Investor Presentation • May 28, 2015
Investor Presentation
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Results Q1 - 2015
May 28, 2015
Certain shipping, steel, Chinese and global industry information, statistics and charts contained herein have been derived from several sources. You are hereby advised that such industry data, charts and statistics have not been prepared specifically for inclusion in these materials and Golden Ocean has not undertaken any independent investigation to confirm the accuracy or completeness of such information
Highlights
In this report, the Company is defined as Knightsbridge Shipping Limited prior to the Merger on 31 March 2015, and the combined company, renamed to Golden Ocean Group Limited, following the Merger with the Former Golden Ocean.
| 2015 | 2014 | 2014 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INCOME STATEMENT | Jan-Mar | Jan-Mar | Jan-Dec | |
| (in thousands of \$) Operating revenues |
18,083 | 20,105 | 96,715 | • The result for Q1 is only related to operation of Knightsbridge |
| Operating expenses Voyage expenses Ship operating expenses Administrative expenses Vessel impairment loss Depreciation Total operating expenses |
13,414 7,050 1,152 140,962 9,818 172,396 |
1,599 3,042 1,384 - 2,647 8,672 |
33,955 18,676 5,037 - 19,561 77,229 |
Shipping Limited with the exception of the Bargain purchase gain arising on conoslidation • Impairment loss relates to five Knighstbridge vessels included in the sale and leaseback transaction |
| Net operating (loss) income | (154,313) | 11,433 | 19,486 | with SFL |
| Other income (expenses) Interest income Interest expense Other financial items Bargain purchase gain arising on consolidation Total other income (expenses) Net (loss) income from continuing operations Net loss from discontinued operations Net (loss) income |
3 (1,567) (415) 80,949 78,970 (75,343) - (75,343) |
5 (564) (114) - (673) 10,760 (42) 10,718 |
29 (2,525) (737) - (3,233) 16,253 (258) 15,995 |
• Bargain purchase gain arising on consolidation of Former Golden Ocean, since Total estimated purchase consideration was lower than the Total estimated fair value of net assets acquired |
| Basic (loss) earnings per share from continuing operations (\$) Basic loss per share from discontinued operations (\$) |
(0.88) - |
0.35 - |
0.31 - |
|
| Basic (loss) earnings per share (\$) Income on time charter basis (\$ per day per vessel) Capesize Calender days less off-hire after deduction of broker commission |
(0.88) \$3,100 |
0.35 \$25,200 |
0.30 \$14,600 |
• The earnings in the first quarter were hit by idle vessels and vessels being delivered from yard with expensive bunkers and start up costs |
| 2015 Mar 31 |
2014 Dec 31 |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| BALANCE SHEET (in thousands of \$) |
|||
| ASSETS | |||
| Short term Cash and cash equivalents Restricted cash Other current assets Long term Restricted cash Vessels, net Newbuildings Other long term assets Total assets LIABILITIES AND EQUITY |
185,345 2,448 138,079 57,007 1,668,305 302,316 130,539 2,484,039 |
42,221 - 22,058 18,923 852,665 323,340 3,533 1,262,740 |
• Cash increased with step2 of the Frontline 2012 transaction and closing of merger • Vessels increased with five deliveres in Knightsbridge in Q1 and with fair value of Former Golden Ocean vessels, net of impairment on vessels in sale leaseback transaction |
| Short term Current portion of long-term debt and obligations under capital lease Other current liabilities Long term Long-term debt and obligations under capital lease Other long term liabilities |
75,969 39,535 1,063,880 434 |
19,812 14,967 343,688 - |
• Debt increased with debt drawn on five |
| Equity | 1,304,221 | 884,273 | delivered vessels and with fair value of debt assumed from Former Golden |
| Total liabilities and equity | 2,484,039 | 1,262,740 | Ocean |
The following represents the preliminary purchase price calculation (in thousands):
| (number of shares in thousands) | |
|---|---|
| Former Golden Ocean outstanding shares | 447,314 |
| Exchange Ratio | 0.13749 |
| Shares issued to the Former Golden Ocean shareholders | 61,444 |
| Closing price per share on March 31, 2015 | \$ 5.00 |
| Value of shares issued to the Former Golden Ocean shareholders | \$ 307,220 |
| Value of vested options held by the Former Golden Ocean shareholders | 926 |
| Total estimated purchase price consideration | \$ 308,146 |
The following represents the calculation of the bargain purchase gain and the allocation of the total purchase price based on management's preliminary valuation (in thousands):
| Total estimated purchase price consideration | \$ 308,146 |
|---|---|
| Fair value of net assets acquired and liabilities assumed | 389,095 |
| Bargain purchase gain | \$ (80,949) |
| Current assets | 278,655 |
| Vessels, net | 634,647 |
| Vessels held under capital lease | 13,591 |
| Newbuildings | 12,030 |
| Investments in associated companies | 11,038 |
| Available for sale financial assets | 6,024 |
| Value of long term time charters, long term portion | 83,517 |
| Other long term assets | 9,346 |
| Current liabilities | (74,997) |
| Non-current liabilities | (584,756) |
| Fair value of net assets acquired and liabilities assumed | 389,095 |
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total vessel days | 6 380 | 13 921 | 15 760 |
| Open vessel days | 6 266 | 13 900 | 15 747 |
| Open position (%) | 98 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Average net rate on fixed days | na | na | na |
| No of vessels | 33 | 40 | 41 |
| Panamax exposure - Sailing vessels Core Fleet | |||
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
| Total vessel days | 4 381 | 7 148 | 6 903 |
| Open vessel days | 2 640 | 4 857 | 5 287 |
| Open position (%) | 60 % | 68 % | 77 % |
| Average net rate on fixed days | 15 180 | 20 806 | 22 152 |
| No of vessels | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| Supramax exposure - Core Fleet | |||
| 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
| Total vessel days | 1 436 | 3 102 | 3 589 |
| Open vessel days | 1 228 | 3 102 | 3 589 |
| Open position (%) | 86 % | 100 % | 100 % |
Average net rate on fixed days na na na No of vessels 6 9 9
* Golden Opus included with 50%
| Vessel type | Q1-15 | |
|---|---|---|
| Supramax | \$/d | 4 589 |
| Panamax | \$/d | 5 537 |
| Capesize | \$/d | 5 010 |
Herman Billung, CEO Golden Ocean Management AS
Source: RS Platou Economic Research
| Source | Capacity (GW) 2014 |
2014-2020 Capacity (GW) |
$2014 - 2020$ energy capacaty (GW) change (%) |
2014-2020 energy capcity (GW) mix by source (%) |
2014-2020 POTENTIAL energy generation (TWh) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coal | 830 | 969 | 17 | 53 | 5 3 0 3 |
| Hydro | 302 | 350 | 16 | 19 | 1272 |
| Wind | 96 | 200 | 109 | 11 | 526 |
| Natural gas | 56 | 119 | 114 | 6 | 481 |
| Solar | 27 | 100 | 277 | 5 | 140 |
| Nuclear | 20 | 58 | 192 | 3 | 419 |
| Biomass | 30 | 40 | 32 | $\overline{2}$ | 219 |
| TOTAL | 1360 | 1836 | 35 | 100 | 8 3 6 0 |
Source: Chinese State council Action Plan 2014-2020
| Assumptions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| steel | Iron ore | Domestic | Iron ore | |
| production demand | lore prod | imports | ||
| 2014 | 838 | 1215 | 290 | 933 |
| 2015 | 845 | 1225 | 270 | 955 |
| 2016 | 860 | 1238 | 250 | 988 |
| 2017 | 879 | 1261 | 230 | 1031 |
Source: RS Platou Economic Research
Source: RS Platou Economic Research
| Assumptions: | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | |||||
| Year | 13 | 14 | 15 15 | 16 | 17 |
| Deliveries (dwt) | 59 | 49 | 49 | 44 | 40 |
| Removals (dwt | 22 | 15 | 35 2 | 26 | 16 |
| % change prev yr | 6.8 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| Tonnage demand | |||||
| % chge from prev yr: | 9.5 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 4.5 |
| Fleet utilization rate base case | |||||
| Yearly average in % 84.7 | 84.1 | 82.8 83.4 85.2 | |||
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