Investor Presentation • Nov 14, 2014
Investor Presentation
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This document is being furnished for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any security, future or other financial instrument or product. It is not intended to form the basis of an investment decision and has not been verified. Storm Capital Management Ltd. ("Storm") makes no recommendation or representation as to, and accepts no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein or any other information, whether written or oral, made available and any liability therefore is expressly disclaimed. Such information is presented as of the date and, if applicable, time indicated and Storm does not accept any responsibility for updating any such information.
Any simulations, projections, valuations and statistical analyses contained herein have been provided to assist the recipient in the evaluation of the matters described herein; such simulations, projections, valuations and analyses may be based on subjective assessments and assumptions and may utilise one among alternative methodologies that produce differing results; accordingly, such simulations, projections, valuations and statistical analyses are not to be viewed as facts and should not be relied upon as an accurate representation of future events. No representation or warranty is given as to any of the simulations or analyses, or as to the achievement or reasonableness of any future projections or estimates, contained in this document.
This document has been prepared by Storm Capital Management Ltd. and should not be considered impartial research under FCA Rules. The views expressed may not be supported by independent analysis. The author of this document may be remunerated as a result of transactions generated by this information.
Storm Capital Management Ltd. is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Conduct Authority. Its registered office is at 100 New Bond Street, London W1S 1SP, United Kingdom.
Signed 10 year lease for Grifon House in St. Petersburg
NAV per share of NOK 21.15 in Q3 2014
| i l l. U S D m |
Q 3 2 0 1 4 |
Q 3 2 0 1 3 / / 3 1 0 3 7 0 |
9 M 2 0 1 4 P F r o o r a m |
9 M 2 0 1 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T l C h i I t o a o m p r e e n s v e n c o m e |
1 3. 9 - |
2. 4 |
1 2. 9 - |
0. 7 |
| S f j i t u m m a r y o m a o r e m s : |
||||
| O f N I i t t t i r o m n v e s m e n p r o p e r e s |
2. 6 |
2. 7 |
7. 8 |
7. 6 |
| V l h i t t t i a e c a n g e n e s m e n p r o p e r e s u v |
9. 5 - |
0. 0 |
1 9 4. - |
0. 3 |
| V l h h i l i t t a u e c a n g e s a r e s n r e a e s a e c o m p a n e s |
1. 9 - |
0. 3 |
3. 9 |
1. 4 - |
| O h i t t t e r o p e r a n g c o s s |
0. 6 - |
0. 7 - |
2. 3 - |
2. 4 - |
| F d d l i i d i t t u n s a n q u n v e s m e n s |
0. 2 - |
0. 8 |
0. 7 |
2. 1 |
| B i t o r r o n g c o s s w |
0. 8 - |
0. 7 - |
2. 5 - |
2. 3 - |
| C i / l u r r e n c y g a n s o s s e s |
1. 6 - |
0. 2 |
1. 9 - |
0. 1 - |
| C d i d i i t t- t t t o n r a c a n n e r e s e r v a v e s |
0. 2 |
0. 0 |
0. 5 - |
2. 9 |
| T a x e s |
2. 1 - |
0. 2 - |
3. 1 - |
6. 1 - |
| \$ ( U S '0 0 0 ) |
3 1 / 1 2 / 1 3 / / 3 1 0 3 0 7 |
( 1) 3 0 / 0 9 / 1 4 P F r o o r m a |
3 1 / 1 2 / 1 3 / / 3 1 0 3 0 7 |
( 1) 3 0 / 0 9 / 1 4 P F r o o r m a |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I t t t n v e s m e n p r o p e r y |
\$ 1 0 3, 1 0 0 |
\$ 8 8, 2 0 0 |
B k l a n o a n s |
\$ 4 4, 9 0 7 |
\$ 4 3, 0 0 7 |
| I t t t h n v e s m e n s p r o p e r y s a r e s |
\$ 1 2, 1 7 6 |
\$ 1 5, 4 2 9 |
O h l i b i l i i t t e r a e s |
\$ 1 1 5, 5 5 |
\$ 1 6, 8 4 2 |
| T l t t t o a n o n- c u r r e n a s s e s |
\$ 5, 5 1 1 3 3 |
\$ 1 0 3, 7 8 6 |
T l l i b i l i i t t o a a e s |
\$ 6 0, 1 2 5 |
\$ 5 9, 9 1 2 |
| ( 2) C & h l i i d i t t a s q n e s m e n s u v |
\$ 2 2, 5 8 6 |
\$ 1 5, 6 8 8 |
|||
| T l t t t o a c r r e n a s s e s u |
\$ 2 3, 2 2 5 |
\$ 1 6, 2 4 9 |
S h h l d 's i t a r e o e r e q u y |
\$ 7 8, 4 3 7 |
\$ 6 0, 1 2 6 |
| T l t t o a a s s e s |
\$ 1 3 8, 5 6 1 |
\$ 1 2 0, 0 3 6 |
T l i d l i b i l i i t t t o a e q a n a e s u y |
\$ 1 3 8, 5 6 1 |
\$ 1 2 0, 0 3 6 |
(1) Unaudited.
(2) Includes cash invested in liquid securities for cash management purposes.
Source: Oslo Stock Exchange, Bloomberg
(1) SRE and OSEBX adjusted for dividends. As per 13 November 2014.
Source: Bloomberg. (1) As per 13 November 2014.
Brent Oil Price (US\$)
120
2014 Forecast Remains Unchanged: US\$ 5.0 Billion by the End of the Year
Source: Cushman & Wakefield (October 2014)
Investment activity continues to be concentrated around Moscow with 91% of total investment volume transacted in Moscow during the first 9 months of 2014
c. 55% of the investment volume so far in 2014 has taken place in the office sector in – a significant decrease to numbers from H1 when c. 70% of all transaction took place in the office sector
Source: Cushman & Wakefield (October 2014)
(1) Average rental rates is a weighted average rental rate of asking rents of deals closed within the period, US\$ / m²/ annum/ triple net
Source: Maris, Part of the CBRE Affiliate Network, 2014. 17
| M E i F t a c r o c o n o m c o r e c a s |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G D |
P G h ( Y Y ) t r o -o w - |
U l t n e m p o m e n y |
|||||
| 2 0 1 |
4 E 2 |
0 1 E 5 |
2 0 1 4 E |
2 0 1 E 5 |
|||
| 0. | % 5 |
1. 3 % |
1 % 5. |
1 % 5. |
|||
| 1. | % 9 |
% 2 5 |
% 7. 9 |
% 7. 6 |
|||
| 3. | 2 % |
3. 4 % |
9. 9 % |
9. 5 % |
|||
| 2 | 0 % |
2 4 % |
6 7 % |
6 6 % |
An update on the situation in Russia with our view.
APPENDIX
Economic Activity as Measured by Industrial Production is Struggling to Gain Pace in Current Situation
Full year 2014 investment volume still expected to be c. US\$ 5 billion
Source: Cushman & Wakefield (October 2014)
New Construction Still Higher Than Absorption – Limited Absorption so Far in 2014
The Story Remains:
Storm Real Estate has a good entry point at DKK 8.00 compared to current share price
1.
The company has started to be profitable, albeit not yet at a satisfactory level
We reiterate that we still believe TK offers an attractive risk reward
Source: Company data. Copenhagen Stock Exchange. (1) As per 13 November 2014.
100 New Bond Street London, W1S 1SP United Kingdom
E-mail: [email protected] Tel: +44 (0)207 409 3378 Fax: +44 (0)207 491 3464
Web: www.stormcapital.co.uk
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