Investor Presentation • Apr 9, 2014
Investor Presentation
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9 th April 2014
Geographically-focused West Africa E&P with attractive assets in Gabon & Nigeria
This presentation does not constitute an offer to buy or sell shares or other financial instruments of Panoro Energy ASA ("Company"). This presentation contains certain statements that are, or may be deemed to be, "forward-looking statements", which include all statements other than statements of historical fact. Forward-looking statements involve making certain assumptions based on the Company's experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other factors that we believe are appropriate under the circumstances. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, actual events or results may differ materially from those projected or implied in such forward-looking statements due to known or unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors. These risks and uncertainties include, among others, uncertainties in the exploration for and development and production of oil and gas, uncertainties inherent in estimating oil and gas reserves and projecting future rates of production, uncertainties as to the amount and timing of future capital expenditures, unpredictable changes in general economic conditions, volatility of oil and gas prices, competitive risks, regulatory changes and other risks and uncertainties discussed in the Company's periodic reports. Forward-looking statements are often identified by the words "believe", "budget", "potential", "expect", "anticipate", "intend", "plan" and other similar terms and phrases. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any of this information
Panoro is an Oslo-listed Exploration and Production company with near-term development assets in West Africa and substantial exploration and appraisal upside
| Corporate Repositioning Complete |
During 2013 and 2014 Panoro was successfully repositioned strategically and financially through the divestment of its MKB (Congo) and Manati (Brazil) assets and the resulting repayment of the bond loan |
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| Cost control has been a major area of focus with total G&A costs reduced from US\$16.3m in 2012 to a forecast US\$6m in 2014 for Core G&A |
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| Focused West African Oil Play |
Panoro is now a focused West African story with two non-operated development assets in Nigeria and Gabon and a clear path to over 9,500 bbl/d net Working Interest production by 2017 and total net Working Interest 2C resources of 37.7mmboe |
| of 2C resource(1) Panoro's 12.19% revenue interest in the Aje field in Nigeria provides 26.6 mmboe with a meaningful position in a near-term oil development scheduled for first production in Q4 2015 |
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| Aje also brings significant upside from the potential gas / condensate development and further exciting exploration potential from the new syn-rift play analogous to the neighbouring Ogo-1 discovery. |
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| 3D seismic survey commenced over the OML 113 licence in conjunction with Afren on the neighbouring OPL 310 licence – survey expected to be completed in May 2014 |
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| of 2C resource(1) Panoro's 33.33% interest in Dussafu in Gabon brings a Working Interest 11.1 mmbbl and an aligned operator targeting early development of the field |
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| Results of the recently acquired 3D seismic, over the outboard section of the licence area, hold potential for significant exploration in 200-300m water depth, consistent with recent pre-salt exploration in other areas of the basin |
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| Both assets are located in exciting and established geographic plays – the West African Transform Margin and the Gabon Pre-Salt play |
1) Aje: TRACS as of 31st December 2013 (net 2C of 26.6 mmboe); Dussafu 2C / Most Likely net Working Interest of 11.1 mmbbl from Gaffney Cline & Associates (GCA) as of 31st December 2013. Dussafu net Working Interest 2C is pre a potential back-in by the Tullow JV (Tulip) of 10% - if exercised this would reduce Panoro's Working Interest to 30%. Dussafu 2C contingent resources shown here are Panoro's Working Interest share of the gross field resources; they do not represent Panoro's actual net entitlement under the terms of the PSC that governs the asset, which would likely be lower
| Near-Term Newsflow |
Panoro has meaningful near and medium-term organic newsflow potential from its portfolio Nigeria's DPR has approved the Aje FDP and the JV partners are targeting first oil in Q4 2015 The Dussafu JV partners agree that the discoveries represent a commercially viable development - a view supported by Gaffney Cline & Associates Processing of recently shot 3D seismic in Gabon on-going and 3D seismic survey underway over OML 113 licence Panoro will be running the previously announced corporate Sales Process in parallel with these asset activities and material developments will be announced to the market as appropriate |
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| Strategic Options from Position of Strength |
Panoro today has a highly experienced, Africa focused team who are well able to mature the company's remaining assets whilst also ensuring optimisation of strategic alternatives Following the completion of the Manati sale, Panoro has approx. US\$66m of cash and no debt, which not only means that the company is well funded to mature its assets, but also that the announced Sales Process is undertaken from a position of strength The Sales Process is designed to uncover whether there is demand from a potential buyer at a valuation level that would be attractive to Panoro's shareholders. If the company does not achieve sufficient value from the process, it remains well positioned to deliver significant shareholder value through the maturing of its asset base |
Panoro has delivered on its announced divestment process, concluded its strategic review process and announced a formal Sales Process
2013 Divestment Process
With the completion of the Manati transaction and repayment of the bond, Panoro has a net cash position of approx. \$66m
Note: Unaudited Panoro estimates. Totals may not add up due to rounding
Note: Unaudited Panoro estimates. Totals may not add up due to rounding
1) Aje: TRACS as of 31st December 2013 (net 2C of 26.6 mmboe); Dussafu 2C / Most Likely net Working Interest of 11.1 mmbbl from Gaffney Cline & Associates (GCA) as of 31st December 2013. Dussafu net Working Interest 2C is pre a potential back-in by the Tullow JV (Tulip) of 10% - if exercised this would reduce Panoro's Working Interest to 30%. Dussafu 2C contingent resources shown here are Panoro's Working Interest share of the gross field resources; they do not represent Panoro's actual net entitlement under the terms of the PSC that governs the asset, which would likely be lower 2) Prospective resource estimates from operator - excludes syn-rift potential in Aje
3) Aje production based on the Aje JV's approved FDP's P50 case – net 12.19% revenue interest to Panoro. Dussafu Working Interest production is pre a potential back-in by the Tullow JV (Tulip) of 10% , and is based on GCA gross field production forecasts as of 31st December 2013– given management's current estimate of first oil, these forecasts have been delayed by one year
Panoro's assets are forecast to deliver significant positive cash flow from 2017 onwards and the company would expect project financing to be available to help fund the Dussafu development
Note: net cash flows are based on year-end values
Aje Cenomanian Oil forecasts are based on the Aje JV's approved FDP's P50 case, oil price assumption of \$100/bbl with 2.5% annual escalation. Dussafu cashflows assume Tullow JV (Tulip) will exercise its back-in right of 10% (i.e. Panoro's Working Interest is reduced from 33.3% to 30%), and are based on GCA's unrisked contractor cash flows as of 31st December 2013 which assume a flat oil price of \$108/bbl; given management's current estimate of first oil these on GCA cash flows have been delayed by one year. Project cash flows exclude corporate G&A 1) Capex to first oil assumes Tullow JV (Tulip) will exercise its back-in right of 10%
Panoro is currently trading below the P90 / low case value of its assets and its cash position
Note:
Aje Cenomanian Oil P90 & P50 values are based on the Aje JV's approved FDP's cases, oil price assumption of \$100/bbl with 2.5% annual escalation. The Aje P10 upside (which assumes a 5-welll case) and P50 Cenomanian Oil & Turonian gas condensate development based on TRACS as of 31st December 2013 - oil price assumption of \$100/bbl with 2.5% annual escalation. Dussafu NAVs have been computed based on Dussafu cashflows which assume that the Tullow JV (Tulip) will exercise its back-in right of 10% (i.e. Panoro's Working Interest is reduced from 33.3% to 30%), and are based on GCA's unrisked contractor cash flows as of 31st December 2013 which assume a flat oil price of \$108/bbl; given management's current estimate of first oil these on GCA cash flows have been delayed by one year and discounted accordingly. NAV excludes potential value of Manati earn-out which at current exchange rates is estimated to be worth approx. \$3.2m on an NPV(10) basis; in the event that the BRL / USD exchange rate appreciates to 2.0 the NPV(10) of the earn-out rises to approx. \$9m
| Panoro has a strong pipeline of newsflow from its asset base | |||||||||||||||||||
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| 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | |||||||||||||||||
| J F |
M | A | M | J | J | A | S | O | N | D | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | |
| Nigeria | |||||||||||||||||||
| Aje FDP Submission |
FDP Submission & Approval |
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| Aje FID Target |
FID | ||||||||||||||||||
| OML 113 Seismic | 3D Seismic Acquisition, Processing and Interpretation | ||||||||||||||||||
| Aje 5 Drilling |
Drilling | ||||||||||||||||||
| Aje Development |
FEED and Pre-Development | Detailed Design and Procurement | Installation | ||||||||||||||||
| Aje First Oil Target |
st 1 Oil |
Producing | |||||||||||||||||
| Gabon | |||||||||||||||||||
| Dussafu Seismic | Outboard 3D Seismic Acquisition, Processing and Interpretation | ||||||||||||||||||
| Dussafu DoC / FDP |
DoC / FDP | ||||||||||||||||||
| Dussafu Drilling |
Development Drilling | ||||||||||||||||||
| Dussafu Development |
Dev. Planning | FEED | Procurement & Installation | ||||||||||||||||
| Dussafu First Oil Target |
st 1 |
Oil Prod. | |||||||||||||||||
| Corporate Sales Process | |||||||||||||||||||
| Corporate Sales Process | Corporate Sales Process |
Fast track early oil development with fully aligned partnership (since Chevron's exit in July 2013) with subsequent gas / condensate and material exploration potential
(1) 16.255% paying interest, 6.502% working interest. Panoro is entitled to 12.2% of the revenue stream from Aje field
Change in partnership structure and new focus on planned oil development to relatively near-term oil production as well as regional exploration success means licence is substantially more attractive than it was when asset sale was originally announced
1) Sourced from TRACS 31st December 2013
2) DPR approved P50 FDP figures 3) Source from Chevron resource assessment June 2010. Note this does not include condensate
| Partner | Equity | Paying | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panoro | 6.50% | 16.26% | 12.19% |
Aje also brings exciting exploration potential from the new syn-rift play analogous to the neighbouring Ogo field
Syn Rift Potential in OML 113 Insights into Ogo Discovery in OPL 310
Proven hydrocarbon Gamba and Dentale fairway with attractive economics, PSC with excellent fiscal terms, shallow water and low cost development, production infrastructure with available capacity nearby
| Dussafu Key Facts | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operator | Harvest | ||||
| Working Interest | 33.33%(1) | ||||
| Partners | Harvest Natural Resources (66.67%) | ||||
| st 1 Production |
2016 | ||||
| Current stage | Development Planning | ||||
1) Pre Tullow Joint Venture (Tulip) back-in right of 10%
2) GCA as of 31st December 2013
The exploration phase of Dussafu has been highly successful and the development stage is now commencing: gross field 2C of 33.4 mmbbl has been delivered on the block so far
Considerable interest in Southern Gabon pre-salt is demonstrated by recent awards in deep water to major oil companies. Signature bonuses reported to range from \$20-\$40m
Note: Major interest indicated in diagram is not finalised and is subject to change
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