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Golden Ocean Group

Earnings Release Feb 25, 2014

6243_iss_2014-02-25_0457266b-530c-4acd-9ad8-d75f05a61d9e.pdf

Earnings Release

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Results Q4 - 2013

February 25, 2014

  • Highlights
  • Financials
  • Operations
  • Macro Update
  • Q&A

Highlights

  • GOGL results Q4 2013
  • EBITDA: \$32.0 million
  • Profit: \$18.1 million
  • Earnings per share: \$0.04
  • GOGL results 2013
  • Profit: \$ 84.5 million
  • GOGL declares a dividend of \$0.025 for Q4 2013
  • Received \$14.1 million up-front payment from one charterer
  • GOGL issued a \$200 million Convertible Bond in January 2014
  • GOGL purchased three 2012-built kamsarmax vessels in February 2014

Financials

Per Heiberg, Acting CFO Golden Ocean Management AS

Profit & Loss

2013 2013
Oct-Dec Jul-Sep
Operating revenue 70 998 78764
Vessel voyage expenses $-14809$ $-21063$
Vessel operating expenses $-11882$ $-12260$
Charter hire expenses $-15306$ $-16063$
Administrative expenses $-2604$ $-3013$
Depreciation and amortisation $-10031$ $-9814$
Other gain/ (losses net) 5 5 7 8 5495
Operating profit 21945 22 046
Interest income 207 374
Interest expense -4 954 $-4807$
Interest swap 651 $-2420$
Other financial items 434 929
Taxation $-174$ 0
Profit for the period 18 108 16 12 2
Profit attributable to:
Owners of the parent 17985 15 40 7
Non-controlling interest 122 715
Profit for the period 18 108 16 122
  • Operating revenues down due to lower activity on trading, which is partly off set by higher market rates on owned vessels trading spot
  • Voyage related expences and charter hire expences correspondingly lower
  • Opex slightly lower
  • Other gain is unchanged. Profit on FFA and bunkers is down, but profit from Joint Ventures is up. The latter includes the profit from sale of Golden Azalea.
  • Positive MtM change on interest rate swaps
  • Profit for the period 2 mill higher than in Q3

Balance Sheet

(in thousands of \$) 2013 2012
Dec 31 Dec 31
ASSETS
Vessels and equipment, net
667 788 611 517
Vessels held under finance leases, net 130 795 140 217
Vessels under construction 16 144 116 082
Investment in Joint Venture 17 419 1 248
Other assets 11 323 8 026
Total non-current assets 843 469 877 090
Cash and cash equivalents 98 841 112 537
Trade receivables and other current assets 36 270 20 427
Refundable installements for cancelled newbuildings 192 976 100 325
Avaiable-for-sale financial assets 16 916 -
Total current assets 345 002 233 289
Non-current assets held for sale
Total assets 1 188 471 1 110 379
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent
Share capital 44 726 44 726
Additional paid in capital 99 156 99 156
Other reserves 23 551 16 635
Retained earnings 457 823 377 288
Non-controlling interest 1 108 491
Total Equity 626 364 538 296
Long term debt 319 605 324 432
Obligations under finance leases 110 416 118 055
Other long term liabilities 1 903
-
2 205
-
Deferred income
Total non-current liabilities
431 924 444 693
Current Liabilities
Long-term debt - current portion 84 414 68 733
Obligations under finance leases – current portion 7 370 6 837
Other current liabilities 38 399 51 820
Total current liabilities 130 183 127 390
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity 1 188 471 1 110 379
  • Vessels and equipment increased by delivery of Golden Diamond
  • Vessels under construction contain only payments on Supramaxes
  • Investment in Joint Ventures reduced by sale of Golden Azalea and financing of Golden Opus
  • Payment on Jinhaiwan contracts classified as short term receivables
  • Financial assest include shares in KLC and Greenship
  • Debt on cancelled contracts classified as short term

Equity ratio ~ 52,7 %

Operations

Per Heiberg, Acting CFO Golden Ocean Management AS

Vessels: Deliveries and charters

  • Golden Diamond, the second vessel bought from Pipavav in May 2013, was delivered to the Company in October 2013
  • Golden Azalea, a 2010 built Handysize owned in a JV together with a cargo owner was sold and delivered to new owner in November 2013
  • In December 2013 the Company received \$14.1 million in prepayment of hire from one charterer relating to three vessels
  • In February 2014 the Company purchased three 2012 Korean built 81.500 dwt Kamsarmaxes in an enblock transaction. The vessels will be delivered to the Company during April 2014
  • One on index +13% until Q2-2016
  • One on Time Charter until Q4-2014 at 15,881 \$/d net
  • One will be open at the end of June 2014

Open positions on sailing vessels

Capesize exposure - Sailing vessels Core Fleet*

2014 2015 2016
Total vessel days 2 176 2 459 2 466
Open vessel days 1 805 2 456 2 462
Open position (%) 83 % 100 % 100 %
Average net rate on fixed days 19 557 na na
No of vessels 8 8 8
Panamax exposure - Sailing vessels Core Fleet**
2014 2015 2016
Total vessel days 7 011 7 909 7 509
Open vessel days 4 177 5 503 5 359
Open position (%) 60 % 70 % 71 %
Average net rate on fixed days 17 843 20 808 21 060
No of vessels 23 23 23

* Capesize: MV Golden Magnum and Golden Opus included with 50%

** Panamax: 3 new kamsarmaxes included from end April 2014

Vessel operating expenses

Based on 16 Panamax/Kamsarmax and 6 Capesize vessels

Newbuildings: Delivery schedule supramax vessels

Yard Vessels Contracted out Open Delivery
JMU (Japan) 2 0 2 Q1-15
Chengxi, (China) 6 0 6 Q1-Q2/2015
Q1-Q2/2016
  • Total newbuilding program consist of 8 Supramaxes
  • Steel cutting commenced on the JMU vessels in Q1-2014
  • None of the newbuildings are financed
  • Strong interest from financial institutions for financing of the vessels

Jinhaiwan situation

  • All nine contracts cancelled
  • USD 175.3 million in installments to be refunded
  • USD 43.2 million in debt on the installements
  • Positive awards received on the three first contracts
  • The awards declare that the Company had the right to cancel
  • Seeking Final Award for the right to repayment
  • The six other contracts are in various stages of the arbitration process. Hearing on all arbitrations will commence during Q1-2014
  • The Board is confident that the Company has a strong case on all arbitrations

Corporate transactions

  • The Joint Venture owning Golen Opus obtained financing of the vessel in Q4-13 and the proceeds was used to repay shareholders loan to the owners
  • Greenship Bulk Trust
  • In October the Company invested USD 10 million in Greenship Bulk Trust by participation in their latest Private Placement
  • Current market value is appr. \$12.5 million
  • Korea Line Corporation
  • In October KLC used their option under the rehabilitation plan to repay the long term debt. The Company received USD 1.1 million
  • The Company currently own 170,042 shares, which is booked in the Balanace Sheet at market value. Current market value of the shares is appr. \$ 4.0 million
  • Convertible Bond
  • In January the Company issued a \$200 million Convertible Bond with a 5 year tenor
  • Coupon of 3,07% p.a
  • Current Conversion Price is 2.86 \$/share
  • Full dividend protection for Bond holders

Macro Update

Herman Billung, CEO Golden Ocean Management AS

Dry Bulk Market fundamentals

Year 2012 2013
Deliveries (dwt) 98 59
Removals (dwt 33 22
% change prev yr 12.4 7.9
Tonnage demand: %
Ton miles 5.3 6.9
Congestion $-0.4$ 0.4
Other productivity 2.4 1.9
Total tonnage demand 7.3 9.1
Fleet utilization rate
Yearly average in % 83.7 84.9

The underlying fleet growth is slowing…

Source: RS Platou Economic Research

Bulk Carrier fleet trend...

Dry Bulk fleet trend…

However, despite China's overall slowing economy, China's impact on global dry bulk freight demand has never been higher than in 2013 (disregard 2009).

China's iron ore market

Iron ore production capacity expansion

Australia Brazil Other Total
2013 51 10 61
2014 55 20 5 80
2015 50 30 87
2016 55 40 15 110
2017 50 10 12 102

Despite a slow growth in China's steel production in 2014 and 2015, we expect iron ore imports to be strong; growing 8.5% in 2014 (reaching 890 million tons) and 7.5% in 2015.(reaching 960 million tons)

IEA Energy outlook (Nov 2013) prediction net coal imports

China's coal imports rose 13.3% last year and reached 327 million tons. We believe coal imports to China will grow an additional 14% in 2014 (to 375 million tons) and 15% in 2015 (to 430 million tons)

China environmental politics can support dry bulk demand…

In China's most notorious "Ghost Towns", prices rose quite substantially last year. UP 12.6% in Ordos, which we for sure know does NOT have a housing shortage problem. This is likely a proof that some of last year's property price increases in China was driven by speculation.

Local governments in China have been very active lending money in the unregulated "shadow finance" market, which now account for approximately half of all new debt in China. Growth in regulated lending has been kept in check over the last four years, shadow financing has exploded

Total outstanding shadow finance liabilities surpassed USD 5trln last year

We believe Beijing likely is artificially keeping the default ratio low, constantly rolling over debt. This can last for a while, but not indefinitely. Chinese authorities have enough power to clean up once, but in the aftermath of such a clean-up, credit growth will have to drop substantially

Thank you for your attention !

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