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Enefit Green

Annual Report Feb 28, 2025

2216_10-q_2025-02-28_bfb3d201-2298-46b2-a8a6-d7f109ccf2ab.pdf

Annual Report

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Unaudited interim report Q4 and 12 months 202 4

1

Results are presented by:

Juhan Aguraiuja Chief Executive Officer

Argo Rannamets Chief Financial Officer

Growing into a Large-Scale Production Company

  • Focused on completing and ensuring the stable commissioning of our largest parks
  • Electricity production reached 1.9 TWh (+40%), driven by the more stable output of new parks
  • Heat production totaled 415 GWh (-31%), impacted by the sale of biomass-based cogeneration and pellet businesses
  • The addition of new production capacities to the market led to oversupply and wind energy discounts
  • Financial results were influenced by the volume of ongoing projects, slower-than-expected completion of new parks, and lower electricity prices:
    • Revenue: €220 million (-4%)
    • EBITDA: €115 million (+8%)
    • Net profit: €70 million (+26%)
    • ROIC: 5.2%
  • Focus remains on ensuring stable cash flow and balancing development with profitability

Our current investment cycle is nearly complete

Development of production capacity, MW

Operating capacity Final stages of construction Under construction

Finalising the construction and achieving stable operation of our largest assets 1/2

Sopi-Tootsi renewable energy area (255 MW + 74 MW)

Annual production: ~ 750 GWh Avoided annual CO2 emissions: 675 th t Investment: €399m

Akmenė wind farm

(75 MW)

Annual production: ~ 258 GWh Avoided annual CO2 emissions: 224 th t Investment: €108m

Tolpanvaara wind farm

(72 MW)

Annual production: ~ 250 GWh Avoided annual CO2 emissions: 218 th t Investment: €91m

Finalising the construction and achieving stable operation of our largest assets 2/2

Kelmė I wind farm (80 MW)

Annual production: ~ 266 GWh Avoided annual CO2 emissions: 231 th t Investement: €166m

Focus on the long-term development

  • Renewable energy remains the most competitive form of energy
  • We target a steady cash flow and seek a better balance between the company's development and profitability
  • We focus on the Baltics and Poland and wind and hybrid farm projects with higher profitability
  • We are considering a possible exit from the Finnish market

Strategic partnerships to support business development

  • Cooperation with Polish development company RES Global Investment to expand its wind energy portfolio in Poland:
    • Development rights for eight early-stage onshore wind development projects with a total capacity of 360 MW
  • Cooperation with the world's leading trading and investment company Sumitomo Corporation for the development of the Liivi offshore wind farm in the Gulf of Riga:
    • The Liivi offshore wind farm in the Gulf of Riga is one of the most outstanding projects on the market
  • Finding a partner to construct the third phase of the Kelmė development project (150 MW)

Photo: Signing the cooperation agreement with the Sumitomo Corporation

Baltic and Polish power prices* are high due to import dependency and carbon intensive production

Annual
production**
(TWh)
Annual
consumption**
(TWh)
Annual
net export
(TWh)
Norway 155.4 136.8 +18.6
Sweden 161.
6
131.
8
+29.
8
Finland 77.6 8
2
0
-4.
4
Estonia 4.9 8.0 -3.
1
Latvia 5.
9
7
0
-
1
1
Lithuania 7.7 12.2 -4.5
Poland 158.
5
16
3.5
-
5
0
Denmark 34.5 36.
8
-2.
3
Germany 432.8 464.9 -32.1

* 2024 annual average prices

** 2024 data

Sources: ENTSO -E, Nord Pool

9

Renewable profile discounts* have increased

* Wind discounts for the entire respective market shown in the charts

Q4 2024: production growth resulted in improved profitability

* Production assets commissioned from 2023 onwards and under construction assets

** (Electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool day-ahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production Sopi-Tootsi WF produced 186 GWh during Q4

Kelmė I WF Reached production readiness in December

Sopi PV Reached full capacity in December

EIA for the Liivi Offshore WF

Completed and submitted to the Estonian Consumer Protection and Technical Regulatory Authority

The decline in the market price and the PPA contractual price led to a decrease in the implied captured price

Production Purchases for PPA coverage Other purchases from the market*** Sales via PPA Sales to the market****

Power prices €/MWh Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024
Core markets' average electricity price* 93.1 87.0 72.2 87.5 91.3 (-2%)
Price of electricity sold to the market 64.1 77.6 52.5 50.1 58.5 (-9%)
PPA sales price 91.2 75.0 68.2 60.7 66.4 (-27%)
Realised purchase price 121.5 106.1 80.4 107.0 98.8 (-19%)
Implied captured electricity price** 80.3 81.4 69.7 50.3 63.8 (-21%)

Implied captured price -21% (Q4 Y-o-Y)

Price of electricity sold to market (-9%) was smaller than the decrease in the purchase price (-19%)

  • The increase in PPA sales volumes and the production volume of assets under construction led to a higher purchased volume. At the same time, due to the higher production volume, the share of purchases made to cover the PPA decreased (20%), returning to the level of Q1 2023.
  • The wind profile discounts in Estonia and Lithuania were in line with the general market level. In Tolpanvaara, we achieved a 0.9% premium on the wind profile.

The implied captured price decreased (-21%) due to the decline in both the average PPA sales price and the market price.

** (electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support + revenue from sale of guarantees of origin – cost of electricity purchases from the power exchange – cost of balancing energy purchases) / production

*** Other purchases from the market include purchases from the power exchange and the balancing market, excl. purchases to cover PPAs.

**** Sales to the market include sales transactions on the power exchange and the balancing market

Higher production volume drove EBITDA growth in Q4 2024

EBITDA €37.8m +28%

Net impact of price of electricity -€4.8m

The impact of a 9% lower sales price was moderated by a 19% lower purchase price.

Sold / purchased quantities net impact +€18.4m

67% increase in electricity production boosted sales volumes (+179 GWh) but also purchase volumes (+56 GWh).

Impact of assets sold -€3.0m

Impact of growth in fixed costs -€2.2m New assets increased maintenance and land costs.

2024: capacity growth not yet reflected in ROIC

* Production assets commissioned from 2023 onwards and under construction assets

** (Electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool day-ahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production 1.1 GW+ Total installed capacity

72 + 6 MW Tolpanvaara & Debnik: fully commissioned

180 mln €

Loan agreements (EBRD, Swedbank, OP)

360 MW Cooperation agreement with RES Global Investments

Akmene settlement

Exit from biomassrelated business

Implied captured price was impacted by the PPA contract that started this year and the increased profile discounts

Power prices €/MWh 2023 2024
Core markets' average electricity price* 92.7 83.3 (-10%)
Price of electricity sold to the market 73.0 60.9 (-17%)
PPA sales price 86.9 67.7 (-22%)
Realised purchase price 110.2 99.0 (-10%)
Implied captured electricity price** 89.0 67.1 (-25%)

Implied captured price -25% (Y-o-Y)

Decline in the price of electricity sold to the market (-17%) exceeded the one in the purchase price (-10%). The price drop was driven by overall market price (-10%), but the increased profile discounts also widened the relative gap between the purchase and sales prices.

Wind discounts in Estonia and Lithuania were up by 3.9 and 0.6pp, respectively. In Finland, we achieved considerably lower wind discount vs market

  • Decrease in the PPA sales price (-22%) was driven by the start of the delivery of PPA contracts signed in 2021. Lower-than-forecasted production in Q2 and Q3 of 2024 increased the share of purchases made to cover the PPA compared to the PPA volume, significantly impacting the price earned. By Q4, due to increased production volumes, we reached the level of Q1 2023, reducing the impact on the earned price.
  • The implied captured price decreased (-25%) due to the start of the PPA delivery period with a lower contractual price and the profile discounts that widened the relative gap between purchase and sales prices. At the beginning of the PPA delivery period, the price was also significantly affected by lower-than-forecasted electricity production volumes for the period, which increased the cost of electricity purchases needed to cover the PPA.

* Production-weighted average market price in the group's core markets. This is the arithmetic price that the group would receive if it sold all its production on the power exchange without any profile discount, if its farms did not receive any support, if no balancing costs were incurred on the forecast result and if no PPA contracts were signed.

** (electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support + revenue from sale of guarantees of origin – cost of electricity purchases from the power exchange – cost of balancing energy purchases) / production

*** Other purchases from the market include purchases from the power exchange and the balancing market, excl. purchases to cover PPAs.

**** Sales to the market include sales transactions on the power exchange and the balancing market

The decline in operating income was caused by assets sold, offset by production from new wind farms

Operating income by segment, €m

Operating income €220.9m -4%

Wind energy

  • Production growth from new wind farms (+546 GWh)
  • Lower implied captured electricity price* 63 €/MWh (- 25%)

CHP

  • Impact of assets sold -€36.7m
  • Lower electricity (-9%) and heat (-5%) production at Iru WtE
  • Lower implied captured electricity price* of 121 €/MWh (-2%)

Solar energy

  • Production growth +21% from new solar farms
  • Lower implied captured electricity price* 75 €/MWh (- 19%)

* Implied captured electricity price = (electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool day-ahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production

2024 EBITDA driven by growth in production volume (+40%) and the impact of the Akmenė settlement

EBITDA €114.8m +8%

Net impact of price of electricity -€29.0m 17% lower price impact for electricity sold to exchange was reduced by 10% lower purchase price impact

Net impact of sold / purchased quantities +€39.0m

40% higher production volume increased sales volume (+346 GWh) more than purchase volumes (135 GWh)

  • Income from Akmene settlement +€5.3m
  • Fixed costs (excl sold assets) increased by €3.4m

New assets increased maintenance and land costs.

Impact of assets sold -€2.7m

Record investment volume

Investments by segments, €m

Earnings Per share €0.266 (+26%)

Net profit, €m Earnings per share, €

Net profit €70.3m +26% Net financial costs Increase in interest expenses of +€12.2m, but neutral impact on profit due to 98% capitalization rate Corporate income tax expense Decreased by €4.4m Net profit Higher EBITDA Lower depreciation and corporate tax expense

Temporarily lower ROIC before new assets are fully put in operation

Return on equity = net profit for the last 12 months / equity

Financial leverage 48%

Capital structure

Expectedly higher leverage and net debt / EBITDA ratio

Financing

  • Balance of outstanding loans €725m
  • Average interest rate 3.90%, including interest rate swaps (2023: 4.09%). Swaps cover 20% of loans.
  • During the year signed €180m of new or amended loan facilities with OP, SEB, Swedbank and EBRD
  • Unutilised loans and revolving credit facilities of €165m + €50m

ROIC 5.2% ROE 9.2%

  • Return on invested capital lower due to fast growth in invested capital
  • Return on equity increased due higher financial leverage

Electricity Portfolio: no new long term PPAs in 2024

Production volume outlook of existing and new production assets, sold PPAs and RE support measures, GWh

Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs)

2025 - 2028

  • 5,755 GWh of sold PPAs (47% of potential production***)
  • Average contractual price 67.8 €/MWh

2029+

  • The longest maturity PPAs mature in 2033
  • Against production expected beyond 2028, 2,458 GWh of PPAs have been sold at an average price of 79 €/MWh

Volume of new contracts signed in 2024

No new PPA contracts were signed in 2024

21

* Assets under construction include the Kelmė I and Kelmė II wind farms; all other production assets are classified as operating

** Price floor – state support in the form of a price floor received through a reverse auction at a price level of 34.9 €/MWh (maximum support 20 €/MWh) for 12 years.

2024 summary

  • Strong production growth from new assets, particularly in Q4
  • Finalising construction pipeline (Kelmė II in active construction)
  • Good availabilities of operating wind and solar assets
  • Akmenė settlement
  • Power prices on core markets lower, but remain the highest in the region
  • Higher renewable profile discounts
  • Operating income and EBITDA y-o-y comparisons influenced by sale of biomass assets

Outlook: focus on improving asset returns, lowering leverage, seeking partnerships

Total installed generation capacity

1.1 GWEl ~ 2.4X vs level at IPO

Juhan Aguraiuja, CEO Argo Rannamets, CFO

Appendix

Segments

Condensed consolidated interim financial statements Q4 and 12 months 2024 Wind speeds Availabilities Long term electricity price forecasts

Wind energy segment: EBITDA driven by production from new wind farms

-20.4 (-24.6%) Implied captured electricity price, €/MWh*

Operating expenses per MW in Enefit Wind OÜ and Enefit Wind UAB wind farms for last 4 quarters, €k/MW*

Q4

Q3

Q2

Q1

-3.7 (-9.2%)

EBITDA €96.3m +25%

  • Production growth mainly from new wind farms (+546 GWh)
  • Lower implied captured electricity price* 63 €/MWh (-25%)
  • Higher revenues from electricity sales +€23.4m
  • Cost of electricity purchased to balance the PPA portfolio +€6.6m
  • Operating expenses decreased by 9.2% compared to last year. Decrease in forth quarter came from lower maintenance and land expense costs.

*(Electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool dayahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production

Cogeneration segment: Assets sold reduced segment EBITDA by €2.7m

17,9

24.1

5.6

29.7

17,0

121

EBITDA €29.7m -21%

  • Negative impact of assets sold €(2.7)m
  • Segment results include the gain on the sale of the Paide and Valka CHP plants completed in Q1 2024 (€5.0m).
  • Iru WtE EBITDA decreased due to lower availability 91.2% (2023:94.8%).
  • Lower implied captured electricity price* 121 €/MWh (-2%)

*(Electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool dayahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production

Solar segment: lower electricity prices decreased EBITDA

EBITDA €4.4m -20%

  • 21% higher production due to new solar parks
  • Solar energy implied captured electricity price* 75€/MWh (-19%)
  • Higher operating expenses to balance the PPA contracts of the Purtse solar farm (+€0.3m), growth in balancing energy costs (+€0.2m), network charges (+€0.3m) and solar farm maintenance costs (+€0.3m).

-17.5 (-18.8%) Implied captured electricity price, €/MWh*

*(Electricity sales revenue + renewable energy support and efficient cogeneration support – electricity purchases on the Nord Pool day-ahead and intraday market – balancing energy purchases) / production

-1.1 (-19.6%) EBITDA, €m

77.4

4.4

63.9

2023 2024

+13.5 (+21.2%) Electricity production, GWh

Condensed consolidated interim income statement

€ thousand Q4 2024 Q4 2023 2024 2023
Revenue 61,589 59,656 185,489 205,757
Renewable energy support and other income 8,650 7,256 35,412 24,307
Change in inventories of finished goods and work-in-progress 0 (1,026) 0 2,210
Raw materials, consumables and services used (24,906) (28,944) (81,975) (100,330)
Payroll expenses (2,330) (2,782) (9,077) (19,807)
Depreciation, amortisation and impairment (9,810) (10,819) (39,138) (40,559)
Other operating expenses (5,188) (4,520) (15,036) (15,237)
OPERATING PROFIT 28,005 18,781 75,675 65,341
Finance income 215 1,134 1,307 1,960
Finance costs (484) (1,481) (1,420) (1,858)
Net finance costs (269) (347) (113) 102
Profit (loss) from associates under the equity method 25 (20) 38 66
PROFIT BEFORE TAX 27,761 18,414 75,600 65,509
Corporate Income Tax Expense (326) 690 (5,332) (9,716)
PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD 27,435 19,104 70,268 55,793
Basic and diluted earnings per share
Weighted average number of shares, thousand 264,276 264,276 264,276 264,276
Basic earnings per share, € 0.104 0.072 0.266 0.211
Diluted earnings per share, € 0.104 0.072 0.266 0.211

Condensed consolidated interim statement of financial position

€ thousand 31 Dec 2024 31 Dec 2023
ASSETS
Non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment 1,394,343 1,027,057
Intangible assets 59,727 59,891
Right-of-use assets 8,525 9,097
Prepayments 37,536 55,148
Deferred tax assets 1,212 2,013
Investments in associates 548 548
Derivative financial instruments 3,400 5,054
Long-term receivables 1,330 0
Total non-current assets 1,506,620 1,158,808
Current assets
Inventories 2,011 3,180
Trade receivables 10,151 8,618
Other receivables 13,600 16,380
Prepayments 6,922 30,084
Cash and cash equivalents 44,023 65,677
Derivative financial instruments 3,274 3,806
Assets of a company held for sale 0 15,370
Total current assets 79,981 143,115
Total assets 1,586,601 1,301,923
€ thousand 31 Dec
2024
31 Dec 2023
EQUITY
Equity and reserves attributable to equity holder of the parent
Share capital 264,276 264,276
Share premium 60,351 60,351
Statutory reserve capital 8,291 5,556
Other reserves 163,674 163,451
Foreign currency translation reserve 182 (162)
Retained earnings 263,502 223,718
Total equity 760,276 717,190
LIABILITIES
Non-current liabilities
Borrowings 669,274 454,272
Goverment grants 2,809 3,102
Non-derivative contract liability 6,345 12,412
Deferred tax liabilities 12,484 12,497
Other non-current liabilities 8,098 5,239
Provisions 194 8
Total non-current liabilities 699,204 487,530
Current liabilities
Borrowings 65,139 32,126
Trade payables 36,926 29,464
Other payables 18,888 24,981
Provisions 8 6
Non-derivative contract liability 6,161 5,674
Liabilities of a company
held for sale
0 4,952
Total current liabilities 127,121 97,203
Total liabilities 826,325 584,733
Total equity and liabilities 1,586,601 1,301,923

Condensed consolidated statement of cash flows

€ thousand Q4 2024 Q4 2023 2024 2023
Cash flows from operating activities
Cash generated from operations 29,575 17,596 119,099 94,917
Interest and loan fees paid (5,974) (5,434) (28,175) (12,569)
Interest received 160 181 1,064 826
Income tax paid 0 (501) (5,389) (11,676)
Net cash generated from operating activities 23,761 11,842 86,600 71,498
Cash flows from investing activities
Purchase of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets (50,396) (70,847) (347,954) (312,692)
Collection of finance lease receivables 0 0 0 1
Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment 0 0 27 0
Proceeds from sale of a business 0 30,548 16,879 30,548
Dividends form investments in financial assets 0 0 0 24
Net cash used in investing activities (50,396) (40,299) (331,048) (282,119)
Cash flows from financing activities
Received bank loans 75,000 142,000 355,020 302,000
Repayments of bank loans (36,157) (76,257) (108,467) (104,571)
Repayments of leases (34) (48) (260) (324)
Dividends paid 0 0 (27,749) (54,970)
Proceeds from realisation of interest rate swaps 488 2,707 4,250 2,707
Net cash generated from (used in) financing activities 39,298 68,402 222,795 144,842
Net cash flows 12,661 39,946 (21,654) (65,779)
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period 31,362 25,731 65,677 131,456
Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period 44,023 65,677 44,023 65,677
Net increase / (-) decrease in cash and cash equivalents 12,661 39,946 (21,654) (65,779)

43 GWh lower production due to lower than expected wind speeds

Average measured wind speed in Enefit Green wind farms, m/s

Good availability of operating wind and solar farms

Long term electricity price forecasts have declined

Core market electricity prices*, €/MWh

During 2024 analysts' longterm electricity price expectations for Enefit Green's core markets were lowered by 10-15%.

* The 2025E – 2034E electricity prices have been estimated by averaging the forecasts of market analysis companies SKM, Volue and Thema (SKM Market Predictor Long-Term Power Outlook – December 2024, Volue Long Term Price Forecast – December 2024), Thema Power Market Outlook – December 2024). The figures presented are nominal prices which have been estimated assuming a constant 2% rate of inflation.

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