Investor Presentation • Jul 6, 2021
Investor Presentation
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July 6th, 2021
Henri Poupart-Lafarge, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Danny Di Perna, Executive VP and Chief Operations Officer Benjamin Fitoussi, President Rolling Stock and Components – Development & Operations
Jean-François Beaudoin, President Digital & Integrated Systems
Services Matthew Byrne, President Services
Henri Poupart -Lafarge , Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Strategic roadmap Bombardier Transportation integration
Henri Poupart -Lafarge, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
1- Pro-forma FY 2020/21 2- RS only excluding rail component supplied by CRRC New Industry business unit 3- Chinese, Russian, Japanese and Korean locked domestic markets 4- Wabtec, Knorr Bremse and Caterpillar Rail not included 5- Pro forma 2019/20 unaudited Alstom and BT 6- Percentage based on pro forma 2019/20. PL pro forma not available on 2020/21
Significant market tailwinds despite recent global crisis
© ALSTOM SA 2021. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
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Capture growth, extend our innovative leadership, continued transformation momentum
Expand and reinforce our strategy
Integrate Bombardier Transportation Execute plan
with clear roadmap
Introduction Strategic roadmap Bombardier Transportation integration
Henri Poupart -Lafarge , Chairman and CEO
1 Average on FY2019/20 and FY2020/21 2 On an Alstom Stand alone perimeter 3 aEBIT includes equity-accounted investments when these are considered to be part of the operating activities of the Group 4 Developed on a stand-alone basis
Extending Alstom in Motion to 2025, powered by our new scale
TREN MAYA (MEX)
A unique global-local footprint to respond to growing demand for localisation while delivering competitiveness
"Customers are looking for reliable, tailored and competitive solutions delivered close to them"
© ALSTOM SA 2021. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
LEAD IN TECHNOLOGY GROW TO REACH #1 REAP SCALE BENEFITS
Growth above market High single digit growth Solid mid-single digit growth
SUSTAIN LEADERSHIP ACCELERATE GROWTH DELIVER VALUE ON A CONTINUOUS BASIS
7,500 digital engineers
8 EU countries announcing diesel bans ~46% non-electrified lines in Europe
6,000 diesel trains to be replaced / refurbished by 2035
H2 electrolyser installed capacity Hardware cost (batteries & fuel cell) Infrastructure deployment
URBALIS FLUENCE™ HIGHER CAPACITY, FLEXIBILITY & TRAIN-TO-TRAIN COMMUNICATIONS
AUTONOMOUS TRAIN ALSTOM LEADING ON BOTH PASSENGER & FREIGHT TRAINS
the world largest installed base and widest solution range, with the HealthHub data platform"
Secure digitalisation as a means for a simpler, greener and more efficient mobility
| 2025 TARGETS | ||
|---|---|---|
| ENABLING decarbonisation of mobility |
25%1 energy reduction in solutions ● 100% of newly-developed solutions eco-designed ● 100% electricity supply from renewables2 ● Alstom committed to science-based targets within ● the frame of the Paris Agreement3 |
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| CARING for our people |
Total recordable injury rate at 2 ● 28% women in management, engineering ● & professional role Global Top Employer certification ● |
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| CREATING a positive impact on society |
250,000 beneficiaries per year from local actions ● and Alstom foundation |
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| ACTING as a responsible business partner |
100% of suppliers monitored or assessed on CSR ● and E&C standards according to their level of risk |
ECO-DESIGN TO REDUCE IMPACT THROUGH THE ENTIRE LIFE CYCLE OF MANUFACTURE, OPERATION AND END OF LIFE |
© ALSTOM SA 2021. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited. 1. Compared to 2014 2. At end 2025 3. Target on Alstom legacy perimeter covering emissions from operations (scopes 1 and 2) consistent with reductions required to keep warming to 1.5°C, the most ambitious goal of the Paris Agreement. Target on Alstom legacy perimeter for emissions from value chain (scope 3) meeting the SBTi's criteria for ambitious value chain goals, in line with current best practice. As part of the Bombardier Transportation integration program, CO2 reduction targets will be reviewed by the end of FY2021/22.
Introduction Strategic roadmap Bombardier transportation integration
Henri Poupart -Lafarge , Chairman and CEO
DSB FREMTIDENS TOG (REGIONAL - DEN)
RER MI NG (SUB-URBAN – FRA)
TREN MAYA (TURNKEY - MEX)
STUTTGART ETCS (SIGNALLING - GER)
TORONTO LRV (LIGHT RAIL - CAN)
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Complete stabilisation of challenging Bombardier Transportation legacy backlog through strong operational measures and restored customer dialogue
Achieve ONE group, with operating model deployed and best-in-class converged processes and portfolio
Ready to fully leverage the significant geographical, industrial and product complementarities for synergies, enhanced value proposition and further growth
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Danny Di Perna, Executive VP and Chief Operating Officer Benjamin Fitoussi, President Rolling Stock and Components – Development & Operations
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1.The addressable rolling stock excludes Wagons and China, Russia, Japan, South Korea. – estimate at W 2.Based on UNIFE 2020 Addressable market and Alstom booked order intake, including estimated RS share of turnkey contracts. 3.CAGR of 1.6% based on 2020-2022 to 2023-2025 period 4.33% out of the €32bn UNIFE 2020 Addressable market
Vertical integration of core components and key technology bricks to further leverage service business & enhance competitiveness
H2 Fuel Cell
Medium power H2 fuel cell specialist allowing Alstom to master this key technology brick throughout its whole lifecycle
GERMANY, TURKEY, NORDICS
Locomotives EUROPE, INDIA, AMERICAS
TCO1 systematic approach Purchase cost, maintenance, reduced track load, energy savings through traction efficiency
Healthier mobility and passenger experience Air treatment & ventilation, treatment for all contact surfaces, reduced mobility access solutions, Advanced lighting solutions
End-to-end performance management on reliability, availability, design for maintainability, safety, cybersecurity
Complete portfolio of zero emissions trains, recyclability, eco-design circularity
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Comprehensive review of project planning, enforcement of gate reviews
Review of all customer requirements and alignment with development roadmaps
BART Restart of production in Sahagun
SBB Reliability growth
AVENTRA Output increase to ~20 cars per week
TRAXX DC3 Poland authorisation received ahead of schedule
Procurement as a clear synergy and competitiveness lever
>20k suppliers 80% of spend with 1k suppliers
• 250m3 of water saved/year
• Leakage detection assistance
• Allocated time divided by 3
• Process fully repeatable
© ALSTOM SA 2021. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
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Jean-François Beaudoin President, Digital and Integrated Systems
Increasing capacity on existing infrastructure
Improving reliability & passenger comfort
Increasing energy efficiency and limiting CO2 emissions
Protecting & enhancing assets value
Accessible market 2024-25 in €bn (rounded value)
Source: UNIFE. Mainline incl. all ETCS for Freight & European Freight. (*) Accessible market following UNIFE: accessible for European Companies (70% of total market) 1 Service estimated range of ca.2 bnEUR based on Alstom internal intelligence
SINGAPORE: world's longest underground driverless metro
INDIA: ETCS Hybrid Level 2/3 NORWAY: radar-less odometry
1 Alstom legacy perimeter 20/21
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1 Unaudited Pro Forma revenues 2 Global Competitor 1 sales is an Alstom analysis – lower range estimated to be a comparable with Alstom 2.1: However, the periods do not allow like for like comparison
Digital Railways and ETCS Deployment
10 to 15% ETCS coverage as of today 1.8 Bn€ investment in ETCS p.a. in 24/25
ETCS expansion outside of Europe (e.g. EGY, IN, AU, LATAM)
● Strong position in all strategic markets thanks to Alstom / Bombardier Transportation complementarities
● Strongly competitive in trackside – increased market share by 8% points since 2016-18
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Urban: Deliver a competitive value proposition based on global footprint and technological leadership
A market favourable to large, sophisticated players Alstom's key assets
City congestion: need for capacity increase
Larger and more complex cities: additional lines, extensions, renewals
Digitalisation: high-performance driverless trains becoming mainstream
leader Technological leader with the most innovative product on the market today: train-to-train driverless CBTC – Urbalis Fluence (World-first implementation for Métropole Européenne de Lille)
Alstom market
● Truly global footprint allowing unrivalled customer proximity with presence in over 70 cities on all continents
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Expected lifecycle of signalling system of 20-30 years but product lines released every 10-15 years
Stringent Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, Safety requirements
Customers requiring longer maintenance contracts (20-30 years)
Emerging need for data-based services and cybersecurity
● Bombardier Transportation increases the already significant installed base by ~50%
LINES EQUIPPED WITH CBTC 19,200 ETCS ONBOARD EQUIPMENT WORLDWIDE 13,300 KM OF LINES EQUIPPED WITH ETCS TRACKSIDE
● Offering end-to-end portfolio of services, from conventional to digital
● Investment in data-based solutions and analytics (e.g. HealthHub) and cybersecurity
Data Acquisition Solution (e.g., Class I Railroads) Singapore CCL
Fast growth trajectory x2 sales in the past 2 years
Leveraging the best of data science and artificial Intelligence
Technological leadership on highest grades of automation (3/4) for both passenger and freight trains
Complete autonomy prototype planned to be ready in 2023
Cybersecurity embedded in 100% of new solutions
● Platform convergence in 30 key programmes to capture scale effect
❶ Very positive market perspectives, with growing need for more efficient transport systems
❷ Complete offering with reinforced portfolio, global presence and best in class innovative solutions
❸ Profitability improvement benefiting from scale effect, best cost countries footprint and the digitalisation of our solutions
Alstom Ambition: Be the technological market leader in Signalling, high single digit sales growth rate, best-in-class profitability
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Matthew Byrne, President, Services
Market liberalisation in Europe
Drive of sustainable, green mobility
Rise in PPP1 system contracts
Efficiency concerns of operators
1- Public-Private Partnership
Accessible market size by 2023-2025 Largely Untapped (covered by national operators doing in-house maintenance)
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• Asset-light business model
1- Progress Rail non-disclosed; Knorr-Bremse and Wabtec not displayed
Last year flagship projects
SYTRAL – Lyon Tram Overhaul of Lyon's trams (France)
contract (Germany)
Delhi – Meerut RRTS New build + 15-yr maintenance contract (India)
Trusted partner to our client with a portfolio covering the whole asset lifecycle
Train operations business complements portfolio
Best-in-class expertise in smart and green services solutions
Reinforced customer proximity due to enlarged footprint with 250 sites in over 40 countries
Strong growth through enhancement and expansion of Alstom's premium positioning
Alstom's Four Services growth levers
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FULL DEDICATION to our client and holistic view on their services needs to reach outstanding system availability
SCALABLE SERVICES from technical support to fully outsourced maintenance
INTEGRATED ENGINEERING CAPABILITIES between new build & services
DIGITAL SOLUTIONS best-in-class for highest performance
Upgrade of fleets for up to + 20 years of life
Portfolio covering all green traction technologies (hydrogen, battery, hybrid solutions…)
Leverage new build bricks development
Offer local and tailored solutions due to extensive footprint
talent
People as differentiator for services excellence
Strong track record in acquisitions
Digital solutions and innovation as enabler for value creation
ATTRACT Inclusive attraction of diverse
GROW & DEVELOP Competency and leadership development
RETAIN Succession planning and talent retention programs
Specialists in braking systems, enhancing parts sales and enabling most cost-effective sourcing
Leading maintenance provider in the Netherlands
Pioneer in hydrogen power units extending Alstom's services capabilities
HIGHLY SKILLED WORKFORCE AS CORE OF SERVICES EXCELLENCE
Laurent Martinez, Chief Financial Officer
1 All figures on Alstom stand alone basis 2 Impacted by covid-19;
© ALSTOM SA 2021. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
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Extending Alstom in Motion to 2025, powered by our new scale
INNOVATION by pioneering smarter and greener mobility solutions for all
● Strong €74.5Bn backlog securing c.€30Bn sales over next 3 years
1 Between Sales proforma of 14bn€ at March 2021 and at March 2025
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● Progressive synergies execution
* Based on combined aEBIT margin proxy including 8% aEBIT for Alstom FY 2020/21 and a proxy of 2% aEBIT margin applied on Bombardier Transportation for the same period
● Lower financing costs linked to alignment of Bombardier Transportation legacy financing costs to Alstom level
● R&D projects mutualisation
~15%
~30%
~25%
● Structure costs reduction by minimising overlaps ~15%
1 Objective to generate €400 million cost synergies on annual run rate basis by the fourth to fifth year after closing of the acquisition of Bombardier Transportation on 29 January 2021
Priorisation on project stabilisation measures leading to significant negative Free Cash Flow in 2021/22
Priority on stabilisation of challenging projects in 2021/22 through:
Product technical performance
Development, Industrial and supply chain deliveries
Quality of deliveries for customer and reliability Short term focus on projects stabilisation leading to cash outflows in H1 2021/22, and securing positive FCF as of H2 2021/22 onwards:
FCF €(1.6)-(1.9)bn on H1 2021/22 Projects stabilisation efforts (Engineering, supply chain, rescheduling) Working capital phasing and Industrial Ramp up
FCF Generation as of H2 2021/22 and onwards
Deliveries take up Progressive working capital stabilisation
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Disciplined capital allocation policy to protect financial flexibility, pursue growth opportunities and fairly reward our shareholders
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1 Between Sales PF at March 2021 and at March 2025 2 Adjusted Net income / Number of outstanding shares
AiM 2025 Mid-term financial targets
25-35% Net Income confirmed 1 payout from 2021/22
✓ Sales uplift supported by strong market momentum, and solid backlog
1 Between Sales PF March 2021 and at March 25 2 Free cash flow generation is subject to usual short-term volatility 3 Of adjusted Net income
Henri Poupart-Lafarge, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Mid-term targets
© ALSTOM SA 2021. All rights reserved. Information contained in this document is indicative only. No representation or warranty is given or should be relied on that it is complete or correct or will apply to any particular project. This will depend on the technical and commercial circumstances. It is provided without liability and is subject to change without notice. Reproduction, use, alter or disclosure to third parties, without express written authorisation, is strictly prohibited.
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A new order is recognised as an order received only when the contract creates enforceable obligations between the Group and its customer. When this condition is met, the order is recognised at the contract value. If the contract is denominated in a currency other than the functional currency of the reporting unit, the Group requires the immediate elimination of currency exposure using forward currency sales. Orders are then measured using the spot rate at inception of hedging instruments.
Order backlog represents sales not yet recognised from orders already received. Order backlog at the end of a financial year is computed as follows:
The order backlog is also subject to changes in the scope of consolidation, contract price adjustments and foreign currency translation effects.
Order backlog corresponds to the transaction price allocated to the remaining performance obligations, as per IFRS 15 quantitative and qualitative disclosures requirement.
The book-to-bill ratio is the ratio of orders received to the amount of sales traded for a specific period.
Starting September 2019, Alstom has opted for the inclusion of the share in net income of the equity-accounted investments into the aEBIT when these are considered to be part of the operating activities of the Group (because there are significant operational flows and/or common project execution with these entities). This mainly includes Chinese joint-ventures, namely CASCO joint-venture for Alstom as well as, following the integration of Bombardier Transportation, Bombardier Sifang (Qingdao) Transportation Ltd., Bombardier NUG Propulsion System Co. Ltd. and Changchun Bombardier Railway Vehicles Company Ltd.
aEBIT corresponds to Earning Before Interests and Tax adjusted for the following elements:
net restructuring expenses (including rationalization costs);
tangibles and intangibles impairment;
capital gains or loss/revaluation on investments disposals or controls changes of an entity;
any other non-recurring items, such as some costs incurred to realize business combinations and amortization of an asset exclusively valued in the context of business combination, as well as litigation costs that have arisen outside the ordinary course of business;
and including the share in net income of the operational equity-accounted investments
A non-recurring item is a "one-off" exceptional item that is not supposed to occur again in following years and that is significant. Adjusted EBIT margin corresponds to Adjusted EBIT expressed as a percentage of sales.
Following the Bombardier Transportation acquisition and with effect from these Fiscal year 2020/21 consolidated financial statements, Alstom decided to introduce the "adjusted net profit" indicator aimed at restating its net profit from continued operations (Group share) to exclude the impact of amortization of assets exclusively valued when determining the purchase price allocations ("PPA") in the context of business combination, net of the corresponding tax effect. This indicator is also aligned with market practice.
Free Cash Flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures including capitalised development costs, net of proceeds from disposals of tangible and intangible assets. Free Cash Flow does not include any proceeds from disposals of activity.
The most directly comparable financial measure to Free Cash Flow calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS is net cash provided by operating activities.
The net cash/(debt) is defined as cash and cash equivalents, marketable securities and other current financial asset, less borrowings.
The payout ratio is calculated by dividing the amount of the overall dividend with the "Adjusted Net profit from continuing operations attributable to equity holders of the parent, group share" as presented in the management report in the consolidated financial statements.
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