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CTT-Correios de Portugal

Investor Presentation Mar 20, 2025

1911_iss_2025-03-20_f9c41334-fd68-46a1-b3bc-039b1fbc1b6f.pdf

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20 March

2025

Commitment with Purpose

FY24 Results Presentation

Disclaimer

DISCLAIMER

This document has been prepared by CTT – Correios de Portugal, S.A. (the "Company" or "CTT") exclusively for use during the presentation of the FY24 results. As a consequence thereof, this document may not be disclosed or published, nor used by any other person or entity, for any other reason or purpose without the express and prior written consent of CTT. This document (i) may contain summarised information and be subject to amendments and supplements, and (ii) the information contained herein has not been verified, reviewed nor audited by any of the Company's advisors or auditors.

Except as required by applicable law, CTT does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the information contained in this document. Consequently, the Company does not assume liability for this document if it is used for a purpose other than the above. No express or implied representation, warranty or undertaking is made as to, and no reliance shall be placed on, the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions or statements expressed herein. Neither the Company nor its subsidiaries, affiliates, directors, employees or advisors assume liability of any kind, whether for negligence or any other reason, for any damage or loss arising from any use of this document or its contents. Neither this document nor any part of it constitutes a contract, nor may it be used for incorporation into or construction of any contract or agreement.

This document has an informative nature and does not constitute, nor must it be interpreted as, an offer to sell, issue, exchange or buy any financial instruments (namely any securities issued by CTT or by any of its subsidiaries or affiliates), nor a solicitation of any kind by CTT, its subsidiaries or affiliates. Distribution of this document in certain jurisdictions may be prohibited, and recipients into whose possession this document comes shall be solely responsible for informing themselves about, and observing any such restrictions. Moreover, the recipients of this document are invited and advised to consult the public information disclosed by CTT on its website (www.ctt.pt) as well as on the Portuguese Securities Market Commission's website (www.cmvm.pt). In particular, the contents of this presentation shall be read and understood in light of the financial information disclosed by CTT, through such means, which prevail in regard to any data presented in this document. By attending the meeting where this presentation is made and reading this document, you agree to be bound by the foregoing restrictions.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This presentation contains forward-looking statements. All the statements herein which are not historical facts, including, but not limited to, statements expressing our current opinion or, as applicable, those of our directors regarding the financial performance, the business strategy, the management plans and objectives concerning future operations and investments are forward-looking statements. Statements that include the words "expects", "estimates", "foresees", "predicts", "intends", "plans", "believes", "anticipates", "will", "targets", "may", "would", "could", "continues" and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements.

All forward-looking statements included herein involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause our actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Any forward-looking statements in this document reflect our current views concerning future events and are subject to these and other risks, uncertainties and assumptions relating to the results of our operations, growth strategy and liquidity, and the wider environment (specifically, market developments, investment opportunities and regulatory conditions).

Although CTT believes that the assumptions beyond such forward-looking statements are reasonable when made, any third parties are cautioned that forward-looking information and statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the control of CTT, what could cause the models, objectives, plans, estimates and / or projections to be materially reviewed and / or actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied or projected by, the forward-looking information and statements.

Forward-looking statements (in particular, the objectives, estimates and projections as well as the corresponding assumptions) do neither represent a commitment regarding the models and plans to be implemented, nor are they guarantees of future performance, nor have they been reviewed by the auditors of CTT. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements herein.

All forward-looking statements included herein speak only as at the date of this presentation. Except as required by applicable law, CTT does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forwardlooking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Operational Review

Overview

Guidance accomplished €85m recurring EBIT, of which €71m (+38% y.o.y.) from Logistics and Bank
Strong Cash Flow Operating CF growing 6.7% y.o.y. to €70m1
Balance sheet flexibility 1.6x net debt/EBITDA1
, well below 2.5x limit envisaged in CTT's financial policy
Inorganic transactions Acquisition of Cacesa
and DHL JV enable diversification and fuel further growth in Iberia
Shareholder remuneration Attractive and clear policy: €0.17 to be paid as DPS and €25m SBB ongoing

38% growth in rec. EBIT of Logistics and Bank, beating guidance

Overview

Revenues1

€ million; % change y.o.y.

Recurring EBIT1

€ million; % change y.o.y.

Public debt placements have normalised in 4Q24

Record volumes in peak season sustaining revenue growth throughout the year

E&P | Revenues

€ million; % change y.o.y.

Express & Parcels

E&P Iberia | CEP Volumes

million items

2025 expected to be another record year

Significant margin expansion due to operational leverage

Express & Parcels

Future growth should continue to enable margin expansion

Excellent organic growth legitimises non-organic acceleration

Express & Parcels

value chain (customs clearance)

engines of e-commerce

of new skills

Cacesa's acquisition and partnership with DHL are complementary

Express & Parcels

2%

US to Europe

19%

17% Asia to Europe

DHL differentiated characteristics to enhance CTT's presence in these flows in Iberia

CTT's strong foothold on cross-border e-commerce to be further reinforced by the acquisition of Cacesa

9

Source: "IPC global e-commerce supply chain study 2023" – January 2024; McKinsey analysis.

Continued focus on strengthening portfolio in e-commerce logistics

Express & Parcels

More working days and backlog reversal with a positive impact on 4Q volumes

Mail & Other

Addressed mail volumes

% change vs. prior year

  • Adjusted for elections impact
  • Reported

Addressed mail average revenue per item

% change vs. prior year

6.9% price increase implemented in February 2025

Solid revenue performance, underpinned by seasonal volume recovery

Mail & Other

Addressed mail revenues

€ million

€ million

Addressed mail revenues per working day

Backlog recovery expected to continue in 2025

Strong 4Q24 in mail, as anticipated, enabling EBIT growth

Mail & Other

Mail & Other | Revenues

€ million; % change y.o.y.

Mail & Other | Rec. EBIT

€ million; % change y.o.y.

Margin: 1.7% 4.4%

Our mindset continues to be of cost reduction to protect profitability

Mail & Other

Mail & Other | Costs (Rec. EBIT level)

€ million

Mail & Other | Rec. EBIT € million

In 2024 CTT took significant steps on mail quality and client engagement

Mail & Other

  • More adequate USO quality indicators
  • Relatively to deliveries in continental Portugal

Traceable mail

  • Control the quality of mail previously not traceable
  • Added value service for customers

15

Reorganising the network

• Improving capacity to deliver mail with quality and at a sustainable cost

Promoting digital alternatives

  • Reformulation of digital certified mail offering to include new services such as payments and archiving
  • More competitive commercial approach

Additional operational efficiencies

  • New and incremental cost reductions
  • Clients' retention 2024

Strong recovery in public debt placements led to normalised levels

Financial Services

Public Debt placements, per quarter

€ million

Record amount in Portuguese deposits (€190bn) which meanwhile became no longer attractive vs. public debt certificates

Portuguese government authorised IGCP to issue €10bn of public debt certificates in 2025

CTT online platform for subscription of debt certificates has strong and growing adoption

Limits per subscriber doubled from €50k to €100k on October 7

Healthcare plans bring extra and more predictable revenues

Financial Services

Healthcare Plans

number of users; % change y.o.y.

Recurring revenue, which with time, will become an increasingly relevant business

Competitive offer at a low price and with significant discounts in private hospitals and clinics

CTT's broad retail network excels in the distribution of these plans

Growing strongly in both individuals and SMEs users

Continued optimisation of retail network to expand the services offering

Financial Services

Banco CTT is increasing the engagement per client

CMD22 target for

Bank

Bank | Number of accounts

thousand accounts, EoP; % change y.o.y.

Bank | Business volumes

€ million; % change y.o.y.

Business volumes already surpassed CMD22 target

Banco CTT continues to capture market share

Bank

Customer deposits1

€ million, EoP

Banco CTT is gaining market share (Portuguese deposits5 grew 7.2%)

Improving client engagement by:

  • Revamping Banco CTT hubs and upgrade core platform and digital channels
  • Reinforcing commercial capabilities to drive a more aggressive commercial approach
  • Loan growth subject to strict and unchanged risk appetite

Loans volumes2,3

€ million, EoP

Record RoTE in Banco CTT, reaching CMD22 targets for 2025

Bank

Revenues

€ million; % change vs. prior year

Profit before Taxes3

€ million; % change vs. prior year

RoTE2

1Cumulative;

2Recurring RoTE, cumulative, excluding specific items and normalised assuming a tangible equity of 15% of average RWAs, compatible with the CMD 2022 targets; Under the current capital structure the RoTE is 10.0% for FY24. 3Banco CTT consolidation perimeter, excluding specific items;

Investing to unlock future growth potential of Banco CTT

Bank

Continuing to grow in business volumes

Become the main bank for most of our customers

Selective growth on credit

Achieve an engagement per client similar to incumbents

Excelling in Savings

Launch new products such as fund distribution, structured deposits and off-balance sheet savings

Investing to enhance client engagement

Upgrade of core systems

New digital channels

Specialised branches

Generali partnership to have a significant contribution to these goals

Continued progress in ESG dynamics in a context of strong volumes

Non-eligible

Eligible, non-aligned Eligible, aligned

ESG

Revenues Capex2

41%

119

17%

42%

2024

9%

  • Eligible activities represent 77.5% of consolidated revenues (+5.3pp y.oy)
  • Aligned activities represent 27.4% of consolidated revenues (+7.4pp y.o.y)
  • Increases driven by growth in E&P segment and decline in FS (non-eligible)

Carbon emissions4

thousand tonnes; % change vs. prior year

1The activities identified in the previous year were maintained. However, the methodology for determining corresponding Turnover and CAPEX, changed to accommodate the clarifications of the EU Taxonomy and to improve alignment with the reporting of European peers. The 2023 numbers were revised according for comparability.

2For taxonomy purposes, capex includes also new building lease contracts booked as right of use and remeasurements, in addition to what was reported in FY23.

3Past figures were restated due to change in methodology and for comparison purposes.

4Carbon emissions were adjusted to expand the categories included in the disclosure, using more recent databases and methodology changes.

Financial Review

Seasonally stronger 4Q with an impressive y.o.y. growth

Financial Review

Key financial indicators

€ million; % change vs. prior year
-- -- ------------------------------------ -- -- --
y.o.y
4Q23
4Q24
269.8
315.0
16.8%
Revenues1
13.6%
233.5
265.3
EBITDA2
Operating costs -
36.3
49.7
37.0%
EBITDA2
16.8
19.2
14.4%
Depreciation & amortisation
19.5
30.5
56.5%
Recurring EBIT1
»
-1.2
4.7
Specific items
24.7%
20.7
25.8
EBIT
6.4%
-4.6
-4.3
Financial result
-8.9
2.9
»
Tax
Net profit attributable to equity
-28.8%
25.0
17.8
holders
82.1%
29.8
54.3
Free cash flow
Quarter
4Q23 4Q24 y.o.y
25.0 17.8 -28.8%

E&P is the highest growth business

Financial Review

Revenues1

€ million; % change vs. prior year

Revenue1 breakdown

€ million; % change vs. prior year; % of total

FY24

...and takes the lead in revenue contribution

Continued focus on profitability

Financial Review

Operating costs1

€ million; % change vs. prior year

Operating costs (Rec. EBIT)1 breakdown

€ million; % change vs. prior year; % of total

  • E&P costs grew €33.1m mainly due to increased business activity
  • Mail & Other costs increased €2.9m, due to inflation, while benefitting from higher FS contribution
  • Financial Services costs increased €0.8m, due to higher public debt placements
  • Bank costs decreased €2.6m mainly due to the reduction in impairment & provisions (-€4.1m) partially offset by higher staff costs.

Record recurring EBIT in 4Q24 underpinned by margin expansion

Financial Review

Recurring EBIT1

€ million; % change vs. prior year

Normalisation of FS as a positive driver of rec. EBIT for 2025

Higher capex and taxes explaining most of the FCF changes

Financial Review

FY24 Cash flow

€ million; impact on cash flow vs. prior year

Net financial debt as at 31 December 20241

€ million

Consolidated
(+) Cash & cash equivalents 315.9
(-) Net Financial Services & Other payables 2 220.8
(-) Banco CTT liabilities, net 2 -245.0
(-) Other 3 45.7
(=) Adjusted cash 294.4
(-) Financial debt 69.9
(=) Net cash position 224.5
(-) Lease liabilities (IFRS 16) 156.4
Net financial cash1 68.1

1Only financial debt presented in the table, not including net employee benefits of €135.2m as at 31 December 2024; 2The change in net liabilities of Financial Services and Banco CTT reflects the evolution of credit balances with third parties, depositors or other banking financial liabilities, net of the amounts invested in credit or investments in securities/banking financial assets, of entities of the CTT Group providing financial services, namely CTT financial services, Payshop, Banco CTT and 321 Crédito. 3The change in other cash items reflects the evolution of Banco CTT's sight deposits at Bank of Portugal, outstanding cheques/clearing of Banco CTT cheques, and impairment of sight and term deposits and bank applications

Strong cash-flow generation underpinning balance sheet flexibility

and other

2024

Evolution of net debt

30

Financial Review

FY24 Cash flow

€ million; with Banco CTT under equity method

EBITDA and leverage

€ million; with Banco CTT under equity method

5.5 Interest

Outlook & Final Remarks

Outlook and final remarks

Uniquely positioned e-commerce logistics player in Iberia

Market share expansion based on commercial proactivity, quality and service differentiation. Cacesa and DHL deals to fuel further growth in E&P

Synergic Mail operation

Retail network shared by bank, FS, mail and parcels

FS as a profitability enhancer

Normalised debt placements and new

Fastest growing retail Bank in Portugal

Growing business volumes through increased engagement with clients

services Achieved 2024 guidance

… and already achieved 2025 revenue guidance issued in the CMD22 (€1.1-1.25bn)

>€100m organic Rec EBIT guidance for 2025

In line with the CMD22 guidance

DPS of €0.17

Steady dividend proposed, equivalent to a 52% payout and 3.1%1 yield

1Taking into account the share price at 31/12/2024

Commitment with Purpose

FY24 Results Presentation

Investor Relations

Phone: +351 210 471 087 E-mail: [email protected] ctt.pt

20 March 2025

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