Quarterly Report • Nov 13, 2014
Quarterly Report
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Brussels, 13 November 2014 (07.00 a.m. CET)
KBC ended the third quarter of 2014 with a net profit of 591 million euros, compared with 317 million euros in the previous quarter and 272 million euros in the third quarter of 2013.
After excluding the impact of the legacy business (CDOs, divestments) and the valuation of own credit risk, adjusted net profit came to 477 million euros for the third quarter of 2014, compared with 287 million euros in the second quarter of 2014 and 457 million euros in the third quarter of 2013.
'The summer months of 2014 were characterised by a low interest rate environment and a weakening of the economic recovery that had set in earlier this year against a background of low inflation. It was in this context that KBC posted a net result of 591 million euros for the third quarter, or 477 million euros on an adjusted-profit basis. The group continued to record excellent commercial results: net interest income increased, with loan volumes and client deposits growing further. We also collected higher revenues in the form of fees and commissions particularly in the asset management activities. The combined ratio for our non-life insurance activities remained strong and sales of life insurance products were also up. The cost/income ratio adjusted for specific items remained robust. Loan loss impairment charges were up
somewhat on the previous quarter's level but remained low overall, with a decrease being recorded in Ireland. Our total income continued to be impacted slightly by negative marked-to-market changes in the value of derivatives used for asset/liability management purposes.
Besides these excellent commercial results, the group managed to complete the divestment programme agreed with the European Commission in 2009. The sale of KBC Deutschland was completed in September, the activities of Antwerp Diamond Bank were put into run down and the two remaining CDOs in the portfolio were collapsed. These operations heralded the completion of the divestment programme.
In the third quarter, the Belgium Business Unit generated a net result of 384 million euros, somewhat above the average figure of 375 million euros for the four preceding quarters. Compared with the previous quarter, the third quarter of 2014 was characterised by higher net interest income and net fee and commission income, a sound combined ratio for non-life insurance and increased sales of unit-linked life insurance products. Other features of the quarter under review were the reduced but still negative impact of the valuation of ALM derivatives, lower gains on the sale of financial assets, seasonally lower dividend income and a lower level of other net income. Costs were down slightly and impairment charges were up compared to the low level of the second quarter. The banking activities accounted for 80% of the net result in the quarter under review, and the insurance activities for 20%.
In the quarter under review, the Czech Republic Business Unit posted a net result of 130 million euros, somewhat below the 139-million-euro average for the four preceding quarters. Compared with the previous quarter, the results for the third quarter featured (on a comparable basis) flat net interest income and lower net fee and commission income, a lack of realised gains on the sale of financial assets, higher net results from financial instruments, a lower level of other income, a solid non-life combined ratio and increased sales of unit-linked life insurance products. Costs declined slightly and loan loss impairment charges were up on the unsustainably low level recorded in the previous quarter. Banking activities accounted for 95% of the net result in the quarter under review, and insurance activities for 5%.
In the quarter under review, the International Markets Business Unit recorded a positive net result of 27 million euros, a significant improvement on the negative 236-million-euro average for the four preceding quarters (which had been significantly affected by additional loan loss provisioning for Ireland in the fourth quarter of 2013 and by the impact of the new retail loans act in Hungary in the second quarter of 2014). Compared to the previous quarter, the third quarter of 2014 was characterised by slightly higher net interest income and strong net fee and commission income, a stable result from financial instruments at fair value and somewhat lower realised gains on bonds and shares, a deterioration in the non-life combined ratio and lower life insurance sales. It should be noted that the previous quarter had been significantly impacted by the new Hungarian act on retail loans. Costs in the third quarter were flat, and loan loss provisions fell, mainly in Ireland. Overall, the banking activities accounted for a net result of 23 million euros (positive results in Slovakia, Hungary and Bulgaria, but negative in Ireland), while the insurance activities accounted for a net result of 4 million euros.
The liquidity position of our group remains very strong, with both the LCR and NSFR being well above 100%.
Our capital position also continues to be very robust, as illustrated by a common equity ratio of 13.7% (Basel III fully loaded under the Danish compromise). In the analysis for the first nine months of the year, the repayment of 0.5 billion euros to the Flemish Regional Government at the beginning of January has been taken into account, as have the results for this nine-month period and a pro rata provision for the proposed dividend, the coupons on the additional tier-1 instruments and on the remaining state aid, which are all to be paid over 2014. The common equity ratio, therefore, continues to be well above our target of 10.5%.
This strong capital position has also been confirmed by the results of the comprehensive assessment carried out by the ECB. KBC exceeded the ECB's asset quality review and stress test thresholds and maintained a strong buffer of 2.8 percentage points (2.8 billion euros) above the ECB-imposed threshold of 5.5%, an achievement that reflects KBC's resilience.
The group welcomed the extension of the 'KBC Group anchoring agreements' made by Cera, KBC Ancora, MRBB and the other stable shareholders. They have confirmed that they intend to continue acting in concert with respect to KBC Group NV for another term of 10 years. In doing so, they will ensure continued shareholder stability and support the further development of the KBC group.
This anchoring agreement will help KBC realise its ambition of being among the best-performing, retailfocused financial institutions in Europe and becoming the reference in bank-insurance in its core markets. This aim will be achieved by strengthening in a highly cost-efficient way its bank-insurance business model for retail, SME and mid-cap clients in its core markets, by focusing on sustainable and profitable growth within the framework of solid risk, capital and liquidity management, and by creating superior client satisfaction via a seamless, multi-channel, client-centric distribution approach. The group is truly grateful for the continued trust that its clients and stakeholders have placed in the firm and its employees.'
In order to give a good insight into the ongoing business performance, KBC also provides adjusted figures that exclude a) the impact of the legacy business, i.e. the valuation of the remaining CDOs in portfolio (including fees for the related guarantee agreement with the Belgian State) and the impact of divestments, and b) the impact of the valuation of own credit risk. For the quarter under review, these items had the following impact:
| Overview KBC Group (consolidated) |
3Q2013 | 2Q2014 | 3Q2014 | 9M2013 | 9M2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net result, IFRS (in millions of EUR) | 272 | 317 | 591 | 1 309 | 1 305 |
| Basic earnings per share, IFRS (in EUR)1 | -0.75 | 0.63 | 1.28 | 1.74 | 2.35 |
| Adjusted net result (in millions of EUR) | 457 | 287 | 477 | 1 300 | 1 151 |
| Basic earnings per share, based on adjusted net result (in EUR)1 | -0.30 | 0.56 | 1.00 | 1.72 | 1.99 |
| Breakdown by business unit (in millions of EUR) | |||||
| Belgium | 391 | 383 | 384 | 1 193 | 1 117 |
| Czech Republic | 157 | 140 | 130 | 435 | 408 |
| International Markets | -12 | -176 | 27 | -122 | -175 |
| Group Centre | -79 | -59 | -64 | -207 | -199 |
| Parent shareholders' equity per share (in EUR, end of period) | 28.5 | 29.5 | 30.8 | 28.5 | 30.8 |
1 Note: If a coupon is expected to be paid on the core-capital securities sold to the Belgian Federal and Flemish Regional governments and the additional tier-1 instruments included in equity, it will be deducted from the numerator (pro rata). If a penalty has to be paid on the corecapital securities, it will likewise be deducted.
A full overview of the IFRS consolidated income statement and balance sheet is provided in the 'Consolidated financial statements' section of the quarterly report. Condensed statements of comprehensive income, changes in shareholders' equity, and cash flow, as well as several notes to the accounts, are also available in the same section.
In order to provide a good insight into the ongoing business performance, KBC also publishes an overview of adjusted results, where the impact of legacy activities (divestments, CDOs) and of the valuation of own credit risk is excluded from P/L and summarised in three lines at the bottom of the presentation (see next section).
| Consolidated income statement, IFRS KBC Group (in millions of EUR) |
1Q 2013 |
2Q 2013 |
3Q 2013 |
4Q 2013 |
1Q 2014 |
2Q 2014 |
3Q 2014 |
4Q 2014 |
9M 2013 |
9M 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net interest income | 1 053 | 1 003 | 1 014 | 1 008 | 1 010 | 1 056 | 1 120 | - | 3 069 | 3 185 |
| Interest income | 2 161 | 2 079 | 2 037 | 2 067 | 1 930 | 1 971 | 2 010 | - | 6 276 | 5 911 |
| Interest expense | -1 108 | -1 076 | -1 023 | -1 060 | -920 | -915 | -890 | - | -3 207 | -2 726 |
| Non-life insurance (before reinsurance) | 149 | 115 | 145 | 127 | 149 | 102 | 139 | - | 409 | 389 |
| Earned premiums | 305 | 316 | 321 | 317 | 307 | 315 | 321 | - | 942 | 944 |
| Technical charges | -156 | -201 | -176 | -190 | -158 | -214 | -183 | - | -533 | -555 |
| Life insurance (before reinsurance) | -59 | -62 | -63 | -57 | -59 | -56 | -57 | - | -185 | -171 |
| Earned premiums | 271 | 241 | 238 | 381 | 308 | 297 | 299 | - | 750 | 904 |
| Technical charges | -331 | -303 | -302 | -438 | -367 | -353 | -355 | - | -936 | -1 075 |
| Ceded reinsurance result | -12 | 13 | 1 | -6 | -17 | 19 | 4 | - | 2 | 6 |
| Dividend income | 5 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 9 | - | 39 | 47 |
| Net result from financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss |
314 | 425 | 223 | 229 | 40 | 44 | 34 | - | 962 | 118 |
| Net realised result from available-for-sale assets | 142 | 47 | 34 | 29 | 51 | 49 | 28 | - | 223 | 128 |
| Net fee and commission income | 389 | 381 | 337 | 362 | 374 | 387 | 402 | - | 1 107 | 1 163 |
| Fee and commission income | 636 | 560 | 507 | 564 | 557 | 533 | 579 | - | 1 704 | 1 668 |
| Fee and commission expense | -247 | -179 | -170 | -202 | -182 | -147 | -177 | - | -596 | -505 |
| Other net income | 76 | -20 | 51 | 15 | 52 | -99 | 73 | - | 107 | 26 |
| Total income | 2 058 | 1 921 | 1 754 | 1 715 | 1 615 | 1 526 | 1 752 | - | 5 733 | 4 892 |
| Operating expenses | -1 033 | -924 | -918 | -968 | -973 | -933 | -923 | - | -2 875 | -2 829 |
| Impairment | -350 | -275 | -362 | -940 | -114 | -142 | -58 | - | -987 | -313 |
| on loans and receivables | -293 | -254 | -230 | -937 | -102 | -136 | -190 | - | -777 | -429 |
| on available-for-sale assets | -13 | -3 | -8 | -10 | -5 | -3 | -6 | - | -24 | -14 |
| on goodwill | -7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | -7 | 0 |
| on other | -37 | -18 | -125 | 7 | -6 | -3 | 139 | - | -179 | 130 |
| Share in results of associated companies and joint ventures |
8 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | - | 24 | 19 |
| Result before tax | 683 | 729 | 483 | -187 | 535 | 457 | 777 | - | 1 895 | 1 769 |
| Income tax expense | -159 | -210 | -207 | -103 | -138 | -140 | -186 | - | -575 | -464 |
| Net post-tax result from discontinued operations | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Result after tax | 524 | 520 | 276 | -290 | 397 | 317 | 591 | - | 1 319 | 1 305 |
| attributable to minority interests | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 10 | 0 |
| attributable to equity holders of the parent | 520 | 517 | 272 | -294 | 397 | 317 | 591 | - | 1 309 | 1 305 |
| Basic earnings per share (EUR) | 1.25 | 1.24 | -0.75 | -0.71 | 0.45 | 0.63 | 1.28 | - | 1.74 | 2.35 |
| Diluted earnings per share (EUR) | 1.25 | 1.24 | -0.75 | -0.71 | 0.45 | 0.63 | 1.28 | - | 1.74 | 2.35 |
Note that the 2013 reference figures have been adjusted slightly following the application of the new IFRS 11 standard. This standard stipulates that joint ventures must be accounted for using the equity method instead of the proportionate consolidation method. For KBC, this applies to ČMSS, a joint venture of ČSOB in the Czech Republic. This change does not affect the net result, but has an impact on various items in the consolidated income statement.
In addition to the figures according to IFRS (previous section), KBC provides figures aimed at giving more insight into the ongoing business performance. Hence, in the overview below, the impact of legacy activities (remaining divestments, CDOs) and of the valuation of own credit risk is excluded from P/L and summarised in three lines at the bottom of the presentation (in segment reporting, these items are all included in the Group Centre). Moreover, a different accounting treatment for capital-market income was applied to the Belgium Business Unit (with all trading results shifting to 'Net result from financial instruments at fair value'). A full explanation of the differences between the IFRS and adjusted figures is provided under 'Notes on segment reporting' in the 'Consolidated financial statements' section of the quarterly report.
| Consolidated income statement, KBC Group (in millions of EUR) |
1Q 2013 |
2Q 2013 |
3Q 2013 |
4Q 2013 |
1Q 2014 |
2Q 2014 |
3Q 2014 |
4Q 2014 |
9M 2013 |
9M 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted net result (i.e. excluding legacy business and own credit risk) |
||||||||||
| Net interest income | 1 018 | 976 | 999 | 996 | 1 002 | 1 047 | 1 109 | - | 2 993 | 3 158 |
| Non-life insurance (before reinsurance) | 149 | 115 | 145 | 127 | 149 | 102 | 139 | - | 409 | 389 |
| Earned premiums | 305 | 316 | 321 | 317 | 307 | 315 | 321 | - | 942 | 944 |
| Technical charges | -156 | -201 | -176 | -190 | -158 | -214 | -183 | - | -533 | -555 |
| Life insurance (before reinsurance) | -59 | -62 | -63 | -57 | -59 | -56 | -57 | - | -185 | -171 |
| Earned premiums | 271 | 241 | 238 | 381 | 308 | 297 | 299 | - | 750 | 904 |
| Technical charges | -331 | -303 | -302 | -438 | -367 | -353 | -355 | - | -936 | -1 075 |
| Ceded reinsurance result | -12 | 13 | 1 | -6 | -17 | 19 | 4 | - | 2 | 6 |
| Dividend income | 4 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 6 | - | 34 | 39 |
| Net result from financial instruments at fair value through profit or loss |
218 | 256 | 146 | 159 | 17 | 37 | 49 | - | 620 | 103 |
| Net realised result from available-for-sale assets | 96 | 46 | 42 | 29 | 50 | 49 | 27 | - | 183 | 127 |
| Net fee and commission income | 382 | 385 | 341 | 365 | 378 | 389 | 404 | - | 1 108 | 1 171 |
| Other net income | 76 | 68 | 151 | 47 | 52 | -124 | 64 | - | 296 | -8 |
| Total income | 1 872 | 1 815 | 1 773 | 1 668 | 1 584 | 1 485 | 1 746 | - | 5 459 | 4 814 |
| Operating expenses | -1 023 | -914 | -906 | -955 | -965 | -926 | -898 | - | -2 843 | -2 789 |
| Impairment | -333 | -234 | -208 | -949 | -107 | -134 | -183 | - | -775 | -424 |
| on loans and receivables | -293 | -215 | -185 | -939 | -103 | -130 | -165 | - | -693 | -398 |
| on available-for-sale assets | -13 | -3 | -2 | -3 | -5 | -3 | -6 | - | -18 | -14 |
| on goodwill | -7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | -7 | 0 |
| on other | -20 | -15 | -22 | -7 | 0 | 0 | -12 | - | -57 | -12 |
| Share in results of associated companies and joint ventures |
8 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | - | 24 | 19 |
| Result before tax | 524 | 675 | 667 | -230 | 518 | 431 | 671 | - | 1 866 | 1 620 |
| Income tax expense | -161 | -187 | -206 | -106 | -131 | -144 | -194 | - | -555 | -469 |
| Result after tax | 363 | 487 | 460 | -336 | 387 | 288 | 477 | - | 1 310 | 1 152 |
| attributable to minority interests | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 10 | 0 |
| attributable to equity holders of the parent | 359 | 485 | 457 | -340 | 387 | 287 | 477 | - | 1 300 | 1 151 |
| Belgium | 385 | 418 | 391 | 376 | 351 | 383 | 384 | - | 1 193 | 1 117 |
| Czech Republic | 132 | 146 | 157 | 119 | 138 | 140 | 130 | - | 435 | 408 |
| International Markets | -87 | -23 | -12 | -731 | -26 | -176 | 27 | - | -122 | -175 |
| Group Centre Basic earnings per share (EUR) |
-71 0.86 |
-56 1.16 |
-79 -0.30 |
-104 -0.82 |
-75 0.42 |
-59 0.56 |
-64 1.00 |
- - |
-207 1.72 |
-199 1.99 |
| Diluted earnings per share (EUR) | 0.86 | 1.16 | -0.30 | -0.82 | 0.42 | 0.56 | 1.00 | - | 1.72 | 1.99 |
| Legacy business and own credit risk impact (after tax) | ||||||||||
| Legacy – gains/losses on CDOs | 165 | 180 | 34 | 65 | 16 | 30 | -24 | - | 380 | 23 |
| Legacy – divestments | 22 | -128 | -231 | -10 | -9 | 8 | 132 | - | -337 | 131 |
| MTM of own credit risk | -26 | -20 | 12 | -9 | 2 | -8 | 6 | - | -34 | 0 |
| Net result (IFRS) Result after tax, attributable to equity holders of the |
||||||||||
| parent (IFRS) | 520 | 517 | 272 | -294 | 397 | 317 | 591 | - | 1 309 | 1 305 |
Note that the 2013 reference figures have been adjusted slightly following the application of the new IFRS 11 standard. This standard stipulates that joint ventures must be accounted for using the equity method instead of the proportionate consolidation method. For KBC, this applies to ČMSS, a joint venture of ČSOB in the Czech Republic. This change does not affect the net result, but has an impact on various items in the consolidated income statement.
Adjusted net result (in millions of EUR) Adjusted net result by business unit, 3Q2014 (in millions of EUR)
The net result for the quarter under review amounted to 591 million euros. Excluding the legacy business and the impact of own credit risk, the adjusted net result came to 477 million euros, compared with 287 million euros in 2Q2014 and 457 million euros in 3Q2013.
In the non-life segment, earned premiums were up 2% quarter-on-quarter and flat year-on-year. Claims during the third quarter were substantially lower (-14%) than their quarter-earlier level (due to the hailstorms in Belgium in 2Q2014) and were up somewhat (4%) on their level in the third quarter of 2013. Nevertheless, the combined ratio came to a solid 93% year-to-date.
In the life segment, sales of life insurance products (including unit-linked products not included in premium income figures) were up 12% on their level in 2Q2014, with a significant increase in unitlinked products. Year-on-year, they were up by 50% on account of the increase in sales of guaranteedinterest products and unit-linked products.
It should be noted that the third quarter was a decent one for investment income derived from insurance activities, although down on the level of the previous quarter, with the quarter-on-quarter results being driven by higher net interest income quarter-on-quarter, but lower dividend income after a seasonally strong second quarter, and lower realised gains on available-for-sales assets in the investment portfolio. Lastly, the technical-financial result also benefited from general administrative expenses being kept strictly under control.
The net result for 9M2014 amounted to 1 305 million euros. Excluding the legacy business and the impact of own credit risk, the adjusted net result amounted to 1 151 million euros, compared with 1 300 million euros in 9M2013.
Premiums in the non-life segment were flat year-on-year. The claims arising from the hailstorms in Belgium resulted in a somewhat higher level of technical charges compared with 9M2013, which in turn had been affected by claims relating to flooding in the Czech Republic. Nevertheless, the combined ratio still came to a solid 93% year-to-date.
In the life segment, sales of life insurance products (including unit-linked products not included in premium income figures) were up 3% on their level in 9M2013. The increase in sales of guaranteed interest products exceeded the contraction in sales of unit-linked products.
It should be noted that the insurance results also benefited from slightly higher investment income, driven by the higher net realised result from the sale of available-for-sale assets, lower impairment charges and higher dividend income, all of which outweighed the lower level of net interest income and the net result from financial instruments at fair value. General administrative expenses were kept strictly under control and fell by 5% year-on-year.
• Operating expenses came to 2 789 million euros in 9M2014, down 2% on their year-earlier level. On a comparable basis, costs decreased by 1%, with the higher bank tax in Belgium and Hungary and higher staff expenses and general administrative expenses in Ireland being offset by lower operating expenses at the Group Centre and a positive foreign exchange impact. The year-to-date cost/income ratio came to a relatively high 59%, but resulted primarily from the fact that the denominator (total income) suffered from negative marked-to-market valuations of ALM derivatives and the impact of the new act on retail loans in Hungary. Adjusted for specific items, the cost/income ratio stood at 54%.
• Income tax amounted to 469 million euros for the first nine months of 2014.
• The group's liquidity remains excellent, as reflected in an LCR ratio of 120% and an NSFR ratio of 109% at the end of the third quarter.
| Highlights of consolidated balance sheet * KBC Group (in millions of EUR) |
31-03- 2013 |
30-06- 2013 |
30-09- 2013 |
31-12- 2013 |
31-03- 2014 |
30-06- 2014 |
30-09- 2014 |
31-12- 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total assets | 255 753 | 250 557 | 247 530 | 238 686 | 246 179 | 252 768 | 251 612 | - |
| Loans and advances to customers | 127 112 | 129 179 | 125 795 | 120 371 | 120 810 | 124 661 | 125 898 | - |
| Securities (equity and debt instruments) | 64 777 | 65 435 | 63 854 | 64 904 | 66 313 | 68 380 | 69 530 | - |
| Deposits from customers and debt certificates | 164 766 | 164 213 | 166 223 | 161 135 | 163 838 | 166 407 | 166 843 | - |
| Technical provisions, before reinsurance | 18 836 | 18 805 | 18 803 | 18 701 | 18 941 | 19 007 | 19 065 | - |
| Liabilities under investment contracts, insurance | 11 664 | 11 606 | 11 684 | 11 787 | 11 976 | 12 322 | 12 540 | - |
| Parent shareholders' equity | 12 505 | 12 119 | 11 895 | 11 826 | 11 968 | 12 318 | 12 840 | - |
| Non-voting core-capital securities | 3 500 | 3 500 | 2 333 | 2 333 | 2 000 | 2 000 | 2 000 | - |
* Note that the 2013 reference figures have been adjusted slightly following the application of the new IFRS 11 standard. This standard stipulates that joint ventures must be accounted for using the equity method instead of the proportionate consolidation method. For KBC, this applies to ČMSS, a joint venture of ČSOB in the Czech Republic. This change does not affect equity, but has an impact on various items in the consolidated balance sheet. Moreover, in accordance with IFRS 5, the assets and liabilities of a number of divestments have been reallocated to 'Non-current assets held for sale and disposal groups' and 'Liabilities associated with disposal groups', which slightly distorts the comparison between periods.
| Selected ratios KBC Group (consolidated) |
FY2013 | 9M2014 |
|---|---|---|
| Profitability and efficiency (based on adjusted net result) | ||
| Return on equity* | 9% | 12% |
| Cost/income ratio, banking | 52% | 59% |
| Combined ratio, non-life insurance | 94% | 93% |
| Solvency | ||
| Common equity ratio (Basel III, fully loaded, including remaining state aid) | 12.8% | 13.7% |
| Credit risk | ||
| Credit cost ratio | 1.21% | 0.41% |
| Impaired loans ratio | 10.2% | 10.3% |
| for loans more than 90 days overdue | 5.9% | 6.0% |
* If a coupon is expected to be paid on the core-capital securities sold to the Belgian Federal and Flemish Regional governments and the additional tier-1 instruments included in equity, it will be deducted from the numerator (pro rata).
Note: a number of ratios have been affected (with retroactive application) by changes due to the implementation of IFRS11, Basel III and the abolished carve-out of the zero weighting of domestic government bonds.
In the third quarter, global economic data were disappointing on balance. In the US, the ISM report for the manufacturing sector fell slightly in September (albeit from a high level), while producer confidence in the UK, Japan and China also weakened. Nevertheless, the business cycles in the US and UK still seem to be on a recovery track, as reflected by the continuing decline in unemployment rates in those countries. More worrying is the persisting deterioration of producer confidence in the euro area, and particularly in Germany. Both the current and leading components of the German Ifo index have been falling since late spring, increasing downside growth risks in the second half of 2014.
There is, however, positive news too. First of all, the euro area's labour market continues to improve: Germany remains close to full employment and the number of unemployed is decreasing in most euro countries, with France being the notable exception. Peripheral countries like Ireland and Spain are starting to reap the benefits from their structural reforms. Finally, fiscal policy is becoming less of a drag on growth. The introduction of the Fiscal Compact, and its focus on structural rather than nominal deficits, allows the fiscal stance to become less restrictive and – according to the EC – it may even become accommodating in 2015. In combination with the ECB's very accommodating monetary policy, these positives should allow the euro area to avoid another recession in spite of the recent market turmoil.
Wim Allegaert, General Manager, Investor Relations, KBC Group Tel +32 2 429 50 51 - E-mail: [email protected]
Viviane Huybrecht, General Manager, Corporate Communication/Spokesperson, KBC Group Tel +32 2 429 85 45 - E-mail: [email protected]
* This news item contains information that is subject to the transparency regulations for listed companies.
KBC Group NV Havenlaan 2 – 1080 Brussels Viviane Huybrecht General Manager Corporate Communication /Spokesperson Tel. +32 2 429 85 45
Press Office Tel. +32 2 429 65 01 Stef Leunens Tel. +32 2 429 29 15 Ilse De Muyer Fax +32 2 429 81 60 E-mail: [email protected]
KBC press releases are available at www.kbc.com or can be obtained by sending an e-mail to [email protected]
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