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LOWLAND INV CO PLC

Investor Presentation May 16, 2025

5180_rns_2025-05-16_7a261706-7349-4fad-887a-7b67c4ee4338.pdf

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Lowland Investment Company plc

Update for the Half-Year Ended 31 March 2025

1

Lowland key dates

First interim dividend paid 30 April 2025
Second interim dividend paid 31 July 2025
Third interim dividend paid 31 October 2025
Final dividend paid 30 January 2026
Half year results Published June
Full year results Published December
Annual General Meeting January

This update contains material extracted from the unaudited half-year results of the Company for the six months ended 31 March 2025. The unabridged results for the half-year are available on the Company's website: www.lowlandinvestment.com

Investment Objective

The Company aims to give shareholders a higher than average return with growth of both capital and income over the medium to long-term by investing in a broad spread of predominantly UK companies. The Company measures its performance against the FTSE All-Share Index Total Return.

Investment Policy

Asset Allocation

The Company invests in a combination of large, medium and smaller companies listed in the UK. We are not constrained by the weightings of any index; we limit risk by running a diversified portfolio, which is constructed on a bottom-up, stock-picking basis. In normal circumstances up to half the portfolio is invested in FTSE 100 companies; the remainder is divided between small and medium-sized companies. The Manager may also invest a maximum of 15% in other listed trusts.

Dividend

The Company aims to pay a progressive dividend, with each dividend equal to or greater than its previous equivalent.

Gearing

The Board believes that debt in a closed-end fund is a valuable source of long-term outperformance, and therefore the Company will usually be geared. At the point of drawing down debt, gearing will not exceed 20% of the portfolio valuation. Borrowing will be a mixture of short and long-dated debt, depending on relative attractiveness of rates.

Net Asset Value Total Return

-2.1%

Benchmark Total Return 4.1%

Dividend 3.275p

Financial Highlights

Half-year ended
31 Mar 2025
Half-year ended
31 Mar 2024
Year ended
30 Sept 2024
NAV per ordinary share (debt at par) 137.2p 136.3p 144.2p
NAV per ordinary share (debt at fair value) 139.9p 138.2p 146.1p
Share price1 129.0p 121.5p 127.0p
Market capitalisation £312m £328m £343m
Dividend per share 3.275p 3.20p 6.425p
Ongoing charge 0.71% 0.65% 0.66%
Dividend yield2 5.0% 5.2% 5.1%
Gearing 13.8% 13.1% 11.0%
Discount (debt at par) 6.0% 10.9% 11.9%
Discount (debt at fair value) 7.8% 12.1% 13.1%

1 Using mid-market closing price

2 Based on dividends paid and declared in respect of the previous twelve month period

Historical Performance

Total Return Performance (including dividends reinvested and excluding transaction costs)

Rebased to 100 at 31 March 2014 Sources: Morningstar Direct, Factset and Janus Henderson

6 months 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years 25 years
% % % % % %
Net asset value -2.1 5.9 14.5 85.2 50.5 636.4
Share price1 2.9 11.8 12.1 86.4 55.0 818.7
Benchmark2 4.1 10.5 23.3 76.6 81.7 251.7

1 Using mid-market closing price

2 FTSE All-Share Index

Sources: Morningstar Direct, Factset and Janus Henderson.

Historical Record

Year to 30 Sept 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 As at
31 Mar
20251
Net assets2 (£m) 355 387 440 439 386 279 394 313 349 390 332
Per ordinary share
NAV3* 131.8p 143.2p 162.8p 162.5p 142.8p 103.1p 145.9p 115.9p 129.3p 144.2p 137.2p
Share price* 128.7p 133.7p 150.4p 151.5p 128.0p 91.4p 131.5p 104.5p 113.0p 127.0p 129.0p
Net revenue* 4.64p 4.77p 4.91p 5.86p 6.80p 3.38p 4.27p 6.10p 6.71p 6.29p 2.06p
Net dividends paid* 4.10p 4.50p 4.90p 5.40p 5.95p 6.00p 6.025p 6.10p 6.25p 6.425p 3.275p4

¹ Net revenue and net dividends paid are for the six month period ended 31 March 2025

2 Attributable to ordinary shares

3 NAV with debt at par value

4 First interim dividend of 1.625p per ordinary share paid on 30 April 2025 and second interim dividend of 1.65p per ordinary share that will be paid on 31 July 2025

* Figures for 2015 to 2021 have been restated due to the sub-division of each ordinary share of 25p into ten ordinary shares of 2.5p each on 7 February 2022

Overview

Against a turbulent geopolitical backdrop, Lowland's performance during the six months to the end of March was disappointing, with the NAV falling by 2.1%, relative to a 4.1% rise in the FTSE All-Share benchmark. In share price terms the picture was rather more positive, as the ongoing buyback helped to narrow the discount, resulting in a rise in the share price of 2.9%.

As we have seen before in periods of high volatility, investors have tended to seek the safety of larger companies, and small and medium sized companies substantially underperformed relative to the FTSE 100, as demonstrated by the performance of the Deutsche Numis Smaller Companies Plus AIM (excluding investment companies) Index, which fell by 7.5%.

Dividends

Lowland produced earnings per share ('EPS') in the first half of the year of 2.06p, an increase from 1.71p in the same period last year. The share buyback was also moderately earnings enhancing. A second interim dividend of 1.65p has been declared, representing an increase of approximately 3% on the second interim dividend last year. We expect to maintain our quarterly progressive dividend policy, so that the last two dividends in respect of the current year should be at least at this rate.

Gearing

Gearing rose modestly during the period, ending at 13.8% compared to 11.0% at our last financial year end (30 September 2024).

Share price and discount

In January the Board initiated a buyback programme for the Company's shares, and we will continue to monitor the situation and buy back shares when we believe it is in the best interests of shareholders. Since that time (and up to the date of this report) 38.1m shares have been bought back, at an average discount level of 7.8%. The total cost of these purchases was £48.1m. The discount narrowed from 13.1% at financial year end to 7.8% at the half year end (both with debt at fair value).

Board

As previously announced, my predecessor Robbie Robertson stepped down at the AGM. I would like to take this opportunity to thank Robbie for his many years of exemplary leadership, his skill in steering the Company and for putting together a strong, supportive and genuinely diverse board. We wish him all the best for the future.

Outlook

Tariffs are currently the largest source of uncertainty in the market, and more widely the unpredictability of the Trump administration may mean that there is a reluctance on the part of companies to commit to any major investment until they have greater confidence over the outlook. In the short term this is reflected in the high level of volatility in markets, while the longer term impact is difficult to predict with any degree of certainty but is likely to include higher inflation and weaker economic growth.

In this environment, the best sources of protection are, in our view, modest valuations, strong management teams and genuine diversity of holdings. The valuation of the portfolio is low on 10x historic earnings, with the smaller companies looking particularly cheap. On any improvement in the trading environment, or further interest rate cuts, there remains the potential for a recovery in both earnings and valuation levels.

From the period end to close of business on 12 May 2025, the Company's NAV had risen 5.7%, its share price by 6.8%, and the FTSE All-Share, the Company's benchmark, by 1.5%.

Helena Vinnicombe Chair 14 May 2025

Equity allocation as at 31 March 2025

Sector Weightings (%)

Market Cap Weighting (%)

Performance review

It was a poor six month period for Lowland, with its net asset value falling 2.1%, underperforming a rise in its FTSE All-Share benchmark of 4.1%. Over the same time period the Deutsche Numis Smaller Companies Plus AIM (excluding investment companies) index fell 7.5%.

The underperformance of the Company relative to the FTSE All-Share benchmark was largely as a result of investing more in smaller companies, which substantially underperformed the largest companies listed in the FTSE 100.

When viewed in the chart below, the effect of company size on the Company's performance can be clearly seen. Disappointingly, stock selection was also a modest detractor, having been positive in each of the previous two financial years. We go into greater detail in the stock attribution section later in this report. Share buybacks were initiated during the period and were a modest contributor to performance, as shown in the chart below.

Attribution returns (%)

The outperformance of the biggest companies was, in our view, a reflection of persistent outflows from UK equities. The ownership of UK equities is now majority overseas, and international investors are more likely to favour large, liquid companies. This has left smaller UK companies lowly valued versus their history (see chart below, which illustrates that the FTSE 100, FTSE Small Cap and FTSE 250 indices are all trading at the low end of their historic valuation range, while the opposite would be true for the US market).

Price/earnings multiple is lower than historic average for UK large, medium and smaller companies:

Source: Goldman Sachs as at 16 April 2025, 12m forward P/E percentile rank in 18 year history

Ten largest absolute contributors

Share price
total return
(%)
Contribution
to return
(%)
Standard Chartered 46.4 1.2
HSBC 36.2 1.1
Barclays 30.5 0.8
Babcock 53.8 0.6
Natwest 36.1 0.5
Shell 19.0 0.5
BP 14.7 0.4
Aviva 14.8 0.4
Lloyds 22.6 0.3
BT 14.0 0.3

It is notable that all of the ten best performers during the period are large companies. Within this, there is a heavy concentration in the banks sector, where margins have benefitted from a return to more 'normal' interest rates at a time when conservative lending practices have meant loan losses remain low.

Ten largest absolute detractors

Share price
total return
(%)
Contribution
to return
(%)
Conduit -33.4 -0.5
STV -32.9 -0.5
Speedy Hire -46.2 -0.5
Morgan Advanced
Materials
-24.8 -0.4
Workspace -34.8 -0.4
Sainsbury -19.1 -0.3
Renold -22.6 -0.3
Marshalls -25.9 -0.3
Kingfisher -20.4 -0.3
Ricardo -41.7 -0.3

The majority of the worst performers saw share prices fall as a result of subdued economic activity depressing earnings. For example, STV, a free-to-air broadcaster and content producer, saw its share price fall on the expectation of a weak Scottish advertising market, with business confidence impacted by the autumn Budget. It was not solely UK end markets that were weak – retailer Kingfisher, for example, continues to see poor trading in its French business. While end markets are challenging, valuation levels already substantially reflect this. For example the portfolio in aggregate traded on 10x 12 month historic earnings as at the end of March. On any improved certainty in the trading environment, or further reductions in interest rates, there is the potential for a recovery in both earnings and valuation levels.

The largest detractor, reinsurer Conduit, saw its share price fall for idiosyncratic reasons as a result of higher than expected losses from California wildfires. The position was subsequently sold in favour of more diversified non-life insurers that are held such as Beazley.

Activity

It is important in volatile markets to have a genuinely diverse portfolio of holdings. This is the best way to preserve capital over time. The purchases made in the period were therefore in a broad range of very different sorts of companies. The one attribute that unites them is that we believe they have very able management teams that are serving their client base well. The stocks purchased included, amongst the larger companies, Mondi and Segro. The former is a well invested global packaging business whilst the latter is an investment portfolio of well-situated industrial properties. In the smaller company area, a holding in bathroom supplier Norcros was added. We believe that the management team will respond well to whatever problems are encountered.

The sales were largely reductions in the holdings of companies that had seen share price appreciation and were therefore starting to look expensive. The reduction in holdings that fall into this category included M&S and Barclays. We believe these remain good sound companies but they are less undervalued than they were. The proceeds are being used for new holdings to refresh the portfolio. The exception was Dowlais which was sold after it received a takeover bid.

Outlook

Tariffs are the current concern for investors and if imposed as currently suggested will lead to downgrades in economic activity and higher inflation. The biggest losers could ironically be the American consumer so there is a chance the tariffs will be reduced in the coming months. The UK escapes relatively unscathed. The cheapest stocks in the UK are usually domestic earners and these are well represented in the portfolio. They are also the companies least affected by Trump's tariffs. They might even be indirect beneficiaries as reduced global economic activity will bring forward interest rate cuts. These cuts will be useful to UK businesses and should divert cash from bank deposits into the stock market. The dividend yield from equities coupled with low valuations may attract investment support. This is a positive background for Lowland. We will remain focused on strong companies that are providing excellent products or services to their clients. It is by providing excellence that they will weather any unforeseen macro-economic storm. A mixture of low valuations, strong management teams and expected interest rate cuts are behind the confidence we have in running a reasonable level of gearing and for our positive outlook for the Company.

James Henderson and Laura Foll Fund Managers 14 May 2025

Unaudited
Half-Year Ended
31 Mar 2025 31 Mar 2024
Extract from the
Condensed Income
Statement
Revenue
return
£'000
Capital
return
£'000
Total
£'000
Revenue
return
£'000
Capital
return
£'000
Total
£'000
(Losses)/gains on investments
held at fair value through profit
or loss
(16,569) (16,569) 23,883 23,883
Income from investments 6,697 6,697 5,849 5,849
Other interest receivable
and similar income
74 74 68 68
Gross revenue and
capital (losses)/gains
6,771 (16,569) (9,798) 5,917 23,883 29,800
Expenses, finance costs
and taxation
(1,377) (959) (2,336) (1,307) (947) (2,254)
Net return/(loss) on ordinary
activities after taxation
5,394 (17,528) (12,134) 4,610 22,936 27,546
Return/(loss) per ordinary
share – basic and diluted
2.06p (6.69p) (4.63p) 1.71p 8.49p 10.20p
Unaudited Audited
Extract from the Condensed
Statement of Financial Position
as at
31 Mar 2025
£'000
as at
31 Mar 2024
£'000
as at
30 Sep 2024
£'000
Investments held at fair value through profit or loss 377,870 416,381 432,617
Net current liabilities less creditors due after more
than one year
(45,762) (48,128) (42,984)
Net assets 332,108 368,253 389,633
Net asset value per ordinary share –
basic and diluted
137.2p 136.3p 144.2p

Dividend

On 30 April 2025, a first interim dividend of 1.625p (2024: 1.6p) per ordinary share was paid in respect of the year ending 30 September 2025. A second interim dividend of 1.65p per ordinary share for the year ending 30 September 2025 has been declared and will be paid on 31 July 2025 to shareholders on the register of members at the close of business on 27 June 2025. The ex-dividend date is 26 June 2025. Based on the number of shares in issue on 14 May 2025 of 232,067,814, being the number of shares in issue, excluding those held in treasury, the cost of the dividend will be £3,829,000 (2024: £4,323,000).

Going Concern

The Directors have considered the liquidity of the portfolio and concluded that the assets of the Company consist of securities that are readily realisable. They have also considered the wars in Ukraine and Israel and changes in the international political landscape, including revenue forecasting, and a review of covenant compliance including the headroom above the most restrictive covenants. They have concluded that they are able to meet their financial obligations as they fall due for at least twelve months from the date of approval of the financial statements. Having assessed these factors, the principal risks and other matters discussed in connection with the viability statement, the Directors considered it appropriate for the financial statements to adopt the going concern basis of accounting in preparing the financial statements.

Principal Risks and Uncertainties

The principal risks and uncertainties associated with the Company's business can be divided into various areas:

  • Market, geopolitical, macroeconomic or environmental;
  • Global pandemic;
  • Investment activity and strategy;
  • Portfolio and market price;
  • Dividend income;
  • Financial;
  • Gearing;
  • Tax and regulatory; and
  • Operational.

Information on these risks and how they are managed is given in the Annual Report for the year ended 30 September 2024. The Board has completed a thorough review of the principal

risks and uncertainties facing the Company. As a result of this review, the Board considers that the principal risks and uncertainties remain largely unchanged and that they are as applicable to the remaining six months of the financial year as they were to the six months under review.

Statement of Directors' Responsibilities

The Directors confirm that, to the best of their knowledge:

  • (a) the condensed set of financial statements for the half-year to 31 March 2025 has been prepared in accordance with "FRS 104 Interim Financial Reporting" and give a true and fair view of the assets, liabilities, financial position and profit or loss of the Company;
  • (b) the Interim Management Report includes a fair review of the information required by Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rule 4.2.7R (indication of important events during the first six months and description of principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year); and
  • (c) the Interim Management Report includes a fair review of the information required by Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rule 4.2.8R (disclosure of related party transactions and changes therein).

On behalf of the Board Helena Vinnicombe Chair 14 May 2025

Investment Portfolio as at 31 March 2025

Market
Value
% of
Company Sector £'000 Portfolio
HSBC Banks 14,681 3.9
BP Oil and Gas 10,684 2.8
Shell Oil and Gas 10,588 2.8
GSK Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology 9,269 2.4
Barclays Banks 8,922 2.4
Aviva Life Insurance 8,714 2.3
FBD Non-Life Insurance (Ireland) 8,315 2.2
M&G Investment Banking and Brokerage Services 7,940 2.1
BT Group Telecommunications Service Providers 7,786 2.1
Irish Continental Industrial Transportation (Ireland) 7,220 1.9
10 Largest 94,119 24.9
International Personal Finance Finance and Credit Services 7,122 1.9
Phoenix Life Insurance 6,979 1.9
Standard Chartered Banks 6,821 1.8
National Grid Gas, Water and Multi-utilities 6,734 1.8
Tesco Personal Care, Drug and Grocery Stores 6,174 1.6
Balfour Beatty Construction and Materials 6,107 1.6
Legal & General Life Insurance 6,065 1.6
Land Securities Real Estate Investment Trusts 5,775 1.5
Rio Tinto Industrial Metals and Mining 5,733 1.5
Babcock Aerospace and Defence 5,722 1.5
20 Largest 157,351 41.6
Epwin¹ Construction and Materials 5,672 1.5
Cranswick Food Producers 5,543 1.5
Clarkson Industrial Transportation 5,486 1.5
IMI Electronic and Electrical Equipment 5,256 1.4
Senior Aerospace and Defence 5,056 1.3
Lloyds Banking Banks 5,046 1.3
Prudential Life Insurance 4,957 1.3
Morgan Advanced Materials Electronic and Electrical Equipment 4,821 1.3
Hill & Smith Industrial Metals and Mining 4,752 1.3
Anglo American Industrial Metals and Mining 4,718 1.2
30 Largest 208,658 55.2
J Sainsbury Personal Care, Drug and Grocery Stores 4,700 1.2
Serica Energy¹ Oil and Gas 4,687 1.2
Smith & Nephew Medical Equipment and Services 4,609 1.2
ZIGUP Industrial Transportation 4,407 1.2
NatWest Banks 4,373 1.2
Ibstock Construction and Materials 4,345 1.2
Kingfisher Retailers 4,239 1.1
STV Media 4,199 1.1
Severn Trent Gas, Water and Multi-utilities 4,176 1.1
Renold¹ Industrial Engineering 4,091 1.1
40 Largest 252,484 66.8

Investment Portfolio as at 31 March 2025 (continued)

Market
Value % of
Company Sector £'000 Portfolio
Johnson Matthey Chemicals 3,906 1.0
H&T Group¹ Finance and Credit Services 3,886 1.0
Elecosoft¹ Software and Computer Services 3,721 1.0
Chesnara Life Insurance 3,712 1.0
Johnson Service¹ Industrial Support Services 3,709 1.0
Beazley Non-Life Insurance 3,708 1.0
Marshalls Construction and Materials 3,614 1.0
Springfield Properties¹ Household Goods and Home Construction 3,483 0.9
FRP Advisory Group¹ Industrial Support Services 3,456 0.9
DCC Industrial Support Services (Ireland) 3,190 0.8
50 Largest 288,869 76.4
Sabre Insurance Non-Life Insurance 3,186 0.8
Inchcape Retailers 2,914 0.8
Vertu Motors¹ Retailers 2,910 0.8
Somero Enterprises¹ Industrial Engineering (USA) 2,856 0.8
Shaftesbury Capital Real Estate Investment Trusts 2,808 0.8
Reach Media 2,788 0.7
Vodafone Telecommunications Service Providers 2,710 0.7
Workspace Real Estate Investment Trusts 2,698 0.7
Mondi General Industrials 2,581 0.7
Castings Industrial Metals and Mining 2,566 0.7
60 Largest 316,886 83.9
Smiths News Industrial Support Services 2,456 0.7
Vanquis Banking Group Finance and Credit Services 2,421 0.6
Bellway Household Goods and Home Construction 2,364 0.6
Hammerson Real Estate Investment Trusts 2,345 0.6
Conduit Non-Life Insurance 2,331 0.6
Halfords Retailers 2,323 0.6
TP ICAP Group Investment Banking and Brokerage Services 2,322 0.6
Palace Capital Real Estate Investment Trusts 2,146 0.6
Elementis Chemicals 2,132 0.6
TT Electronics Technology Hardware and Equipment 2,075 0.5
70 Largest 339,801 89.9
Speedy Hire Industrial Support Services 2,042 0.5
Dunelm Group Retailers 1,999 0.5
Macfarlane General Industrials 1,894 0.5
Oxford Sciences Enterprises² Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology 1,840 0.5
IP Group Investment Banking and Brokerage Services 1,787 0.5
Norcros Construction and Materials 1,732 0.5
Segro Real Estate Investment Trusts 1,727 0.5
Helical Real Estate Investment and Services 1,675 0.5
Domino's Pizza Group Travel and Leisure 1,619 0.4
Ilika¹ Electronic and Electrical Equipment 1,602 0.4
80 Largest 357,718 94.7

Investment Portfolio as at 31 March 2025 (continued)

Market
Value % of
Company Sector £'000 Portfolio
Kier Group Construction and Materials 1,589 0.4
Coats Group General Industrials 1,580 0.4
Midwich¹ Industrial Support Services 1,545 0.4
DFS Furniture Retailers 1,315 0.4
RWS Holdings¹ Industrial Support Services 1,302 0.3
Aberdeen Group Investment Banking and Brokerage Services 1,160 0.3
Headlam Household Goods and Home Construction 1,123 0.3
Churchill China¹ Household Goods and Home Construction 1,087 0.3
Airea¹ Household Goods and Home Construction 1,072 0.3
PZ Cussons Personal Care, Drug and Grocery Stores 1,011 0.3
90 Largest 370,502 98.1
Next 15¹ Media 862 0.2
Card Factory Retailers 852 0.2
Carclo General Industrials 797 0.2
Watkin Jones¹ Household Goods and Home Construction 751 0.2
XP Power Electronic and Electrical Equipment 739 0.2
Flowtech Fluidpower¹ Electronic and Electrical Equipment 651 0.2
Wynnstay¹ Food Producers 486 0.1
River UK Micro Cap
(formerly River & Mercantile)
Closed End Investments 410 0.1
Ultimate Products Household Goods and Home Construction 405 0.1
Paypoint Industrial Support Services 363 0.1
100 Largest 376,818 99.7

1 AlM Stocks 2 Unlisted Investments Source: Janus Henderson

13

Directors

Helena Vinnicombe (Chair) Duncan Budge Gaynor Coley Mark Lam Tom Walker

All of the Directors are non-executive, and members of the Audit Committee (except the Chair), Management Engagement Committee and Nominations Committee.

The Management Engagement Committee and the Nominations Committee are chaired by Helena Vinnicombe and the Audit Committee by Gaynor Coley.

Alternative Investment Fund Manager

Janus Henderson Fund Management UK Limited, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

Tel: 020 7818 1818

Fund Managers

James Henderson Laura Foll

Corporate Secretary

Janus Henderson Secretarial Services UK Limited Email: [email protected]

Performance Details/ Share Price Information

Details of the Company's share price and NAV can be found on the website. The address is www.lowlandinvestment.com. The Company's NAV is published daily.

Shareholder Details

Shareholders who hold their shares in certificated form can check their shareholding with the Registrar, Computershare Investor Services PLC, via www.computershare.com. Please note that to gain access to your details on the Computershare site you will need the holder reference number shown on your share certificate.

Share Price Listings

The market price of the Company's ordinary shares is published daily in The Times, The Telegraph and The Financial Times. The Financial Times also shows figures for the estimated NAV and the discount. The market price of the Company's shares can also be found in the London Stock Exchange Daily Official List.

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Lowland Investment Company plc 201 Bishopsgate London EC2M 3AE

18

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