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Orange Polska S.A.

Earnings Release Jul 24, 2019

5743_rns_2019-07-24_6e9072ea-e960-4ef7-b501-4552aeed9823.pdf

Earnings Release

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Current Report (13/2019) Orange Polska S.A., Warsaw, Poland 24 July, 2019

Pursuant to Article 17(1) of the Regulation (EU) No. 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC, the Management Board of Orange Polska S.A. hereby provides selected financial and operating data related to the activities of the Orange Polska Capital Group ("the Group", "Orange Polska") for 2Q and 1H 2019.

Disclosures on performance measures, including adjustments, are presented in the Note 2 to Condensed IFRS Interim Consolidated Financial Statements of the Orange Polska Group for the 6 months ended 30 June 2019 (available at http://orange-ir.pl/results-center/results/2019).

In 2Q 2019 Orange Polska implements 'more for more' value strategy on the consumer market and reports 3% year-on-year EBITDAaL growth. Full-year plans reiterated

key figures
(PLN million)
2Q 2019
(IFRS16)
2Q 2018
comparable
basis
(IFRS16)
Change 2Q 2018
reported
(IAS17)
1H 2019
(IFRS16)
1H 2018
comparable
basis
(IFRS16)
Change 1H 2018
reported
(IAS17)
revenue 2,759 2,704 +2.0% 2,706 5,537 5,412 +2.3% 5,416
EBITDAaL* 710 691 +2.7% n/a 1,353 1,350 +0.2% n/a
EBITDAaL
margin*
25.7% 25.6% +0.1 p.p. n/a 24.4% 24.9% -0.5 p.p. n/a
operating income 138 n/a n/a** 73 209 n/a n/a** 106
net income/loss 55 n/a n/a** -16 53 n/a n/a** -66
capex* 556 528 +5.3% 551 1,019 879 +15.9% 939
organic cash
flow*
83 -35 +118m -32 -16 -194 +178m -187

* EBITDAaL (EBITDA after Leases) is management's new principal financial indicator of operating performance using IFRS16 figures. Since the adoption of IFRS16, EBITDA is considered less representative of operating performance because it excludes operating expenses due to leases. Operating income is considered less representative of operating performance owing to the impact of changes in asset lives. At the same time, to preserve consistency, certain other alternative performance measures (capex, organic cash flow and net debt) were slightly amended. Unaudited figures were provided for 2018 for comparative purposes including estimation of EBITDAaL. More information is presented in the Note 2 to the financial statements for 1H 2019.

**Year-on-year evolution of operating income and net income is not comparable because of the changes in accounting standards. Starting from 2019 Orange Polska applied a new accounting standard IFRS16 without restatement of comparative periods. Data for 1H and 2Q 2018 were prepared under previous accounting standard IAS17.

KPI ('000) 2Q 2019 2Q 2018 Change
convergent customers (B2C) 1,307 1,137 +15.0%
mobile accesses (SIM cards) 14,964 14,484 +3.3%
post-paid 10,040 9,790 +2.6%
pre-paid 4,924 4,694 +4.9%
fixed broadband accesses (retail) 2,582 2,506 +3.0%
fixed voice lines (retail) 3,259 3,541 -8.0%

2Q 2019 highlights:

  • EBITDAaL (EBITDA after Leases) up 2.7% year-on-year mainly reflecting:
    • Improving trend in the direct margin (a difference between revenues and direct costs)
    • Further support from business transformation: indirect costs down 3% year-onyear (including PLN 41 million higher gains on sale of assets)
  • Full-year guidance for growth of revenues and EBITDAaL reiterated
  • Revenue up 2.0% yoy, reflecting:
    • Strong growth rate of convergence, IT/IS and equipment revenues
    • Better trend in mobile-only revenues
    • Ongoing pressure on legacy areas
  • Solid commercial performance in convergence, fibre and post-paid mobile:
    • 15% year-on-year growth of B2C convergent customers, +31k net adds in 2Q
    • 52% year-on-year growth of fibre customers, +35k net adds in 2Q (adoption rate at 11.4%)
    • 2.6% year-on-year growth of post-paid mobile, +70k net adds in 2Q
  • Capex at PLN 556m, +5% year-on-year, reflecting mainly business development and transformation
  • 3.8 million households connectable with fibre at the end of June (252k added in 2Q)
  • Organic Cash Flow at PLN 83 million includes proceeds from launch of sale of instalment receivables

Commenting on 2Q 2019 performance, Jean-François Fallacher, Chief Executive Officer, said:

"The second quarter was particularly important for Orange Polska and for the Polish telecom market. Pursuing our 'more for more' value strategy, we have revised our prices for the majority of services for mass-market customers. We were the first on the market to make these price changes. We strongly believe that 'more for more' strategy is key for the long term value creation of Orange Polska and its implementation builds more confidence in the success of our turnaround.

We have also launched a highly innovative Orange Flex offer during this quarter, fully manageable from a smartphone application. We believe total flexibility and digital experience will be the key factors for telecommunications services customers in the future.

Our performance in Q2 was in line with our expectations. Penetration of convergence among fixed broadband customers has reached the 60% milestone, a significant figure which, along with our fibre network reaching 3.8 million households, puts us in a favourable competitive position. In mobile we are pleased with strong customer net additions driven by lower churn rate and improving trend in ARPO: both examples of our focus on customer needs and our value strategy.

Looking forward to the second half of 2019, we will mainly concentrate on monetising our newly launched commercial actions, building on the BlueSoft acquisition and continuing our business transformation."

Financial Review

Revenues up by 2.0% year-on-year

Revenues totalled PLN 2,759 million in 2Q, up 2.0% or PLN 55 million year-on-year. There were five main factors influencing the revenue trend.

Firstly, high growth of revenues from convergent services (22% year-on-year) driven by customer growth and upsell of new services. Secondly, revenues from mobile-only and fixed broadband-only services decline (5.8% year-on-year) as a result of migration to convergence, value focus reflected in service pricing and market competition. However combined revenues of these three categories were up 1.2% year-on-year in 2Q.

Thirdly, revenues from IT and integration services continued solid growth of 13% year-on-year. This is consistent with the adopted strategy of focusing on process digitalisation of business customers. Fourthly, revenues from equipment sales advanced by 15% year-on-year benefitting from our commercial push on handset sales and possibility of customers to buy smartphones on instalments during lifetime of the contract. Finally, the year-on-year trend of wholesale revenues is no longer supported by higher national roaming revenues.

Commercial performance reflects focus on convergence

Our commercial activity is very much focused on delivering a package of mobile and fixed services, which we define as convergence. It is our competitive edge, it increases customer loyalty and allows us to upsell more services, winning a higher share of household media and telecom budgets.

In 2Q our B2C convergent customer base increased by 31,000 and 15% year-on-year. At the end of June, 60% of our B2C broadband customers were convergent versus 54% a year ago. In B2C mobile handset customer base, penetration of convergence increased to 48% versus 42% at the end of June 2018. The total number of services used by B2C convergent customers approached 5.4 million, which implies that on average every customer uses more than four services. ARPO from convergent customers was broadly stable, both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter.

Total fixed broadband customer base increased in 2Q by 6,000 and 3% year-on-year. The share of high-speed broadband customers increased to 37% from 31% a year ago. It is driven by growth of fibre customer base which expanded 52% year-on-year, adding 35,000 in 2Q. Lower growth of broadband customer base versus previous periods is mainly due to our cautious commercial approach to wireless for fixed technology. Our non-convergent broadband customer base continues to shrink as a result of migration to convergence but also due to churn. ARPO from broadband only services was down 3% year-on-year mainly because of decreasing number of customers with TV service who migrate to convergence.

Total post-paid customer base increased by 70,000 in 2Q 2019. In handset offers, net customer additions of 58,000 reflected solid performance of convergence and very low erosion of mobileonly customer base mainly owing to lower churn rate. ARPO from mobile-only handset offers was down 6% year-on-year, an improvement over 8% year-on-year decline in 1Q 2019 and 10% decline year-on-year in full-year 2018.

In fixed voice, the net loss of lines was 69,000 with key trends broadly unchanged. The number of VoIP services is growing, as they are part of the Orange Love package. Excluding VoIP services, the loss of lines is stable and continues to reflect structural negative market trends.

EBITDAaL up 2.7% year-on-year

EBITDAaL for 2Q 2019 came in at PLN 710 million and was up 2.7% year-on-year. There were two main factors supporting this performance. Firstly, direct margin (a difference between revenues and direct costs) was down only PLN 8 million year-on-year (versus PLN 40 million in 1Q 2019) as growing margin on convergence, fibre and IT&IS increasingly offsets ongoing pressure on margin on legacy services. Secondly, indirect costs were down 3% year-on-year and reflected mainly further savings in labour (the second year of social plan implementation), CRM subcontracting, property expenses as well as PLN 41 million higher year-on-year gain on sale of assets.

Bottom line reflects EBITDAaL performance, extension of useful life of certain assets and lower financial costs

Net profit for 2Q 2019 came in at PLN 55 million. It was a result of EBITDAaL performance, depreciation (that reflected PLN 49 million positive impact of extension of useful life of certain assets) and lower year-on-year financial costs (mainly as discount expense benefitted from favorable FX movements). The net result in 2Q 2019 is not entirely comparable with 2Q 2018 due to the change in accounting standards.

Organic Cash Flow reflects mainly improvement in working capital

Organic cash flow for 2Q 2019 came in at PLN 83 million, an improvement over PLN -35 million in 2Q 2018. The improvement resulted mainly from better working capital driven by proceeds from sale of selected receivables arising from sales of mobile handsets in instalments (PLN 133 million) and settlements of roaming discounts. Capital expenditure cash outflows were PLN 540 million in 2Q 2019 and were PLN 38 million up year-on-year as a result of higher capex of the current quarter. Cash generation also benefitted from PLN 25 million higher proceeds from sale of assets.

Commenting on 2Q 2019 results, Maciej Nowohoński, Chief Financial Officer, said:

"Our financial performance in 2Q 2019 was in line with our expectations. Both revenues and EBITDA after Leases (our new operating performance indicator under IFRS16 accounting standard) were higher year-on-year. I am pleased with the improving trend in the direct margin, which is important for our future growth prospects. I am also pleased that we began selling instalment receivables that will help us to optimise working capital. We continue to execute our value-oriented commercial strategy and to optimise indirect costs, which will be reflected in our performance in H2. We reiterate our guidance for growth of both revenues and EBITDAaL in 2019 as well as our outlook for capex."

Reconciliation of operating performance measure to financial statements

Disclosures on performance measures are presented in the Note 2 to Condensed IFRS Interim Consolidated Financial Statements of the Orange Polska Group for the 6 months ended 30 June 2019 (available at http://orange-ir.pl/results-center/results/2019)

in PLNm 2Q 2019 2Q 2018 1H 2019 1H 2018
IAS17 IFRS16 IAS17
Operating income 138 7
3
209 106
Add-back of depreciation, amortisation and impairment of property,
plant and equipment and intangible assets
575 636 1,158 1,277
Interest expense on lease liabilities -12 -1 -22 -2
Estimation of IFRS 16 impact on operating leases for Q2 and H1 2018 - -7* - -13*
Depreciation of property, plant and equipment financed by finance
lease in Q2 and H1 2018
- -9 - -18
Adjustment for the impact of employment termination programs 6 - 4 -
Adjustment for costs related to acquisition and integration of new
subsidiaries
3 - 3 -
Adjustment for the impact of deconsolidation of subsidiaries - -1 1 -
EBITDAaL (EBITDA after Leases) 710 691* 1,353 1,350*

* Data constitutes company's best estimate and was provided for comparative purposes

Forward-looking statement

This press release contains forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements regarding anticipated future events and financial performance with respect to our operations. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. They often include words like 'believe', 'expect', 'anticipate', 'estimated', 'project', 'plan', 'adjusted' and 'intend' or future or conditional verbs such as 'will,' 'would,' or 'may.' Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expected results include, but are not limited to, those set forth in our Registration Statement, as filed with the Polish securities and exchange commission, the competitive environment in which we operate, changes in general economic conditions and changes in the Polish and/or global financial and/or capital markets. Forwardlooking statements represent management's views as of the date they are made, and we assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements for actual events occurring after that date. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements.

Orange Polska's Management Board are pleased to invite you to the Company's 2Q 2019 results presentation.

25th July 2019 Start: 11.00 CET Venue address: Orange Polska S.A. Aleje Jerozolimskie 160, (Conference room – ground floor) 02-326 Warsaw, Poland

The presentation will also be available via a live webcast (http://infostrefa.tv/orange/en) and via a live conference call

Time:

11:00 (Warsaw)

10:00 (London)

05:00 (New York)

Dial in numbers:

PIN: 34399999#

Poland Toll-Free: 008001215222

Poland Toll: 48225839021

Canada Toll: 14162164194

France Toll: 33172727403

Germany Toll: 4969222225429

Netherlands Toll: 31207095119

United Kingdom Toll: 442071943759

United Kingdom Toll-Free: 08003766183

United States Toll-Free: 844286064

Orange Polska Group Consolidated

2018 2019
amounts in PLN millions 1Q 1Q 2Q 2Q 3Q 3Q 4Q 4Q FY FY 1Q 2Q
Income statement reported
(IAS17)
comparable
basis
(IFRS16)*
reported
(IAS17)
comparable
basis
(IFRS16)*
reported
(IAS17)
comparable
basis
(IFRS16)*
reported
(IAS17)
comparable
basis
(IFRS16)*
reported
(IAS17)
comparable
basis
(IFRS16)*
IFRS16 IFRS16
Revenues
Mobile services only 688 686 682 680 690 687 676 673 2,736 2,726 640 646
Fixed services only 627 629 628 620 610 602 596 590 2,461 2,441 569 552
Narrowband 287 285 275 274 265 263 257 255 1,084 1,077 244 233
Broadband 232 232 233 232 230 229 226 225 921 918 219 213
B2B Network Solutions 108 112 120 114 115 110 113 110 456 446 106 106
Convergent services B2C 291 291 316 316 336 336 353 353 1,296 1,296 369 384
Equipment sales 351 351 307 307 336 336 410 409 1,404 1,403 367 352
IT and integration services 112 112 134 144 127 138 216 225 589 618 147 163
Wholesale 579 579 571 572 576 576 582 582 2,308 2,309 560 568
Mobile wholesale 312 312 329 329 332 331 334 334 1,307 1,306 310 324
Fixed wholesale 188 188 176 176 176 176 176 176 716 717 177 169
Other 79 79 66 66 68 68 72 72 285 286 73 75
Other revenues 62 60 68 65 80 77 97 91 307 293 126 94
Total revenues 2,710 2,708 2,706 2,704 2,755 2,752 2,930 2,923 11,101 11,087 2,778 2,759
Labour expenses** (432) (431) (397) (395) (370) (368) (383) (383) (1,582) (1,577) 0
(403)
(377)
External purchases (1,549) (1,491) (1,529) (1,470) (1,582) (1,518) (1,789) (1,721) (6,449) (6,200) (1,570) (1,555)
- Interconnect expenses (448) (447) (471) (471) (470) (469) (460) (460) (1,849) (1,847) (446) (461)
- Network and IT expenses (148) (146) (152) (157) (148) (150) (160) (162) (608) (615) (148) (152)
- Commercial expenses (578) (578) (551) (551) (562) (561) (743) (743) (2,434) (2,433) (583) (578)
- Other external purchases (375) (320) (355) (291) (402) (338) (426) (356) (1,558) (1,305) (393) (364)
Other operating incomes & expenses (51) (46) (33) (31) (58) (56) (77) (70) (219) (203) (54) (55)
Impairment of receivables and contract assets (23) (23) (41) (41) (46) (46) (52) (52) (162) (162) (32) (27)
Gains on disposal of assets*** 19 19 3 3 93 93 77 77 192 192 5 44
Amortization and impairment of right-of-use assets (67) (66) (70) (74) (277) (71) (67)
Interest expense on lease liabilities (10) (13) (14) (14) (51) (10) (12)
Adjusted EBITDA 674 709 792 706 2,881
EBITDAaL (EBITDA after Leases) 659 691 773 686 2,809 643 710
% of revenues 24.9% 24.3% 26.2% 25.6% 28.7% 28.1% 24.1% 23.5% 26.0% 25.3% 23.1% 25.7%
Depreciation, amortisation and impairment of property, plant and equipment and
intangibles assets
(641) (636) (617) (647) (2,541) (583) (575)
Add-back of interest expense on lease liabilities 10 12
Adjustment for the impact of employment termination programs** 0 0 0 5 5 2 (6)
Adjustment for the costs related to acquisition and integration of new subsidiaries 0 (3)
Adjustment for the impact of deconsolidation of subsidiaries*** (1) 0
Operting income / (loss) 33 73 175 64 345 71 138
% of revenues 1.2% 2.7% 6.4% 2.2% 3.1% 2.5% 5.0%
Finance costs, net (86) (87) (61) (71) (305) (74) (68)
- Interest expense on lease liabilities (10) (12)
- Other Interest expenses, net (excl. Interest expense on lease liabilities) (62) (54) (54) (52) (222) (50) (45)
- Discounting expense (24) (33) (7) (19) (83) (14) (11)
Income tax 3 (2) (23) (8) (30) 1 (15)
Consolidated net income / (loss) (50) (16) 91 (15) 10 (2) 55

*2018 comparable basis includes the following effects resulting from developments in 2019:

(1) In 2019 we made certain changes in grouping of revenue categories between IT & integration services and other lines to better reflect business performance. 2018 figures were adjusted for comparability.

(2) Impact of deconsolidation of subsidiaries

(3) Introduction of EBITDAaL as new measure of operating profitability under IFRS16 resulting in changes in certain cost categories

** Labour expenses exclude adjustment due to employment termination program

*** Gains on disposal of assets exclude impact of deconsolidation of subsidiaries

Orange Polska Group key performance indicators

Key operational performance indicators

Customer base (in thousands) 2019
1Q 2018
2Q
3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
Convergent customers 1,376 1,436 1,483 1,547 1,592 1,628
o/w B2C 1,090 1,137 1,178 1,236 1,276 1,307
o/w B2B 287 298 304 311 316 321
Fixed telephony accesses
PSTN 2,738 2,623 2,527 2,426 2,322 2,228
VoIP 875 918 953 981 1,006 1,031
Total retail main lines 3,613 3,541 3,480 3,407 3,328 3,259
o/w B2C convergent 678 718 755 755 778 800
o/w B2C PSTN convergent 110 104 100 54 44 38
o/w B2C VoIP convergent 568 614 655 701 734 762
Fixed broadband access
ADSL 1,278 1,238 1,200 1,149 1,098 1,056
VHBB (VDSL+Fibre) 724 767 807 869 921 961
o/w VDSL 476 481 484 503 522 527
o/w Fibre 248 286 324 366 399 434
Wireless for fixed 475 502 522 542 557 565
Retail broadband - total 2,477 2,506 2,530 2,560 2,576 2,582
o/w B2C convergent 1,090 1,137 1,178 1,236 1,276 1,307
TV client base
IPTV 359 386 410 435 455 476
DTH (TV over Satellite) 515 514 511 508 503 496
TV client base - total 875 900 921 943 958 972
o/w B2C convergent 597 641 680 725 758 788
Mobile accesses
Post-paid
Mobile Handset 7,310 7,358 7,416 7,498 7,553 7,611
Mobile Broadband 1,164 1,104 1,052 989 934 895
M2M 1,273 1,328 1,385 1,436 1,483 1,534
Total postpaid 9,747 9,790 9,853 9,922 9,970 10,040
o/w B2C convergent 2,085 2,183 2,259 2,369 2,434 2,486
Total pre-paid 4,621 4,694 4,761 4,883 4,867 4,924
Total 14,368 14,484 14,614 14,805 14,837 14,964
Wholesale customers
WLR 507 487 467 437 408 381
Bitstream access 165 156 151 144 137 133
LLU 87 83 80 76 73 69
Quarterly ARPO in PLN per month 2018 2019
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
Convergent services B2C 100.8 102.4 103.0 101.9 101.4 101.9
Fixed services only - voice 36.6 36.4 36.2 36.5 36.3 36.2
Fixed services only - broadband 56.5 56.6 56.4 56.0 55.5 54.9
Mobile services only 21.9 21.7 21.7 20.9 20.0 20.1
Postpaid excl M2M 29.1 28.7 29.0 27.7 26.9 27.0
Mobile Handset 31.0 30.5 30.5 29.5 28.6 28.7
Mobile Broadband 19.0 18.3 17.7 17.0 16.4 15.9
Prepaid 11.9 12.3 12.6 12.2 11.4 11.6
Mobile wholesale (convergent + mono) 7.2 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.1 7.5
Other mobile operating statistics 2018 2019
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
Number of smartphones (thousands) 6,886 7,006 7,223 7,447 7,521 7,658
AUPU (in minutes)
post-paid 353.9 349.7 344.6 353.3 357.9 356.6
pre-paid 162.0 166.3 164.1 163.6 161.9 163.0
blended 285.8 284.7 279.9 284.7 286.5 285.8
Quarterly mobile customer churn rate (%)
post-paid 3.1 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.5
pre-paid 14.6 11.3 10.4 8.9 10.8 10.2
SAC post-paid (PLN) 75.2 79.9 95.8 116.1 82.4 76.8
SRC post-paid (PLN) 39.7 29.5 35.8 45.8 43.9 56.2
Employment structure of Group as reported
Employment structure of Group as reported
Active full time equivalents (end of period)
2018 2019
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
Orange Polska 14,372 13,730 13,492 13,197 13,077 12,429
50% of Networks 348 345 347 348 355 353
Total 14,720 14,075 13,839 13,545 13,432 12,782

Terms used:

ARPO – average revenue per offer

Average Usage per User (AUPU) – The average monthly total usage of minutes divided by the average number of SIM cards (excluding M2M) in a given period.

Churn rate – the number of customers who disconnect from a network divided by the weighted average number of customers in a given period.

Convergent services – Revenues from B2C convergent offers (excluding equipment sales). A convergent offer is defined as an offer combining at least a broadband access (xDSL, FTTx, cable or wireless for fixed) and a mobile voice contract (excluding MVNOs) with a financial benefit. Convergent services revenues do not include incoming and visitor roaming revenues.

Convergent services B2C ARPO – The average monthly revenues from convergent services generated by retail customers (B2C) divided by the average number of B2C convergent customers in a given period.

Fixed broadband-only services – Revenues from fixed broadband offers (excluding B2C convergent offers and equipment sales), including TV and VoIP services.

Fixed broadband-only services ARPO – The average monthly revenues from fixed broadband only services divided by the average number of accesses in a given period.

Household connectable with fibre - an apartment in multi-family building or a single family house within the reach of our fibre to the home service that allows to provide service with a speed of at least 100Mb/s

Mobile-only services – Revenues from mobile offers (excluding consumer market convergent offers) and Machine to Machine (M2M) connectivity. Mobile-only services revenues do not include equipment sales and incoming and visitor roaming revenues.

Mobile-only services ARPO – The average monthly retail revenues from mobile only services excluding M2M connectivity, divided by the average number of SIM cards (excluding M2M) in a given period.

Mobile-only broadband ARPO – The average monthly retail revenues from SIM cards dedicated to mobile broadband access (excluding B2C convergent offers and equipment sales) divided by the average number of these SIM cards in a given period.

Mobile-only handset ARPO – The average monthly retail revenues from SIM cards dedicated to mobile handset access (excluding B2C convergent offers and equipment sales) divided by the average number of these SIM cards in a given period.

Subscriber Acquisition Cost (SAC) – Customer acquisition costs divided by the number of gross customers added during the respective period. Customer acquisition costs comprise commissions paid to distributors and net subsidies resulting from the sale of the handset.

Subscriber Retention Cost (SRC) – Customer retention costs divided by the number of customers retained during the respective period. Customer retention costs comprise commissions paid to distributors and net subsidies resulting from the sale of the handset.

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