Investor Presentation • Oct 4, 2019
Investor Presentation
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Meeting with Analysts and Investors
October 4, 2019


(EED***) compared to business-as-usual predictions from 2007
1
Note:* 2030 targets may be revised (i.e. increased) in 2023, original targets values from 2014 in the bracket ** RES: applicable to all kinds of energy, not just electricity; *** EED – Energy Efficiency Directive

Reduction of greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 levels
Share of renewable energy sources in total final energy consumption
Energy savings (EED***) compared to business-as-usual predictions from 2007



▪ During 1990's CZK 111 bn has been invested by ČEZ into complex modernization of power stations, desulphurization, denitrification and efficiency upgrades.
1.965 MW of old units have been decommissioned.
▪ In 2002-03 nuclear power plant Temelín was commissioned and further contributed to reduction of coal output.
▪ Tušimice and Prunéřov TPP's went through compehensive renewal and new supercritical unit at Ledvice was built. Investment of more than CZK 100 bn has led to further increase in efficiency of the power generation and emission reductions.


Breakdown of Cal 20 electricity price changes over the last two years (01/08/2017-01/08/2019) EUR/MWh




Illustrative

New power plant integrated with mine Old standalone power plant +22 +0 +15 40 %* 34 %* Gross margin** [EUR/MWh] Gross margin** [EUR/MWh] 38.5 %** 31.6 %**
Standalone coal power plants are still under significant economic pressure and are very sensitive to requirements set by the emission reduction legislative (BREF/BAT) and other external factors.
The economy of power plants integrated with mine is more robust.
-25 Apart from the above mentioned illustrative gross margin, it is also necessary to cover other variable costs and fixed costs (wages, maintenance and other items excluding depreciation) in the amount of 8-15 EUR / MWh depending on the type, age and capacity of the plant.
Note: The gross margin also needs to cover investments, the amount of which depends on technical condition and especially on changing regulation and legislation (e.g. emission limits)

▪ Effectively operate and gradually phase out the portfolio of nonbasin plants based on economic criteria
| New basin plants |
ELE ETU EPR |
CEZ Group basin plants are operated in base load. Thanks to the low operating costs, their high availability is crucial. Heat supply is an upside. |
|---|---|---|
| Locality of Mělník |
EGT EME2 EME3 |
The largest heating plant of CEZ Group, which supplies the capital city Prague with over 10 PJ of heat per year. Partial modernization of the heating plant is planned after the old units phase out. |
| Old standalone power plants (CDS dependent) |
EDE | For the hard coal power plant Dětmarovice, the electricity production is crucial, profitability of which strongly depends on the development of commodity prices. Heat supply is an additional income. |
| EPC | Profitability of the Počerady plant depends on market commodity prices, including lignite (based on the prices of hard coal). The power plant is on the edge of the technical life and does not meet the BREF/BAT emission limits. In 2019, ČEZ has to decide about potential withdrawal from the sale of the power plant. |
|
| Biomass heating plants |
EHO EPO ECJH |
Sources with significant heat supply. Incentives for production of electricity from clean biomass burning is of crucial importance. |
| Other heating plants |
TETR TDK |
Planned greening of the Trmice heating plant and construction of a new heating source (biomass/gas) in Dvůr Králové in order to fulfill the BREF/BAT limits. |

Installed capacity of CEZ Group's coal plants in the Czech Republic (GW)

This is the best estimate based on the current assumptions. The values may change depending on the development of various legislative and economic factors (e.g. conclusions of the Coal Commission).


Development of the gCO2 / kWh indicator for electricity produced is based on the conservative assumption of maintaining today's nuclear and renewable sources production (i.e. growth of new RES is not included).

Possible other locations for the development of gas sources of ČEZ
▪ The following ČEZ locations can be considered for possible construction of new gas plants:
| ČEZ location | Estimated installed capacity * (MWe) | Gas connection length (km) |
|---|---|---|
| Prunéřov | 800 | 11 |
| Tušimice | 2 x 850 | 10.8 |
| Mělník | 800** | 5 |
| Počerady | up to 800 | 1.4 |
Possible development in the Počerady location even after the sale of coal-fired Počerady Power Plant

| Strategic Priorities | Key Substantive Objectives and Ambitions for 2025 | Additional 2025 EBITDA* Goal |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Efficient Operation, Optimum Utilization & Development of Generation Portfolio |
▪ Safe and efficient generation by nuclear plants (WANO's assessment of ČEZ's nuclear power plants above the global nuclear operators median; annual generation above 31.5 TWh). ▪ Long-term NPP operation (Temelín units at least until 2060 and 2062, Dukovany units until 2045 and 2047). ▪ Value maximization in mining and conventional generation, efficient generation by power and heating plants in mining regions. Controlled phaseout of plants outside mining regions. ▪ Negotiating a framework for the construction of a new nuclear unit at Dukovany, which would cover the regulatory and market risks of the project. Commencing project preparations according to the approved contractual framework. |
(CZK bn) +1 to +2 beyond the effect of market prices ** |
|
| Modern Distribution & Care for Customers' Energy Needs |
▪ Distribution CZ: Increasing revenues by way of increased investments in the context of changes induced by decentral energy; increasing efficiency and reducing operating expenses. ▪ Sales CZ: Maintaining current profitability by way of: maintaining the current customer base, increasing customer satisfaction, and expanding offerings in the portfolio of noncommodity products and services. |
+2 to +4 | |
| New Energy Sector Development in Czechia |
▪ ESCO CZ and SK: 25%+ share in the growing market with target EBITDA margin > 7%. ▪ RES CZ: Playing a major role in the growth of renewables in Czechia. Total potential for Czech solar installed capacity estimated at up to 5 GW, including about 0.5 GW on land currently owned by CEZ Group. |
+2 to +3 | |
| Energy Services Development in Europe |
▪ Continuing with quick organic and acquisition expansion in Germany, northern Italy, and Poland. ▪ Maximizing synergies from the consolidation of activities in target markets. ▪ Becoming a Top 3 ESCO player in these markets by 2025, with target EBITDA margin > 7%. |
+2 to +3 | |
| Divestment Strategy |
▪ Return of capital invested in RES assets in Germany and France. ▪ Completion of sale of assets in Bulgaria, sale of generation and distribution assets in Romania, Poland, and Turkey. The goal sell those assets by the end of 2022. The assets' contribution to CEZ Group's annual 2018 EBITDA was CZK 5.5 |
is to bn. |
The goal of additional 2025 EBITDA* demands significant investments in new assets, primarily in RES in Czechia, ESCO abroad, and distribution in Czechia. Investments in RES development in Czechia and ESCO development will be financed by income from divestments.
12



▪ Effectively operate and gradually phase out the portfolio of nonbasin plants based on economic criteria
| New basin plants |
ELE ETU EPR |
CEZ Group basin plants are operated in base load. Thanks to the low operating costs, their high availability is crucial. Heat supply is an upside. |
|---|---|---|
| Locality of Mělník |
EGT EME2 EME3 |
The largest heating plant of CEZ Group, which supplies the capital city Prague with over 10 PJ of heat per year. Partial modernization of the heating plant is planned after the old units phase out. |
| Old standalone |
EDE | For the hard coal power plant Dětmarovice, the electricity production is crucial, profitability of which strongly depends on the development of commodity prices. Heat supply is an additional income. |
| power plants (CDS dependent) |
EPC | Profitability of the Počerady plant depends on market commodity prices, including lignite (based on the prices of hard coal). The power plant is on the edge of the technical life and does not meet the BREF/BAT emission limits. In 2019, ČEZ has to decide about potential withdrawal from the sale of the power plant. |
| Biomass heating plants |
EHO EPO ECJH |
Sources with significant heat supply. Incentives for production of electricity from clean biomass burning is of crucial importance. |
| Other heating plants |
TETR TDK |
Planned greening of the Trmice heating plant and construction of a new heating source (biomass/gas) in Dvůr Králové in order to fulfill the BREF/BAT limits. |


▪ The units will meet the IED limits after certain operational and technical measures are taken

Average values of continuous emission measurements for 2018 (boilers B2-B5) BREF/BAT limits valid from 08/2021 (average annual values)
▪ Further operational and technical measures are planned to comply with the BREF/BAT limits

Operating hours of the unit as of the end of 2018
Typical life by number of operating hours (approx. 240 ths. hours)

▪ Czech Coal refused to sign a contract for long-term supply of lignite (due to a dispute about the price of coal, which ultimately lasted until the end of 2012) and prevented ČEZ from building a new power plant in Počerady, ČEZ decided to sue Czech Coal regarding this decision. 2007
▪ Czech Coal reached an agreement with E.ON to build a new plant for coal from the Vršany mine.
▪ At the end of the year, conditions of a new agreement with Czech Coal were negotiated (see last point).

* Ilustrative calculation based on market forward prices of power and CO2 prices during previous year (Y-1) related to delivery in the year 2015 and 2020. The efficiency of the production source used for the illustrative calculation is comparable with the Počerady power plant.
-25 -25
Market spread 2015 (EUR/MWh) * Market spread 2020 (EUR/MWh) *
The rising price of the CO2 allowance increases the price of electricity only partially.
Growth of electricity prices due to rising CO2 allowance price has material negative impact on less efficient plants (such as EPC).
The resulting gross margin and operating profit declines significantly over time.


Illustrative

| EPC contribution to the consolidated results of CEZ Group* | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | E 2019 | |||
| Sale of electricity inc. AS |
bn CZK | 5.4 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 5.1 | |
| Electricity supply | TWh | 5.1 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 4.7** | |
| Costs of coal | bn CZK | -2.4 | -2.6 | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.4 | |
| Costs of CO 2 |
bn CZK | -1.1 | -0.7 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -1.4 | |
| CO allocation 2 |
bn CZK | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| Gross margin | bn CZK | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | |
| Avg achieved power price |
EUR/MWh | 40.4 | 34.8 | 32.0 | 31.2 | 37.3 | |
| Avg CO2 achieved purchase price |
EUR/t | 7.7 | 4.6 | 6.7 | 7.9 | 11.0 | |
| Avg coal achieved pur. price (incl. logistics) |
CZK/GJ | 41.8 | 40.6 | 40.3 | 41.3 | 43.8 | |
| Fixed operating costs | bn CZK | -1.2 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -1.1 | -1.3 | |
| EBITDA | bn CZK | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
*Financial results reported for separate company Elektrárna Počerady, a.s. ("EPC") differ from the stated contribution to consolidated results mainly due to the inter-company tolling agreement between ČEZ, a. s., and EPC, which enables efficient operation of separate power plant in the ČEZ portfolio. This agreement transfers risks and opportunities from development of power prices and CO2 allowances to CEZ and it guarantees fixed profitability set on the power price and CO2 emission allowances from 2015 for EPC. Moreover, ČEZ Group reports its financial results in accordance with IFRS, while EPC reports in Czech accounting standards CAS.
** Lower volume of estimated electricity supply in 2019 is due to the planned general overhaul of unit 3.
| Lignite | Black coal | Gas Biomass |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Power Supply (TWh) |
Heat supply (TJ) |
Heat supply 1) ratio |
Emissions of CO2 per EE and HE3) produced |
||
| Hodonín | 0.3 | 453 | 12% | 129 g CO2/kWh | |
| Poříčí 2 | 0.6 | 1,312 | 19% | 547 g CO2/kWh | Partly biomass |
| Počerady 2 |
1.8 | 0 | 0% | 356 g CO2/kWh | Gas |
| Energotrans | 0.9 | 9,575 | 80% | 428 g CO2/kWh | |
| Trmice | 0.3 | 2,929 | 59% | 506 g CO2/kWh | Heating Plant |
| Dvůr Králové | 0.0 | 164 | 68% | 542 g CO2/kWh | |
| Mělník 2 | 1.3 | 2,250 | 19% | 699 g CO2/kWh | |
| Ledvice 3 | 0.5 | 898 | 19% | 731 g CO2/kWh | |
| Ledvice 4 | 2.7 | 347 | 2% | 765 g CO2/kWh | |
| Dětmarovice | 1.4 | 534 | 4% | 826 g CO2/kWh | |
| Prunéřov 2 | 2.8 | 262 | 1% | 826 g CO2/kWh | |
| Tušimice 2 | 5.2 | 460 | 1% | 833 g CO2/kWh | |
| Prunéřov 1 |
2.2 | 598 | 3% | 909 g CO2/kWh | |
| Počerady | 5.3 | 172 2) | <1 % | 948 g CO2/kWh | Power plant |
| Mělník 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0% | 974 g CO2/kWh |
Note: CO2 only from coal part of power plant, except PPC

| BREF/BAT fulfillment | Estimated outlays for investment, operation and maintenance of the plant |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operation | until 2024 until 2029** |
CAPEX + OPEX (normal maintenance and specific actions) [bn CZK] | |||||
| SO x |
• measures |
Operational and technical |
• Overhaul of desulphurisation |
||||
| NO x |
• dosage of additives • Possibly getting an exemption |
Increasing the | • Exception or technical measures need to be added |
||||
| PM | • electro separator |
Overhaul of | • Overhaul of electro separator, desulphurization modification |
||||
| Hg | • capture measures |
DeHg basic | • DeHg greater capture range |
||||
| Overhaul (renewal) |
• Maintenance (overhaul B3 only) |
• Major renewal required (of all units) |
Operating period: | ||||
| The revision of BREF / BAT with effect from 2029 is addressed by expected exemption until 2030 |
Calculated: On supplied electricity On installed capacity |
3-8 EUR/MWh 100 – 240 ths. EUR/MW |
6 - 9 EUR/MWh 430 – 580 ths. EUR/MW |
Operation beyond 2030 is not considered due to the limited residual life of the source and its ability to meet emission limits and other future conditions following the subsequent revision of BREF with effect from 2029.
22 Note: ** Extended operations until 2030 under the assumption of obtaining an exemption
Given the economic disadvantages of retaining EPC, ČEZ can only accept:

* It will be possible to negotiate with the counterparty regarding the change of DKS (and also the ownership of EPC) only if the option to withdraw from the sale of EPC as of 2024 is not exercised (with decision by 31/12/2019)
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