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Norske Skog ASA

Investor Presentation Apr 23, 2025

3687_rns_2025-04-23_a61b2370-a6f5-42e1-9b98-cec91b23fa39.pdf

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Q1 2025 presentation

23 April 2025

Transformation journey Creating valuable products from wood fibre

Strategic transition

  • Publication paper
  • Packaging paper
  • Fibre projects
2020-22
Invest
2023-25
Ramp-up
2026-27
Harvest
  • Growing packaging paper producer
  • RCCM capacity: 760kt (growth phase)
  • Leading publication paper producer
    • Newsprint capacity: 840kt
    • LWC magazine capacity: 265kt
    • SC magazine capacity: 200kt
  • Exploring fibre projects
    • BCTMP capacity: 300kt (design phase)
  • 2024 CDP Climate Change Score "A-"

Four high quality industrial sites

Nine paper machines with supporting infrastructure for energy, fibre, and water

Quarter highlights

First quarter 2025

EBITDA of NOK 612m in the quarter

  • Final settlement agreed with insurance company, NOK 540m paid in full and NOK 560m recognised in EBITDA during Q1 2025
  • Continued pressure on margins and implementing cost reductions across all mills

Increasing market share in challenging markets

  • Maintaining high deliveries for both newsprint and magazine paper grades despite low utilisation rates in the industry
  • Increasing deliveries and prices for containerboard despite excess capacity in the market

Signed share sale agreement for Australasian operations

  • Share sale agreement signed on 7 February and the transaction closed on 16 April
  • The sale resulted in a payment of around NOK 150m in Q2 2025

Reviewing future opportunities at Saugbrugs

  • Study for BCTMP project and PM6 restart completed
  • Review of studies ongoing

177 187 184 198 177 39 41 50 49 51 46 52 49 45 45 38 41 42 41 48 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 News SC LWC RCCM Deliveries volume Total operating income

EBITDA Pre-tax profit

group covenant of min. NOK 400m LTM1

Profit/loss pre-tax

Financial position First quarter 2025

Book equity to total assets group covenant of min. 25%

Equity ratio

Equity ratio Interest coverage ratio

EBITDA to net cash interest cost group covenant of min. 2.0x

Cash Net debt 1

NOKm

group covenant of min. NOK 100m unrestricted

NOKm (and leverage ratio) no group maintenance covenant

5 Note: Covenants calculated according to definitions in loan agreements 1) For Q2 2024, note that NOK 977m (NOK 1 005m including call premium and accumulated interest) was repaid following end of quarter as part of the bond refinancing. Pro forma, in Q2 2024 the cash position was NOK 1 779m of which NOK 584m was restricted

Segment financials Publication paper First quarter 2025

NOK million Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25
Publication
paper
Deliveries, kt 262 279 283 291 273
Operating revenue 1 956 2 053 2 124 2 226 2 152
Other operating income 102 461 100 143 626
Total operating income 2 058 2 514 2 224 2 369 2 778
Distribution costs 213 222 234 235 228
Cost of materials 1 148 1 271 1 357 1 498 1 415
Employee benefit expenses 357 367 356 367 312
Other operating expenses 174 192 178 229 175
EBITDA 166 464 99 40 649
EBITDA margin 8% 18% 4% 2% 23%
Packaging
paper
Deliveries, kt 38 41 42 41 48
Operating revenue 141 182 212 187 210
Other operating income 36 26 37 31 44
Total operating income 177 207 249 218 255
Distribution costs 23 25 27 26 29
Cost of materials 105 124 154 143 143
Employee benefit expenses 40 41 45 31 76
Other operating expenses 15 15 15 16 42
EBITDA -7 2 8 3 -35
EBITDA margin -4% 1% 3% 1% -14%
Other
activities
Total operating income 158 189 225 233 208
EBITDA -9 -1 -19 -10 -2
  • Lower deliveries due to weather related unplanned shuts at Skogn, production at normal levels into Q2 2025
  • Slightly higher achieved prices due to mix effects and mitigation of cost pressures from energy and fibre
  • Positive EBITDA contribution of NOK 560m from the final insurance settlement at Saugbrugs
  • Fixed costs relating to Golbey PM1 of approximately NOK 60-65m shifted from Publication paper to Packaging paper

Packaging paper

  • Deliveries from Bruck PM3 according to plan and utilisation of more than 90% in the quarter, on target for full utilisation of 95% in H2 2025. Bruck PM3 contributed positive EBITDA of NOK 20m in the quarter
  • Slight reduction in the average sales price, however price increases announced and implemented towards the end of the quarter will have full impact in Q2 2025
  • Lower OCC prices in the quarter, however, increases expected going forward
  • Golbey PM1 to start production end of April 2025. Paper machine commissioning represents most of the remaining work, all other activities nearly complete
  • Quarterly fixed costs in the quarter of NOK 60-65m shifted from Publication paper to Packaging paper relating to Golbey PM1. In addition, some labour costs were capitalised relating to the containerboard project
  • Expect slightly positive gross margin (excluding distribution costs) from Golbey PM1 in Q2 2025, distribution costs expected around EUR 75-90 per tonne for initial volumes

Transformation through strategic projects Strategic projects near completion and embarking on next step of growth journey

Containerboard production

  • Started Q1 2023
  • Full utilisation H2 2025
  • Net capex EUR 120m
  • Project debt EUR 57m
  • Capacity 210kt

Waste-to-energy boiler

  • Started Q2 2022
  • Full utilisation Q2 2023
  • Net capex EUR 72m
  • Project debt EUR 32m
  • Capacity 50 MW

Projects at Norske Skog Bruck completed Projects at Norske Skog Golbey to be completed end of April

Containerboard production

  • Starting end of April 2025
  • Full utilisation H1 2027
  • Net capex EUR 320m
    • Remaining capex EUR 35-40m
    • Remaining grants EUR ~50m
  • Project debt EUR 170m
  • Capacity 550kt

Biomass boiler JV

  • Started Q4 2024
  • Full utilisation 2025
  • Equity share EUR 5m
  • Capacity 125 MW

Green Valley Energie is a JV between Norske Skog (10%), Veolia (10%) and Pearl Infrastructure (80%), where Norske Skog will be sole offtaker of steam under a competitive longterm contract

Publication paper market balance Newsprint utilisation rates at sustainable levels

Newsprint market balance Western Europe Uncoated mechanical market balance Western Europe

Coated mechanical market balance Western Europe

Thousand tonnes and change in demand (and utilisation rate) Thousand tonnes and change in demand (and utilisation rate) Thousand tonnes and change in demand (and utilisation rate)

Publication paper cost curves

Norske Skog newsprint machines competitively positioned

Packaging paper market

Norske Skog increasing market share despite excess capacity in the industry

RCCM market balance Western Europe

Thousand tonnes and change in demand (and utilisation rate)

Raw materials

Continued high costs for raw materials impacting profitability

Paper prices

Prices track marginal producer cash cost, increases required for all grades

Reviewing future opportunities at Saugbrugs Studies completed and under review

BCTMP project

  • Project study completed and under review
  • Regulation process and environmental application progressing towards completion in a few months
  • Expected net investment of NOK 1.5-2.0bn

Paper machine 6 (PM6) restart

  • Project study completed and under review
  • Expected net investment of NOK 300-350m

Outlook

Concluding remarks

  • Uncertain and volatile operating environment with pressure on profitability
  • Significant emphasis on reducing production cost and working capital to maintain competitive position
  • Bruck PM3 to reach full capacity utilisation of 95% in H2 2025
  • Golbey PM1 to start production end of April 2025 and to reach full utilisation in 2027
  • Remaining gross capex at Golbey PM1 expected to be EUR 35-40m and expect to receive EUR ~50m in energy certificates and investment grants during 2026-27
  • Monitoring capital and liquidity position closely with several ongoing initiatives to secure financial performance and competitive position going forward

We create

green value

Norske Skog ASA Postal address: P.O. Box 294 Skøyen, 0213 Oslo, Norway Visitors: Sjølyst Plass 2, 0278 Oslo, Norway

Phone: +47 22 51 20 20 Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected]

This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with Norske Skog's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives . All statements regarding the future are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements .

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