Investor Presentation • Mar 9, 2023
Investor Presentation
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Standard Bank Group
for the year ended 31 December 2022
9 March 2023
AFRICA IS OUR HOME WE DRIVE HER GROWTH
Lake Kayumbu – Uganda
Agenda
FY22 financial performance and 2023 outlook
Progress towards 2025 targets
AFRICA IS OUR HOME WE DRIVE HER GROWTH
Lake Empakaai – Tanzania
Record headline earnings, R34.2bn, +37% 01 • Underpinned by robust revenue growth, prudent risk appetite, sound cost management
02
Returns improved to 16.4%, well above COE 03 • Driven by strong performances across our businesses and geographies
4
• A 60% final dividend payout ratio underpinned by strong capital generation and a robust CET1 ratio1 04 of 13.5%
1 Common equity tier 1 ratio
1Approaching 50%
Transform client experience
7
| CHNW | BCC | CIB | Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.9m | 791k | R49bn | 3.9m |
| active clients | active clients | revenue | policyholders |
| Disbursed to | Disbursed to | Sustainable | Long-term |
| >R100bn | >R44bn | R55bn | >R9.8bn |
| clients in | clients in the | finance | indexed new |
| South Africa1 | year3 | mobilised | business |
| >550m Digital transaction volumes |
>144m Digital banking volumes |
>R19bn TPS revenue >R17bn |
>R390m New business value4 |
| >R32bn | >R300bn | GM revenue | >R1.5bn |
| Instant Money | Card acquiring | >R11bn | Normalised |
| turnover2 | turnover | IB revenue | operating earnings |
1 Includes home services, VAF, and personal lending in South Africa, 2Instant Money is our digital wallet solution in South Africa, 3Includes VAF and business lending, 4 As disclosed on page 114 of the financial analysis booklet
client
Endowment impact R6.1bn
Larger client base
Strong client trades related revenue
Double-digit revenue growth
9
1 Licenses, maintenance and related costs, 2 Peer data based on individual banks annual financial statements.
1Jaws calculated as revenue growth less cost growth
11
1Headline earnings by legal entity, 2 Other includes other group entities, 3 Standard Bank International includes Isle of Man and Jersey, 4 South Africa is Standard Bank of South Africa (SBSA)
12
| Capital investment required by 2030 to support Africa's energy transition goals |
|---|
Sets out our path to a net zero portfolio by 2050
Adopted a phased approach to sector-based targets to reduce financing of carbon-intensive assets and activities
sustainable finance solutions mobilised by 2026
renewable energy power plant financing by 2024
renewable energy
underwrite commitment by 2024
1 Our climate policy is aligned with the Paris Agreement and the principle of common, UN sustainable development goals, national and regional frameworks including the African Union's agenda 2063, UNEP FI Principles for Responsible Banking, Network for Greening the Financial System Net Zero 2050, 2Targets as per Standard Bank Group Climate policy, March 2022
AFRICA IS OUR HOME WE DRIVE HER GROWTH
Lalibela – Ethiopia
bps
%
%
| FY22 Rbn |
FY21 Rbn |
Change % |
Change CCY % |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 77.1 | 62.4 | 24 | 22 |
| Non-interest revenue | 56.2 | 50.9 | 11 | 10 |
| Total income | 133.3 | 113.3 | 18 | 17 |
| Operating expenses | (73.3) | (65.5) | 12 | 12 |
| Pre-provision profit |
60.0 | 47.8 | 26 | 24 |
| Credit impairment charges | (12.1) | (9.9) | 22 | 22 |
| Standard Bank Activities headline earnings |
30.5 | 24.9 | 22 | 21 |
| SBG share of Liberty earnings1 | 2.0 | (0.1) | >100 | >100 |
| Treasury shares (Liberty adjustment) | (0.2) | (0.4) | 32 | 32 |
| ICBCS (40% stake) | 1.9 | 0.5 | >100 | >100 |
| SBG headline earnings |
34.2 | 25.0 | 37 | 35 |
| Net interest margin, bps | 427 | 382 | ||
| Credit loss ratio, bps | 75 | 73 | ||
| Jaws, bps | 579 | 71 | ||
| ROE, % | 16.4 | 13.5 |
1 SBG share of Liberty earnings was ~57% until 31 January 2022, and 100% thereafter
1Relative to net interest income in FY21
19
1As per loans and advances on page 72 of the financial analysis booklet, 2 As per geographic segmental analysis on page 151 of financial analysis booklet
Total Gross loans & advances, by region2
Deposits1 , +6%
Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-22
Deposits by region2
1As per deposits on page 61 of the financial analysis booklet, 2 Excludes eliminations, 3 South Africa is SBSA
NII and NIM trend Net interest margin
1 Average interest earning assets
Net fee and commission revenue Fee and commission revenue, by category
1Trading revenue includes R141m of fair value adjustments on Ghanaian impacted local currency and onshore USD bonds, 2 Trading revenue by client is pre the Centre and other adjustment of –R0.8bn
25
| Coverage | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec-20 | Dec-21 | Dec-22 | |
| Total coverage |
3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% |
| Stage 3 ratio | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% |
| Stage 3 coverage |
46% | 52% | 50% |
1 Based on gross loans and advances and provisions per pages 68-73 of the FY22 financial analysis booklet.
Balance sheet provisions
1 Based on average of year end provisions, 2Provisions include R1 330m of provisions held on Ghanaian impacted local currency and onshore USD bonds, provisions combined with the R141m of fair value adjustments recorded in trading revenue equate to R1 471m, or 56% coverage
1Credit loss ratio based on credit impairment charges on loans and advances, 2 South Africa reflects credit impairment charges for SBSA, 3 Africa Regions includes R856m of credit impairment charges related to unsettled Ghanaian local currency and onshore USD bonds
Credit impairment charges – South Africa2
FY21 FY22
Rm
Credit impairment charges
1As per financial analysis booklet page 24, 2 Group FY22 charges include a net provision release from centre, 3 Through-the-cycle range, 4 Based on corporate and investment banking on page 49 of the financial analysis booklet
1 Other expenses includes R233m insurance recovery in FY21 related to the Japan card fraud in 2016. Excluding the recovery operating expense growth was 10%, 2 Licenses, maintenance and related costs 3 South Africa is SBSA
Information technology cost growth driven by cloud and cloud-related software investments
1Licenses, maintenance and related costs
1Including unappropriated profits, 2Recalibrated, inclusive of Pillar 2A requirements that were reinstated by the Prudential Authority from 1 January 2022
AFRICA IS OUR HOME WE DRIVE HER GROWTH
Pointe Des Cavernes Lighthouse – Mauritius
1Standard Bank Activities excluding Liberty and ICBCS, 2 Pre R1 128m Centre segment costs, 3Regional split based on legal entity, South Africa is SBSA
1 Based on ICBCS headline earnings and NAV on page 86 of the financial analysis booklet
| SBSA FY22 Rbn |
SBSA FY21 Rbn |
Change % |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 45.6 | 40.8 | 12 |
| Non-interest revenue | 36.0 | 32.0 | 13 |
| Total income | 81.6 | 72.8 | 12 |
| Operating expenses | (48.4) | (44.9) | 8 |
| Pre-provision profit |
33.2 | 27.9 | 19 |
| Credit impairment charges1 | (8.6) | (7.8) | 10 |
| Headline earnings | 16.3 | 12.9 | 26 |
| Credit loss ratio, bps | 69 | 68 |
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1Credit impairment charges including financial investments and letters of credit
Cost-to-income ratio, % 59.7 62.0
Jaws, bps 427 221
ROE, % 15.2 12.5
1Kenya, South Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda, 2 Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, Malawi, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Zambia, Zimbabwe, 3Angola, DRC, Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire, Nigeria
1Angola CAGR based on 2014 to 2021, 2 2022 not split as Africa Regions subsidiaries have not yet reported
AFRICA IS OUR HOME WE DRIVE HER GROWTH
Idanre Hills – Nigeria
| Key drivers | FY23 guidance | Key drivers |
|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | Low-teen growth | Supported by balance sheet growth and continued endowment tailwinds1 • |
| Non-interest revenue | Mid-single digit growth | • Continued growth in active clients and transactional activity will support fees • Focus on sustaining trading revenues |
| Efficiency | Positive jaws | • Focused on delivering below-inflation cost growth |
| Credit loss ratio | Above the mid-point of our TTC2 range of 70 bps – 100 bps |
• Difficult macroeconomic conditions will put pressure on clients |
| ROE | Continued progress into the 2025 target range of 17% – 20% |
• Focus on optimisation of capital deployed |
| Dividend payout ratio | 45% – 60% |
• Supported by strong capital generation |
1SBSA, 100 bps increase equates to approximately R1.4 bn net interest income annualised, 2Through-the-cycle
Chimanimani – Zimbabwe
1
12025 targets are as laid out in our Strategy Day in August 2021, 2Approaching 50%
Blantyre – Malawi
| CHNW FY22 Rbn |
CHNW FY21 Rbn |
Change % |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 32.6 | 28.5 | 15 |
| Non-interest revenue | 21.3 | 19.8 | 8 |
| Total income | 53.9 | 48.3 | 12 |
| Operating expenses | (32.8) | (29.6) | 11 |
| Pre-provision profit |
21.1 | 18.7 | 13 |
| Credit impairment charges | (7.7) | (7.9) | (3) |
| Headline earnings | 8.9 | 7.0 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit loss ratio, bps | 122 | 134 | |
| Cost-to-income ratio, % | 60.8 | 61.4 | |
| Jaws, bps | 104 | 91 | |
| ROE, % | 17.3 | 14.0 |
1Consumer and High Net Worth
| BCC FY22 Rbn |
BCC FY21 Rbn |
Change % |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 20.4 | 15.8 | 29 |
| Non-interest revenue | 12.2 | 10.9 | 12 |
| Total income | 32.6 | 26.7 | 22 |
| Operating expenses | (18.7) | (16.6) | 13 |
| Pre-provision profit |
13.9 | 10.1 | 38 |
| Credit impairment charges | (2.3) | (2.3) | (1) |
| Headline earnings | 8.0 | 5.3 | 51 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Credit loss ratio, bps | 96 | 111 | ||
| Cost-to-income ratio, % | 57.4 | 62.3 | ||
| Jaws, bps | 963 | (27) | ||
| ROE, % | 33.7 | 24.7 | Rbn |
1Business and Commercial Clients
| CIB FY22 Rbn |
CIB FY21 Rbn |
Change % |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 24.3 | 18.6 | 31 |
| Non-interest revenue | 24.5 | 21.1 | 16 |
| Total income | 48.8 | 39.7 | 23 |
| Operating expenses | (23.9) | (21.3) | 12 |
| Pre-provision profit |
24.9 | 18.4 | 35 |
| Credit impairment charges | (2.5) | 0.4 | >100 |
| Headline earnings | 14.8 | 13.3 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit loss ratio2 , bps |
37 | (5) | |
| Cost-to-income ratio, % | 49.1 | 53.7 | |
| Jaws, bps | 1 067 | 212 | |
| ROE, % | 19.2 | 19.4 |
1Corporate and Investment Banking, 2 CLR to customers, 3 TPS – Transactional products and services, IB – Investment Banking, GM – Global Markets, 4Other amounted to R0.4bn in 2020, R0.4bn in 2021 and R0.5bn in 2022
Real Estate
Sovereign & Public Sector
1 TPS – Transactional Products and Services, GM – Global Markets, IB – Investment Banking
| FY22 Rm |
FY21 Rm |
Change % |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| South African Insurance Operations |
1 705 | 1 308 | 30 |
| STANLIB South Africa | 435 | 472 | (8) |
| Africa Regions | (75) | (65) | (15) |
| Group Strategic Initiatives and Centre |
(493) | (366) | (35) |
| Normalised operating earnings (pre Covid-19 impact) |
1 572 | 1 349 | 17 |
| Covid-19 impact | 165 | (2 959) | >100 |
| Normalised operating earnings (post Covid-19 impact) |
1 737 | (1 610) | >100 |
| Shareholder Investment Portfolio (SIP) |
323 | 1 554 | (79) |
| Normalised headline earnings/ (loss) |
2 060 | (56) | >100 |
1Africa Regions was R41m, –R65m and –R75m in 2020, 2021 and 2022 respectively, Other was –R468m, -R366m and –R493m in 2020, 2021 and 2022 respectively,
ICBCS FY22 performance
| FY22 | FY21 | |
|---|---|---|
| ICBCS earnings, USDm | 313 | 87 |
| @ % stake | 40% | 40% |
| SBG attributable earnings, USDm | 125 | 35 |
| ZAR/USD1 | 15.3 | 14.4 |
| SBG attributable earnings, Rm | 1 917 | 500 |
1 Represents the effective exchange rate from converting monthly ICBCS results to ZAR
The Group may, in this document, make certain statements that are not historical facts and relate to analyses and other information which are based on forecasts of future results and estimates of amounts not yet determinable. These statements may also relate to our future prospects, expectations, developments and business strategies and have not been reviewed or reported on by the Group's external auditors.
By their very nature, forward looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, and there are risks that the predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements will not be achieved. If one or more of these risks materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, our actual results may differ materially from those anticipated. You should understand that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward-looking statements.
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