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Golden Ocean Group

Earnings Release Aug 27, 2014

6243_iss_2014-08-27_34f8d27e-c498-493b-b1a5-0295bdfa3163.pdf

Earnings Release

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Results Q2 - 2014

August 27, 2014

  • Highlights
  • Financials
  • Operations
  • Macro Update
  • Q&A

Highlights

  • GOGL results Q2 2014
  • EBITDA: \$23.2 million
  • Profit: \$1.0 million
  • Earnings per share at par
  • GOGL declares a dividend of \$0.025 for Q2 2014
  • GOGL took delivery of four vessels in the second quarter
  • GOGL received refund from Jinhaiwan for two contracts in the second quarter and one contract in July 2014

Financials

Birgitte Ringstad Vartdal, CFO Golden Ocean Management AS

Profit & Loss

Key figures:

(in thousands of \$)

2014 2014
Apr-Jun Jan-Mar
Operating revenue 72 800 74 195
Vessel voyage expenses -21 842 -22 260
Vessel operating expenses -14 308 -12 037
Charter hire expenses -13 206 -17 735
Administrative expenses -2 788 -2 784
Depreciation and amortisation -12 185 -10 333
Other gain/ (losses net) 2 523 9 360
Operating profit 10 994 18 406
Interest income 412 183
Interest expense -8 283 -7 125
Interest swap -3 396 -1 712
Other financial items
Taxation
1 2990 3950
Profit for the period 1 026 10 147
Profit attributable to:
Owners of the parent 1 307 10 262
Non-controlling interest -281 -115
Profit for the period 1 026 10 147

• Recieved \$5.3 million for default on charter contract

• Net voyage results are down mainly due to lower market in Q2 vs Q1

  • Gain on Jinhaiwan of \$10.5 million offset by negative MtM on FFAs of \$8.5 million
  • Negative MtM on interest rate swaps
  • Profit from sale of KLC shares (previoulsy under OCI)

Balance Sheet

(in thousands of \$) 2014 2013
ASSETS Jun 30 Dec 31
Vessels and equipment, net 833 370 667 788
Vessels held under finance leases, net 126 145 130 795
Vessels under construction 26 694 16 144
Investment in Joint Venture 9 937 17 419
Other assets 8 883 8 588
Total non-current assets 1 005 029 840 734
Cash and cash equivalents 133 335 98 841
Trade receivables and other current assets 40 673 39 005
Refundable installements for cancelled newbuildings 149 477 192 976
Avaiable-for-sale financial assets 15 478 16 916
Total current assets 338 964 347 737
Non-current assets held for sale
Total assets 1 343 993 1 188 471
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Equity attributable to equity holders of the parent
Share capital 44 731 44 726
Additional paid in capital 99 187 99 156
Other reserves 50 227 23 551
Retained earnings 442 757 457 823
Non-controlling interest 212 1 108
Total Equity 637 115 626 364
Long term debt 492 094 319 605
Obligations under finance leases 107 174 110 416
Other long term liabilities 1 753
-
1 903
-
Deferred income
Total non-current liabilities
601 021 431 924
Current Liabilities
Long-term debt - current portion 66 144 84 414
Obligations under finance leases – current portion 7 195 7 370
Other current liabilities 32 519 38 399
Total current liabilities 105 857 130 183
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity 1 343 993 1 188 471

• Vessels and equipment increased by taking delivery of 4 vessels in Q2

• Refundable installments reduced by cash received in Q2, adjusted for increase in value of receivable

• Reduced short term debt due to repyament of debt related to two Jinhaiwan contracts

Equity ratio ~ 47 %

Operations

Birgitte Ringstad Vartdal, CFO Golden Ocean Management AS

Vessels: Deliveries and charters

  • The Company took in April and May 2014 delivery of the three Kamsarmax vessels purchased in February 2014
  • In April 2014 the Company bought a resale ice class Panamax vessel to be named Golden Ruby. The vessel is a sister vessel to the Pipavav ice class Panamax vessels and was delivered to the Company in May 2014.
  • The Company will redeliver Golden Kiji in September 2014

Newbuildings: Delivery schedule supramax vessels

Yard Vessels Contracted out Open Delivery
JMU (Japan) 2 0 2 Q1-15
Chengxi (China) 6 0 6 Q1-Q2/2015
Q1-Q2/2016
  • No payments in Q2
  • No changes since last report
  • Total newbuilding program consist of 8 Supramaxes
  • Steel cutting commenced on the JMU vessels and two of the Chengxi vessels
  • Newbuildings with delivery 2015 to be financed end of this year

Vessel operating expenses

  • Based on 20 Panamax/Kamsarmax and 7 Capesize vessels
  • Five vessels have been docked in 1H 2014 and an additional three vessels are due for docking in 2014

Open positions on sailing vessels

Capesize exposure - Sailing vessels Core Fleet *

2014 2015 2016
Total vessel days 996 2 635 2 642
Open vessel days 765 2 629 2 638
Open position (%) 77 % 100 % 100 %
Average net rate on fixed days 16 784 na na
No of vessels 8 8 8
Panamax exposure - Sailing vessels Core Fleet
2014 2015 2016
Total vessel days 3 087 7 676 7 343
Open vessel days 1 863 5 544 5 300
Open position (%) 60 % 72 % 72 %
Average net rate on fixed days 13 496 19 459 21 060
No of vessels 24 23 23

* Golden Opus included with 50%

Jinhaiwan situation

  • Development in all nine arbitrations
  • Three final awards obtained, payment received
  • Six preliminary awards obtained
  • Pursued appeal for two awards to High Court in London
  • Applied for leave to appeal to High Court in London for four awards
  • Expect decission within next three to four months whether leave to appeal is granted
  • The Board is confident that the Company has a strong case on all arbitrations
MUSD Installment Interest accrued
as per awards
Debt Net cash Booked PnL
in Q2
Book Value
end Q2
Received Q2 45,8 10,4 20,4 35,8 3,5
Received Q3 38,65 8,7 11,55 35,8 3,5 47,3
Remaining 90,8 11,5 11,25 91,05 3,5 102,3
Total 175,25 30,6 43,2 162,65 10,5 149,5

Corporate transactions

  • The Company received refund of \$5.3 million in relation to a default on a charter contract for Golden Feng
  • Close to one third of the shares in Korea Line Corporation was sold in the second quarter of 2014, to a net proceed of \$1.4 million usd
  • During the second quarter the Company reduced the volume on the interest rate hedges
  • The Company will delist from the secondary listing on SGX. This does not affect the Company's presence in the Asian shipping market.

Macro Update

Herman Billung, CEO Golden Ocean Management AS

The Chinese economy has continued moving the same direction as earlier in the year, but grew slightly faster in Q2 (7.5%) compared to Q1 (7.4%).

In the property market, there has been a positive turnaround in housing starts over the last few months, with starts in July actually up by 3.4% yoy.

Prices however, have not moved in a positive direction, with accelerating monthon-month declines in most cities. This suggest the sentiment has not improved markedly over the last few months, despite efforts by both central and local authorities to improve the market.

However: Even though up to 40% of China's steel goes to the relatively weak real estate market, steel production is up 5.1% ytd.

Relatively strong growth in steel production, coupled with a record increase in iron ore supply in (primarily) Australia…. -

… has given an impressive increase in iron ore imports to China in 2014; thus far imports are up 18% as of July, with an annualized level of 925 million tons, above our estimate at the start of the year of 890 million tons.

Chinese steel exports

Low domestic iron ore prices is reducing domestic production, and imports now account for 70% of the steel balance, up from 65% in 2013.

China –dry bulk imports - + 8.2 % yoy during first half

The big disappointment in 2014, and the primary reason for the weak market, is coal. Chinese coal imports in July 2014 were down 19.6% yoy, and for the first seven months of the year overall imports are down 2.2%. Compared to consensus expectations of growth of around 13% this year, Chinese coal imports are now some 30 million tons below expectations, which on an annualized basis translates into the carrying capacity of around 50 capesize vessels or 100 panamaxes.

Coal prices have continued falling in China, and are now down 17% from a year ago, and down 42% compared to 2011. According to the China Coal Association, more than 70% of China's coal companies are currently making losses.

Coal imports only contributed 8% to overall coal supply in China last year, illustrating the sensitivity in the market. If the destocking process is over, coupled with domestic coal production cuts and continued strong demand, coal imports should resurrect in H2/2014.

The energy mix in China has not changed markedly over the last 24 years, 67% of the rise in energy demand has been covered by coal since the year 2000..

India a stronger growth factor for dry bulk trade going forward

Source: RS Platou Economic Research

Dry Bulk fleet trend…

Annual average expected fleet growth Dry bulk fleet growth

CAGR Handysize Handymax Panamax Capesize TOTAL
2008-2010 3.2% 13% 7.7% 16.8% 11.2%
2011-2013 1.7% 12.3% 11.2% 11.8% 10.3%
$2014(f)-2016(f)$ 3.3% 8.8% 5.2% 6.5% 6.3%

While seaborne demand remain robust

Dry bulk seaborne trade growth

Dry bulk fleet profile Dry bulk fleet and orderbook according to year of build

Demolition increase when the market slows

Source: Clarksons

Overall market should tighten, but less than previously expected

  • `We continue to see a firmer market, but see slightly lower utilization on more orders than previously expected
  • `Although we have added some vessels with '16 deliveries on top of current orderbook, there is always a risk of new orders surfacing
10yr
Base caseUSD/d 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014e 2015e 2016e 10-yr ex super cycle
Cape " 69,000 50,000 45,000 117,000 105,000 42,000 33,000 16,000 8,000 15,000 18,400 25,800 25,800 50,000 34,800
Pmax " 36,000 25,000 24,000 57,000 49,000 19,000 25,000 14,000 8,000 9,600 9,500 15,000 15,900 26,700 20,100
Smax " 31,000 24,000 23,000 48,000 41,000 17,000 22,000 14,000 9,000 10,400 10,800 14,400 14,900 23,900 18,800
Hsize " 19,000 17,000 14,000 30,000 29,000 11,000 16,000 11,000 8,000 8,200 8,400 10,200 11,000 16,300 13,000

Source: Pareto Research

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