Earnings Release • Mar 9, 2017
Earnings Release
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CTT – Correios de Portugal, S.A.
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9 March 2017
This document has been prepared by CTT – Correios de Portugal, S.A. (the "Company" or "CTT") exclusively for use during the presentation of the full year 2016 results. As a consequence thereof, this document may not be disclosed or published, nor used by any other person or entity, for any other reason or purpose without the express and prior written consent of CTT. This document (i) may contain summarised information and be subject to amendments and supplements, and (ii) the information contained herein has not been verified, reviewed nor audited by any of the Company's advisors or auditors. Except as required by applicable law, CTT does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the information contained in this document. Consequently, the Company does not assume liability for this document if it is used for a purpose other than the above. No express or implied representation, warranty or undertaking is made as to, and no reliance shall be placed on, the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions or statements expressed herein. Neither the Company nor its subsidiaries, affiliates, directors, employees or advisors assume liability of any kind, whether for negligence or any other reason, for any damage or loss arising from any use of this document or its contents. Neither this document nor any part of it constitutes a contract, nor may it be used for incorporation into or construction of any contract or agreement.
This document has an informative nature and does not constitute, nor must it be interpreted as, an offer to sell, issue, exchange or buy any financial instruments (namely any securities issued by CTT or by any of its subsidiaries or affiliates), nor a solicitation of any kind by CTT, its subsidiaries or affiliates. Distribution of this document in certain jurisdictions may be prohibited, and recipients into whose possession this document comes shall be solely responsible for informing themselves about, and observing any such restrictions. Moreover, the recipients of this document are invited and advised to consult the public information disclosed by CTT on its website (www.ctt.pt) as well as on the Portuguese Securities Exchange Commission's website (www.cmvm.pt). In particular, the contents of this presentation shall be read and understood in light of the financial information disclosed by CTT, through such means, which prevail in regard to any data presented in this document. By attending the meeting where this presentation is made and reading this document, you agree to be bound by the foregoing restrictions.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. All the statements herein which are not historical facts, including, but not limited to, statements expressing our current opinion or, as applicable, those of our directors regarding the financial performance, the business strategy, the management plans and objectives concerning future operations and investments are forward-looking statements. Statements that include the words "expects", "estimates", "foresees", "predicts", "intends", "plans", "believes", "anticipates", "will", "targets", "may", "would", "could", "continues" and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements.
All forward-looking statements included herein involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause our actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Any forward-looking statements in this document reflect our current views with respect to future events and are subject to these and other risks, uncertainties and assumptions relating to the results of our operations, growth strategy and liquidity, and the wider environment (specifically, market developments, investment opportunities and regulatory conditions).
Although CTT believes that the assumptions beyond such forward-looking statements are reasonable when made, any third parties are cautioned that forward-looking information and statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the control of CTT, what could cause the models, objectives, plans, estimates and/or projections to be materially reviewed and/or actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied or projected by, the forward-looking information and statements.
Forward-looking statements (in particular, the objectives, estimates and projections as well as the corresponding assumptions) do neither represent a commitment regarding the models and plans to be implemented, nor are they guarantees of future performance, nor have they been reviewed by the auditors of CTT. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements herein.
All forward-looking statements included herein speak only as at the date of this presentation. Except as required by applicable law, CTT does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS: THE LAUNCH OF BANCO CTT TO THE PUBLIC WAS THE LANDMARK
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| BANCO CTT & | Banco CTT opened to the public in 51 CTT post offices, closing the year with 202 branches countrywide, 105 thousand clients, more than 74 thousand current accounts & more than €250m in customer deposits |
|---|---|
| FINANCIAL SERVICES |
Another strong year for savings placements (€3.8 billion of savings were captured), with revenues from the placement of public debt posting 6.3% growth vis-à-vis 2015 |
| The decline of addressed mail volumes stood at -4.2%, within the [-3% to -5%] guidance range; the average change of the prices of the Universal Service versus the previous year was +1.1% |
|
| Relevant decrease in registered mail usage by the Government and the Public Administration (the Tax Authority in particular) with c.€10m impact on revenues |
|
| EXPRESS & | Revenues in Spain decreased due to a 12.3% drop in volumes as a result of the strategy implemented in 1Q16, namely the contract terminations of 2 unprofitable for Tourline large clients |
| PARCELS | Various commercial and marketing initiatives carried out in Portugal with small impact on revenues in 2016, although with signs of recovery in the last 3 months of the year (volumes growth of 8.6%) |
| COSTS & | Focus on efficiency improvements was maintained, allowing for 4.1% reduction in the recurring operating costs excluding Banco CTT, compensating more than two-thirds of the revenues decline |
| EARNINGS | As expected, the recurring EBITDA was impacted by the recurring costs with the Banco CTT project still at its launch stage and with no relevant revenues; excluding these costs it declined 6.3% |
1 It was subject to Competition Authority approval in 2017, therefore, not consolidated in the 2016 accounts.
€ million, except when otherwise indicated
| Including Banco CTT | Excluding Banco CTT 1 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial indicators: | 2015 | 2016 | Δ% | 2015 | 2016 | Δ% |
| Recurring revenues | 727.2 | 695.1 | -4.4% | 727.2 | 693.8 | -4.6% |
| Recurring operating costs | 583.2 | 575.6 | -1.3% | 578.2 | 554.2 | -4.1% |
| Recurring EBITDA | 144.0 | 119.5 | -17.0% | 149.0 | 139.6 | -6.3% |
| Reported net profit | 72.1 | 62.2 | -13.7% | 80.9 | 85.5 | +5.6% |
| Addressed mail (million items) |
Unaddressed mail (million items) |
Parcels (million items) |
FS savings flows (€ billion) |
Banco CTT current accounts (thousand) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 volumes | 780.2 | 497.8 | 26.9 | 4.7 | 74.1 |
| 2016 vs. 2015 | -4.2% | +5.1% | -5.5% | -11.0% | N/A |
1 Excluding Banco CTT revenues and costs booked in Banco CTT, FS and Mail and other business units.
€ million, except when otherwise indicated
| Including Banco CTT | Excluding Banco CTT 1 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial indicators: | 4Q15 | 4Q16 | Δ% | 4Q15 | 4Q16 | Δ% |
| Recurring revenues | 189.1 | 178.0 | -5.9% | 189.1 | 177.2 | -6.3% |
| Recurring operating costs | 149.9 | 149.4 | -0.3% | 147.7 | 142.7 | -3.4% |
| Recurring EBITDA | 39.2 | 28.5 | -27.2% | 41.4 | 34.5 | -16.8% |
| Reported net profit | 21.4 | 16.1 | -24.8% | 24.6 | 23.0 | -6.8% |
DECLINE IN FY16 RECURRING OPERATING COSTS, ABSORBING BANCO CTT COSTS
1 Booked in Banco CTT business unit (€2.3m Staff costs and €2.4m ES&S and other costs) and in Mail business unit (€0.4m ES&S and other costs).
10 2 Excluding Banco CTT recurring op. costs: €5.0m in 2015 (€4.7m booked in in Banco CTT, €0.4m in Mail business unit) and €21.3m in 2016 (€21.8m booked in Banco CTT business unit, -€0.5m in Mail business unit).
3 Booked in Banco CTT business unit (€9.6m Staff costs and €12.2m ES&S and other costs) and in Mail business unit (-€0.5m Staff costs and €0.1m ES&S costs).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS: RECURRING EBITDA DROPPED 6.3% AS A RESULT OF LOWER THAN EXPECTED REVENUES, ONLY PARTIALLY OFFSET BY DECLINE IN OPERATING COSTS
1 Excluding Banco CTT recurring revenues: €1.3m in 2016 (€1.0m booked in Banco CTT business unit, €0.2m in Mail & other business unit and €0.1m in FS business unit).
2 Excluding Banco CTT recurring op. costs: €5.0m in 2015 (€4.7m booked in in Banco CTT, €0.4m in Mail business unit) and €21.3m in 2016 (€21.8m booked in Banco CTT business unit, -€0.5m in Mail business unit).
3 Booked in Banco CTT business unit (-€20.8m), Mail and other (€0.7m) and in FS business unit (€0.1m).
| Cash flow | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| € million |
||||
| Reported | Adjusted 1 | |||
| 2016 | ∆ % | 2016 | ∆% | |
| From operating activities |
268.2 | >> | 269.4 | 187.0 |
| Cash flow excl. Banco CTT |
42.5 | 17.8 | 43.6 | -55.1 |
| Banco CTT cash flow | 225.8 | >> | 225.8 | >> |
| From investing activities | -185.6 | << | -185.6 | << |
| 2 Capex payments |
-29.5 | -4.1 | -29.5 | -4.1 |
| of which Banco CTT | -10.0 | -0.7 | -10.0 | -0.7 |
| Banco CTT financial assets | -164.8 | N/A | -164.8 | N/A |
| Operating free cash flow | 82.6 | >> | 83.8 | 22.6 |
| From financing activities |
-72.4 | -6.1 | -72.4 | -6.1 |
| of which Dividends | -70.3 | -0.7 | -70.3 | -0.7 |
| Other | 5.0 | >> | 5.0 | >> |
| Net change in cash |
15.2 | 124.9 | 16.3 | >> |
1 Cash flow from operating activities excluding changes in net Financial Services payables of -€61.0m (2015) and -€1.1m (2016), respectively. Cash at the end of the period excluding net Financial Services payables of €324.7m (Dec-15) and €323.5m (Dec-16).
2 Capex payments presented in the table; Capex expense was €42.2m in 2016 (€32.3m in 2015).
Strong liquidity (106%) and own cash position (€199m) was maintained, supporting the investment in Banco CTT
1 Including Financial Services receivables of €6.4m and €8.6m as at Dec-15 and Dec-16, respectively, and €69.2m in Banco CTT current financial assets (Dec-16). 2 Including €98.5m in Banco CTT non-current financial assets (Dec-16).
| Metric | Avg. mail prices | Addressed mail | Transactional | Advertising | Editorial | Unaddressed mail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 volumes (m) | N/A | 780.2 | 662.8 | 74.2 | 43.3 | 497.8 |
| 2016 vs. 2015 | +1.1% | -4.2% | -3.7% | -7.5% | -6.4% | +5.1% |
| Metric | Total | Portugal | Spain | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 volumes (m) | 26.9 | 14.6 | 12.3 | 0.1 |
| 2016 vs. 2015 | -5.5% | +1.1% | -12.3% | -2.4% |
1 Including internal and other revenues, and internal transactions with Spain and Mozambique.
| Metric | Savings placements (€bn) | Payments (m ops) | Money orders & transfers (m ops) |
Credit (€m) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 volumes | 3.8 | 57.6 | 18.6 | 10.4 |
| 2016 vs. 2015 | -10.8% | -6.2% | -4.4% | +24.4% |
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2017 OUTLOOK: GOAL OF SMALL GROWTH IN REVENUES AND FLAT RECURRING EBITDA (EX-ALTICE); DIVIDEND POLICY REAFFIRMED
| Including Banco CTT | Excluding Banco CTT 1 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| € million |
Reported | Recurring 2 | Reported | Recurring 2 | |||||
| 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | ||
| Revenues | 727.2 | 696.8 | 727.2 | 695.1 | 727.2 | 695.5 | 727.2 | 693.8 | |
| Operating costs | 592.6 | 594.8 | 583.2 | 575.6 | 581.2 | 566.5 | 578.2 | 554.2 | |
| EBITDA | 134.6 | 102.1 | 144.0 | 119.5 | 146.0 | 129.0 | 149.0 | 139.6 | |
| EBITDA margin | 18.5% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 20.5% | 20.1% | |
| Depreciation, amortisation, provisions and impairments |
24.6 | 11.2 | 24.2 | 24.8 | 24.5 | 8.6 | 24.0 | 23.0 | |
| EBIT | 109.9 | 90.9 | 119.8 | 94.7 | 121.6 | 120.5 | 125.0 | 116.5 | |
| Financial income, net | -5.4 | -5.9 | -5.4 | -5.9 | -5.4 | -5.9 | -5.4 | -5.9 | |
| Gains / (losses) in associated companies | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | |
| Earnings before taxes (EBT) | 104.6 | 85.2 | 114.4 | 89.0 | 116.2 | 114.8 | 119.6 | 110.9 | |
| Income tax for the period | 32.5 | 23.3 | 32.9 | 25.4 | 35.3 | 29.6 | 34.4 | 31.8 | |
| Non-controlling interests | 0.01 | -0.26 | 0.01 | -0.26 | 0.01 | -0.26 | 0.01 | -0.26 | |
| Net profit attributable to equity holders | 72.1 | 62.2 | 81.6 | 63.9 | 80.9 3 | 85.5 3 | 85.2 | 79.3 |
1 Excluding revenues / costs of Banco CTT and Banco CTT project reported in CTT S.A.
2 Recurring net profit excludes non-recurring revenues and costs and considers the theoretical (nominal) tax rate of CTT.
3 Considers the effective tax rate of the period of CTT S.A. and Banco CTT.
| € million |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2016 | ∆ | |
| Reported EBITDA | 134.6 | 102.1 | -32.5 |
| Non-recurring items affecting EBITDA | 9.4 | 17.4 | 8.0 |
| Revenues | 0.0 | -1.8 | -1.8 |
| Staff costs | 0.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| ES&S & other op. costs | 9.4 | 9.2 | -0.2 |
| Recurring EBITDA | 144.0 | 119.5 | -24.5 |
| Reported EBIT | 109.9 | 90.9 | -19.0 |
| Non-recurring costs affecting only EBIT | 0.4 | -13.6 | -14.1 |
| Provisions (reinforcements / reductions) |
0.0 | -15.1 | -15.1 |
| Impairments (losses / reductions) | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Non-recurring items affecting EBITDA & EBIT | 9.8 | 3.8 | -6.0 |
| Recurring EBIT |
119.8 | 94.7 | -25.1 |
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