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Aryzta AG

Investor Presentation May 7, 2025

818_rns_2025-05-07_2a2d2a52-3203-4ece-a30a-ed5bc288f464.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Capital

Markets

Day

7 May 2025

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENT

This document contains forward looking statements which reflect the Board of Directors' current views and estimates. The forward-looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, negative impacts from global tariff/ economic trade conflicts, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures, the effects of a pandemic or epidemic or a natural disaster, or war and regulatory developments.

You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this document. The Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements other than as required by applicable law.

Tariff uncertainty adds potential risk to the economic environment and forecasting visibility

Agenda

Urs Jordi – Chairman

Introduction and progress to date

Michael Schai – Group CEO

Market dynamics and strategic targets

Martin Huber – Group CFO

Financials 2025f – 2028f

Chairman Urs Jordi Introduction and progress to date

OUR JOURNEY TO A SUCCESSFUL VALUE-CREATING COMPANY

Before vs After
Uncontrolled M&A Focus on the Core
Inefficient organisation Simplified strategy &
organisation
Lack of industry knowhow Knowledgeable Board & ExCo
Lack of innovation strategy Return of organic growth
driven by innovation
Losses and debt increases Return to profitability and
de-leveraging
-98%
share
price
decline
2014-2020
+600%
share
price
increase
since
2020

5

CLEAR FOCUS

Strategy:

• Premiumisation through Innovation in the Core Categories Bread Rolls/Buns, Loaves & Laminated Products

A well-defined business model:

  • 100% B2B
  • Focus on outgrowing Bake-off segment
  • Multi-local model
  • Stable experienced management team

Geographies:

• Europe and Rest of World

Routes to Market:

• Retail, QSR, Foodservice

TURNAROUND DELIVERED ONE YEAR EARLY – POSITIONED FOR GROWTH

KPI 2022-25 Targets 2022-24 Achievements
Revenue growth
@ const. pricing1.)
4.5-5.5%
Avg. 4.2%
Revenue >€2bn
From €1.9bn to €2.2bn
EBITDA Margin ≥14.5%
From 12.0% to 14.6%
CAPEX as % of revenue 3.5-4.0%
Avg. 4.0%
ROIC ≥11.0%
From 7.5% to 13.4%
Total net debt leverage
(incl. hybrids)
<3x
From 4.8x to 2.8x

7

1.) @ constant pricing corresponds to volume/mix growth excl. FX

INNOVATING IN AN ATTRACTIVE GROWTH MARKET

Focus on Innovation and Premiumisation

  • Premium products 40% of revenue in 2024
  • Diversifies portfolio away from commodities

Investment in new technologies and capabilities

  • Next generation lamination technology in Malaysia and Switzerland
  • New artisanal line in Germany
  • New Innovation Center in Germany
  • Planning new laminated line in Poland

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE OPENS NEW EFFICIENCIES TARGETS

  • New Board Technology Committee evaluating AI
  • Testing new imaging technology
  • Enhances real time measurement of all KPIs
  • Enables immediate adjustments
  • Ensures strong product consistency
  • Allows operators to focus on running the line
  • Limits capacity-driven CAPEX

IMPROVING FINANCIAL STRENGTH & SHAREHOLDER RETURNS

  • Continue to maintain profitable revenue growth
  • Consistent cash generation
  • Accessing investment grade debt with appropriate leverage
  • Repurchase the remaining hybrid bond
  • Achieve appropriate core equity ratio
  • Targeting to return capital to shareholders (dividend / share buyback)

OUR GOLD STANDARD FOR BAKE-OFF DELIVERING AFFORDABLE INDULGENCE

CEO Michael Schai Market dynamics and strategic targets

TOTAL BAKED GOODS MARKET – A LARGE, ATTRACTIVE & GROWING GLOBAL MARKET

Baked goods:

  • A large global market
  • Predominantly private label
  • Different maturity & growth levels per geography

Source: Euromonitor; *Baked goods include bread, cakes, dessert mixes, frozen baked goods, pastries, dessert pies and tarts

Thousands

Source: Gira

BAKE-OFF IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING SHARE

Total bakery market shares by segment

  • Bake-off continues to be the fastest growing segment of the total bakery market
  • Expected to grow ~2.4% annually

14

TRENDS TO FURTHER ACCELERATE RELATIVE BAKE-OFF GROWTH

Consumer trends:

  • Freshly baked, all day
  • Superior freshness & quality
  • Health & Wellbeing
  • Convenience, 'on-the-go'
  • Innovation
  • Clean label

Customer needs:

  • Freshly baked footfall driver
  • Cost & lack of bakery staff
  • Scratch bakery expensive alternative
  • Food waste reduction

Industry trends:

  • Cold consolidation benefitting bake-off
  • Customers changes in own manufacturing capacity
  • Quality & efficiency improvements
  • Organised industrial bake-off winning market share

BUSINESS MODEL – WE OFFER THE GOLD STANDARD FOR BAKE-OFF

  • Existing customer relationships / partnerships
  • Developing new customer relationships / partnerships
  • Investing in new product technologies Laminated and Artisanal lines
  • Market share gains from industry consolidation and changes in manufacturing footprint
  • Digital transformation / automation
  • Geographic expansion by establishing new sales offices e.g. South Korea
  • M&A / Bolt-ons

Malaysia:

Switzerland:

Germany:

Ireland:

21

QSR:

INNOVATION SUPPORTING ORGANIC GROWTH

  • c. €100m growth CAPEX 2022-24
    • ➢ c.40% of total CAPEX envelope
  • Innovation is margin accretive added 30bps/yr to margin 2022-24
  • State-of-the-art innovation center in Germany:
    • Available and accessible to all Group businesses
    • Covering ARYZTA's entire portfolio capabilities
    • Serving all customers and channels

MARKET DYNAMICS AND STRATEGIC TARGETS

MANUFACTURING AND COMMERCIAL FOOTPRINT

ARYZTA RELEVANT ACROSS ALL CHANNELS IN BAKE-OFF

Channel • Foodservice • Convenience • Grocery independent • Bakeries independent • Large Retail • QSR • Wholesale Customer/ Product Base • Large number of products and customers • Bought-in finished goods from external and ARYZTA bakeries • Global and regional QSR chains, bespoke products • Produced by our bakeries • Few large customers • Customised SKUs • Produced by our bakeries • Integrated production model • Servicing based on customer demands • Service and distribution model • Direct Store Delivery (DSD) • Production and logistics model • Central warehouse delivery Business model ARYZTA Bakery ARYZTA QSR ARYZTA Food Solutions

focus

ARYZTA ACHIEVES 10% MARKET SHARE

Source: Gira/ARYZTA Intelligence (FY24), market size shown only for markets with ARYZTA presence, ex factory prices

EXCELLENT GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES ACROSS ALL CATEGORIES

Consumer growth trends:

  • New taste & look
  • Artisanal appeal
  • Health-conscious indulgence
  • Convenience & 'on-the-go'
  • Ethnic & fusion flavours

Source: Gira/ARYZTA Intelligence, market size shown only for markets with ARYZTA presence, ex factory prices

EXCELLENT GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES ACROSS ALL CHANNELS

Channel growth drivers:

  • QSR: value-oriented pricing strategies, digitalisation
  • Retail: expanded bake-off offerings, convenience
  • Food Service: bake-off expansion, convenience, onthe-go

Source: Gira/ARYZTA Intelligence, market size shown only for markets with ARYZTA presence, ex factory prices

MARKET DYNAMICS AND STRATEGIC TARGETS

ACTIVE INDUSTRY CONSOLIDATION

  • c.20 consolidation transactions in our sector since 2020
  • c.50% Europe and c.50% US
  • Average multiple for European transactions was c.10.5x EV/EBITDA
  • Average multiple for US transactions was c.10.7x EV/EBITDA
  • EV range was €200m €2bn

CURRENT COMPETITOR LANDSCAPE

  • 1 ARYZTA revenue >€2bn

  • 2 Europastry revenue >€1.5bn

  • The next four include Lantmännen, Harry Brot, Vandemoortele and La Lorraine with revenue of c. €1.2-1.4bn
  • The rest have revenue of c. €200-900m

Note: Revenue based on company disclosures or ARYZTA's own estimates

1.) Grupo Bimbo, Mexican listed company, mainly Ambient/Packaged Bakery and Buns

MARKET DYNAMICS AND STRATEGIC TARGETS

NEW MID-TERM TARGETS FY 2025F - FY 2028F

Tariff uncertainty adds potential risk to the economic environment and forecasting visibility

31

ARYZTA'S ESG PILLARS

  • 3 Pillar Strategy
  • SBTi targets in 2025
  • 86% of 2023 carbon footprint is Scope 3: - 64% from purchased goods/raw materials
  • Improved significantly our independent ESG ratings in 2024
  • Good Governance with Board oversight & ExCo responsibility

SUSTAINABILITY PROGRESS

Progress on ARYZTA's ambitions under three pillars

33

Note: For the footnotes, please refer to page 101 of the 2024 Annual Report

Environmental

MARKET DYNAMICS AND STRATEGIC TARGETS

KEY TAKE AWAYS

  • ✓ The Global Bakery market is a very large and attractive market
  • Bake-Off continues to be the fastest growing segment, driven by strong underlying consumer and customer demand
  • ✓ Active industry consolidation is on-going, ARYZTA's primary focus in on organic growth
  • ✓ ARYZTA's focused strategy on the bake-off segment in Europe and Rest of World (no direct US exposure) will continue to deliver sustainable, profitable growth over the mid-term plan
  • ✓ ARYZTA is servicing all 3 main channels through a tailored manufacturing & service model, therefore addressing the full growth potential

CFO Martin Huber Financials 2025f – 2028f

GROWTH DRIVERS

1.) Relates to the 12-month period ended December

2.) Corresponds to volume/mix growth excl. pricing and FX

EBITDA/EBIT % of revenue

PREMIUMISATION & DISCIPLINED COST MANAGEMENT IMPROVING PROFITABILITY

BUILDING BLOCKS OF MARGIN EXPANSION

Increased digital maturity supported by AI

MARGIN EXPANSION IN OPERATIONS

  • Continuous improvement programs based on maturity assessment
  • Technology clusters optimise and standardise key production
  • War on Waste addressing food-waste and net weight control
  • Leveraging AI supported Operational Technology (OT) to improve costs, quality and consistency

Key Achievements 2022-2024:

  • Continuous improvement program:
    • → Conversion costs as % of revenue reduced to Index 93
    • → War on Waste: waste as % of raw and packaging material reduced to Index 92
  • Target costing pilot program run in 5 factories

Ambition 2025f-28f:

Targeted cost optimisation€5-10m

MARGIN EXPANSION IN PROCUREMENT

  • Full roll-out of above market procurement organisation
  • One global procurement system with unified data model
  • Integrated Source-to-Pay process leveraging ERP embedded AI capability
  • SIMPLEX Phase 2

Key Achievements 2022-2024:

  • → Procurement & SIMPLEX costs optimisation >€36m
  • → Increased procurement coverage from 60% to >75%
  • 0% → Direct procurement fully centralised

Ambition 2025f–28f:

Targeted cost optimisation€20-30m

MARGIN EXPANSION BY ADDRESSING STRUCTURAL COSTS

  • Scaling of Business Service Center (BSC) beyond Finance
  • Leveraging Group competence centers
  • Organisational alignment for all non-customer facing functions
  • Standardisation of organisational model in all factories

Key Achievements 2022-2024:

  • → Transactional F&C activities transferred to BSC for 60% of Group revenue
  • → Roll out of first phase of above market procurement
  • → Framework for organisational alignment established

Ambition 2025f–28f:

Targeted cost optimisation€15-20m

DIGITAL MATURITY

  • Accelerating Customer Experience and eCommerce
  • ERP and Application standardisation
  • Process and service level development
  • Leveraging Power of Data
  • IT and OT infrastructure standardisation

Key Achievements 2022-2024:

  • → S/4 Go-Live in Switzerland 60% of revenue supported by SAP
  • → One Analytical Data Lake, one IT Service Management platform
  • → Continuous mitigation of IT/OT and Cyber Security risks toward Zero Trust Model

Ambition 2025f–28f:

  • → Empower users & customers with Integrated AI and Analytics
  • → Unified Data Model for AI and Machine Learning

Expected ramp-up costs: €20-30m

FREE CASH FLOW GENERATION

Free Cash flow, conversion rate and Trade W/C as % of revenue

Cash generation supported by…

  • Growth driven EBITDA progression
  • Continued W/C discipline
  • Optimised financing costs

…allowing for…

  • 3.5-4.5% CAPEX driving growth
  • Higher cash taxes due to profit normalisation
  • Optimisation of securitisation
  • Targeting FCF Conversion >40%3.) of EBITDA

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1.) Relates to the 12-month period ended December

2.) Quarters correspond to financial periods aligned with calendar year to December 2022 and December 2023 (based on pro-forma information)

3.) FCF Conversion Rate >40% does not consider potential optimisation of securitisation

ADDRESSING THE CAPITAL STRUCTURE

Total Net Debt in €m & Leverage Ratio

  • Consistent cash generation
  • Repayment of hybrid bond linked to appropriate core-equity ratio
  • Diversification of debt stack
    • optimising financing costs
  • B/S flexibility to support growth

FINANCIALS 2025F – 2028F

ROIC

ROIC %

  • Margin progression
  • Disciplined CAPEX management
  • Optimising capacity utilisation:
    • Intercompany sourcing & consistent make or buy
    • Above market coordination of manufacturing capacity

CAPITAL ALLOCATION FOCUSED ON GROWTH, BALANCE SHEET & SHAREHOLDER RETURN

IN SUMMARY

  • Organic Growth driven business model in an attractive and growing market
  • Continuous improvement of operating profit margin
  • Consistent delivery of cash generation and capital efficiency
  • Evolving toward investment grade and further optimised financing costs
  • Recommence returning capital to shareholders

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