Investor Presentation • Jan 12, 2015
Investor Presentation
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12 January 2015
This presentation does not constitute an offer to buy or sell shares or other financial instruments of Panoro Energy ASA ("Company"). This presentation contains certain statements that are, or may be deemed to be, "forward-looking statements", which include all statements other than statements of historical fact. Forward-looking statements involve making certain assumptions based on the Company's experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other factors that we believe are appropriate under the circumstances. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, actual events or results may differ materially from those projected or implied in such forward-looking statements due to known or unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors. These risks and uncertainties include, among others, uncertainties in the exploration for and development and production of oil and gas, uncertainties inherent in estimating oil and gas reserves and projecting future rates of production, uncertainties as to the amount and timing of future capital expenditures, unpredictable changes in general economic conditions, volatility of oil and gas prices, competitive risks, regulatory changes and other risks and uncertainties discussed in the Company's periodic reports. Forward-looking statements are often identified by the words "believe", "budget", "potential", "expect", "anticipate", "intend", "plan" and other similar terms and phrases. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any of this information
Nishant Dighe, Chief Executive Officer. Nish has over 20 years of experience in oil and gas. He has Masters degrees in Chemical Engineering and Petroleum Engineering from Imperial College, London, and an MBA from Warwick University. Originally trained as a reservoir engineer, Nish held technical positions in ExxonMobil in the UK and US on assets located in the North Sea, Europe, US, Middle East and Africa. He has also worked with Marakon Associates, a value-based management consultancy, with South African company Sasol and with Energy Equity Resources. In 2007 Nish co-founded Pan-Petroleum ultimately leading to the creation of Panoro Energy. During this period he has also held positions of CEO of African Energy Equity Resources and President Africa. He is a British citizen and resides in London, UK.
Qazi Qadeer, Chief Financial Officer is a Chartered Accountant with a Fellow membership of Institute of Chartered Accountants of Pakistan. Qazi joined Panoro at its inception in 2010 as Group Finance Controller. Previously he has worked for PriceWaterhouseCoopers in Karachi, Pakistan and briefly served as Internal audit manager in Pak-Arab Refinery before relocating to London, where he has spent more than five years with Ernst & Young's energy and extractive industry assurance practice; working on various projects for large and small oil & gas and mining companies. He has worked on several high profile projects including the divestment of BP plc's chemicals business in 2005 and IPO of Gem Diamonds Limited in 2006. He is a British citizen and resides in London, UK.
Richard Morton, VP Subsurface has 24 years of experience in exploration, production, development and management in the oil and gas industry. Originally a highly qualified geophysicist, he has expanded his portfolio of skills progressively into operational and asset management. He has worked in a number of challenging contracting and operating environments, including as Centrica Energy's Exploration Manager for Nigeria. He has been with Panoro Energy since 2008 with responsibilities for project and technical management of Panoro's African exploration and development assets. Richard obtained a B.Sc. in Physics from Essex University in 1989 and went on to complete a M.Sc. in Applied Geophysics from the University of Birmingham the following year. He is a British citizen and resides in London, UK.
Mr. Julien Balkany, Chairman of the Board, French citizen resident in London, he has served as managing member and Founder of Nanes Balkany Partners LLC, a NY-based activist hedge fund which primarily pursues value investments in publicly traded oil and gas companies, since January 2008. Mr. Balkany has been since May 2014 a Non-Executive Director of Gasfrac Energy Services (ticker: GFS CN), a Calgary-based oil and gas fracking services company listed on the TSX since May this year. Mr. Balkany has also served as Vice-Chairman and Director of Toreador Resources Corp. (ticker: TRGL US), an oil and gas exploration and production company with operations in Continental Europe and listed on the NASDAQ, from January 2009 to March 2011. Mr. Balkany is also the Chairman of the Advisory Board of Stellar Energy, a London-based Investment Bank dedicated to the oil and gas industry. At the same time, Mr. Balkany has been a Managing Director at Nanes Delorme Capital Management LLC, a New York based financial advisory and broker-dealer firm, since 2005. Before joining Nanes Delorme Capital Management LLC and co- founding Nanes Balkany Partners, Mr. Balkany worked at Pierson Capital, a U.S. private investment firm focused primarily on emerging markets, from 2003 to 2005. Prior to that Mr. Balkany gained significant expertise in the Emerging Markets Debt Capital Markets Group of Bear Stearns & Co., Inc. Mr. Balkany studied Political Science at the Institute of Political Studies (France) and Finance at UC Berkeley. Mr. Balkany is fluent in French, English and Spanish.
Ms. Alexandra Herger, a US citizen based in Maine, has extensive leadership experience in worldwide exploration for oil and gas companies. Ms. Herger has 35 years of global experience in the upstream oil and gas industry. She most recently served as interim Vice President of Global Exploration for Marathon Oil Corporation from April 2014 until her retirement during the summer of 2014. Prior to this position, Ms. Herger was appointed Director of International Exploration and New Ventures for Marathon Oil Company from November 2008 to April 2014. She led five new country entries and was responsible for adding net discovered resources of over 500 million boe to Marathon's portfolio. Before joining Marathon, she was at Shell E&P Company from 2002-2006. Prior to the merger with Shell, Ms. Herger was Vice President of the Gulf of Mexico for Enterprise Oil from 1998-2002. Earlier, Ms. Herger held positions of increasing responsibility in oil and gas exploration and production, operations, and planning with Hess Corporation and ExxonMobil Corporation. Ms. Herger holds a Bachelor's degree in geology from Ohio Wesleyan University and post-graduate studies in geology from The University of Houston. Ms. Herger is a member of Leadership Texas, the Foundation for Women's Resources, and was on the advisory board of the Women's Global Leadership Conference in Houston, Texas from 2010 to 2013.
Ms. Silje Augustson, a Norwegian citizen based in Switzerland, has significant experience from the capital markets and the financial services industries mainly based out of London. Her experience spans from roles within equity sales and research in investment banking, to business development, strategy and investor capital fundraising in the alternative asset management industry. Since 2004, she has held several board directorships in the area of fund management participating in fund restructuring situations as well taking lead roles in activist investor campaigns. Ms. Augustson has held positions with JP Morgan, The Brunswick Group, Theorema Asset Management, Belay Asset Management. Currently she works with Xynteo, a strategic advisory firm based in Oslo and London, with clients in the Oil and Gas industry. In addition to being a Non-Executive Director of Panoro Energy ASA, she serves on the board of the Storm Nordic Fund, the Storm Bond Fund, SurfSide Holding AS and Mikrofinans Norge AS. She holds a Deug in Economics from the University of Toulouse UT1 (1996), and a Master in European Management/Diplome de Grande Ecole from ESCP-EAP (1999).
Mr. Lars Brandeggen, a Norwegian citizen based in Oslo is a private investor with Scandinavian markets expertise. He is the Founder and owner of investor community XtraInvestor.com. Chairman of Nordic Financials (ticker NOFIN.OL). He was elected Chairman of NOFIN as an activist investor in January 2014 and under his successful leadership, by September the same year NOFIN had returned to the shareholders an impressive increment of 120% of the share price at that time to its shareholders. Prior to this he served as the Chairman of 1880 Directory Assistance – the second largest telephone directory assistance company in Norway (sold to Findexa). Mr. Brandeggen was also previously Chairman of real estate service company Sigma and managed the process that ended with the company being sold to Sodexho. Mr. Brandeggen's experience spans previous roles in commercial and investment banking (analyst & corporate finance). He holds a MBA from University of Lund, Sweden.
Two core Assets in West Africa with discovered resources under development and significant exploration upside
Nigeria: OML 113, offshore Western Nigeria Geologically part of the West African Transform Margin
G&A-USD 000
* The G&A figures represents quarterly amounts published in Panoro's quarterly reports and include core G&A from continuing and discontinued activities only. The numbers do not include non-recurring costs for strategic review and restructuring and redundancies.
Near term Aje field oil development followed by gas/condensate development and strong exploration upside
Development Concept Study 2015
Area of coverage of New 3D
"Ogo Discovery". Source: Afren
Cenomanian Oil Development only1
Phase 1 and 2, Cenomanian P50 (50.88MMbbls2) – Aje 4, 5, 6 and 7
CAPEX from 1/10/2014 to first oil = \$211MM3 Total CAPEX from 1/10/2014 = \$353MM, CAPEX/bbl = \$7 / bbl Field Life2 = 19 years Initial OPEX/bbl = \$17 / bbl Field Life OPEX2 = \$1,490, Field life OPEX/bbl2 = \$29.3 / bbl
CAPEX from 1/10/2014 to first oil = \$211MM3 Total CAPEX from 1/10/2014 = \$211MM, CAPEX/bbl = \$7.4 / bbl Field Life2 = 15 years Initial OPEX / bbl = \$22 / bbl Field Life OPEX2 = \$1,120, Field Life OPEX/bbl2 = \$39.3 / bbl
1 JV economic model with 3% oil price and cost inflation per year
2 At \$70/bbl oil price after Economic cutoff
3 Based on Capex estimate provided by the Operator. Capex to first oil does not include \$25MM of cash backed JV bank guarantee to be in place for FPSO 3 year minimum charter period
Concept Evaluation Stage
| Case1 | Number of Wells |
Plateau Rate | Plateau length |
Field Life |
Total sales gas produced |
Total condensate produced |
Total LPG produced |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P90 | 2 | 80 MMscf/d | 12 years | 19 years | 397 bcf | 15.2 MMbbls | 27.2 MMbbls |
|
| P50 | 3 | 90 MMscf/d | 17 years | 24 years | 583 bcf | 22 MMbbls | 40 MMbbls | |
| P10 | 4 | 120 MMscf/d | 19 years | 27 years | 1,080 bcf | 30.6 MMbbls | 55.7 MMbbls |
TRACS competent persons report in July 2014 which includes a development of Cenomanian Oil as well as separate conceptual development Turonian Gas and Condensate confirms significant value in the discovered resource base
-50 0
Total OPEX = \$3,154MM, Field life OPEX / boe = \$16 / boe Field Life = 29 Years
97.2
Oil/Condensate Price \$/bbl, Gas Price \$3/bbl, LPG Price 55% of Oil price
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Gross Daily Production (Post Economic Cut-Off)
1 From AGR TRACS competent persons' report, 25th July 2014
Large exploration and development block with multiple discoveries and prospects
Etame is a Proven Producer 40km North of Ruche
The initial development in the Etame License just north of Dussafu was based on 25MMbbl field with high uncertainty. Replicating early success of Etame would create significant shareholder value for Panoro.
Etame discovery in 1998. Initial Field development based on 25MMbbl field.
Source: VAALCO Energy
1 Ruche Gamba, Tortue Gamba, Walt Whitman
| | Declaration of commerciality | |
|---|---|---|
| | Award of Exclusive Exploitation Authorisation | |
| | Field development plan Government Approval | |
| | Field development Decision Point | Q1 2015 |
| Exploration | ||
| | Seismic acquisition | |
| | Seismic final PSDM processing | Q4 2014 |
| | Defining outboard exploration campaign | Q1 2015 |
CAPEX from 1/10/2014 to first oil = \$287MM Total CAPEX = \$653MM CAPEX = \$17.2 / bbl Total OPEX = \$670MM OPEX = \$17.7 / bbl
CAPEX from 1/10/2014 to first oil = \$287MM Total CAPEX = \$654MM CAPEX = \$11.2 / bbl Total OPEX = \$979MM OPEX = \$16.7 / bbl
1 JV economic model with no cost oil / price inflation
2 At \$70/bbl oil price after Economic cut-off
3 Capex estimate provided by the Operator during 2014 using 2014 prices. No adjustment has been made for any impact of recent oil price decline on costs. Alternative development phasings are also being considered that may result in Capex reductions to first oil.
1 From Gaffney Cline & Associates Contingent Resources report, 24th March 2014
2 GCA resource assessment does not include the Tortue Dentale sand 2-5 reservoirs or the Ruche Dentale reservoir. JV plans to update GCA report in 2015 to revise numbers including these additional resources
1 From TRACS AGR Competent Persons' report 25th July 2014 2 GCA Contingent Resources Report 24th March 2014
Based on Development of the Aje Cenomanian Oil and simulating Dussafu Cluster Development.
Project Net Cash Flows at \$70/Bbl from Oil Development Projects
Source: OML 113 and Dussafu Joint Venture Financial Models.
Panoro share of Rubicon FPSO cash backed guarantee to be paid in 2015 and released in 2018 (\$4MM net) not included in model
Project Net Cash Flows based on Forward curve oil prices as of 6 Jan 2015 from Oil Development Projects
Based on Development of the Aje Cenomanian Oil and simulating Dussafu Cluster Development with FID Q1 2015, current forward curve indicates cash flows very similar to \$70 oil price
Source: ICE website, OML 113 and Dussafu Joint Venture Financial Models, Dussafu cash flows simulate FID in Q1-2015 Panoro share of Rubicon FPSO cash backed guarantee to be paid in 2015 and released in 2018 (\$4MM net) not included in model
Project Net Cash Flows at \$90/Bbl from Oil Development Projects
Source: OML 113 and Dussafu Joint Venture Financial Models
Panoro share of Rubicon FPSO cash backed guarantee to be paid in 2015 and released in 2018 (\$4MM net) not included in model
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J | F | M | A | M | J | J | A | S | O | N | D | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | |
| Nigeria | ||||||||||||||||||||
| OML 113 Seismic | Processing | Interpretation | ||||||||||||||||||
| Exploration Drilling | Drill | |||||||||||||||||||
| Subsea | Engineering and Procurement | |||||||||||||||||||
| FPSO | FPSO Refurbishment | |||||||||||||||||||
| Aje 4 and 5 Drilling | Drilling | |||||||||||||||||||
| Installation | Installation | |||||||||||||||||||
| Aje First Oil | 1st Oil | Phase 1 Producing | ||||||||||||||||||
| Aje 6 and 7 Drilling | Drill | Phase 2 Prod | ||||||||||||||||||
| Gabon | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Dussafu Seismic | Interpretation | |||||||||||||||||||
| Exploration Drilling | Drill | |||||||||||||||||||
| Dussafu FEED | Engineering | |||||||||||||||||||
| Dussafu FID | FID | |||||||||||||||||||
| Dussafu Development | Engineering and Procurement | |||||||||||||||||||
| Dussafu Devl Drilling | Development Drilling | |||||||||||||||||||
| Dussafu First Oil | 1st Oil | Producing |
Possible 32
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