Business and Financial Review • Jan 9, 2025
Business and Financial Review
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ORLEN S.A. (the "Company") announces the ORLEN Group strategy till 2035 (the "Strategy") 'The Energy of Tomorrow Starts Today'. Successful implementation of the strategic initiatives will allow the ORLEN Group to transform itself towards an integrated, diversified and cycle-resilient organization. ORLEN Group's ambition is to ensure a stable growth rate of operating profit and regular payment of increasing dividends.
'The Energy of Tomorrow Starts Today' Strategy is built on two foundations:
Implementation of the 'The Energy of Tomorrow Starts Today' Strategy is based on four pillars:
ORLEN's strategic ambition is to:
The ORLEN Group adopted capital allocation criteria including hurdle rates for investment projects differentiated by business line and their impact on carbon emissions. Over the 2025-2035 Strategy horizon, the ORLEN Group plans capital expenditures related to:
Cumulative capital expenditures, including equity investments, in the years 2025-2035 may range from PLN 350 billion PLN to PLN 380 billion, of which between PLN 270 billion and PLN 290 billion is of a flexible nature allowing Company to actively manage investment budget.
By 2030, the Company plans to maintain a net debt/EBITDA ratio at a level not exceeding 2.0, assuming the fulfillment of macroeconomic assumptions, budget projections, and total planned capital expenditures. After 2030, following the execution of planned investments, the Company expects positive cash flows and a gradual reduction of the net debt/EBITDA ratio to a level not exceeding 0.5 by 2035.
Based on key market trends, the Company has set out the main transformation directions that will be implemented under the new organizational and operational structure.
| Segment | Key trend and | Key operational objectives by 2035 |
|---|---|---|
| direction of development | ||
| Upstream & Supply Exploration for and |
The key role of natural gas as a transition fuel. Ensuring the supply of |
− an increase in natural gas production from 9.1 to 12 bcm per year, − maintaining a flexible LNG contract portfolio and increasing |
| production of hydrocarbons, wholesale trade of crude oil and natural gas |
energy carriers that enable the long-term development of the economy and energy security. |
contracting from 4.8 to 15 bcm of LNG per year, − building capacity for capture, transport and storage services up to 4 million tonnes of CO2 per year. |
| Downstream | Decarbonization of transport combined with |
− an increase in the share of renewable energy in ORLEN's fuel mix from 8.5%, to over 25%, |
| Refinery and petrochemical production, wholesale of refining and petrochemical products |
continued demand for liquid fuels. |
− the use of renewable and low-carbon hydrogen in refinery production of approximately 210,000 tonnes per year, |
| Transforming the ORLEN Group's fuel mix towards a |
− a 9 p.p. increase in the share of sales of petrochemicals based on circular and renewable feedstocks to 10%, and polymers and other derivatives by 7 p.p. to 70%, |
|
| greater share of renewable energy in transport. |
− increasing recycling capacity from 35,000 to 250,000 tonnes per year. |
|
| Energy Generation of |
Demand for zero-carbon energy sources. |
− an increase in installed RES capacity from 1.3 to 12.8 GW through the development of wind power and photovoltaics, including partnerships |
| electricity and heat, distribution of electricity and natural |
Support the decarbonization of the |
− development of up to 1.4 GW of installed energy storage capacity (BESS), |
| gas, electricity trading | energy sector through investment in RES, energy storage, SMR and CCGT. |
− expansion of the installed capacity of gas-fired power plants and combined heat and power plants (CCGTs) from 1.8 to 4.3 GW, − the commercialization and deployment of Small Modular |
| Reactor (SMR) technology with an installed capacity of 0.6 GW, − allocating more than PLN 20 billion for gas distribution networks and PLN 40 billion for electricity distribution networks. |
||
| Consumers & | Orientation towards the | − an increase in the share of the domestic market for electricity |
| Products | customer who needs | supplied to electric cars by 22 p.p., to 33%, |
| Retail sales of fuel, electricity and natural |
accessible and affordable energy. |
− expansion of the national network of ultrafast DC charging points by 5,800 points, − doubling the number of active users of the VITAY system to 10 |
| gas, other retail customer services |
Integration and digitization of consumer services. |
million users. |
In pursuing the objectives of 'The Energy of Tomorrow Starts Today', the Company will take a pragmatic approach to asset decarbonization and energy transformation of the ORLEN Group.
By 2035, relative to the 2019 base year, ORLEN aims to:
In addition, coal-fired electricity generation is planned to be phased out by the end of 2030, with a full transition away from coal-fired assets by 2035. As a result, the Company maintains the target of achieving carbon neutrality in 2050 for scopes 1, 2, 3 in accordance with the Paris Agreement.
The Strategy has been approved by the Company's Management Board on 8 January 2025. The decision has been identified as an inside information, publication of which has been delayed by the moment the decision of the Company's Supervisory Board is made, in accordance to Art. 17 item 4 of the Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC.
The report was prepared pursuant to Article 17(1) of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC.
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