Q4 2014 Presentation
25 February 2015 Karl Johnny Hersvik, CEO Alexander Krane, CFO
DET NORSKE Highlights
Acquisition of Marathon Oil Norge AS completed
Operations
Total production of 62.6 mboepd in Q4 2014
Development Projects
- Bøyla on stream in January on schedule
- Ivar Aasen development on schedule
- Johan Sverdrup PDO submitted
Finance and outlook
- Q4 EBITDA USD 239 million, EPS -1.42 USD
- 2015 CAPEX guidance of USD 950-1,000 million
- Cost efficiency program initiated
Financials
Q4 2014
FINANCIALS Highlights
| Overview |
|
Headline figures |
|
|
|
| |
Q4 Accounts Inclusion of Marathon Oil Norge • |
|
Q4 '14 |
FY 2014 |
|
|
Purchase price allocation • |
Total production (boepd) |
54,175 |
15,630 |
|
|
Impairment charges • Change of functional currency to USD • |
Oil price realised (USD/bbl ) |
74 |
78 |
|
|
|
Operating revenues (USDm ) |
346 |
464 |
|
| |
Funding and liquidity RBL |
EBITDA (USDm ) |
239 |
208 |
|
|
• DETNOR02 • |
EBIT (USDm ) |
-184 |
-299 |
|
| • |
Long-term funding |
Net profit/loss (USDm) |
-287 |
-279 |
|
| |
Financial risk management |
EPS (USD) |
-1.42 |
-1.68 |
|
|
|
NIBD (USDm ) |
1,994 |
1,994 |
|
2015 guidance |
|
Equity ratio (adj.) |
15.5% |
15.5% |
|
FINANCIALS Statement of income
| Income statement (USD mill) |
Q4 2014 |
Q4 2013 |
FY 2014 |
| Revenues |
346 |
43 |
464 |
| Production costs |
44 |
17 |
67 |
Payroll and payroll-related expenses |
(10) |
1 |
(17) |
Other operating expenses |
23 |
1 |
49 |
| EBITDAX |
289 |
25 |
365 |
| Exploration expenses |
50 |
93 |
158 |
| EBITDA |
239 |
(68) |
208 |
| Depreciation |
104 |
21 |
160 |
| Impairment losses |
319 |
112 |
346 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) |
(184) |
(201) |
(299) |
Net financial items |
(13) |
18 |
(77) |
| Profit/loss before taxes |
(197) |
(219) |
(376) |
| Tax (+) / Tax income (-) |
90 |
(163) |
(93) |
| Net profit/loss |
(287) |
(56) |
(279) |
| EPS |
(1.42) |
(0.40) |
(1.68) |
FINANCIALS Statement of financial position
Assets (USD mill) |
31.12.14 |
31.12.13 |
Equity and Liabilities (USD mill) |
31.12.14 |
31.12.13 |
| Goodwill |
1,187 |
53 |
Equity |
652 |
524 |
Other intangible assets |
940 |
444 |
Other provisions for liabilities incl. P&A (long) |
503 |
155 |
Property, plant and equipment |
2,549 |
437 |
Deferred tax |
1,286 |
- |
Calculated tax receivables (long) |
- |
47 |
Bonds |
253 |
407 |
| Deferred tax asset |
- |
104 |
Bank debt |
2,037 |
335 |
| Receivables and other assets |
412 |
135 |
Exploration facility |
- |
79 |
Calculated tax receivables (short) |
- |
232 |
Other current liabilities incl. P&A (short) |
464 |
233 |
Cash and cash equivalents |
296 |
281 |
Tax payable |
189 |
- |
Total Assets |
5,384 |
1,733 |
Total Equity and Liabilities |
5,384 |
1,733 |
FINANCIALS Statement of cash flow
| Condensed statement of cash flows Q4-2014 |
USDm |
| Pre-tax profit |
(197) |
| Taxes paid |
(109) |
| Tax refund |
191 |
| DD&A + Impairment |
423 |
| Δ W/C and other |
(13) |
| Net cash from operations |
295 |
| Investments in fixed assets |
(255) |
| Purchase/sale fixed assets |
(1 514) |
Capitalised exploration / Other |
(26) |
| Net cash from investments |
(1 794) |
| Drawn on RBL |
2 650 |
Repayment bank debt |
(1 132) |
| Repayment bond debt |
(88) |
| Transaction cost |
(67) |
| Net cash from financing |
1 363 |
| Beginning cash (30.09.2014) |
445 |
| Exchange rate differences |
(12) |
| End cash (31.12.2014) |
296 |
- One tax payment in December and tax refund for 2013 exploration activity disbursed in Q4-2014
- Investments of USD 255 million in the quarter
- Cleaner debt structure at year-end consisting of RBL and DETNOR02 bond only
- Repaid RCF in full (420 USDm)
- Repaid DETNOR01 (88 USDm)
- Repaid exploration facility (162 USDm)
- Reduced drawn amount on RBL (550 USDm)
- Year-end cash consisted of about 50% USD, 50% in other currencies
FINANCIALS Funding and liquidity
Net debt of USD 2 billion
- Outstanding debt of USD 2.3 billion (bonds and bank debt) at year end 2014
- Cash and cash equivalents of ~USD 300 million at year end 2014
USD 3.0 bn RBL facility
- Drawn USD 2.65 bn at closing, reduced to USD 2.1 bn at year-end for cash management purposes
- Borrowing base availability of USD 2.7 billion at year end
- Leverage ratio covenant: Net debt / EBITDAX < 3.5x
- Interest cover ratio covenant: EBITDA / Interest expense > 3.5x
- Short and long-term liquidity tests
DETNOR02 (2013/2020) NOK 1.9 billion bond
- Adjusted equity covenant: Equity / (Total assets less goodwill) > 25% → Q4 2015 Adj. Equity ratio of 15.5%
- Work ongoing to address certain adjustments to the loan agreement
- Work ongoing to optimize long-term capital structure
FINANCIALS Financial risk management
Loss of Production Insurance
- A loss of production insurance for Alvheim in place
- Reducing the impact of an accidental Alvheim FPSO shut-down
Increased exposure to market volatility
- No commodity hedges currently established
- Some cross-currency swaps active in Q4
- Escalated foreign exchange hedging activity in 2015
- Det norske closely monitors its risk exposure and assesses risk-reducing measures
Reserves & Production Q4 2014
PRODUCTION Actual production
Net actual production (boepd)
Q4 production
- Q4 2014 production of 62.6 mboepd
- Production from MONAS not accounted for in the income statement before 15 October 2014
2014 production
- Total 2014 production was 66.6 mboepd
- Greater Alvheim accounted for ~97% in 2014
- 2014 production: 88% oil, 12% gas
- Greater Alvheim has outperformed 2014 forecasts
RESERVES Year-end 2014 certified reserves of 206 mmboe
Proven & probable reserves (P50), end 2014 Development in P50 reserves (mmboe)
* Based on Operator's proposal for working interest (11.8933%)
Development Projects Q4 2014
BØYLA
Bøyla production commenced in January
- 19 January, first oil flowed from the Bøyla field to the Alvheim FPSO – on schedule
- Hooked up with no shut-down on the Alvheim FPSO
- The first well has produced above 18 mboepd (gross) in its first month of production
- The second well will be completed in Q2
- Reserves estimated to 23 mmboe (gross)
Bøyla and the Greater Alvheim Area
ALVHEIM AREA DEVELOPMENTS Viper-Kobra and IOR projects
Viper-Kobra
- Recoverable resources of approx. 9 mmboe
- 90% oil
- Estimated average daily rate of 7 500 boed (gross)
- Development project commenced
- Subsea tie back to the existing Volund manifold via a new extension manifold
- Development costs estimated at approx. NOK 1.8 billion (gross)
Alvheim IOR Projects
- East Kameleon L4
- Production to commence in Q2 2015
- BoaKam North
- To be completed in Q3 2015
- Kneler K6
- Drilling to commence in Q3 '15, completed in 2016
Viper-Kobra and infill wells
IVAR AASEN Development on track
IVAR AASEN Drilling programme has commenced
- Drilling of the geo-pilots in Ivar Aasen has started
- First geo-pilot in line with expectations
- The well was optimized for the drilling of the pilot well, and the target of the Løvstakken prospect was not tested above the oil-water contact
- The drilling of the three pilot wells will be concluded by the summer of 2015
- After the pilot wells, the drilling of production wells will commence
- The Ivar Aasen field is planned developed with a total of 15 wells; eight production wells and seven water injection wells.
IVAR AASEN
Jacket completed on time, below budget
- In Q4, the two last sections were rolled-up
- Construction completed in January 2015
- On time and below budget
- No serious incidents
- Jacket expected to sail to Norway this spring
- Installation on Ivar Aasen during Q2 2015
IVAR AASEN Construction of topside progressing as planned
JOHAN SVERDRUP
PDO submitted on 13 February 2015
PDO and PIOs submitted on 13 February 2015
- Production start-up: Late 2019
- Resources: 1.7-3.0bn boe (80% from Phase 1)
- Capex: NOK 117bn in Phase 1, NOK 170-220bn in total
Phase 1 capex includes:
- Four bridge-linked platforms (processing platform, drilling platform, riser platform and living quarter)
- Three subsea water injection templates
- Drilling, export of oil and gas, power from shore
- Contingencies and allowances for market adjustments
- The partnership has recommended Statoil as the operator for all phases of field development and operation
JOHAN SVERDRUP
Det norske did not sign the unit agreement
- Ownership interests in Johan Sverdrup should be distributed according to a combination of volume and value
- The proposal from the operator did not reflect the underlying value in the various licenses in the Johan Sverdrup field
- Det norske could therefore not sign the proposed unitization agreement
Det norske could not sign the agreement
- The other partners have asked the Ministry of Petroleum and Energy to conclude on the unitization
- Until then, Statoil's proposal will be used as a basis, awarding Det norske with a 11.8933 per cent interest in Johan Sverdrup
Exploration
Q4 2014
EXPLORATION & APPRAISAL More resources at Krafla
- Krafla North discovery in Q4 2014 and Krafla Main appraisal in Q1 2015
- Five discoveries made in PL035/272 since 2011
- Recoverable resources in PL035/272 expected to be 140 – 220 mmboe after well results and updated evaluations in the licenses
Krafla area1 , North Sea
1 Det norske is partner with 25% in PL035/272. Statoil is operator with 50% and Svenska Exploration AS with 25%.
EXPLORATION & APPRAISAL 2015 drilling activity
| License |
Prospect |
Share |
mmboe |
Rig |
Timing |
PL 272/035 |
Krafla North & Main |
25 % |
- |
Transocean Leader |
Q4 14/Q1 15 |
| PL 001B |
Løvstakken |
35% |
- |
Maersk Interceptor |
Q1 15 |
| PL 627 |
Skirne East |
20 % |
50-171 |
Leiv Eiriksson |
Q2 15 |
Gina Krog |
East 3 |
3.3 % |
27-82 |
TBC |
TBC |
| PL 672 |
Snømus |
25 % |
14-94 |
Maersk Giant |
Q2 15 |
- Prioritising near field exploration (ILX)
- Mature existing discoveries
- Value creation from tie-back candidates
- 2015 exploration budget of USD 115 – 125 million
- Wells, seismic, G&G, area fee
2015 Drilling schedule 2015 wells in the North Sea and the Barents
Outlook
Q4 2014
OUTLOOK Investment budget of USD 950-1,000 million
Ivar Aasen
- Drilling of geo-pilots, construction of topsides and living quarters, misc. project costs
- Alvheim area
- Alvheim: Three infill wells
- Volund: LLI's for two planned infill wells
- Bøyla: Completion of third development well
- Viper-Kobra: Manufacturing new subsea manifold, preparations for 2016 drilling campaign
Johan Sverdrup
- Award of major contracts and start detailed engineering and procurement.
- Concept studies future phases
- Other
- Gina Krog, Utsira pipelines, IT, misc.
OUTLOOK Cost efficiency programme
- Cost efficiency programme initiated as a response to challenging market environment
- Costs to be reduced by USD 100+ mill for 2015
- Top management to run and own process
- To be concluded by the summer of 2015
- Continue to improve supply chain and optimize processes going forward
- Take advantage of the adverse market environment where we can
OUTLOOK Overview of 2015 guidance
|
Last guidance - as of Q3 2014 |
Current guidance |
| Financials |
|
|
| CAPEX |
N/A |
USD 950 – 1,000 million |
| EXPEX |
N/A |
USD 115 – 125 million |
Production cost per boe |
N/A |
USD 8 – 10 per boe |
|
|
|
| Operations |
|
|
| 2015 production |
58 – 63 mboepd |
58 – 63 mboepd |
| Ivar Aasen start-up |
Q4 2016 |
Q4 2016 |
| Ivar Aasen total CAPEX (gross) |
NOK 27.4 bn (nominal) |
NOK 27.4 bn (nominal) |
Johan Sverdrup start-up |
Q4 2019 |
Q4 2019 |
Johan Sverdrup Phase 1 CAPEX (gross) |
NOK 100-120 bn (2014 value) |
NOK 117 bn (2015 value) |
OUTLOOK Summary and outlook
- Financial
- Continue to optimise the capital structure of the company going forward
Development projects
- Ivar Aasen progressing according to plan
- Johan Sverdrup PDO submitted, unit agreement not concluded
- Viper Kobra development has commenced
Cost Discipline
Cost efficiency programme initiated