of 3.8% of total share capital.

Summary

Strong solvency and liquidity position to keep supporting profitability improvement going forward

Business
activity

Performing loans decreased in the year on the back of reduced demand and early
amortization of corporate and retail loans

Customer resources, +1.5%QoQ post a strong quarter both on and off-balance sheet
Performing loans
Customer
resources
(excl. public sector)
-8.7% YoY
+0.2% YoY
Profitability
NII +6.4% in the quarter with
customer spread improving by 13 basis points

Fee income remains very stable on the back of business recurrency

Cost to income
improves by 6 percentage points in the year to 48%
(1)

Banking margin (NII + Fees -
OPEX) improves by 40% in the year

Net
income of €267m in 2023.
Net Interest income
Fee income
OPEX
+26.1% YoY
+1.6% YoY
-0.4% YoY
Asset quality
Cost of risk, of 29bps in 2023, remained very stable throughout the year

Non-performing assets decreased €950m in the year (25%),
and 31% in net figures

NPLs down 19% (€370m)
and foreclosed assets 32% (€580m)
NPL Ratio
(%)
NPL Coverage (%)
3.1%
64%
Solvency and
liquidity

CET 1 FL of 14.7% as of December 2023
+54bps up in the quarter and +173bps in
(1),
the year.

Superior liquidity ratios: LTD 74%, LCR 308% and NSFR 149%
CET 1 FL ratio
MREL FL Ratio
14.7%
26.8%

Business activity

Customer funds

Positive quarter in private sector deposits and off-balance sheet funds

Customer funds breakdown

Million Euros 4Q22 3Q23 4Q23 QoQ YoY
Customer funds on balance sheet 69,833 66,777 67,738 1.4% -3.0%
Public institutions 6,889 5,646 5,454 -3.4% -20.8%
Private sector 62,943 61,131 62,284 1.9% -1.0%
Demand Deposits 57,049 52,432 52,053 -0.7% -8.8%
Term Deposits 5,874 8,668 10,128 16.8% 72.4%
Other funds 20 30 103 na na
Customer funds off balance sheet 20,249 20,759 21,087 1.6% 4.1%
Mutual funds 11,249 11,227 11,404 1.6% 1.4%
Pension plans 3,682 3,677 3,611 -1.8% -1.9%
Insurance funds 4,268 4,683 4,926 5.2% 15.4%
Other(1) 1,050 1,172 1,146 -2.2% 9.2%
Total customer funds 90,081 87,535 88,825 1.5% -1.4%

(1) Includes SICAVs and other managed portfolio funds

Lending Early amortizations, subdued demand and higher rates put pressure on the loan book

Performing loan book (€m)

Million Euros 4Q22 3Q23 4Q23 QoQ YoY
Public sector 5,767 4,966 4,799 -3.4% -16.8%
Corporate loans 12,695 11,048 10,503 -4.9% -17.3%
Real Estate developers 663 519 508 -2.0% -23.3%
Other corporates 12,032 10,529 9,995 -5.1% -16.9%
Loans to individuals 34,491 33,519 33,022 -1.5% -4.3%
Residential mortgages 31,617 30,641 30,134 -1.7% -4.7%
Consumer & other 2,874 2,878 2,888 0.3% 0.5%
Pension advances 740 785 789 0.5% 6.6%
Total Performing book 52,953 49,533 48,325 -2.4% -8.7%

New lending

Business and consumer lending recover activity at the end of the year

Consumer lending (€m)

4Q22 3Q23 4Q23

Residential mortgage (€m)

Digital business

Digital activity and customer acquisition keeps improving supported by the launch of the online platform

Digital customers Digital activity 64% number of digital customers (1) 30% New customers Digitally on-boarded

Transversal enhancement of the ESG management structure

New exclusion policy from funding for environmental and social risks

Reinforcing our catalogue of sustainable products:

New mixed-rate Hipoteca Oxigeno

60% of SP & SNP issuances are Green

~50% Investment funds art.8, 8+ & 9

Financial Inclusion new measures

Agreement with Valladolid Provincial Council to remove commissions at mobile ATMs

New digitization managers (150 professionals) in branches with the highest volume of clients to accompany clients

Financial Education

CECA Social Work and Financial Education Awards: 1st in the category of Financial Education for Seniors (> 65ys)

6th Financial Education Congress of the Edufinet Project (500 attendees)

Financial results

Quarterly income statement

Core banking margin (NII+Fees-Costs) improves by 40% in the year

2023 P&L statement(1)

Million euros 4Q22 3Q23 4Q23 QoQ
(%)
YoY
(%)
2022 2023 2023 vs
2022 (%)
Net Interest Income 297 357 380 6.4% 27.9% 1,073 1,353 26.1%
Dividends 3 6 0 -99.9% -99.9% 18 25 33.3%
Associates 23 15 29 97.6% 26.4% 80 92 14.5%
Net Fees 131 132 133 0.9% 1.5% 525 533 1.6%
Trading income + Exch. Diff. 17 7 4 -37.5% -74.3% 52 20 -61.9%
Other revenues/(expenses) (124) (14) (104) na -15.7% (144) (248) 72.1%
Gross Margin 347 503 442 -12.1% 27.4% 1,606 1,776 10.6%
Operating expenses (208) (213) (217) 2.0% 4.4% (862) (859) -0.4%
Personnel expenses (123) (120) (123) 2.1% -0.6% (506) (487) -3.8%
SG&A (62) (69) (73) 5.5% 16.7% (265) (281) 6.1%
D&A (22) (24) (22) -8.5% -2.6% (90) (91) 0.1%
Pre-Provision Profit 139 290 225 -22.4% 61.7% 744 917 23.2%
Loan loss provisions (85) (37) (34) -7.9% -60.3% (214) (146) -31.7%
Other provisions (10) (25) (27) 6.3% 158.2% (94) (114) 21.5%
Other profits or losses (32) (38) (207) na na (53) (286) 437.8%
Pre-Tax profit 12 190 (42) na na 383 371 -3.2%
Tax (6) (53) 23 na na (105) (104) -1.2%
Net Income 6 137 (19) na na 278 267 -4.0%
Net income (excl. banking tax) 6 137 (19) na na 278 330 19.0%

Main quarterly variations

Revenues & OPEX:

  • NII: Asset repricing more than offsets increase in funding costs
  • Fee income: Remains very resilient on the back of recurrent activity and mutual funds evolution
  • Other revenues: Deposit guarantee fund charge of €88m in the quarter
  • Opex Decreased in the year on the back of merger synergies

Cost of risk and provisions:

Other provisions / Other profits or losses: Additional provisions booked in the quarter, accelerating the reduction of NPAs

Net interest income

Customer spread improves by 13 basis points in the quarter to 2.75%

Average quarterly customer spread (%)

-0.10% 0.40% 0.90% 1.40% 1.90% 2.40% 2.90% 3.40% 3.90%

Lending yields 4Q23

(1) Back book is average loan yield and front book is the average for the 4Q23

Customer spread Loan yield Deposit cost

Net interest income: Evolution

Improves 6.4% in the quarter explained by asset repricing and liquidity

Net interest income quarterly evolution (€m)

A Retail:

  • Lending: Loan yield improves 26bps in the quarter
  • Funding: Contained customer deposits
  • B Fixed income portfolio: Average yield improves from 2.51% to 2.70%
  • C Wholesale funding:
    • Interbank: Positive impact from improved liquidity position more than offset minimum reserve requirement negative impact
    • Wholesale funding: Almost fully repriced has slight negative impact from issuance in September

Fee income

Recurrent business supports growth in a challenging fee income environment

Fee income evolution (€m) Fee income breakdown (€m)

Million
Euros
4Q22 3Q23 4Q23 YoY QoQ 2022 2023 %
Payments and accounts 74 75 72 -2.7% -4.6% 298 295 -1.0%
Non-Banking
fees
59 60 58 -1.6% -2.7% 239 238 -0.5%
Mutual funds 34 33 34 1.2% 3.0% 129 132 1.8%
Insurance 23 24 21 -5.5% -10.6% 98 96 -2.6%
Pension Plans 3 3 3 -4.8% -4.2% 11 10 -9.8%
Other fees 8 12 13 74.0% 12.1% 36 48 33.7%
Paid
fees
(10) (15) (11) 8.8% -31.5% (48) (48) -1.2%
Total Fees 131 132 133 1.5% 0.9% 525 533 1.6%

Operating expenses

Merger restructuring comes to an end with nearly 40% branch network reduction and 25% of employees

Operating expenses (€m)

(1) Costs include depreciation.

Branches and employees

Cost of risk and other provisions

Stable cost of risk below initial guidance and additional provisions for real estate assets

Profitability Core Banking margin improves by 40% in 2023

Banking margin (NII + Fees - OPEX) evolution (€m) Profitability evolution

Asset quality

Non-performing loans

Decreased 19% in the year while maintaining strong coverage levels

Non-performing loans evolution

Prudent lending approach

  • NPLs down €370m in the year
  • >75% of performing loan book are mortgages and public sector
  • 53% of NPLs are mortgages

Loan book NPL ratio and coverage

Foreclosed assets

Foreclosed assets yearly evolution(1) (€m)

NPAs decreased by 25% in gross terms and 31% in net terms in the year

Non-performing assets (€m)

Foreclosed assets breakdown and coverage

Foreclosed assets (€m) Gross
Debt
NBV Coverage
(%)
Residential 321 112 65%
Building under construction 249 55 78%
Commercial RE 156 63 60%
Land 528 97 82%
Total 1,253 327 74%

(1) Exits* include sales and assets fully provisioned and written off balance sheet (2) Net NPA ratio calculated as NPA (net of provisions) over net lending plus net foreclosed assets

Solvency & balance sheet

Solvency (I/II) CET1 FL ratio increased 54bps in the quarter and 173bps in the year

CET 1 Fully loaded(1) quarterly evolution (bps)

(1) Capital ratios include the net income pending approval from the ECB and deducts accrued dividend of 50% of net income. Capital ratios aso include, from 4Q23, final IRB models approval received for Liberbank retail portfolios.

  • (2) Retained earnings of net dividends & AT1 coupon
  • (3) Assuming €100m Share buyback

Main quarterly impacts

RWAs:

  • (-) Loan book and NPAs decrease
  • (+) Mark to market valuation of equity stakes
  • (+) Market and operational risk and others
  • Valuation adjustments:
    • Mainly stake of Oppidum (EDP)

Solvency (II/II)

Very comfortable capital position with ample regulatory buffers

Capital structure - MREL (fully loaded). December 2023

Capital levels versus current requirements

(1) Current MREL requirement of 24.5% over Total Risk Exposure Amunt (TREA), including a 210 bps Market Confidence Charge.. (2) Applying P2R (CRD IV) flexibility, art. 104, (3) Maximum distributable amount (MDA) calculated as total capital phased in minus SREP requirement.,

Fixed income portfolio

Portfolio size slightly up in the quarter with short duration

Fixed income portfolio breakdown (%)

Fixed income portfolio evolution (€bn)

Sareb

Private debt

Wholesale funding

Well spread maturities and stable volumes expected going forward

2024 2025 2026 >2026 Total
AT1 - - 500 - 500
Tier 2 300 - - 300 600
Senior non-preferred - - 500 300 800
Senior preferred 500 660 - 500 1,660
Covered Bonds - 1,282 - 3,940 5,222
Total 800 1,942 1,000 5,040 8,782

(1) SP , SNP, Tier 2 and AT1 refers to call date.

Wholesale funding breakdown and maturities (1) Capital markets maturities and costs (2)

(2) Excludes €47m of PeCocos

Liquidity Leading liquidity ratios across Europe

Sticky and granular customer base:

  • c.80% of the private deposits secured by the DGF
  • c.80% of deposits are stable per LCR reporting
  • c.€20k average account balance

A significant improvement of profitability and shareholder remuneration in 2024

(1) Assuming residual charges on DGF and SRF. (2) Dividend yield calculated maintaining a 50% payout, over market cap as of year end. (3) Share buyback assumes maximum of €100 or 3.8% of outstanding shares

Appendix

Lending portfolios

ICO Loans evolution Corporates portfolio (performing)

Credit stages

Credit breakdown by stages

Dec. 2023 (€m) Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3
Gross Balance 45,086 3,238 1,568
Provisions 171 169 658
Coverage level (%) 0.4% 5.2% 42.0%

Share and book value

Share metrics and book value(1)

Share and liquidity: 3Q23 4Q23
# O/S shares (m) 2,655 2,655
Last price (€) 1.02 0.89
Max price (€) 1.08 1.04
Min price (€) 0.92 0.89
Avg. daily traded volume (#shares m) 9.14 9.37
Avg. daily traded volume (€ m) 9.11 9.19
Market Capitalization (€ m) 2,705 2,363
Book Value:
BV(1)
exc. minorities (€m)
6,015 5,975
TBV(2)
(€m)
5,878 5,838
Ratios:
BVps
(€)
2.27 2.25
TBVps
(€)
2.21 2.20
PBV 0.45x 0.40x
PTBV 0.46x 0.40x

(1) Book value excludes €547m of AT1 and other comprehensive income (2) Tangible Book Value excludes €53m of goodwill from associates and intangibles.

Income statement

Million euros 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 3Q23 4Q23 QoQ (%) YoY (%)
Net Interest Income 235 238 271 267 297 295 321 357 380 6.4% 27.9%
Dividends 5 1 12 3 3 0 18 6 0 -99.9% -99.9%
Associates 10 3 39 15 23 14 34 15 29 97.6% 26.4%
Net fees 134 133 130 131 131 135 134 132 133 0.9% 1.5%
Trading income + Exch. Diff. 21 8 19 8 17 9 (0) 7 4 -37.5% -74.3%
Other revenues/(expenses) (91) 2 (25) 3 (124) (79) (49) (14) (104) na -15.7%
Gross Margin 313 386 446 426 347 373 458 503 442 -12.1% 27.4%
Operating expenses (223) (219) (217) (218) (208) (212) (216) (213) (217) 2.0% 4.4%
Personnel expenses (140) (129) (129) (125) (123) (120) (124) (120) (123) 2.1% -0.6%
SG&A (61) (67) (65) (70) (62) (71) (69) (69) (73) 5.5% 16.7%
D&A (22) (23) (23) (22) (22) (22) (23) (24) (22) -8.5% -2.6%
Pre Provision
Profit
90 168 229 209 139 160 242 290 225 -22.4% 61.7%
Loan loss provisions (1) (56) (51) (38) (40) (85) (35) (40) (37) (34) -7.9% -60.3%
Other provisions (1) (34) (27) (25) (32) (10) (33) (30) (25) (27) 6.3% 158.2%
Other profits or losses (23) (2) (21) 2 (32) (20) (21) (38) (207) na na
Pre Tax
profit
(24) 88 145 138 12 73 150 190 (42) na Na
Tax 5 (25) (37) (37) (6) (38) (36) (53) 23 na na
Net Income (18) 63 107 102 6 34 114 137 (19) na na

Balance sheet

Million euros 31/12/2022 30/06/2023 30/09/2023 31/12/2023
Cash on hand, Central Banks and Other demand deposits 4,662 6,879 6.846 8,040
Assets held for trading & Financial assets at fair value through P&L 208 203 204 918
Financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income 1,008 1,169 1.453 1,502
Financial assets at amortised cost 55,316 53,750 51.797 52,353
Loans and advances to central banks and credit institution 990 1,065 880 2,291
Loans and advances to customers 54,326 52,685 50.917 50,062
Debt securities at amortised cost 26,867 25,354 24.824 25,099
Hedging derivatives 1,813 1,533 1.990 1,222
Investment in joint ventures and associates 965 986 930 940
Tangible assets 1,996 1,925 1.871 1,766
Intangible assets 75 80 85 85
Tax assets 5,076 4,705 4.699 4,720
Other assets & NCAHFS 984 674 546 508
Total Assets 98,969 97,259 95.245 97,153
Financial liabilities held for trading & at fair value through P&L 53 50 53 463
Financial liabilities at amortised cost 88,933 87,109 85.132 86,556
Deposits from central Banks 5,321 936 944 954
Deposits from credit institutions 3,418 4,541 4.124 5,773
Customer Deposits 74,386 74,095 73.299 73,475
Other Issued Securities 3,329 3,854 4.181 4,239
Other financial liabilities 2,478 3,684 2.583 2,115
Hedging derivatives 1,082 1,115 1.063 1,148
Provisions 1,085 1,023 1.010 957
Tax liabilities 364 460 453 414
Other liabilities 992 1,022 994 968
Total Liabilities 92,510 90,779 88.705 90,507
Own Funds 6,465 6,429 6.565 6,523
Accumulated other comprehensive income (7) 49 (29) 121
Minority interests 0 3 2 2
Total Equity 6,459 6,480 6.539 6,646
Total Equity and Liabilities 98,969 97,259 95.245 97,153

Important legal information

This presentation (the Presentation) has been prepared by Unicaja Banco, S.A. (the Company or Unicaja Banco) for informational use only.

The recipient of this presentation has the obligation of undertaking its own analysis of the Company. The information provided herein is not to be relied upon in substitution for the recipient's own exercise of independent judgment with regard to the operations, financial condition and prospects of the Company. The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be comprehensive or to contain all the information that a prospective purchaser of securities of the Company may desire or require in deciding whether or not to purchase such securities, and, unless otherwise stated, it has not been verified by the Company or any other person.

The information contained in the Presentation may be subject to change without notice and must not be relied upon for any purpose. Neither the Company nor any of affiliates, advisors or agents makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of any information contained in this document and, by hereby, shall not be taken for granted. Each Unicaja Banco and its affiliates, advisors or agents expressly disclaims any and all liabilities which may be based on this document, the information contained or referred to therein, any errors therein or omissions therefrom. Neither the Company, nor any of its affiliates, advisors or agents undertake any obligation to provide the recipients with access to additional information or to update this document or to correct any inaccuracies in the information contained or referred to in the Presentation.

Unicaja Banco cautions that this Presentation may contain forward looking statements with respect to the business, financial condition, results of operations, strategy, plans and objectives of the Unicaja Banco and its affiliates. While these forward looking statements represent Unicaja Banco's judgment and future expectations concerning the development of its business, a certain number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors could cause actual developments and results to differ materially from the current expectations of Unicaja Banco and its affiliates. These factors include, but are not limited to, (1) general market, macroeconomic, governmental, political and regulatory trends; (2) movements in local and international securities markets, currency exchange rate and interest rates; (3) competitive pressures; (4) technical developments; and (5) changes in the financial position or credit worthiness of Unicaja Banco's and its affiliates customers, obligors and counterparts. These and other risk factors published in past and future filings and reports of Unicaja Banco, including those with the Spanish Securities and Exchange Commission (CNMV) and available to the public both in Unicaja Banco's website (https://www.unicajabanco.com/es/inversores-y-accionistas/informacion-economico-financiera/informes-financieros) and in the CNMV's website (https://www.cnmv.es), as well as other risk factors currently unknown or not foreseeable, which may be beyond Unicaja Banco's control, could adversely affect its business and financial performance and cause actual results to differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements.

Market and competitive position data in the Presentation has generally been obtained from industry publications and surveys or studies conducted by third-party sources. Peer firm information presented herein has been taken from peer firm public reports. There are limitations with respect to the availability, accuracy, completeness and comparability of such data. Unicaja Banco has not independently verified such data and can provide no assurance of its accuracy or completeness. Likewise, certain statements in the Presentation regarding the market and competitive position data are based on the internal analyses of Unicaja Banco, which involve certain assumptions and estimates. These internal analyses have not been verified by any independent source and there can be no assurance that the assumptions or estimates are accurate. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry, market or Unicaja Banco's competitive position data contained in the Presentation.

This Presentation includes accounts and estimations issued by the management, which may have not been audited by the Company's auditors. In addition, this document includes certain Alternative Performance Measures (APMs) as defined in the guidelines on Alternative Performance Measures published by the European Securities and Markets Authority on 5 October 2015 (ESMA/2015/1415es) (the ESMA guidelines). This report uses certain APMs, which are performance measures that have been calculated using the financial information from Unicaja Banco and its affiliates but that are not defined or detailed in the applicable financial framework and therefore have neither been audited nor are capable of being completely audited. These APMs are aimed to enable a better understanding of Unicaja Banco's and its affiliates' financial performance but should be considered only as additional disclosures and in no case as a replacement of the financial information prepared under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Moreover, the way the Unicaja Banco defines and calculates these measures may differ to the way these are calculated by other companies, and therefore they may not be comparable. Please refer to Unicaja Banco's past and future filings and reports including those with CNMV and available to the public both in Unicaja Banco's website (https://www.unicajabanco.com/es/inversores-y-accionistas/informacion-economicofinanciera/informes-financieros) and in the CNMV's website (https://www.cnmv.es) for further details of the APMs used, including its definition or a reconciliation between any applicable management indicators and the financial data presented in the consolidated financial statements prepared under IFRS. In any case, the financial information included in this Presentation has not been reviewed to the extent of its accuracy and completeness and, therefore, neither such financial information nor the APMs shall be relied upon.

Neither this presentation nor any copy of it may be taken, transmitted into, disclosed or distributed in the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan. The distribution of this presentation in other jurisdictions may also be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this presentation comes should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions. The securities of the Company have not been and, should there be an offering, will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the Securities Act), or the U.S. Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the Investment Company Act). Such securities may not be offered or sold in the United States except on a limited basis, if at all, to Qualified Institutional Buyers (as defined in Rule 144A under the Securities Act) in reliance on Rule 144A or another exemption from, or transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act. The securities of the Company have not been and, should there be an offering, will not be registered under the applicable securities laws of any state or jurisdiction of Canada or Japan and, subject to certain exceptions, may not be offered or sold within Canada or Japan or to or for the benefit of any national, resident or citizen of Canada or Japan.

THIS PRESENTATION DOES NOT CONSTITUTE OR FORM PART OF ANY OFFER FOR SALE OR SOLICITATION OF ANY OFFER TO BUY ANY SECURITIES NOR SHALL IT OR ANY PART OF IT FORM THE BASIS OF OR BE RELIED ON IN CONNECTION WITH ANY CONTRACT OR COMMITMENT TO PURCHASE SHARES. ANY DECISION TO PURCHASE SHARES IN ANY OFFERING SHOULD BE MADE SOLELY ON THE BASIS OF PUBLICLY AVAILABLE INFORMATION ON THE COMPANY.

By receiving or accessing to this Presentation you accept and agree to be bound by the foregoing terms, conditions and restrictions. All information prior to the merger is aggregated on a pro forma basis.

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