Quarterly Report • Nov 9, 2016
Quarterly Report
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Assumes maintenance of the framework regulating the limits to the deductions of credit impairment effective as at 31 December 2015
Highlights
| Summary | • Earnings excluding non-usual items improves by €67.9 million, efficiency improves by 3pp and balance sheet strengthens, with NPE total coverage* now at 99%; total earnings significantly affected by non-usual impairment charges related to the legacy portfolio, aimed at reinforcing credit coverage. |
|---|---|
| Profitability and efficiency Continued improvement of recurring earnings |
• Core net income up 8.4% to €665.8 million, resulting in cost to core income improving to 52.0% (cost to income of 46.0%). • Earnings excluding non-usual items* improved to +€74.5 million (€6.5 million in the same period of 2015). Total results were negative due to the impact of non-usual impairment charges: -€53.8 million in the 3rd quarter of 2016, -€251.1 million in the first 9 months of 2016. |
| Asset quality Coverage reinforced significantly |
to 11.0% as at September 30th • NPL>90d ratio fell 2016 from 11.5% as at the same date of 2015; NPL>90d total coverage strengthened to 119.3% (coverage by loan-loss reserves: 65.5%). Booking of €100 million of additional impairment charges in Portugal in • 3Q16 (€400 million in 9M16), resulting in NPE total coverage strengthening to 99% (91% as at September 30th 2015), supporting the target of <€7.5 billion NPE for December 2017. |
* Non-usual items in 9M16: gains on Visa transaction, devaluation of corporate restructuring funds and additional impairment charges to increase coverage; non-usual items in 9M15: capital gains on Portuguese sovereign debt and devaluation of corporate restructuring funds. | ** By loan-loss reserves, expected loss gap and collaterals.|*** Core net income = net interest income + net fees and commission income – operating costs, core income = net interest income + net fees and commission income.
* Core net income = net interest income + net fees and commission income – operating costs. | ** Non-usual items in 9M16: gains on Visa transaction, devaluation of corporate restructuring funds and additional impairment charges to increase coverage; non-usual items in 9M15: capital gains on Portuguese sovereign debt and devaluation of corporate restructuring funds. | *** Based on Customer deposits and net loans to Customers. | **** Estimates.
8
9
| (million euros) | 9M15 | 9M16 | Impact on earnings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Core net income | 614.1 | 665.8 | +51.7 |
| Mandatory contributions (Portugal and Poland) | -47.6 | -96.4 | -48.9 |
| Other operating income | 141.5 | 189.2 | +47.7 |
| Operating net income (bef. impairment and provisions) | 708.0 | 758.5 | +50.5 |
| Impairment and provisions | -709.5 | -584.5 | +125.1 |
| Net income before income tax | -1.5 | 174.1 | +175.6 |
| Income taxes, non-controlling interests and disc. operations | 8.1 | -99.6 | -107.7 |
| Net income excluding non-usual items | 6.5 | 74.5 | +67.9 |
| Gains on Visa transaction | 0.0 | 47.1 | +47.1 |
| Capital gains on Portuguese sovereign debt in 2015 | 272.9 | 0.0 | -272.9 |
| Devaluation of corporate restructuring funds | -14.9 | -90.6 | -75.7 |
| Additional impairment charges (to increase coverage)* | 0.0 | -282.0 | -282.0 |
| Total non-usual items, net of taxes | 258.0 | -325.6 | -583.6 |
| Net income | 264.5 | -251.1 | -515.6 |
82% of the real estate collateral is residential
Highlights
Future debt repayments (medium-long term) significantly lower than in the past
Highlights
| Non-usual items | ||
|---|---|---|
| 9M15 | 9M16 | |
| Net income excluding non-usual items | -157.5 | -42.5 |
| Gains on the Visa transaction | 0.0 | 20.9 |
| Gains on Portuguese sovereign debt in 2015 | 272.9 | 0.0 |
| Devaluation of corporate restructuring funds | -14.9 | -90.6 |
| Add. impairment charges (increase coverage)* | 0.0 | -282.0 |
| Total of non-usual items, net | 258.0 | -351.8 |
| Net income | 100.5 | -394.3 |
(Million euros)
| 9M15 | 9M16 | Δ % Δ % local euros currency 130.3 +15.5% 51.8 +21.9% 28.5 +40.9% 6.5 -33.3% 217.0 +17.2% -82.3 -- 134.8 134.8 134.8 |
ROE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| International operations | |||||
| Poland | 112.8 | +9.7% | 11.4% | ||
| Mozambique | 42.5 | -23.3% | 21.6% | ||
| Angola* | 20.2 | -1.0% | |||
| Other | 9.7 | -34.4% | |||
| Net income | 185.3 | -3.6% | |||
| Non-controlling interests Poland and Mozambique | -64.7 | ||||
| Exchange rate effect | 28.7 | ||||
| Total contribution international operations | 149.3 | -9.7% | |||
| On a comparable basis: | |||||
| Millennium Poland shareholding at 50.1% in 1Q15 | 143.5 | -6.1% | |||
| Same as above without FX effect | 114.8 | +17.4% |
* Contribution of the Angolan operation.
Contribution
international operations increases on a comparable basis
from
Note: subsidiaries' net income presented for 2015 at the same exchange rate as of 2016 for comparison purposes, without FX effect.
(Million euros)
* Pro forma data. Margin from derivative products, including those from hedging FX denominated loan portfolio, is included in net interest income, whereas in accounting terms, part of this margin (€9.4 million in 9M15 and €7.4 million in 9M16) is presented in net trading income. FX effect excluded. €/Zloty constant at September 2016 levels: Income Statement 4.37407778; Balance Sheet 4.3192.
| Consolidated | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9M15 | 9M16 | 2018 | |
| CT1 / CET1 | 13.2% phased 10.0% fully |
12.2% phased 9.5% fully |
> 11% |
| Loans to Deposits |
104% | 100% | < 100% |
| Cost - Income |
41.0%** | 46.0% | < 43% |
| Cost - Core Income |
55.3% | 52.0% | < 50% |
| Cost of risk | 148 bp | 221 bp | < 75 bp |
| ROE | 8.1% | -7.7% | > 11% With a 11% fully implemented CET1 |
Sovereign debt portfolio totals €8.1 billion, €1.6 billion of which maturing in less than 1 year
The value of Polish sovereign portfolios increased from September 30th 2015; exposure to Portuguese, Angolan and Mozambican sovereign debt decreased
53
(Million euros, September 2016)
| Portugal | Poland | Mozambique | Other | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trading book* | 184 | 96 | 0 | 37 | 317 |
| ≤ 1 year | 6 | 13 | 0 | 36 | 55 |
| > 1 year and ≤ 2 years | 118 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 123 |
| > 2 years and ≤ 5 years | 57 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 111 |
| > 5 years and ≤ 8 years | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| > 8 years and ≤ 10 years | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| > 10 years | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Banking book** | 4,172 | 3,310 | 246 | 52 | 7,780 |
| ≤ 1 year | 822 | 530 | 149 | 0 | 1,501 |
| > 1 year and ≤ 2 years | 408 | 986 | 33 | 50 | 1,477 |
| > 2 years and ≤ 5 years | 527 | 1,712 | 64 | 0 | 2,303 |
| > 5 years and ≤ 8 years | 2,015 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2,023 |
| > 8 years and ≤ 10 years | 399 | 75 | 0 | 1 | 475 |
| > 10 years | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Total | 4,355 | 3,406 | 246 | 89 | 8,097 |
| ≤ 1 year | 827 | 543 | 149 | 36 | 1,556 |
| > 1 year and ≤ 2 years | 525 | 991 | 33 | 50 | 1,600 |
| > 2 years and ≤ 5 years | 584 | 1,766 | 64 | 0 | 2,413 |
| > 5 years and ≤ 8 years | 2,015 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 2,034 |
| > 8 years and ≤ 10 years | 402 | 89 | 0 | 1 | 492 |
| > 10 years | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| (million euros) | 9M15 | 9M16 | Impact on earnings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 876.6 | 907.0 | +30.4 |
| Net fees and commissions | 498.0 | 481.1 | -16.8 |
| Other operating income | 481.0 | 183.8 | -297.2 |
| Of which: Visa transaction | 0.0 | 91.0 | +91.0 |
| Of which: Mandatory contributions in Portugal | -32.6 | -51.7 | -19.1 |
| Of which: Capital gains on Portuguese sovereign debt | 387.1 | 0.0 | -387.1 |
| Banking income | 1,855.6 | 1,571.9 | -283.7 |
| Staff costs | -430.2 | -410.4 | +19.8 |
| Other administrative costs and depreciation | -330.3 | -311.9 | +18.3 |
| Operating costs | -760.5 | -722.4 | +38.1 |
| Operating net income (before impairment and provisions) | 1,095.1 | 849.5 | -245.6 |
| Of which: core net income | 614.1 | 665.8 | +51.7 |
| Loans impairment (net of recoveries) | -613.6 | -870.2 | -256.6 |
| Other impairment and provisions | -117.0 | -242.8 | -125.8 |
| Of which: Devaluation of corporate restructuring funds | -21.1 | -128.6 | -107.4 |
| Impairment and provisions | -730.7 | -1,113.0 | -382.3 |
| Net income before income tax | 364.4 | -263.5 | -627.9 |
| Income taxes | -67.1 | 68.2 | +135.3 |
| Non-controlling interests | -105.0 | -101.0 | +3.9 |
| Net income from discontinued or to be discontinued operations | 72.2 | 45.2 | -27.0 |
| Net income | 264.5 | -251.1 | -515.6 |
| 30 September | 30 September | 30 September | 30 September | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | ||
| Assets | Liabilities | ||||
| Cash and deposits at central banks | 2,618.3 | 1,514.5 | Amounts owed to credit institutions | 11,302.7 | 10,288.9 |
| Loans and advances to credit institutions | Amounts owed to customers | 48,937.1 | 50,643.8 | ||
| Repayable on demand | 421.9 | 984.0 | Debt securities | 3,919.2 | 4,909.7 |
| Other loans and advances | 1,628.2 | 976.1 | Financial liabilities held for trading | 610.5 | 828.4 |
| Loans and advances to customers | 48,805.8 | 52,478.2 | Hedging derivatives | 383.1 | 549.0 |
| Financial assets held for trading | 1,090.8 | 1,481.1 | Provisions for liabilities and charges | 280.0 | 300.8 |
| Financial assets available for sale | 10,680.0 | 11,556.6 | Subordinated debt | 1,682.9 | 1,683.8 |
| Assets with repurchase agreement | 20.0 | 10.5 | Current income tax liabilities | 5.5 | 7.3 |
| Hedging derivatives | 106.1 | 85.1 | Deferred income tax liabilities | 2.2 | 16.7 |
| Financial assets held to maturity | 415.6 | 432.9 | Other liabilities | 970.0 | 1,020.1 |
| Investments in associated companies | 574.6 | 313.9 | Total Liabilities | 68,093.2 | 70,248.5 |
| Non current assets held for sale | 2,112.8 | 1,674.5 | |||
| Investment property | 61.9 | 147.6 | Equity | ||
| Property and equipment | 463.5 | 673.5 | Share capital | 4,094.2 | 4,094.2 |
| Goodwill and intangible assets | 188.8 | 206.3 | Treasury stock | (3.1) | (1.1) |
| Current tax assets | 35.0 | 39.9 | Share premium | 16.5 | 16.5 |
| Deferred tax assets | 2,790.7 | 2,505.4 | Preference shares | 59.9 | 59.9 |
| Other assets | 882.1 | 904.9 | Other capital instruments | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| 73,041.6 | 75,985.0 | Legal and statutory reserves | 245.9 | 223.3 | |
| Fair value reserves | (66.1) | 9.0 | |||
| Reserves and retained earnings | (22.8) | 50.8 | |||
| Net income for the year attrib. to Shareholders | (251.1) | 264.5 | |||
| Total equity attrib. to Shareholders of the Bank | 4,076.3 | 4,720.0 |
73,041.6 75,985.0
Non-controlling interests 872.0 1,016.5 Total Equity 4,948.4 5,736.5 Consolidated income statement Per quarter
| Quarterly | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Q 15 | 4Q 15 | 1Q 16 | 2Q 16 | 3Q 16 | |
| Net interest income | 305.1 | 314.0 | 292.4 | 308.4 | 306.2 |
| Dividends from equity instruments | 0.3 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| Net fees and commission income | 161.8 | 162.3 | 163.9 | 156.4 | 160.8 |
| Other operating income | -12.3 | -66.4 | -12.4 | -75.6 | -8.3 |
| Net trading income | 26.9 | 33.5 | 28.3 | 154.5 | 29.7 |
| Equity accounted earnings | 4.5 | -1.6 | 13.9 | 23.8 | 22.9 |
| Banking income | 486.4 | 447.9 | 488.1 | 571.3 | 512.5 |
| Staff costs | 141.6 | 143.7 | 138.4 | 135.2 | 136.7 |
| Other administrative costs | 94.4 | 100.0 | 91.8 | 93.1 | 90.1 |
| Depreciation | 13.3 | 13.1 | 12.8 | 12.7 | 11.5 |
| Operating costs | 249.3 | 256.8 | 243.1 | 241.0 | 238.3 |
| Operating net income bef. imp. | 237.1 | 191.1 | 245.1 | 330.3 | 274.2 |
| Loans impairment (net of recoveries) | 150.0 | 204.2 | 160.7 | 458.0 | 251.5 |
| Other impairm. and provisions | 25.5 | 43.0 | 15.4 | 182.6 | 44.9 |
| Net income before income tax | 61.7 | -56.1 | 69.1 | -310.3 | -22.2 |
| Income tax | 21.0 | -29.4 | 15.0 | -93.3 | 10.1 |
| Non-controlling interests | 36.1 | 20.7 | 36.4 | 43.1 | 21.5 |
| Net income (before disc. oper.) | 4.5 | -47.3 | 17.7 | -260.2 | -53.8 |
| Net income arising from discont. operations | 19.3 | 18.1 | 29.0 | 16.2 | 0.0 |
| Net income | 23.8 | -29.2 | 46.7 | -243.9 | -53.8 |
| Internatio nal o peratio ns Gro up P o rtugal T o tal B ank M illennium (P o land) M illennium bim (M o z.) Other int. o peratio ns Sep 15 Sep 16 Δ % Sep 15 Sep 16 Δ % Sep 15 Sep 16 Δ % Sep 15 Sep 16 Δ % Sep 15 Sep 16 Δ % Sep 15 Sep 16 Δ % Interest income 1,631 1,430 -12.3% 1,036 882 -14.9% 594 547 -7.9% 418 389 -6.9% 172 154 -10.6% 4 4 4.0% Interest expense 754 523 -30.7% 523 339 -35.1% 231 183 -20.7% 173 134 -22.8% 63 52 -16.5% -5 -3 40.8% N et interest inco me 877 907 3.5% 514 543 5.7% 363 364 0.3% 244 255 4.4% 109 101 -7.2% 9 7 -19.6% Dividends from equity instruments 3 7 99.6% 3 6 >100% 1 0 -20.5% 1 0 -20.2% 0 0 -25.5% 0 0 -- Intermediatio n margin 880 914 3.8% 517 549 6.4% 363 364 0.3% 245 256 4.4% 109 101 -7.2% 9 7 -19.6% Net fees and commission income 498 481 -3.4% 334 343 2.8% 164 138 -16.0% 110 97 -11.6% 36 23 -35.2% 19 18 -4.9% Other operating income -54 -96 -80.0% -52 -47 9.9% -1 -49 <-100% -11 -53 <-100% 10 4 -65.7% -1 0 17.8% B asic inco me 1,325 1,299 -1.9% 798 846 5.9% 526 453 -13.9% 343 300 -12.6% 156 128 -17.6% 2 7 2 4 -9.6% Net trading income 506 213 -58.0% 432 88 -79.5% 74 124 66.9% 40 98 >100% 31 24 -24.6% 3 2 -36.3% Equity accounted earnings 25 61 >100% 25 51 98.9% 0 10 >100% 0 0 100.0% 0 0 -- 0 10 -- B anking inco me 1,856 1,572 -15.3% 1,255 985 -21.6% 600 587 -2.2% 383 398 4.1% 187 152 -18.8% 3 0 3 7 20.4% Staff costs 430 410 -4.6% 280 274 -2.1% 151 136 -9.3% 99 95 -3.6% 38 28 -25.5% 14 13 -6.5% Other administrative costs 289 275 -5.0% 174 170 -2.7% 115 105 -8.4% 74 73 -1.8% 36 28 -22.3% 5 5 -7.5% Depreciation 41 37 -9.7% 23 21 -7.4% 18 16 -12.6% 9 9 6.1% 9 6 -31.2% 0 0 -17.4% Operating co sts 760 722 -5.0% 477 465 -2.5% 284 258 -9.2% 182 178 -2.4% 82 62 -24.7% 19 18 -6.8% Operating net inco me bef. imp. 1,095 850 -22.4% 778 520 -33.2% 317 330 4.1% 200 221 10.1% 105 9 0 -14.1% 11 19 66.0% Loans impairment (net of recoveries) 614 870 41.8% 545 817 49.7% 68 53 -21.7% 49 35 -27.8% 20 17 -11.8% 0 1 >100% Other impairm. and provisions 117 243 >100% 114 234 >100% 3 9 >100% 2 9 >100% 1 0 <-100% 0 0 <-100% N et inco me befo re inco me tax 364 -263 <-100% 119 -531 <-100% 245 267 9.0% 149 177 18.2% 8 5 7 3 -13.9% 11 18 57.2% Income tax 67 -68 <-100% 19 -136 <-100% 48 68 41.1% 31 46 51.5% 16 20 26.0% 1 1 -10.1% Non-controlling interests 105 101 -3.7% 0 0 29.4% 105 101 -3.8% 0 0 -- 1 1 -24.6% 104 101 -3.6% N et inco me (befo re disc. o per.) 192 -296 <-100% 101 -394 <-100% 9 2 9 8 6.7% 119 130 9.7% 6 8 5 2 -23.3% -95 -84 11.1% Net income arising from discont. operations 72 45 -37.4% 57 37 -35.9% 57 37 -35.9% N et inco me 265 -251 <-100% 149 135 -9.7% -37 -47 -27.5% |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitalisation products – includes unit linked saving products and retirement saving plans ("PPR", "PPE" and "PPR/E").
Commercial gap – total loans to customers net of BS impairments accumulated minus on-balance sheet customer funds.
Cost of risk, gross (expressed in bp)- ratio of impairment charges accounted in the period to customer loans (gross).
Cost of risk, net (expressed in bp)- ratio of impairment charges (net of recoveries) accounted to customer loans (gross).
Cost to income – operating costs divided by net operating revenues.
Cost to core income - operating costs divided by the net interest income and net fees and commission income.
Core income - net interest income plus net fees and commission income.
Core net income - corresponding to net interest income plus net commissions deducted from operating costs.
Coverage of credit at risk by balance sheet impairments – total BS impairments accumulated for risks of credit divided by credit at risk (gross)
Coverage of credit at risk by balance sheet impairments and real/financial guarantees –total BS impairments accumulated for risks of credit plus real and financial guarantees divided by credit at risk (gross).
Coverage of non-performing loans by balance sheet impairments – total BS impairments accumulated for risks of credit divided by NPL
Credit at risk – definition broader than the non performing loans which includes also restructured loans whose changes from initial terms have resulted in the bank being in a higher risk position than previously; restructured loans which have resulted in the bank becoming in a lower risk position (e.g. reinforced collateral) are not included in credit at risk.
Credit at risk (net) – credit at risk deducted from BS impairments accumulated for risks of credit.
Customer spread – Difference between the spread on the loans to customers book over 3 months Euribor and the spread on the customers' deposits portfolio over 3 months Euribor.
Debt securities - debt securities issued by the Bank and placed with customers.
Dividends from equity instruments - dividends received from investments in financial assets held for trading and available for sale.
Equity accounted earnings - results appropriated by the Group related to the consolidation of entities where, despite having a significant influence, the Group does not control the financial and operational policies.
Loan book spread - average spread on the loan portfolio over 3 months Euribor.
Loan to value ratio (LTV) – Mortgage amount divided by the appraised value of property.
Loan to Deposits ratio (LTD) – Total loans to customers net of accumulated BS impairments for risks of credit to total customer deposits.
Net interest margin - net interest income for the period as a percentage of average interest earning assets.
Net operating revenues - net interest income, dividends from equity instruments, net commissions, net trading income, equity accounted earnings and other net operating income.
Net trading income - net gains/losses arising from trading and hedging activities, net gains/losses arising from available for sale financial assets, net gains/losses arising from financial assets held to maturity.
Non-performing loans – Overdue loans more than 90 days including the non-overdue remaining principal of loans, i.e. portion in arrears, plus non-overdue remaining principal.
Non-performing loans ratio (net) – Loans more than 90 days overdue and doubtful loans reclassified as overdue for provisioning purposes less BS impairments accumulated for credit risk divided by total loans (gross).
Non-performing loans coverage ratio – total BS impairments accumulated for credit risk divided by overdue and doubtful loans divided.
Loans more than 90 days overdue coverage - total BS impairments accumulated for risk of credit divided by total amount of loans overdue with instalments of capital and interest overdue more than 90 days.
Operating costs - staff costs, other administrative costs and depreciation.
Other impairment and provisions - other financial assets impairment, other assets impairment, in particular provision charges related to assets received as payment in kind not fully covered by collateral, goodwill impairment and other provisions.
Other net income – net commissions, net trading income, other net operating income, dividends from equity instruments and equity accounted earnings.
Other net operating income - other operating income, other net income from non-banking activities and gains from the sale of subsidiaries and other assets.
Overdue loans - loans in arrears, not including the non-overdue remaining principal.
Overdue loans coverage ratio – total BS impairments accumulated for risks of credit divided by total amount of loans overdue with instalments of capital and interest overdue.
Overdue and doubtful loans - loans overdue by more than 90 days and the doubtful loans reclassified as overdue loans for provisioning purposes.
Return on equity (ROE) – Net income (including the minority interests) divided by the average attributable equity, deducted from preference shares and other capital instruments.
Return on average assets (ROA) – Net income (including minority interests) divided by the average total assets.
Securities portfolio - financial assets held for trading, financial assets available for sale, assets with repurchase agreement, financial assets held to maturity and other financial assets held for trading at fair value through net income.
Spread on term deposits portfolio – average spread on terms deposits portfolio over 3 months Euribor.
Total customer funds - amounts due to customers (including debt securities), assets under management and capitalisation products.
Total operating income – net interest income, dividends from equity instruments, net fees and commissions income, trading income, equity accounted earnings and other operating income.
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