Earnings Release • Feb 11, 2014
Earnings Release
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Investor presentation Brussels – February, 12th 2014
Johnny Thijs, CEO Pierre Winand, CFO
This presentation ("4Q-13 Trading Update") has been published on February, 11th after market accompanied by a press release available on www.bpost.be/ir. This information forms regulated information as defined in the Royal Decree of 14 November 2007.
Financial figures contained in this communication are unaudited and the annual financial statements 2013 have not yet been submitted the Board of Directors nor approved by the Shareholders Meeting.
The final consolidated results for the full year ended December 31, 2013, audited by bpost's statutory auditors, will be published on March 26th, 2014.
The information in this document may include forward-looking statements1, which are based on current expectations and projections of management about future events. By their nature, forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future whether or not outside the control of the Company. Such factors may cause actual results, performance or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Accordingly, no assurance is given that such forward-looking statements will prove to have been correct. They speak only as at the date of the Presentation and the Company undertakes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements.
This material is not intended as and does not constitute an offer to sell any securities or a solicitation of any offer to purchase any securities.
| Topic | Results | Last 2013 Outlook |
|---|---|---|
| Total operating income (Revenues) |
▪ 4Q-13 : € 640.9m (+0.6%) ▪ FY13 : € 2,428.6m (+0.5%) |
Stable revenues |
| EBITDA | ▪ 4Q-13 : € 121.6m (€ +15.0m; +14.1%) ▪ FY13 : € 536.9m (€ +34.9m; +7.0%) |
At least maintain operating results |
| EBIT | ▪ 4Q-13 : € 86.8m (€ +14.0m; +19.2%) ▪ FY13 : € 436.1m (€+32.0m; +7.9%) |
and operating margins |
| Domestic Mail | ▪ 4Q-13 : -4.1% (underlying volume) ▪ FY13 : -4.2% (underlying volume) |
Decline between 4 and 4.5% |
| Parcels | ▪ Domestic volumes 4Q-13 : +8.0% ▪ Organic growth FY13 : +40.5 m |
|
| Productivity | ▪ FY13: - 1,082 FTE (-3.9%) |
Between -800 and -1,200 FTE per year |
| Dividend | ▪ Total dividend of € 1.13 per share gross proposed – Interim dividend already paid : € 0.93 – Final dividend of € 0.20 based on net profits of Nov and Dec at 85% payout. |
1 Normalized figures are neither audited nor have been subject to a limited review
1 Normalized figures are neither audited nor have been subject to a limited review
3
Strong 4Q-13 EBITDA performance thanks to parcels growth, cost discipline and favourable movements on provisions. Domestic mail volume decline slightly higher than last two quarters but in line with expectations.
EBITDA, Normalized1, EUR million
Total operating income (revenues)
EBITDA, Normalized1, EUR million
Based on the communicated dividend policy, taking into account the interim dividend paid and subject to Board and Shareholders' meeting approval
| per share) | Interim dividend paid in December 2013 (€, gross | € 0.93 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Final dividend payment (proposed) (€, gross per share) |
€ 0.20 | ||
| Total proposed dividend for 2013 | € 1.13 | ||
| Dividend | |||
| bpost S.A./N.V. net profits after tax November to December 2013 (BGAAP) |
€ 47.5 m | ||
| Pay-out ratio | X 85% | ||
| Proposed dividend for the last 2 months | € 40.4 m |
| 4Q#13,'EUR'millions | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported | Normalized1 | |||||
| 2012 | 2013 | 2012 | 2013 | %&change | ||
| Total'operating'income'(revenues) | 637.1 | 640.9 | 637.1 | 640.9 | 0.6% | |
| Operating'expenses' | 632.7 | 519.4 | 530.5 | 519.4 | 2.1% | |
| EBITDA& | 4.4 | 121.6 | 106.6 | 121.6 | 14.1% | 2012: gain on pending litigation |
| Margin'(%) | 0.7% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 19.0% | provision (€ 22.7m) and loss on provision |
|
| EBIT& | 629.4 | 86.8 | 72.8 | 86.8 | 19.2% | relating to European Commission Decision (€ 124.9m) |
| Margin''(%) | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 13.5% | ||
| Profit&before&tax | 656.1 | 85.5 | 46.1 | 85.5 | 85.5% | |
| Income'tax'expense | #18.2 | 32.8 | 16.6 | 32.8 | ||
| Net&profit | 637.9 | 52.7 | 29.6 | 52.7 | 78.0% | |
| FCF2& | 626.4 | 12.6 | 624.2 | 12.5 | 151.7% | |
| bpost&S.A./N.V.&net&profit&(BGAAP) | 1.0 | 72.7 | 68.5 | 72.7 | 6.1% |
1 Normalized figures are neither audited nor have been subject to a limited review
2 Operating free cash flow = cash flow from operating activities + cash flow from investing activities
| FY#13,'EUR'millions | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported | Normalized1 | |||||
| 2012 | 2013 | 2012 | 2013 | %&change | ||
| Total'operating'income'(revenues) | 2,415.7 | 2,443.2 | 2,415.7 | 2,428.6 | 0.5% | 2013: gain of EUR 14.6m from sale of Certipost divisions |
| Operating'expenses' | 1,994.8 | 1,891.7 | 1,913.7 | 1,891.7 | 1.1% | |
| EBITDA& | 420.9 | 551.4 | 502.0 | 536.9 | 7.0% | 2012: net loss of |
| Margin'(%) | 17.4% | 22.6% | 20.8% | 22.1% | € 81.1m due to: | |
| EBIT& | 323.0 | 450.7 | 404.1 | 436.1 | 7.9% | 1) Gain on partial curtailment of |
| Margin''(%) | 13.4% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 18.0% | employee benefit plan € 21.1m 2) Gain on pending |
|
| Profit&before&tax | 272.7 | 456.8 | 353.7 | 442.2 | 25.0% | litigation provision € 22.7m |
| Income'tax'expense | 98.5 | 168.9 | 126.0 | 168.9 | 3) Loss on provision relating to |
|
| Net&profit | 174.2 | 287.9 | 227.7 | 273.3 | 20.0% | European Commission Decision € |
| FCF2& | F16.8 | 125.9 | 284.1 | 249.0 | F12.4% | 124.9m |
| bpost&S.A./N.V.&net&profit&(BGAAP) | 171.9 | 248.2 | 239.4 | 248.2 | 3.7% |
1 Normalized figures are neither audited nor have been subject to a limited review
2 Operating free cash flow = cash flow from operating activities + cash flow from investing activities; normalization excludes the impact of the 2012 and 2013 repayment of prior compensation, following the 2012 EU ruling
| Topic | Description | High-level impact | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sale of Certipost |
▪ 4Q-13 figures exclude any revenue as well as cost related to Certipost activities1 sold in January 2013 |
▪ Decrease of € 2.0m in operating income and decrease of € 2.2m in operating expenses vs. 4Q-12 |
|
| e p o c s n s i e g n a |
Consolidation of Landmark Global |
▪ Following the acquisition of Landmark Global in December 2012, related operating income and operating expenses are consolidated in 2013 financials |
▪ Additional operating income of € 13.7m and additional operating expenses of € 11.7m in 4Q-13 |
| h C |
MSI parcels revenue |
▪ MSI parcels revenues now reported under International Parcels (all revenues of MSI were previously reported under International Mail) |
▪ Transfer of € 4.6m of 4Q-12 of revenues from International Mail to International Parcels to make 4Q-13 revenues comparable |
| (SGEI) | Change in State Compensation |
▪ 5th Management Contract leads to a change in methodology for the determination of the State Compensation, from "Fully Distributed Cost" to "Net Avoided Cost" |
▪ Overall SGEI decrease of € 7.7m in 4Q-13, totaling € 19.1m for FY13 ▪ Decrease of Domestic Mail related SGEI (esp. Press) compensated by introduction of compensation for the Retail Network SGEI |
Normalized, EUR million
| 2012 | Scope | SGEI | Organic1 | 2013 | Organic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domestic mail | Transactional mail | 266.2 | -1.5 | -5.1 | 259.6 | -1.9% | |
| Advertising mail | 76.9 | -0.8 | -2.1 | 74.0 | -2.7% | ||
| Press | 106.5 | -25.3 | -0.5 | 80.7 | -0.5% | ||
| Parcels | Domestic parcels2 | 36.8 | 2.2 | 39.0 | 6.0% | ||
| International parcels | 2.1 | 18.3 | 12.5 | 32.9 | 595.2% | ||
| Special logistics | 5.0 | -0.9 | 4.1 | -18.0% | |||
| Additional sources of revenues and retail network |
International mail | 64.1 | -4.6 | -4.3 | 55.2 | -6.8% | |
| Valued added services | 24.6 | -2.0 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 22.9 | 2.0% | |
| Banking and financial | 56.0 | -0.7 | -2.5 | 52.8 | -4.5% | ||
| Others | 6.0 | 20.8 | -1.2 | 25.6 | -20.4% | ||
| Corporate | -7.2 | 1.4 | -5.8 | -19.1% | |||
| TOTAL | 637.1 | 11.7 | -7.7 | -0.2 | 640.9 | -0.0% |
1 Organic including phasing impacts, see further
2 Domestic Parcels including parcels from Domestic, Inbound & Solutions
Normalized1 total operating income (revenues), EUR million
1 Normalized figures are neither audited nor have been subject to a limited review
3 Excluding impact of less working days and elections held in 2012
10 3 In terms of working days, 1Q-14 and 2Q-14 will be equal to same quarters of 2013. In 3Q-14 we will have 1 business working day less and in Q4-14 we will have 1 business working day more than in 2013. In both cases, the number of working days in the post offices is equal in 2014 and 2013.
Normalized1 total operating income (revenues), EUR million
1 Normalized figures are neither audited nor have been subject to a limited review
2 Including Domestic Parcels, Inbound Parcels & Solutions
Normalized1 total operating income (revenues), EUR million
1 Normalized figures are neither audited nor have been subject to a limited review
Operating expenses excl. depreciation and amortization, Normalized1, EUR million
Normalized, EUR million
| Q4-12 | Q4-13 | Delta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operating activities | 24.9 | 46.4 | +21.5 |
| Cash flow from investing activities | -49.2 | -33.9 | +15.4 |
| Operating free cash flow1 | -24.2 | 12.5 | +36.9 |
| Financing activities2 | -406.6 | -195.3 | +211.3 |
| Net cash movement | -430.8 | -182.8 | +248.1 |
| Capex | 35.4 | 37.2 | +1.8 |
| Last year mainly capital decrease of € 220m and exceptional dividend of €198m. This year mainly € 186m of dividend. |
Mainly due to purchase of Landmark (€ 7.7m) and 20% of MSI (€ 5.9m) in 2012. |
1 Operating free cash flow = cash flow from operating activities + cash flow from investing activities; excludes the impact of the 2012 and 2013 repayment of prior compensation, following the 2012 EU ruling
2 Financing activities included deposits received from third parties
EUR million
– productivity improvements ahead of expectations,
▪ Based on the net profit of bpost N.V./S.A. (Belgian GAAP) for November and December, a final dividend of € 0.20 gross per share will be proposed (total dividend for the year € 1.13 gross per share)
| FY-12 | FY-13 | Delta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operating activities | 372.2 | 329.7 | -42.5 |
| Cash flow from investing activities | -88.1 | -80.7 | +7.4 |
| Operating free cash flow1 | 284.1 | 249.0 | -35.1 |
| Financing activities2 | -713.4 | -513.8 | +199.6 |
| Net cash movement | -429.3 | -264.7 | +164.6 |
| Capex | 84.3 | 79.2 | -5.1 |
Better operational performance compensated by less favourable working capital evolution, mainly due to:
1 Operating free cash flow = cash flow from operating activities + cash flow from investing activities; excludes the impact of the 2012 and 2013 repayment of prior compensation, following the 2012 EU ruling
2 Financing activities includes repayment of SGEI overcompensation, capital decreases, dividend payments, treasury shares and deposits received from third parties
| 4Q-12 | 4Q-13 | FY12 | FY13 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MILLION EUR | |||||||
| IFRS net profit (reported) | -37.9 | 52.7 | 174.2 | 287.9 | |||
| BGAAP net profit (reported) | 1.0 | 72.8 | 171.9 | 248.2 | |||
| Difference reported IFRS - BGAAP | 38.9 | 20.1 | -2.3 | -39.6 | |||
| -19 | -37 | ||||||
| Certipost | -14 | Certipost | -29 | ||||
| IAS19/impairment/provisions | -15 | IAS19/impairment/provisions | -1 | ||||
| Deferred taxes | 5 | Deferred taxes | -7 | ||||
| All others | 6 | All others | 0 |
Reconciliation will be provided in the usual format with the Annual Financial Statement and statbook on March, 26th 2014.
Normalized, EUR million
| 2012 | Scope | SGEI | Organic1 | 2013 | Organic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transactional mail | 982.7 | -5.9 | -15.5 | 961.3 | -1.6% | ||
| Domestic mail | Advertising mail | 287.3 | -2.9 | -8.5 | 275.9 | -3.0% | |
| Press | 406.4 | -92.1 | -0.2 | 314.1 | -0.0% | ||
| Parcels | Domestic parcels2 | 134.0 | 7.9 | 141.9 | 5.9% | ||
| International parcels | 11.4 | 44.1 | 36.0 | 91.5 | 315.8% | ||
| Special logistics | 19.6 | -3.4 | 16.2 | -17.3% | |||
| International mail | 221.0 | -4.6 | -17.1 | 199.3 | -7.7% | ||
| Additional sources of |
Valued added services | 95.8 | -7.9 | -0.9 | 2.4 | 89.4 | 2.5% |
| revenues and retail network |
Banking and financial | 217.3 | -3.0 | -5.1 | 209.2 | -2.3% | |
| Others | 19.0 | 85.7 | -0.4 | 104.3 | -2.1% | ||
| Corporate | 21.1 | 4.4 | 25.5 | 20.8% | |||
| TOTAL | 2,415.7 | 31.6 | -19.1 | 0.4 | 2,428.6 | 0.0% |
1 Organic including phasing impacts, see further
2 Domestic Parcels including parcels from Domestic, Inbound & Solutions
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