Investor Presentation • Oct 30, 2019
Investor Presentation
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This document has been prepared by CTT - Correios de Portugal, S.A. (the "Company" or "CTT") exclusively for use during the roadshows and conferences of the 3rd quarter 2019 results. As a consequence thereof, this document disclosed or published, nor used by any other person or entity, for any other reason or purpose without the express and prior written consent of CTT. This document (i) may contain summarised information and be subject to a supplements, and (ii) the information contained herein has not been verified, reviewed nor audited by any of the Company's advisors or auditors. Except as required by applicable law, CTT does not undertake any obligation t revise any of the information contained in this document. Consequently, the Company does not assume liability for this document if it is used for a purpose other than the above. No express or implied representation, warran as to, and no reliance shall be placed on, the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions or statements expressed herein. Neither the Company nor its subsidiaries, affiliates, directors, emplo liability of any kind, whether for negligence or any other reason, for any damage or loss arising from any use of this document or its contents. Neither this document nor any part of it constitutes a contract, nor may it b construction of any contract or agreement.
This document has an informative nature and does not constitute, nor must it be interpreted as, an offer to sell, issue, exchange or buy any financial instruments (namely any securities issued by CTT or by any of its subsi solicitation of any kind by CTT, its subsidiaries or affiliates. Distribution of this document in certain jurisdictions may be prohibited, and recipients into whose possession this document comes shall be solely responsibl about, and observing any such restrictions. Moreover, the recipients of this document are invited and advised to consult the public information disclosed by CTT on its website (www.ctt.pt) as well as on the Portuguese Secu Commission's website (www.cmvm.pt). In particular, the contents of this presentation shall be read and understood in light of the financial information disclosed by CTT, through such means, which prevail in regard to any d document. By attending the meeting where this presentation is made and reading this document, you agree to be bound by the foregoing restrictions.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. All the statements herein which are not historical facts, including, but not limited to, statements expressing our current opinion or, as applicable, those of our dire performance, the business strategy, the management plans and objectives concerning future operations and investments are forward-looking statements. Statements that include the words "expects", "estimates", "foresees", "pr "plans","believes","anticipates","will","targets","may","would","could","continues" and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements.
All forward-looking statements included herein involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause our actual results, performance or achievements to diff indicated in these statements. Any forward-looking statements in this document reflect our current views with respect to future events and are subject to these and other risks, uncertainties and assumptions relating to the growth strategy and liquidity, and the wider environment (specifically, market developments, investment opportunities and requlatory conditions).
Although CTT believes that the assumptions beyond such forward-looking statements are reasonable when made, any third parties are cautioned that forward-looking information and statements are subject to various risks and u of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the control of CTT, what could cause the models, objectives, plans, estimates and / or projections to be materially reviewed and / or actual results and developments t those expressed in, or implied or projected by, the forward-looking information and statements.
Forward-looking statements (in particular, the objectives, estimates and projections as well as the corresponding assumptions) do neither represent a commitment regarding the models and plans to be implemented, nor are the future performance, nor have they been reviewed by the auditors of CTT. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements herein.
All forward-looking statements included herein speak only as at the date of this presentation. Except as required by applicable law. CTT does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking st result of new information, future events or otherwise.
• Express & Parcels volumes recover in Portugal (+13.9%), after a slow start to the year
• Landmark quarter for Banco CTT1 as it achieves EBITDA breakeven 4 years after launch, with the successful integration of 321 Crédito Rapid customer acquisition (c. 10k / month) and bias towards young & digital clients
€€
• Considerable Financial Services EBITDA margin improvement by virtue of the growth acceleration of public debt certificates placements in the quarter (+77.6%), already from a high base
Solid performance of higher-value mail (+€5.5m) and 1.8% effective price increase in the period were unable to fully offset the declines of letter $(-E11.2m)$ and advertising $\frac{1}{2}$ (-€1.4m) mail revenues. Legislative elections contributed positively $\frac{1}{1}$ (+€5.3m) to 3Q19 revenues
5
The successful execution of the Operational Transformation Plan and newly implemented measures
allow us to upgrade the overall costs savings ambition
$\epsilon$ million; % change vs prior year
2
improvement
$\epsilon$ million; % change vs prior year
| Year-to-date | Quarter | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M18 | 9M19 | Δ% | 3Q18 | 3Q19 | $\Delta\%$ | |
| Revenues | 524.8 | 539.6 | $+2.8%$ | 169.7 | 184.6 | $+8.8%$ |
| Operating costs $1$ | 459.8 | 466.3 | $+1.4%$ | 150.7 | 157.7 | $+4.6%$ |
| EBITDA | 65.0 | 73.3 | $+12.7%$ | 19.0 | 26.9 | $+41.7%$ |
| EBITDA including IFRS 16 | 89.9 | 93.7 | $+4.2%$ | 27.2 | 33.6 | $+23.5%$ |
| Specific items | 20.5 | 16.0 | $-21.8%$ | 3.2 | 4.3 | $+33.8%$ |
| EBIT | 26.6 | 34.2 | $+28.7%$ | 8.5 | 14.5 | $+71.1%$ |
| Net profit | 11.4 | 22.9 | $+99.7%$ | 4.0 | 13.9 | $+245.1%$ |
| Operating cash flow | 1.9 | 23.7 | $\rightarrow$ | 7.6 | 17.5 | $+130.9%$ |
Positively impacted by a one-time corporate tax refund of €6.8m as a result of a favourable Tax Authority decision on the deduction of the tax loss on CTT Expresso's sale of Tourline in 2016
Robust pace of public debt certificates placements (€2.8bn, +68.0%), driving high double-digit Financial Services revenues growth $\bullet$
Staff costs, excluding 321 Crédito, were practically flat (-€0.2m, -0.1%), as savings from negotiated exits (-€6.1m) were offset by new admissions in growth areas, salary $\bullet$ increases negotiated with unions and seasonal temporary hiring
Balance Sheet - 30 September 2019
€ million; % change vs 31 December 2018
$\epsilon$ million; impact on cash flow vs prior year
$\epsilon$ million
| EBITDA | $73.3(+68.2m)$ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Specific items affecting EBITDA |
$-14.6$ | $(+64.6m)$ | |||
| Capex | $-18.5$ | $(-6.7m)$ | |||
| Change in working capital | $-16.5$ | $(+£15.7m)$ | |||
| Operating cash flow | $23.7$ (+ $E21.8m$ ) | ||||
| Tax | $3.1$ (+ $69.7m$ ) | ||||
| Employee benefits | $-10.6$ | $(-E1.0m)$ | |||
| Free cash flow | $16.2$ (+€30.5m) |
| (+) Cash & cash equivalents | 405 |
|---|---|
| (-) Net Financial Services & other payables | 214 |
| (-) Banco CTT liabilities, net | 78 |
| $(-)$ Other | 14 |
| (=) Own cash | 99 |
| (-) Financial debt | 91 |
| (=) Net cash position | 9 |
| (-) Leases liabilities (IFRS 16) | 87 |
| Net financial cash (debt) 1 |
B
Spain remains a key growth pillar for the CTT Express & Parcels business, due to its market size and growth dynamics
1 2017 figures (Source: Studies conducted by 3rd parties for CTT. Same source for B2C growth.). 2 2018 figures (Source: Trading Economics). 3 2018 figures (Source: Eurostat).
The new turnaround plan is aiming for strong organic B2C growth and profitability enhancements, driven by operational efficiency measures
Grow B2C business mainly through direct sales in major cities
Optimise the operation model and its efficiency by progressively increasing control over the distribution
Improve the customer mix, focusing on more profitable clients
Reinforce the quality of service in distribution: reduce breakage and loss
Revamp the brand image and awareness
Internal reorganisation
$\bullet$
Supported by Capex of up to €12m for the period of the plan
| 9M19 Mail & other revenues | EBITDA 1 | EBIT 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| $\epsilon$ million; % change vs prior year | $\epsilon$ million | $\epsilon$ million | |
| - Transactional | €303.0m $(-1.8%)$ | $-6.8%$ 63.6 59.3 |
|
| - Advertising | €16.6m $(-7.5%)$ | ||
| - Editorial | €10.7m $(-2.5%)$ | $-1.6%$ | |
| - Business Solutions | €7.8m $(+9.7%)$ | 33.5 33.0 |
|
| - USO Parcels | €4.5m $(-9.2%)$ | ||
| $-$ Retail & other | €16.3m $(-16.0%)$ | ||
| Total | $C358.9m(-2.8%)$ | ||
| 9M18 9M19 |
9M18 9M19 |
| Metric | Avg. mail prices | Addressed mail | Transactional | Advertising | Editorial | Unaddressed mail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M19 | N/D | 467.0 | 405.9 | 35.6 | 25.5 | 376.5 |
| vs 9M18 | $+1.8%$ | $-9.5%$ | $-8.8%$ | $-17.3%$ | $-7.5%$ | $+18.8%$ |
$^{1}$ Excluding Specific items & IFRS 16 impacts, depreciation, amortisation, impairments and provisions.
2 Including Specific items & IFRS 16 impacts, depreciation, amortisation, impairments and provisions.
€ million; % change vs prior year
| - Portugal | €70.5m (+5.9%) |
|---|---|
| – Parcels | €52.9m $(+8.3%)$ |
| - Cargo | €9.5m $(-2.5%)$ |
| - Banking network | €5.0m $(+5.9%)$ |
| – Logistics | €2.3m $(+5.1%)$ |
| – Other | €0.8m $(-25.4%)$ |
| - Spain | €37.8m $(-6.9%)$ |
| - Mozambique | €1.7m $(+16.5%)$ |
| Total | €110.1m $(+1.3%)$ |
$\epsilon$ million
EBIT2
$\epsilon$ million
| Metric | Total | Portugal | Portugal (excl. Cargo) |
Spain | Mozambique |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M19 | 27.1 | 15.5 | 13.2 | 11.6 | 0.04 |
| vs 9M18 | $-0.1%$ | $+7.5%$ | $+6.3%$ | $-8.7%$ +9.6% excl. loss of key |
$-9.7%$ |
| . | account |
1 Excluding Specific Items & IFRS 16 impacts, depreciation, amortisation, impairments and provisions. 2 Including Specific Items & IFRS 16, depreciation, amortisation, impairments and provisions.
| 9M19 Banco CTT revenues 1 | EBITDA 2 | EBIT 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| $\epsilon$ million; change vs prior year | $\epsilon$ million | $\epsilon$ million | |
| 0.3 | |||
| - Net interest income | €9.1m (+€3.6m) | ||
| - Interest income | €9.7m (+€3.7m) | ||
| - Interest expense | $-E0.6m(-E0.1m)$ | $-5.9$ | |
| - Fees & commissions income | €6.0m (+€2.6m) | ||
| - Own products | €3.8m (+ $€1.2m$ ) | ||
| - Consumer credit & insurance | €2.3m ( $+€1.4m$ ) | $-9.0$ | $-12.2$ |
| - Payments & other | €15.3m ( $-$ €0.5m) | ||
| -321 Crédito | €12.4m (+€12.4m) | $\geq$ | $-51.8^{\circ}$ |
| Total | €42.9m (+€18.1m) | 9M18 9M19 |
9M18 9M19 |
| Metric (Consolidated) |
Assets $(\epsilon m)$ | lash & equivalents | redit to clients (net of impairments) |
Customer deposits $\mathcal{E}(\epsilon)$ |
Equity (Em) / CET 1 (%) 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30-Sep-19 | 1,558.3 | 193.5 | 447.9 | 803.8 | 1,160.4 438k current |
191.9 / 17.3% |
| vs 31-Dec-18 | $+55.6%$ | $-25.6%$ | $-1.4%$ | $+224.0\%$ | accounts $+31.3%$ |
$+114.4\%$ / +5.8 p.p. |
1 Part of the payments services of the Financial Services business unit (billing and invoicing, Western Union transfers, integrated solutions and tolls) migrated to the Banco CTT business unit in 1Q19 (proforma figures p
2 Excluding Specific items & IFRS 16 impacts, depreciation, amortisation, impairments and provisions.
3 Including Specific items & IFRS 16 impacts, depreciation, amortisation, impairments and provisions.
4Fully implemented.
| Metric | Savings & insurance flows (€bn) |
Placements | Redemptions | Money orders $(m$ ops) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M19 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 10.9 |
| vs 9M18 | $+37.6\%$ | $+65.8\%$ | $-24.9\%$ | $-3.3%$ |
1 Part of the payments services of the Financial Services business unit (billing and invoicing, Western Union transfers, integrated solutions and tolls) migrated to the Banco CTT business unit in 1Q19 (proforma figures p 2 Excluding Specific items & IFRS 16 impacts, depreciation, amortisation, impairments and provisions.
3 Including Specific items & IFRS 16 impacts, depreciation, amortisation, impairments and provisions.
| $\epsilon$ million | Reported | Reported with Banco CTT under equity method $1$ |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M18 | 9M19 | 9M18 | 9M19 | ||
| Revenues | 524.8 | 539.6 | 513.3 | 510.4 | |
| Operating costs | 459.8 | 466.3 | 435.9 | 434.0 | |
| EBITDA (excl. IFRS 16 impact) | 65.0 | 73.3 | 77.4 | 76.4 | |
| IFRS 16 impact: | 24.9 | 20.4 | 24.3 | 20.0 | |
| EBITDA (incl. IFRS 16 impact) | 89.9 | 93.7 | 101.7 | 96.4 | |
| Depreciation, amortisation, impairments & provisions | 42.9 | 43.4 | 39.8 | 38.1 | |
| of which, IFRS 16 impact: | 19.4 | 16.4 | 18.9 | 16.0 | |
| Specific items | 20.5 | 16.0 | 19.8 | 14.7 | |
| EBIT | 26.6 | 34.2 | 42.1 | 43.6 | |
| Net financial income / (costs) | $-7.3$ | $-7.3$ | $-7.3$ | $-7.3$ | |
| of which, IFRS 16 impact: | $-3.2$ | $-2.8$ | $-3.2$ | $-2.8$ | |
| Associated companies - gains / (losses) | 0.1 | $-0.6$ | $-12.2$ | $-8.3$ | |
| Earnings before taxes (EBT) | 19.4 | 26.3 | 22.7 | 28.0 | |
| Income tax for the period | 7.9 | 3.4 | 11.2 | 5.2 | |
| Non-controlling interests | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Net profit attributable to equity holders | 11.4 | 22.9 | 11.4 | 22.9 | |
| $\epsilon$ million | CTT | under equity method $1$ | With Banco CTT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31-Dec-18 | 30-Sep-19 | 31-Dec-18 | 30-Sep-19 | |
| Non-current assets | 1,108.1 | 1,638.6 | 486.6 | 575.1 |
| Current assets | 746.3 | 728.4 | 456.9 | 437.1 |
| Assets | 1,854.5 | 2,367.0 | 943.5 | 1,012.2 |
| Equity | 135.9 | 143.6 | 135.9 | 143.6 |
| Liabilities | 1,718.6 | 2,223.4 | 807.6 | 868.5 |
| Non-current liabilities | 364.3 | 499.0 | 363.5 | 408.0 |
| Current liabilities | 1,354.3 | 1,724.4 | 444.1 | 460.5 |
| Equity and Liabilities | 1,854.5 | 2,367.0 | 943.5 | 1,012.2 |
| Reported | With Banco CTT under equity method $1$ |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $\epsilon$ million | 9M18 | 9M19 | $\triangle$ 19/18 | 9M18 | 9M19 | $\triangle$ 19/18 | |
| EBITDA | 65.0 | 73.3 | 8.2 | 77.4 | 76.4 | $-1.0$ | |
| Specific items affecting EBITDA | 19.3 | 14.6 | $-4.6$ | 18.6 | 13.3 | $-5.2$ | |
| Capex | 11.7 | 18.5 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 15.3 | 7.9 | |
| Change in working capital | $-32.2$ | $-16.5$ | 15.7 | $-33.0$ | $-15.7$ | 17.4 | |
| Operating cash flow | 1.9 | 23.7 | 21.8 | 18.5 | 32.2 | 13.7 | |
| Tax | $-6.6$ | 3.1 | 9.7 | $-11.8$ | 5.3 | 17.1 | |
| Employee benefits | $-9.6$ | $-10.6$ | $-1.0$ | $-9.6$ | $-10.6$ | $-1.0$ | |
| Free cash flow | $-14.3$ | 16.2 | 30.5 | $-2.9$ | 26.9 | 29.7 | |
| Debt (principal + interest) | $-6.1$ | 59.1 | 65.2 | $-6.1$ | 59.1 | 65.2 | |
| Dividends | $-57.0$ | $-15.0$ | 42.0 | $-57.0$ | $-15.0$ | 42.0 | |
| Financial investments | $-114.4$ | $-114.4$ | $-25.0$ | $-113.6$ | $-88.6$ | ||
| Changes to the consolidation perimeter | 6.8 | 6.8 | $\qquad \qquad$ | ||||
| Net change in own cash | $-77.5$ | $-47.3$ | 30.1 | $-91.0$ | $-42.7$ | 48.3 | |
| $\Delta$ Liabilities Financial Services & other & Banco CTT (net) | $-98.7$ | 22.8 | 121.6 | 22.9 | 11.8 | $-11.1$ | |
| $\Delta$ Other | $-24.8$ | 6.3 | 31.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Net change in cash | $-201.0$ | $-18.2$ | 182.8 | $-68.2$ | $-30.9$ | 37.3 | |
| $\epsilon$ million | Specific items | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9M18 | 9M19 | ||
| EBIT excluding Specific items | 47.1 | 50.2 | |
| Specific items | 20.5 | 16.0 | |
| Revenues | $-0.1$ | $-0.6$ | |
| Staff costs | 16.0 | 10.0 | |
| ES&S & other op. costs | 3.4 | 5.2 | |
| Provisions | 1.1 | ||
| Impairments and D&A | 0.1 | 1.4 | |
| EBIT | 26.6 | 34.2 | |
Of which €8.9m of indemnities related to negotiated staff exits
Of which €4.7m of M&A costs & strategic studies: €1.3m related to the 321 Crédito $acquisition$ , $E1.6m$ related to the
Operational Transformation Plan and
$E1.5m$ related to new regulatory measures
Contacts: Phone: +351 210 471 087 E-mail: [email protected]
CTT - Correios de Portugal, S.A.
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