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Aker BP

Earnings Release Mar 17, 2015

3528_iss_2015-03-17_ac8d7362-e4d2-42c1-8d2c-d300a91f291f.pdf

Earnings Release

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Det norske oljeselskap ASA

17 March 2015, London Karl Johnny Hersvik, CEO Alexander Krane, CFO

DET NORSKE Company snapshot

  • Fully-fledged E&P company with ~500 employees with sole focus on the Norwegian Continental Shelf
  • Holds 79 licenses, whereas 35 as operator

P50 reserves at year-end 2014 of 206 mmboe

  • Including Sverdrup: approximately 500 mmboe
  • 2014 production of 66.6 mboepd
  • Major ongoing development projects
  • Ivar Aasen and Johan Sverdrup fields to secure future production growth
  • Enterprise value: USD ~3.0 billion

DET NORSKE

Investment considerations

  • Strong current production base and operational cash flow
  • Assets in portfolio have capacity to lift oil production above 100,000 boepd after 2020
  • World-class project portfolio with very low break even oil price levels
  • Significant free cash flow from 2020 onwards as Johan Sverdrup is brought on stream
  • Work ongoing to optimize long-term capital structure

Our assets

PRODUCTION AND DEVELOPMENTS Concentrated in two core areas

Utsira High Greater Alvheim area

RESERVES Year-end 2014 certified reserves of 206 mmboe

Proven & probable reserves (P50), end 2014 Development in P50 reserves (mmboe)

PRODUCTION GROWTH

Developments to secure cash flow for decades

  • 2015 production guidance of 58-63 mboepd
  • Production cost of USD 8-10/boe

Low breakeven cost development projects

  • Ivar Aasen to start production in 2016
  • Johan Sverdrup to start production in 2019
  • Several profitable projects in the Alvheim area
  • Reserve base1 could deliver after-tax operating cash flow in excess of 5 USDbn2 to Det norske in the period 2020 to 2025

2) Based on a realised price of 80 USD/boe, operating cost of 12 per barrel, cash tax rate of 60% and average production of 90 mboepd

1) Excluding upsides

ALVHEIM AREA (65%) The main production asset

BØYLA (65%) Bøyla production commenced in January

  • 19 January, first oil flowed from the Bøyla field to the Alvheim FPSO (28 km) – on schedule
  • Hooked up with no shut-down on the Alvheim FPSO
  • The first well has produced around 18,000 boepd (gross) in its first two months of production
  • The second well will be completed in Q2
  • Reserves estimated to 15 mmboe (net)
  • Peak production estimated to 13,000 boed (net)

Bøyla and Greater Alvheim area

ALVHEIM AREA DEVELOPMENTS (65%) Viper-Kobra and IOR projects

Viper-Kobra

  • Recoverable resources of approx. 9 mmboe
  • 90% is oil
  • Estimated average rate of 7 500 boepd (gross)
  • Development project commenced
  • Subsea tie back to the existing Volund manifold via a new extension manifold
  • Development costs estimated at approx. NOK 1.8 billion (gross)

Alvheim IOR Projects

  • East Kameleon L4
  • Production to commence in Q2 2015
  • BoaKam North
  • To be completed in Q3 2015
  • Kneler K6
  • Drilling to commence in Q3 '15, completed in 2016

Viper-Kobra and infill wells

IVAR AASEN (~35%*) Aasen development on track

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 Concept selection FEED studies PDO approval Unitisation Agreement Construction of jacket Construction of topside Construction of LQ Maersk Interceptor to Norway Drilling of geo-pilots Jacket lifted into place Drilling of production wells Topside to leave SMOE yard Installation of topside Installation of living quarters Hook-up and commissioning Production start-up

Overview

  • Ivar Aasen was discovered in 2008
  • Det norske is operator (34.8% working interest)
  • Partners are Statoil (41.5%), Bayergas (12.3%), Wintershall (6.5%), VNG (3.0%), Lundin (1.4%) and OMV (0.6%)
  • First oil is expected in Q4 2016
  • Ivar Aasen contains ~ 200 mmboe, including Hanz
  • 71 mmboe net to Det norske
  • PDO for Ivar Aasen was approved on May 21, 2013
  • Gross investments in Ivar Aasen, including Hanz, are estimated at NOK 27.4bn (nominal)

IVAR AASEN (~35%*) Jacket to sail to Norway in Q1/Q2

Jacket completed below budget

  • Jacket completed in January 2015, on time and below budget with no major incidents
  • Jacket will sail from Sardinia to Norway in Q1/Q2
  • Jacket to be installed in Q2 2015

IVAR AASEN (~35%*) Drilling of first geo-pilot in line with expectations

Excellent performance**

* 34.78% in PL 01B/242/457, 35% in Hanz PL 028B ** Source: Rushmore Benchmark data provided by permission of Det norske

IVAR AASEN (~35%*) Construction of topsides 50% completed

Construction on schedule

  • Stacking of intermediate deck 30 January
  • 90% 3D model review completed.
  • Stacking of weather deck expected end of March
  • Installations of major equipments

JOHAN SVERDRUP (11.8933%, preliminary WI) A game-changing development project

Recoverable reserves of 1.7-3.0 billion boe

  • ~80% to be extracted from first phase investments
  • Break-even oil price below USD 40/boe
  • CAPEX of NOK 117 billion for the first phase, and an estimated NOK 170-220 billion for all phases (2015 value)
  • Production to commence in Q4 2019
  • PDO submitted 13 February 2015, contracts are now being awarded

JOHAN SVERDRUP (11.8933%, preliminary WI) Det norske did not sign the unit agreement

  • Ownership interests in Johan Sverdrup should be distributed according to a combination of volume and value
  • The proposal from the operator did not reflect the underlying value in the various licenses in the Johan Sverdrup field
  • Det norske could therefore not sign the proposed unitization agreement

Det norske could not sign the agreement

  • The other partners have asked the Ministry of Petroleum and Energy to conclude on the unitization
  • Until then, Statoil's proposal will be used as a basis, awarding Det norske with a 11.8933 per cent interest in Johan Sverdrup

EXPLORATION Working to revamp our strategy

  • Re-assessing the current exploration inventory
  • Assessing prospectivity in all exploration areas
  • Step-up in seismic processing
  • Assessing the 23rd licensing round's value potential
  • Evaluating high-impact and value accretive targets
  • Revamping the exploration strategy and optimizing the portfolio
  • Development of potential new core areas
  • Business intelligence efforts
  • 2015 exploration expenditures of USD 115-125m

Key ongoing activities 2015 drilling schedule

License Prospect Share mmboe Rig Timing
PL
272/035
Krafla
North & Main
25 % - Transocean
Leader
Q4 14/Q1 15
PL 001B Løvstakken 35% - Maersk
Interceptor
Q1 15
PL 627 Skirne
East
20 % 50-171 Leiv
Eiriksson
Q2 15
Gina Krog East 3 3.3 % 27-82 TBC TBC
PL 672 Snømus 25 % 14-94 Maersk Giant Q2 15

Financials & funding

FINANCIALS & FUNDING Liquidity and balance sheet position

Headline figures end 2014 Debt instruments
Cash position (USDm) 296
Bank debt (USDm) 2,037
Bonds (USDm) 253
Net interest-bearing
debt
(USDm)
1,994
Cash and undrawn credit (USDm) 896
Net debt
/ EBITDAX (12m rolling)
1.0x
EBITDA / Interest expense (12m rolling) 13.0x
Equity ratio (adj.) 15.5%

USD 3.0 billion RBL facility

  • Drawn USD 2.1 billion at year-end, borrowing base availability of USD 2.7 billion at year end
  • Borrowing base only partially affected by oil price fluctuations
  • Johan Sverdrup included in borrowing base with a USD/boe multiple
  • Fiscal regime softens impact as historical tax balances are not sensitive to oil price changes

DETNOR02 (2013/2020) NOK 1.9 billion bond

Work ongoing to address certain adjustments to the loan agreement

FINANCIALS & FUNDING Optimization of long-term capital structure

  • Challenging macro environment
  • Working to increase our financial flexibility and robustness by optimizing our capital structure
  • Strong support from the bank syndicate
  • Constructive dialogue with banks and stakeholders
  • Confident that we will be able to fund our planned developments

FINANCIALS Financial risk management

  • Det norske closely monitors its risk exposure and assesses risk-reducing measures
  • Alvheim Loss of Production Insurance in place
  • Hedging program initiated
  • Collars secured for USD/NOK exposure
  • Commodity hedge program ongoing
Commodity
hedge
program
20151 2016
Put
option
price
55
USD/bbl
55
USD/bbl
Production volume
hedged
~15% ~10%
Target
hedge
volume
~30%2 ~20%

1) From March onwards

2) Corresponding to 100% hedge of after-tax cash flow, per the Norwegian fiscal regime

CAPEX GUIDANCE 2015 investment estimate: USD 950-1,000 million

Ivar Aasen

  • Drilling of geo-pilots, construction of topsides and living quarters, misc. project costs
  • Alvheim area
  • Alvheim: Three infill wells
  • Volund: LLI's for two planned infill wells
  • Bøyla: Completion of third development well
  • Viper-Kobra: Manufacturing new subsea manifold, preparations for 2016 drilling campaign

Johan Sverdrup

  • Award of major contracts and start detailed engineering and procurement.
  • Concept studies future phases
  • Other
  • Gina Krog, Utsira pipelines, IT, misc.

Outlook & priorities

OUTLOOK Cost efficiency programme

  • Cost efficiency programme initiated as a response to challenging market environment – expenditure reductions starting to be realized
  • Expenditures to be reduced by USD 100+ mill for 2015
  • Top management to run and own process
  • To be concluded by the summer of 2015
  • Continue to improve supply chain and optimize processes going forward
  • Take advantage of the adverse market environment where we can

2015 PRIORITIES Drive execution and build optionality

Drive execution

  • Deliver Ivar Aasen
  • Maximise value from the Alvheim area
  • Optimize Johan Sverdrup execution and unitisation

Build optionality

  • Continue to optimize the capital structure
  • Deliver on cost efficiency
  • Long-term reserve replacement strategy

Q & A

Appendix

FINANCIALS Statement of income

Income statement (USD mill) Q4 2014 Q4 2013 FY 2014
Revenues 346 43 464
Production costs 44 17 67
Payroll
and payroll-related expenses
(10) 1 (17)
Other
operating expenses
23 1 49
EBITDAX 289 25 365
Exploration expenses 50 93 158
EBITDA 239 (68) 208
Depreciation 104 21 160
Impairment losses 319 112 346
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) (184) (201) (299)
Net financial
items
(13) 18 (77)
Profit/loss before taxes (197) (219) (376)
Tax (+) / Tax income (-) 90 (163) (96)
Net profit/loss (287) (56) (279)
EPS (1.42) (0.40) (1.68)

FINANCIALS Statement of financial position

Assets
(USD mill)
31.12.14 31.12.13 Equity and Liabilities
(USD mill)
31.12.14 31.12.13
Goodwill 1,187 53 Equity 652 524
Other intangible
assets
940 444 Other provisions for liabilities incl.
P&A
(long)
503 155
Property, plant
and equipment
2,549 437 Deferred
tax
1,286 -
Calculated tax receivables
(long)
- 47 Bonds 253 407
Deferred tax asset - 104 Bank debt 2,037 335
Receivables and other assets 412 135 Exploration facility - 79
Calculated
tax receivables (short)
- 232 Other current liabilities incl. P&A (short) 464 233
Cash and
cash equivalents
296 281 Tax payable 189 -
Total
Assets
5,384 1,733 Total Equity and Liabilities 5,384 1,733

FINANCIALS Statement of cash flow Q4 2014

Condensed statement of cash flows Q4-2014 USDm
Pre-tax profit (197)
Taxes paid (109)
Tax refund 191
DD&A + Impairment 423
Δ W/C and other (13)
Net cash from operations 295
Investments in fixed assets (255)
Purchase/sale fixed assets (1 514)
Capitalised
exploration / Other
(26)
Net cash from investments (1 794)
Drawn on RBL 2 650
Repayment bank
debt
(1
132)
Repayment bond debt (88)
Transaction cost (67)
Net cash from financing 1 363
Beginning cash (30.09.2014) 445
Exchange rate differences (12)
End cash (31.12.2014) 296
  • One tax payment in December and tax refund for 2013 exploration activity disbursed in Q4-2014
  • Investments of USD 255 million in the quarter
  • Cleaner debt structure at year-end consisting of RBL and DETNOR02 bond only
  • Repaid RCF in full (420 USDm)
  • Repaid DETNOR01 (88 USDm)
  • Repaid exploration facility (162 USDm)
  • Reduced drawn amount on RBL (550 USDm)
  • Year-end cash consisted of about 50% USD, 50% in other currencies

OUTLOOK 2015 guidance

Financials
CAPEX USD
950-1,000 million
EXPEX USD 115-125 million
Production cost
per
boe
USD
8-10 per boe
Operations
------------ --
2015 production 58,000 –
63,000
boepd
Ivar Aasen start-up Q4 2016
Ivar Aasen total CAPEX (gross) NOK
27.4 billion (nominal)
Johan Sverdrup
start-up
Q4 2019
Johan Sverdrup Phase
1 CAPEX
(gross)
NOK 117 billion (2015 value)

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