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CTT-Correios de Portugal

Investor Presentation Dec 18, 2024

1911_iss_2024-12-18_8d66193a-dc01-4221-8f48-b36209f35895.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Acquisition of Cacesa

December 2024

Disclaimer

DISCLAIMER

This document has been prepared by CTT – Correios de Portugal, S.A. (the "Company" or "CTT") exclusively for use during this investor announcement and related presentation. As a consequence thereof, this document may not be disclosed or published, nor used by any other person or entity, for any other reason or purpose without the express and prior written consent of CTT. This document (i) may contain summarised information and be subject to amendments and supplements, and (ii) the information contained herein has not been verified, reviewed nor audited by any of the Company's advisors or auditors.

Except as required by applicable law, CTT does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the information contained in this document. Consequently, the Company does not assume liability for this document if it is used for a purpose other than the above. No express or implied representation, warranty or undertaking is made as to, and no reliance shall be placed on, the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions or statements expressed herein. Neither the Company nor its subsidiaries, affiliates, directors, employees or advisors assume liability of any kind, whether for negligence or any other reason, for any damage or loss arising from any use of this document or its contents. Neither this document nor any part of it constitutes a contract, nor may it be used for incorporation into or construction of any contract or agreement.1

This document has an informative nature and does not constitute, nor must it be interpreted as, an offer to sell, issue, exchange or buy any financial instruments (namely any securities issued by CTT or by any of its subsidiaries or affiliates), nor a solicitation of any kind by CTT, its subsidiaries or affiliates. Distribution of this document in certain jurisdictions may be prohibited, and recipients into whose possession this document comes shall be solely responsible for informing themselves about, and observing any such restrictions. Moreover, the recipients of this document are invited and advised to consult the public information disclosed by CTT on its website (www.ctt.pt) as well as on the Portuguese Securities Market Commission's website (www.cmvm.pt). In particular, the contents of this presentation shall be read and understood in light of the financial information disclosed by CTT, through such means, which prevail in regard to any data presented in this document. By attending the meeting where this presentation is made and reading this document, you agree to be bound by the foregoing restrictions.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This presentation contains forward-looking statements. All the statements herein which are not historical facts, including, but not limited to, statements expressing our current opinion or, as applicable, those of our directors regarding the financial performance, the business strategy, the management plans and objectives concerning future operations and investments are forward-looking statements. Statements that include the words "expects", "estimates", "foresees", "predicts", "intends", "plans", "believes", "anticipates", "will", "targets", "may", "would", "could", "continues" and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements.

All forward-looking statements included herein involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause our actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Any forward-looking statements in this document reflect our current views concerning future events and are subject to these and other risks, uncertainties and assumptions relating to the results of our operations, growth strategy and liquidity, and the wider environment (specifically, market developments, investment opportunities and regulatory conditions).

Although CTT believes that the assumptions beyond such forward-looking statements are reasonable when made, any third parties are cautioned that forward-looking information and statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the control of CTT, what could cause the models, objectives, plans, estimates and / or projections to be materially reviewed and / or actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied or projected by, the forward-looking information and statements.

Forward-looking statements (in particular, the objectives, estimates and projections as well as the corresponding assumptions) do neither represent a commitment regarding the models and plans to be implemented, nor are they guarantees of future performance, nor have they been reviewed by the auditors of CTT. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements herein.

All forward-looking statements included herein speak only as at the date of this presentation. Except as required by applicable law, CTT does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forwardlooking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Acquisition of Cacesa, a significant step in exposure to e-commerce logistics

TRANSACTION HIGHLIGHTS

Compelling transaction rationale, fully aligned with CTT's strategic roadmap of becoming a full-fledged e-commerce logistics player

  • Increase CTT's presence in cross-border e-commerce flows
  • Strengthen CTT's foothold in customs clearance through a well-established player
  • Reinforce CTT's value proposition for its customers, with a highly complementary service offering increasing loyalty
  • Expand CTT's geographical footprint across Europe
  • Visible revenue synergies and cost savings
  • Accelerate CTT's business transformation, with logistics and CEP becoming the largest contributors to the Group

2

1

Key financial terms

  • €91m Enterprise Value1 equivalent to a multiple of 5.5x EV/EBIT1 (as of 30 June 2024, LTM)
  • Transaction to be financed with debt
  • Proforma leverage ratio to stand below 2.5x2 upon closing

3

Significant value creation

  • Strong value creation for shareholders through expected visible synergies (>€5m run-rate at EBIT level) with low execution risk
    • c.20% EPS and FCFPS accretion by 2026E including expected run-rate synergies (+12% excluding synergies)

4

Next steps

  • The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions, including applicable regulatory approvals
  • The transaction is expected to close in March/April 2025

Complementary to CTT's service portfolio

CACESA AT A GLANCE

Description

  • Founded in 1987 by Iberia, Cacesa is a well-established Iberian provider of B2C cross-border e-commerce customs solutions from China to Europe providing services across the entire value chain:
    • o E-commerce: well-established player in cross-border customs clearance in Spain with relevant position across European markets enhancing customer relationships through supplementary last-mile delivery services
    • o Freight forwarding: wide range of supplementary freight forwarding services including air, sea and road transportation for general cargo, express shipping and special cargo handling
  • It employed 276 people in 2023 and has presence in over 15 countries (with the core of its operations in Spain), where it provides asset-light e-commerce services leveraging on its proprietary technological software

Financial and operating metrics (2023)

Revenue breakdown (2023)

Strategic positioning in the value chain

Door-to-door services provider across the e-commerce value chain

  • Freight-forwarder for general, express and special cargo by air and sea
  • Customs broker for e-commerce shipments from China to EU and UK/EU imports including adjacent services such as airport pick-ups and temporary warehousing
  • Reseller of third-party last mile services

Significant exposure to e-commerce to enhance CTT's offering

CACESA'S E-COMMERCE BUSINESS

Business description Key figures as of 2023 (e-Commerce)

€70m revenues e-Commerce revenues have been
growing at a c. 33% CAGR since
2021
€38m gross margin e-Commerce gross margin at or
above >50% consistently since 2021
160m shipments
7m parcels1
Customs and last-mile deliveries
have grown at c.10% CAGR since
2021
Cacesa's
value added
In-house
software
IT tool
integration
Processing
capacity
AI-powered
assistance
Wide data
access

Stable cargo/forwarding business

CACESA'S CARGO/FORWARDING BUSINESS

Business description

Key figures as of 2023 (Cargo/Forwarding)

Air freight Express Other services (incl. Alaer) Cargo/forwarding revenues
€23m revenues
have been relatively stable
Offering
Traditional forwarding
from Spain

Well–established in
courier services from
Spain to LatAm

Express air courier from
Spain

Very well-positioned in
Madrid-Canary Islands
and Ceuta & Melilla

Sea freight forwarding
from Spain and customs
for non-e-commerce
goods

Airport logistics and
handling in Madrid
since 2021
Air freight business has been
€7m gross margin
growing at a c.30% CAGR
since 2021
Business model Asset
Asset
light
heavy
Asset
Asset
light
heavy
Asset
Asset
light
heavy
Shipped cargo has grown at a
8m kilograms1
c.7% CAGR since 2021
Brands Cacesa's
value added
x
mi
al)
ess
ot
of t
n
si
%
u
(
B
Revenues
(2023)
10% 6% 8%
€92.3m
Supply chain
Process
expertise
management
Gross
Margin
(2023)
4%
€44.2m
3% 8%
€44.2m
Advanced
Risk
capabilities
mitigation
Cost
optimisation

Strong and solid exposure to Spain, while providing further optionality

CACESA'S GEOGRAPHICAL FOOTPRINT

Bridging Europe and China

  • China to Europe represents ~15-20% of global crossborder e-commerce orders
    • − Cacesa connects Europe and China, streamlining cross-border trade and e-commerce between the two regions

Positioned for EU growth and international expansion

• Cacesa has successfully expanded across the EU and is well-positioned for further growth in existing and new markets

  • Channelling shipment flows from Spain to Canary Islands & Latin America
  • Cacesa is specialized in air parcel shipments from Latin American expats to their home countries and express parcels exports to the Canary Islands

Successful growth story underpinned by cross-border e-commerce flows

CACESA'S KEY HISTORICAL FIGURES

Strong organic growth driven by internationalisation and transformation into a cross-border e-commerce customs provider Highly profitable business leveraging on its proprietary IT and an asset light approach, supporting strong cash flow generation

Strong growth potential anchored on structural market upside

MARKET POTENTIAL

China's B2C e-commerce exports (o.w. ~20% addressed to Europe) to grow at double digit in next years E-Commerce market volumes also expected to grow at double digit in Cacesa's core markets underpinned by Asian flows

Compelling transaction rationale fully aligned with CTT's strategic roadmap

KEY TRANSACTION BENEFITS

\$

Increase CTT's presence in cross-border e-commerce flows • Cross-border e-commerce customs market is expected to grow double-digit for the next 3-5 years • Well-established position in a dynamic market Strengthen CTT's foothold in customs clearance through a well-established player • Clearance is critical in cross-border fulfilment • Limited number of customs clearance players Reinforce CTT's value proposition for its customers , with a highly complementary service offering increasing loyalty • Improve CTT's stickiness with clients, and grow share of wallet • Integrated service offering, highly complementary to CTT's • Leverage on Cacesa's capabilities to fuel growth in fulfilment and forward inventory Visible operational synergies • Revenue synergies from: (i) last-mile delivery services; (ii) integration with CTT's customs processes while improving client loyalty through service differentiation; and (iii) capture of new international clients leveraging on Cacesa's footprint • Cost savings from: i) increased efficiencies in customs handling operations; and ii) elimination of overhead duplicities Accelerate CTT's business transformation, with logistics and CEP becoming the largest contributors to the Group • CEP and e-commerce logistics to become the largest EBIT contributors to the Group • Further differentiates CTT's e-commerce competitive position in Spain by reducing delivery times for clients Expand CTT's geographical footprint across Europe • Expansion into new cross-border e-commerce markets on customs services • Optionality to capitalise on international opportunities in the Last Mile segment by targeting high margin and high return routes

Cacesa provides geographical diversification and business complementarity

CTT PROFORMA POST ACQUISITION

Combination with Cacesa to improve CTT's relevance in Iberia

CTT PROFORMA POST ACQUISITION

Setting new foundations to unlock future profitable organic growth

KEY TAKEAWAYS

Earlier access and increased exposure to global e-commerce flows, with focus on Spain
Improving the span of CTT's service portfolio
Opportunity to reinforce and deepen customer relationship
Increased relevance in Iberia
Optionality on geographical expansion
Low risk topline and cost synergies
Acquisition to earnings and cash-flow accretive as from day one

We make our path fully committed to deliver

ctt.pt

Investor Relations

Phone: +351 210 471 087 E-mail: [email protected]

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