AGD AND ISA – INCREASED RISK OR IMPROVED CONTROL ON THE FAROE ISLANDS
REGIN JACOBSEN, CEO Bergen 6th March 2014
- This presentation includes statements regarding future results, which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Consequently, actual results may differ significantly from the results indicated or implied in these statements.
- No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Accordingly, none of the Company, or any of its principal shareholders or subsidiary undertakings or any of such person's officers or employees or advisors accept any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.
SUMMARY OF Q4 2013
- FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
- INCREASED RISK OR IMPROVED CONTROL ON THE FAROE ISLANDS
- GROUP FINANCIALS
- INVESTMENTS 2013-2017
BAKKAFROST – THE LARGEST FISH FARMING COMPANY IN THE FAROE ISLANDS
- Largest salmon farming company in the Faroe Islands
- ~65% of harvest volumes in Q4 2013
- 50% of farming licenses
- Harvested 11,097 tgw in Q4 2013 (13,044 tgw in Q4 2012)
- Feed sale of 20,270 tonnes in Q4 2013* (25,047 tonnes in Q4 2012*)
- Revenues of DKK 667 million in Q4 2013 (DKK 582 million in Q4 2012)
- Operational EBIT of DKK 126 million in Q4 2013 (DKK 99 million in Q4 2012) Positive results from Farming and Feed, loss on VAP
- Equity ratio of 54%
*) Including internal sale of 14,736 tonnes in Q4 2013 (16,210 tonnes in Q4 2012)
Turnover (mio DKK)
Operational EBIT (mio DKK)
Turnover for Bakkafrost group has increased from 820 mdkk in 2010 to 2.5 bdkk in 2013
Operational EBIT for Bakkafrost group has increased from 247 mdkk in 2010 to 587 mdkk in 2013
Farming margin Op. EBIT (NOK/kg)
The margin in Farming was 15 NOK in 2013 – the highest ever. Even in 2012 when global supply increased 22% the company had a margin of 7.3 NOK/kg
The company have grown both in size and profitability during the period since the listing
During the last 15 years, Norway had far the highest margin of the farming contries with 6 NOK/kg in average, while BAKKA had 4.5 NOK/kg.
The last five years BAKKA had a strong average margin of 11.18 NOK/kg
In 2013 BAKKA had a Farming margin of 15 NOK/kg
Reorganizing the industry in Faroe Islands and company specific strategy has paid off
Source: Kontali and Bakkafrost
Overseas High-End markets also dominated Q4 2013
- Asian market becoming more and more important
- Eastern European market reduced from 18% in Q4 2012 to 11% in Q4 2013 of total sales
- EU market most important market for VAP products, but not for fresh whole salmon
VAP/contract share 45% of total volume in Q4 2013 in line with strategy
Sales by markets |
Q4 2013 |
Q4 2012 |
2013 |
2012 |
| EU |
50% |
41% |
47% |
50% |
| USA |
17% |
20% |
19% |
16% |
| Asia |
22% |
21% |
27% |
19% |
| Eastern Europe |
11% |
18% |
6% |
15% |
Contract share, VAP products [% of qty]
SUMMARY OF Q4 2013
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
- INCREASED RISK OR IMPROVED CONTROL ON THE FAROE ISLANDS
- GROUP FINANCIALS
- INVESTMENTS 2013-2017
KEY FINANCIALS, GROUP
- Improved cash flow from operations in Q4 2013 – mainly due to decrease in inventory since Q3 2013
- Increase in total assets relates to investments in PPE, higher fair value of biomass and debtors due to the increase in salmon prices
- NIBD reduced by DKK 130 million from end 2012 despite investments and increase in working capital
- The Group has undrawn loan facilities of DKK 684.0 million, of which DKK 15.6 million is restricted
| (DKK million) |
Q4 2013 |
Q4 2012 |
2013 |
2012 |
Cash flow from operations |
187.1 |
103.8 |
517.5 |
285.6 |
| Total assets* |
3,112.2 |
2,570.9 |
3,112.2 |
2,570.9 |
| NIBD* |
678.0 |
806.9 |
678.0 |
806.9 |
| Equity ratio* |
54% |
49% |
54% |
49% |
* Comparing figure are at year-end 2012
SUMMARY OF Q4 2013
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
INCREASED RISK OR IMPROVED CONTROL ON THE FAROE ISLANDS
- GROUP FINANCIALS
- INVESTMENTS 2013-2017
Operation
- Margin more than doubled in Q4 2013 compared with Q4 2012, and increased 162% for the full year 2013 compared with 2012, from 6.20 NOK/kg up to 16.27 NOK/kg
- Margin in Q4 2013 hampered by higher costs in A-57 and unfortunate harvest profile (42% in Oct.)
- Surveillance tests detected Neoparamoeba perurans in Oct-13. Sites treated with Hydrogen Peroxide and harvested, lower average weight
- Harvest below guidance due to harvest in Fuglafjørður at a lower than expected weight
Margin - EBIT per kg total harvested quantity [NOK/kg]
ANNOUNCEMENT FEBRUARY 9TH 2014 REG. ISA-VIRUS
Suspicion of a possible pathogenic ISA-virus at Bakkafrost farming site A-80 announced the 9th of February this year
- The announcement referred to farming site A-80, where only one cage of fish was left for harvesting
- No clinical signs have been found in any fish, not from A-80 and not from other sites
- Bakkafrost decided to activate the ISA-contingency plan immediately and hence enforced slaughtering of the last cage at the farming site A-80 Selatrað. The farm was emptied within five days
- A-80 results:
- Originally released 711,731 pcs in Aug. 2012
- Harvested a total of 662,744 pcs (93%) 3,397 tonnes HOG,
- Average weight was 5.13 kg HOG, and
- FCR was 1.08
- Tests of all farms in monitoring zone have not detected further HPR-del virus
- The Faroese Veterinary System proved its Early warning abilities
OPERATIONAL RISK AND RISK MANAGEMENT
- Market risk
- Farming operational risk
- Disease
Operation of fish farming facilities involves considerable risk with regard to disease
- Faroese Veterinary system:
- Early warning system => supposed to give warnings
- Oct 2013: suspicion of Neoparamoeba perurans
- Immediate action, enforced harvesting of whole site, affected Q4 result, no disease
- Feb 2014: suspicion of a possible pathogenic ISA-virus
- Immediate action, enforced harvesting of one cage, minimal affects on cost, no disease
Virus
• Pathogenic • Quantity
Stress Salmon
- Weather conditions
- Lice
- Treatments
- Density
• Vacine
• Good/bad resistence
OPERATIONAL RISK AND RISK MANAGEMENT
- The thesis is that pathogenic ISA-virus will mutate from the HPR-0 virus, that quite normal in wild fish
- A part of the HPR-0 "HPR" will be deleted during the endless series of replications, depending of what part is deleted will decide how much mortality the actual variant will cause to the salmon
- The recently found variant in Feb-2014 was HPR9. This variant was not found before in the Faroe Islands
HPR-virus key for mutation
ISA virus genoma HPR-0 and pathogenic variants from HPR1 to HPR30
| HE |
|
HPR |
|
1 |
35 |
|
|
|
| NO-HPR0 |
|
KIRVDAIPPQLNQTFNTNQVEQPATSVLSNIFISM |
| $FO-HPRO$ |
|
KIRVDAIPPQLNQTFNTNQVEQPANSVLSNIFISM |
| FO-HPR00 |
|
KIRVDAIPPQLNQTFNTNQVEQPSNSVLSNIFISM |
| HPR1 |
|
|
| HPR 2 |
|
K---------------------PATSVLSNIFISM |
| HPR 3 |
|
KIRVDAIPPQLNQT------------------------ KIRVDAIPPQLNQT-----------------FISM |
| HPR4a |
|
KIRVDAIPPQL------------------SNIFISM |
| HPR4b |
|
KIRVDAIPPQL-----------------SNTFISM |
| HPR 5 |
|
|
| HPR6a |
|
KIRVDAIPPOL----------------------------------- |
| HPR6b |
|
|
| HPR7a |
|
K-----------------------TSVLSNTFISM |
| HPR7b |
|
K------------------------TSVLSNIFISM |
| HPR8 |
|
KIRVDAIPPQL-------------------------- |
| HPR9 |
|
KIRVDAIPPQLNQTFNT------------------- |
| HPR10 |
|
KIRQPA------------------TSVLSNIFISM |
| HPR11a |
|
KIRVDAIPP--------------------RNIFISM |
| HPR11b |
|
KIRVDAIPP--------------------RNIFVSM |
| HPR12 |
|
GIGVDAIPPQLN--------------------IFISM |
| HPR13 |
$K$ ---- |
----------------EQPANSVLSNIFISM |
| HPR14 |
|
KIRVDA------------NQVEQPATSVLSNIFISM |
| HPR15 |
|
|
| HPR16 |
|
------------------------ETSVLSNIFISM KIRVDAIPPQLNQTF---------------------- |
| HPR17 |
|
KIR--------------LEVEQPATSVLSNIFISM KIRV------------------PATSVLSNIFISM |
| HPR18 |
|
|
| HPR19 |
|
KIRVDAIPPQLNQTL------------------ |
| HPR20 |
|
NNRVDAI-------LNTNQVEQPATSVLSNIFISM |
| HPR21 |
|
NNRVDAIPPQL-----------------SNIFISM KIRVDAIPPQLNQ------------------ISM |
| HPR30 |
|
|
Regular inspection and testing
- Daily, every two weeks, monthly and quarterly
- Inspection check, lice and gill test, veterinary inspection and sampling, authority inspection and sampling
Four farming companies operate in the Faroes
- Easier to coordinate biological improvement
- Knowledge sharing
- Good cooperation with authorities
Bakkafrost's fish health team
A strong team with proved track record, certified veterinarians, biologists, and assistants
AN EXCELLENT REGULATORY FARMING ENVIRONMENT
- During the period 2001-2004 the Faroe Islands were severely struck by ISA outbreaks
- New legislation and regulation was introduced in 2003 known as "The Faroese Veterinary Model":
- Fallow periods between generations in farming and hatcheries
- Immunisation and vaccination programs
- Restricting movement of equipment
- Restricting movement of fish
- Density limits introduced
- Brood stock facilities allowed on land only
- Minimum distances between farms, hatcheries etc introduced
- Rules to fight and control lice
- The model has resulted in one of the most predictable fish production environments in the world with low mortality levels
Mortality rates totally changed and no clinical ISA since 2005
The mortality rate with the Faroese Veterinary Model has been between 5 and 9% compared to 20 to 25% before – despite the annual production has never been higher than now
Harvest size (kg wfe) Feed conversation rate FCR Growth rate TGC 1993-2011G
Harvesting size of salmon in the Faroe Islands has during the last years been between 5.5 and 6.5 kg The feed conversion rate dropped from around 1.30 to around 1.15 with Faroese veterinary system
The growth rate increased from around 2.5 to 3.0 with the Faroese veterinary system
Important KPI for Faroese salmon farming developed very positively after the Faroese Veterinary Model was introduced back in 2003 and have a significant part of the success and competitiveness in the industry
Average Seawater Temperatures 2003-2009
The investments will be made step by step in the relevant parts in the value chain to secure:
- Effiency
- Biological risk
- Organic growth
Investment plan 2013-2017:
- Seven plants into one integrated plant (Packaging, Harvest and VAP) at Glyvrar to take out synergies, reduce costs and meet future market trends
- New well boat to increase capacity, improve quality and reduce biological risk
- Increase smolt capacity to increase farming capacity and reduce biological risk
- Increase feed capacity to meet future demands
INVESTMENTS - PREPARING FOR THE FUTURE
INVESTMENTS 2014 - 2017
INVESTMENTS - PREPARING FOR THE FUTURE
Fishmeal & Oil Feed Hatchery Farming Wellboat Harvest Value Added Products Sales
Hatchery at Norðtoftir
- Finalised spring 2014
- Investment of DKK 53 million
- Recirculation of 99% of water
- saving water and heating
- Capacity of 2 million 100g smolts per year
- Increased Bakkafrost total capacity by 30%
Building a new well boat
- Owned and operated by Bakkafrost
- Rolls Royce design
- Contract signed with the shipyard Tersan in Yalova, Turkey
- Planned to be delivered mid 2015
- Estimated total costs DKK 230 million
Specifications
- Length overall 75.8 meters
- Width mid 16 meters
- Fish hold 3,000 CUM
- 450 tonnes of salmon live fish carrier
Present Packaging plant at Glyvrar New Packaging plant at Glyvrar
Phase 1: Integration with Harvest
- Construction in process
- Estimated costs DKK 26 million
- Start up during summer 2014
- 3,500 m2 including existing 1,300 m2 storage
Phase 3: New VAP operation
FINANCING OF THE INVESTMENTS
Financing of the investments 2014-2017
- Use free cash flow from operation
- Unused financing of DKK 684 million
- Partly new financing if advantageous
Unchanged dividend policy
DIVIDEND
Dividend
- Proposed dividend of DKK 4.50 (NOK ~5.03) per share to be paid out in Q2 2014
- Bakkafrost purchased treasury shares in 2013, equivalent to DKK 0.59 (NOK 0.66) per share.
- Dividend incl. an acquisition of treasury shares is DKK 5.09 (NOK ~5.69)
Dividend policy
- Competitive return through:
- Dividends
- Increase in the value of the equity
- Generally the company shall pay dividends to its shareholders
- A long-term goal for the Board of Directors is that 30–50% of EPS shall be paid out as dividend
** Proposed dividend including acquisition of treasury shares
* Operational EBIT is EBIT adjusted for fair value adjustment of biomass, onerous contracts, income/loss from associates, acqusition costs and badwill
THANK YOU!