Investor Presentation • Feb 12, 2015
Investor Presentation
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This document is being furnished for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any security, future or other financial instrument or product. It is not intended to form the basis of an investment decision and has not been verified. Storm Capital Management Ltd. ("Storm") makes no recommendation or representation as to, and accepts no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein or any other information, whether written or oral, made available and any liability therefore is expressly disclaimed. Such information is presented as of the date and, if applicable, time indicated and Storm does not accept any responsibility for updating any such information.
Any simulations, projections, valuations and statistical analyses contained herein have been provided to assist the recipient in the evaluation of the matters described herein; such simulations, projections, valuations and analyses may be based on subjective assessments and assumptions and may utilise one among alternative methodologies that produce differing results; accordingly, such simulations, projections, valuations and statistical analyses are not to be viewed as facts and should not be relied upon as an accurate representation of future events. No representation or warranty is given as to any of the simulations or analyses, or as to the achievement or reasonableness of any future projections or estimates, contained in this document.
This document has been prepared by Storm Capital Management Ltd. and should not be considered impartial research under FCA Rules. The views expressed may not be supported by independent analysis. The author of this document may be remunerated as a result of transactions generated by this information.
Storm Capital Management Ltd. is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Conduct Authority. Its registered office is at 100 New Bond Street, London W1S 1SP, United Kingdom.
Comprehensive income of USD -21.3m affected by write-downs
Unstable political situation, however, oil price more important than sanctions
3. Property values down, cash flow unaffected
NAV per share at NOK 15.71
| i l l. U S D m |
Q 4 2 0 1 4 |
Q 4 2 0 1 3 / / 3 1 0 3 0 7 P r |
1 2 M 2 0 1 4 F o o r m a |
1 2 M 2 0 1 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T l C h i I t o a o m p r e e n s v e n c o m e |
2 1. 3 - |
2. 4 |
3 4. 2 - |
3. 1 |
| S f j i t u m m a r y o m a o r e m s : |
||||
| O f N I i t t t i r o m n v e s m e n p r o p e r e s |
2. 5 |
2. 4 |
1 0. 3 |
1 0. 1 |
| V l h i t t t i a e c a n g e n e s m e n p r o p e r e s u v |
1 9 7. - |
0. 1 |
3 2. 8 - |
0. 4 |
| V l h h i l i t t a u e c a n g e s a r e s n r e a e s a e c o m p a n e s |
0. 7 - |
0. 4 |
3. 2 |
1. 0 - |
| O h i t t t e r o p e r a n g c o s s |
0. 5 - |
0. 7 - |
2. 9 - |
3. 1 - |
| F d d l i i d i t t u n s a n q u n v e s m e n s |
1. 3 - |
0. 4 |
0. 6 - |
2. 5 |
| B i t o r r o n g c o s s w |
0. 8 - |
0. 7 - |
3. 0 - |
3. 0 - |
| C i / l u r r e n c y g a n s o s s e s |
0. 4 - |
0. 2 |
2. 4 - |
0. 3 |
| C d i d i i t t- t t t o n r a c a n n e r e s e r v a v e s |
0. 5 - |
0. 5 |
0. 9 - |
3. 4 |
| T a x e s |
1. 6 - |
1. 3 - |
4. 7 - |
-7 5 |
| \$ ( U S '0 0 0 ) |
3 1 / 1 2 / 1 3 / / 3 1 0 3 0 7 |
( 1) 3 1 / 1 2 / 1 4 P F r o o r m a |
3 1 / 1 2 / 1 3 / / 3 1 0 3 0 7 |
( 1) 3 1 / 1 2 / 1 4 P F r o o r m a |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I t t t n v e s m e n p r o p e r y |
\$ 1 0 3, 1 0 0 |
\$ 7 0, 3 4 3 |
B k l a n o a n s |
\$ 4 4, 9 0 7 |
\$ 4 2, 4 3 8 |
| I t t t h n v e s m e n s p r o p e r y s a r e s |
\$ 1 2, 1 7 6 |
\$ 1 4, 1 9 2 |
O h l i b i l i i t t e r a e s |
\$ 1 1 5, 5 5 |
\$ 1 6, 0 7 5 |
| T l t t t o a n o n- c u r r e n a s s e s |
\$ 5, 5 1 1 3 3 |
\$ 5 8 4, 6 8 |
T l l i b i l i i t t o a a e s |
\$ 6 0, 1 2 5 |
\$ 5 8, 5 1 3 |
| ( 2) C & h l i i d i t t a s q n e s m e n s u v |
\$ 2 2, 5 8 6 |
\$ 1 2, 2 2 1 |
|||
| T l t t t o a c r r e n a s s e s u |
\$ 2 3, 2 2 5 |
\$ 1 2, 3 1 7 |
E i t q u y |
\$ 7 8, 4 3 7 |
\$ 3 8, 7 8 6 |
| T l t t o a a s s e s |
\$ 1 3 8, 5 6 1 |
\$ 9 7, 2 9 9 |
T l i d l i b i l i i t t t o a e q a n a e s u y |
\$ 1 3 8, 5 6 1 |
\$ 9 7, 2 9 9 |
| E i i t t q u y r a o |
5 7 % |
4 0 % |
(1) Unaudited.
(2) Includes cash invested in liquid securities for cash management purposes.
Source: Storm Capital Management Ltd.
(1) As per 31 December 2014. Includes investment in Storm Bond Fund and direct investments in bonds.
(2) Sector split as per 31 January 2015.
Source: Oslo Stock Exchange, Bloomberg
(1) SRE and OSEBX adjusted for dividends. As per 10 February 2015.
Source: Bloomberg. (1) As per 11 February 2015.
2014 Investment Volume Came in at c. US\$ 4.2 Billion, c. US\$ 800 Million Below Forecast Presented in October 2014
Source: Cushman & Wakefield (January 2015)
Vacancy Rate in Class B Buildings Stable at c. 13% Q3 to Q4
(1) Average rental rates is a weighted average rental rate of asking rents of deals closed within the period, US\$ / m²/ annum/ triple net
Vacancy During 2014 Increased to 19% and 11% respectively in Class A and Class B Office Buildings
Discount to NAV offers attractive risk / reward
23 Dec '14TK Development has today sold its remaining areas at Teglholmen in Copenhagen for DKK 95 million
Today TK Development has entered into an agreement to sell a building lot at Amerika Plads to A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S. The building lot has been sold at a price of DKK 97.5 million, and TK Development's ownership interest is 50 %. The sale is expected to be completed in mid-2015 and will thus positively impact results in the 2015/16 financial year 12 Dec '14
Together with GE Capital and Heitman, TK Development has conditionally sold the Futurum Hradec Králové shopping centre in the Czech Republic to Meyer Bergman. Futurum Hradec Králové consists of 110 stores covering a total floor space of 28,250 m² and a 14,400 m² hypermarket let to Tesco. The selling price for the whole centre amounts to EUR 87.6 million which is on par with the carrying amount and results in a substantial contribution to the Group's free cash resources. The sale is part of Management's strategy to sell one or more major completed projects. TK Developments ownership interest in the centre represented 20% 4 Dec '14
Comprehensive income of USD -21.3m affected by write-downs
Unstable political situation, however, oil price more important than sanctions
3. Property values down, cash flow unaffected
NAV per share at NOK 15.71
APPENDIX
Economic Activity as Measured by Industrial Production Stable Despite Current Economic Environment
Full year 2015 investment volume expected to be c. US\$ 2.5 billion
New Construction Significant Higher Than Absorption – Limited Absorption c. 25% in 2014
| G | D P G h ( Y- Y ) t r o w o- |
U l t n e m p o y m e n |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 1 5 E |
2 0 1 6 E |
2 0 1 5 E |
2 0 1 6 E |
|
| % | % | % | % | ||
| 1. | 2. | 6. | 6. | ||
| 7 | 0 | 6 | 4 | ||
| 2. | 2. | 7. | 7. | ||
| 4 | 7 | 8 | 6 | ||
| % | % | % | % | ||
| 2. | 3. | 9. | 8. | ||
| 8 | 3 | 3 | 8 | ||
| % | % | % | % | ||
| 2. | 2. | 6. | 6. | ||
| % | % | 2 | 1 | ||
| 7 | 7 | % | % | ||
100 New Bond Street London, W1S 1SP United Kingdom
E-mail: [email protected] Tel: +44 (0)207 409 3378 Fax: +44 (0)207 491 3464
Web: www.stormcapital.co.uk
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