SECOND QUARTER AND FIRST HALF 2014 RESULTS
| July 24, 2014 | Oslo, Norway
- This presentation contains forward looking information
- Forward looking information is based on management assumptions and analyses
- Actual experience may differ, and those differences may be material
- Forward looking information is subject to significant uncertainties and risks as they relate to events and/or circumstances in the future
- This presentation must be read in conjunction with the press release for the second quarter and first half 2014 results and the disclosures therein
Clear Strategic Direction and Technological Edge Near Term Challenges
- Q2 2014 impacted by:
- Lack of pre-funding for the Triton MultiClient project
- Mobilization delays on some Marine Contract surveys, relating to permitting, weather and technical problems
- Record MultiClient sales in Europe in Q2
- Cost reduction program on track
- Less predictable customer spending
- Continued low bidding activity indicates risk of a weaker market towards year-end
- H2 expected to be stronger than H1 for PGS
- Solid pricing on secured Q3 contract work
- Increased late sales
- Triton pre-funding
Full year 2014 EBITDA guidance of approximately USD 850 million Full year 2013 EBITDA guidance of approximately USD 850 million
Financial Summary
USD million
108
EBIT** Cash Flow from Operations
*EBITDA, when used by the Company, means EBIT less other operating (income) expense, impairments of long-term assets and depreciation and amortization. **Excluding impairments of USD 9.1 million in Q2 2014, USD 15 million in Q4 2013, USD 0.1 million in Q4 2012 and reversal of impairment of USD 0.9 million in Q2 2012.
Order Book
Solid pricing for scheduled Q3 contract work
Financials
Unaudited Second Quarter and First Half 2014 Results
Condensed Consolidated Statement of Operations Summary
|
Q2 |
Q2 |
|
|
Six months Six months |
|
| USD million (except per share data) |
2014 |
2013 |
% change |
2014 |
2013 |
% change |
| Revenues |
337.0 |
381.7 |
-12 % |
629.5 |
776.5 |
-19 % |
| EBITDA* |
170.6 |
209.6 |
-19 % |
309.2 |
411.9 |
-25 % |
| Operating profit (EBIT) ex impairment charges |
55.3 |
110.6 |
-50 % |
100.5 |
207.4 |
-52 % |
| Operating profit (EBIT) |
46.2 |
110.6 |
-58 % |
91.4 |
207.4 |
-56 % |
| Net financial items |
(11.7) |
(13.3) |
12 % |
(44.2) |
(22.2) |
-99 % |
| Income (loss) before income tax expense |
34.5 |
97.3 |
-65 % |
47.2 |
185.2 |
-75 % |
| Income tax expense (benefit) |
4.9 |
25.8 |
-81 % |
13.0 |
51.2 |
-75 % |
| Net income to equity holders |
29.7 |
71.5 |
-58 % |
34.3 |
134.0 |
-74 % |
| EPS basic |
\$0.14 |
\$0.33 |
-58 % |
\$0.16 |
\$0.62 |
-74 % |
| EBITDA margin* |
50.6 % |
54.9 % |
|
49.1 % |
53.0 % |
|
| EBIT margin |
13.7 % |
29.0 % |
|
14.5 % |
26.7 % |
|
- Impairment charges of USD 9.1 million recorded in Q2 2014 relates to vessel and equipment retirement
- The low tax rate in Q2 of 14.2% is primarily due to profits within the Norwegian Tonnage Tax regime
*EBITDA, when used by the Company, means EBIT less other operating (income) expense, impairments of long-term assets and depreciation and amortization.
The accompanying unaudited financial information has been prepared under IFRS. This information should be read in conjunction with the unaudited second quarter and first half 2014 results, released on July 24, 2014.
Q2 2014 Highlights
Contract revenues MultiClient revenues
- Marine Contract revenues of USD 171.5 million, with an EBIT margin of 19%
- Total MultiClient revenues of USD 135.1 million
- Pre-funding level of 75% in Q2 2014 due to lack of pre-funding on the Triton survey in the Gulf of Mexico
- Pre-funding level of 157% on MultiClient investments excluding Triton
- Approximately 100% pre-funding level expected for the full year 2014, as Triton prefunding is expected in H2 and other parts of the MultiClient portfolio are at targeted prefunding level or above
MultiClient Revenues per Region Pre-funding and Late Sales Revenues Combined
- Record MultiClient sales in Europe – accounting for 60% of total MultiClient sales in Q2
- Pre-funding revenues were highest in Europe, Africa and Asia Pacific
- Good late sales from Europe and Africa
- Lack of Triton revenues impacts H1
44% of active 3D vessel capacity allocated to MultiClient in Q2 2014
|
2014 |
|
|
2013 |
|
|
|
| USD million |
Q2 |
Q1 |
|
Q4 |
Q3 |
Q2 |
Q1 |
| Contract revenues |
171.5 |
116.0 |
|
121.7 |
155.7 |
192.8 |
207.3 |
| MultiClient Pre-funding |
74.8 |
74.2 |
|
94.3 |
108.4 |
65.2 |
92.6 |
| MultiClient Late sales |
60.3 |
64.8 |
|
99.2 |
63.0 |
90.2 |
58.9 |
| Imaging |
24.3 |
28.0 |
|
32.6 |
34.3 |
28.8 |
27.1 |
| Other |
6.1 |
9.5 |
|
11.7 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
8.9 |
| Total Revenues |
337.0 |
292.5 |
|
359.5 |
365.6 |
381.7 |
394.8 |
| Operating cost |
(166.4) |
(154.0) |
|
(158.5) |
(149.6) |
(172.1) |
(192.5) |
| EBITDA* |
170.6 |
138.5 |
|
201.0 |
216.0 |
209.6 |
202.3 |
| Other operating income |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
| Impairment of long-term assets |
(9.1) |
|
|
(15.0) |
|
|
|
| Depreciation |
(44.0) |
(29.8) |
|
(27.2) |
(27.2) |
(38.8) |
(37.5) |
| MultiClient amortization |
(71.6) |
(63.7) |
|
(92.6) |
(80.7) |
(60.4) |
(68.2) |
| EBIT |
46.2 |
45.2 |
|
66.4 |
108.3 |
110.6 |
96.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CAPEX, whether paid or not |
(149.4) |
(131.9) |
|
(73.3) |
(93.2) |
(199.9) |
(71.4) |
| Cash investment in MultiClient |
(99.6) |
(116.2) |
|
(111.0) |
(120.9) |
(68.1) |
(72.9) |
| Order book |
558 |
610 |
|
669 |
579 |
446 |
592 |
**EBITDA, when used by the Company, means EBIT less other operating (income) expense, impairments of long-term assets and depreciation and amortization.
The accompanying unaudited financial information has been prepared under IFRS. This information should be read in conjunction with the unaudited second quarter and first half 2014 results released on July 24, 2014.
- Approximately 35% of active 3D vessel capacity allocated to MultiClient for the full year 2014
- Less than 30% of active 3D vessel time currently planned for MultiClient in Q3
- Yard stays expected to account for approximately 5% of total vessel time in Q3
85% active vessel time in Q2 2014
Group Cost* Focus Delivers Results
- Flat cost development from 2012 levels despite Ramform Titan and Ramform Atlas in full operation
- Q2 cost positively impacted by cost saving initiatives, reduction of performance based personnel costs and some net steaming cost deferral
- Cost to increase somewhat in H2
Cost reduction program targeting USD 30 million run rate by end 2014 is on track
*Amounts show the sum of operating cost and capitalized MultiClient cash investment.
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows Summary
|
Q2 |
Q2 |
Six months |
Six months |
| USD million |
2014 |
2013 |
2014 |
2013 |
| Cash provided by operating activities |
40.2 |
271.3 |
222.1 |
374.0 |
| Investment in MultiClient library |
(99.6) |
(68.1) |
(215.8) |
(141.0) |
| Capital expenditures |
(123.2) |
(197.7) |
(267.3) |
(275.8) |
| Other investing activities |
(25.2) |
(7.4) |
(30.3) |
(15.5) |
| Financing activities |
42.1 |
20.0 |
70.4 |
(2.3) |
| Net increase (decr.) in cash and cash equiv. |
(165.7) |
18.1 |
(220.9) |
(60.6) |
| Cash and cash equiv. at beginning of period |
208.6 |
311.6 |
263.8 |
390.3 |
| Cash and cash equiv. at end of period |
42.9 |
329.7 |
42.9 |
329.7 |
- Cash provided by operating activities in Q2 was impacted by an unusually large swing in working capital as a result of:
- Significant increase in revenue generation in June
- Back-end loaded cash flow profile owing to a turnkey contract which will be billed in Q3
- Some customer payments received with marginal delay after quarter-end
- Should drive strong cash flow from operating activities in Q3
- Q2 capital expenditure primarily relates to the Ramform Titan-class new builds, GeoStreamer and vessel upgrades
- New build capital expenditure of USD 87.6 million in Q2
The accompanying unaudited financial information has been prepared under IFRS. This information should be read in conjunction with the unaudited second quarter and first half 2014 results released July 24, 2014.
Strong Balance Sheet Position - Key Numbers
|
June 30 |
June 30 |
Full year |
| USD million |
2014 |
2013 |
2013 |
| Total assets |
3 665.7 |
3 444.6 |
3 544.3 |
| MultiClient Library |
727.9 |
438.1 |
576.9 |
| Shareholders' equity |
2 012.3 |
1 962.7 |
2 065.6 |
| Cash and cash equiv. |
42.9 |
329.7 |
263.8 |
| Restricted cash |
97.9 |
90.7 |
89.4 |
| Liquidity reserve |
382.9 |
679.7 |
763.8 |
| Gross interest bearing debt |
1 243.5 |
1 046.1 |
1 040.8 |
| Net interest bearing debt |
1 091.5 |
617.2 |
666.7 |
- Liquidity reserve reduced in H1 due to down-payment on the Term Loan B, payment of dividend, front loaded CAPEX and MultiClient investment, and the significant working capital variance
- USD 160 million drawing on the USD 500 million Revolving Credit Facility (RCF)
- Drawings made with short term duration and expected to be repaid during H2
- USD 305 million available under Export Credit Financing agreements. Can be drawn to cover current and future yard instalments for 2015 new builds
- Shareholders' equity at 55% of total assets
The accompanying unaudited financial information has been prepared under IFRS. This information should be read in conjunction with the unaudited second quarter and first half 2014 results released on July 24, 2014.
Significant Free Cash Flow Potential
- Illustration revised to reflect updated 2014 guidance
- Cash flow from operations covers MultiClient investments, maintenance CAPEX, interest & financing/debt service, dividends and a significant portion of new build CAPEX
- Excluding new build CAPEX the Company generates healthy free cash flow in the current market environment
- Completion of new build program makes the foundation for significant increase in free cash flow going beyond 2015
Operational Update and Market Comments
Unaudited Second Quarter and First Half 2014 Results
Streamer Operations July 2014
Low Marine Contract Bidding Activity
- Active Tenders currently at low levels
- Indicates risk of a weaker market towards the end of the year
- Substantial value of All Sales Leads, but delays in conversion to active tenders
- Indicates that the current market weakness might be short term
Geographical Distribution of Marine Contract Sales Leads Q2 2014
- West Africa dominates the opportunity space
- Increasing value of sales leads in Asia Pacific
- Increase in Myanmar and India
- Russian sales leads are both in Sakhalin and Arctic
- Europe in general has low value of sales leads at this time of year
Global Supply and Demand Trends
- From 2006 to end 2012 demand for seismic grew by approximately 120% measured in sq.km.
- Annual average growth rate of 12%
- Growth in sq.km. flattened out from 2012 to 2013
- 2014 capacity coming down and modest streamer capacity growth expected thereafter
| Year |
Yearly average streamer growth |
| 2014 |
-4% |
| 2015 |
5% |
| 2016 |
4% |
Source of both graphs: PGS internal estimates. Capacity increases are calculated based on average number of streamers in one year compared to average number of streamers the previous year.
PGS' Strategic Ambition
• To Care
- For our employees
- For the environment and society at large
- For our customers' success
• To Deliver Productivity Leadership
- Ramform platform + GeoStreamer
- Reducing project turnaround time
• To Develop Superior Data Quality
- GeoStreamer business platform
- Imaging Innovations
- Subsurface knowledge
• To Innovate
- First dual sensor streamer solution
- First with 20+ towed streamer capability
- Unique reservoir focused solutions
• To Perform Over the Cycle
- Profitable with robust balance sheet
- Absolute focus on being best in our market segment
A Clearer Image
A Fleet of Purpose Built High-end Seismic Vessels
Ramform productivity is a key differentiator
Expected vessel decommissioning reduces streamer capacity by 13%*
*Anticipated vessel decommissioning reduces current expected streamer capacity by end Q4 2015 by 13% versus Q3 2013 expectations.
Source: The cash cost curve is based on PGS' internal estimates and typical number of streamer towed, and excludes GeoStreamer productivity effect. The graph shows all seismic vessels operating in the market and announced new-builds. The Ramform Titan-class vessels are incorporated with 15 streamers, S-class with 14 streamers and the V-class with 12 streamers. -23-
The GeoStreamer Technology Platform: Much More than Broadband
GeoStreamer – The New Business and Technology Platform
- Enhanced resolution, better depth imaging and improved operational efficiency
- Enables the best sub-surface image for reservoir understanding and well placement
European MultiClient GeoStreamer Investments Paying Off
- GeoStreamer technology proving its value through year-on-year investments in the North Sea delivering strong sales performance
- Significant data quality uplift replacing legacy data in key areas Sales / Cash investment ratio
- Gradually moving north:
- 2013/2014 full year season in Northern North Sea / Norwegian Sea
- 2014 Barents Sea Group Shoot
Taking GeoStreamer into the Gulf of Mexico
- Gulf of Mexico remains an attractive seismic market
- Combined Crystal I-III Wide Azimuth Sales / Cash investment = 2.7 with further sales potential
- Triton represents a new generation Full Azimuth seismic acquisition, fuelled by GeoStreamer and PGS high-end imaging technology (SWIM)
- Excellent position for lease rolls through 2018 with proven reserves
- Acquisition completing in August ahead of schedule and below cost budget
- Fast track product from key areas now available
- Excellent technical results
- Attractive commercial potential
- Significant client interest
- Expect to secure pre-funding in H2
Good MultiClient Sales Performance from All Vintages
- Strong sales progress for all vintages
- Moderate net book values (NBV) for surveys completed 2009- 2014
- High pre-funding on new investments
- Triton pre-funding expected in H2
- No current impairment indicators
- Amortization is primarily based on the ratio of cost to forecasted sales
- Full year 2014 amortization rate expected to be approximately 50%
Near Term Market Outlook
- Sustained high and stable oil price
- Deep water attractive for E&Ps
- Flat demand development for 2014
- Current low bidding activity indicates risk of a weaker market towards the end of the year
- May negatively impact year end pricing
- Decommissioning of vessels is supportive for the supply/demand balance
EBITDA is expected to be approximately USD 850 million
• Due to reduced predictability with regards to customers' seismic purchases, particularly MultiClient, the uncertainty range around the EBITDA guidance is wider than normal
MultiClient cash investments of approximately USD 350 million
• Pre-funding level of approximately 100%
Capital expenditures of approximately USD 425 million
• Approximately USD 275 million related to the new-build program
In Conclusion: Robust Strategy - Well Positioned for the Future
- Differentiating technology
- Cost effective operations
- Improved productivity
- Solid financial position
- Significant free cash flow potential
- Returning cash to shareholders
Competitively Positioned – Performance Through the Cycle
Thank you – Questions?
Appendix Continuously Ahead of Competition
- PGS builds vessels to optimize cost and efficiency over the vessels' useful life
- Growing capacity over the cycle rather than trying to time the market
- Larger vessels enable safer and more efficient high quality seismic
8 - 12 streamers 12 - 18 streamers
• Fleet optimization by decommission of two older vessels – one in 2014 and one in 2015
12 – 22 streamers
14 - 24 streamers
Appendix Ramform Titan-class Delivers Attractive Returns
- PGS has historically strong returns on capital employed over the cycle
- Targeting average returns of 5% in excess of weighted average cost of capital (WACC) over the cycle
- WACC estimated at approximately 9-10% (after tax)
- The Ramform Titan meeting expectations:
- Performance and efficiency
- Ability to fully exploit GeoStreamer technology
- Safety
- Crew comfort
- Assuming first six quarters of contract performance through the vessel's life:
- Payback time of less than 5* years
- IRR better than initial plan and above 20%*
High quality assets generating high returns
Appendix: Main Yard Stays Next 6 Months
| Vessel |
When |
Expected Duration |
Type of Yard Stay |
| Ramform |
Ongoing July |
Approximately |
Renewal class |
| Sterling |
2014 |
25 days |
|
| PGS |
January/February |
Approximately |
Renewal class |
| Apollo |
2015 |
20 days |
|
Appendix: Attractive Debt Structure
Long term Credit Lines and Interest Bearing Debt |
Nominal Amount as of end June, 2014 |
Total Credit Line |
Financial Covenants |
USD 400.0 million Term Loan ("TLB"), Libor (minimum 0.75%) + 250 basis points, due 2021 |
USD 400.0 million |
|
None, but incurrence test: total leverage ratio < 3.00:1 |
Revolving credit facility ("RCF"), due 2018 70 bps commitment fee on undrawn amount Libor + margin of 200-235 bps on drawn amount |
USD 160.0 million |
USD 500.0 million |
Maintenance covenant: total leverage ratio < 2.75:1 |
Japanese ECF, 12 year with semi-annual installments. 50% fixed/ 50% floating interest rate |
USD 234.3 million |
USD 539.3 million |
None, but incurrence test for loan 3&4: Total leverage ratio < 3.00:1 and Interest coverage ratio > 2.0:1 |
2018 Senior Notes, coupon of 7.375% and callable from 2015 |
USD 450.0 million |
|
None, but incurrence test: Interest coverage ratio > 2.0:1 |