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Golden Ocean Group

Earnings Release Aug 27, 2015

6243_rns_2015-08-27_be1defd3-4361-4d99-8840-c6d431141ec2.pdf

Earnings Release

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Results Q2 - 2015

August 27, 2015

Forward-Looking Statements

  • Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides safe harbor protections for forward-looking statements, which include statements concerning plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. Words such as "believe," "anticipate," "intends," "estimate," "forecast," "project," "plan," "potential," "may," "should," "expect," "pending" and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions. Although we believe that these assumptions were reasonable when made, because these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond our control, we cannot assure you that we will achieve or accomplish these expectations, beliefs or projections. The information set forth herein speaks only as of the date hereof, and we disclaim any intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of developments occurring after the date of this communication.
  • In addition to these important factors and matters discussed elsewhere herein, important factors that, in our view, could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements include the strength of world economies, fluctuations in currencies and interest rates, general market conditions, including fluctuations in charter hire rates and vessel values, changes in demand in the dry bulk market, changes in our operating expenses, including bunker prices, drydocking and insurance costs, the market for our vessels, availability of financing and refinancing, changes in governmental rules and regulations or actions taken by regulatory authorities, potential liability from pending or future litigation, general domestic and international political conditions, potential disruption of shipping routes due to accidents, political events or acts by terrorists, and other important factors described from time to time in the reports filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Certain shipping, steel, Chinese and global industry information, statistics and charts contained herein have been derived from several sources. You are hereby advised that such industry data, charts and statistics have not been prepared specifically for inclusion in these materials and Golden Ocean has not undertaken any independent investigation to confirm the accuracy or completeness of such information

  • Highlights

  • Recent developments
  • Financials
  • Fleet information
  • Macro Update
  • Q&A

  • The merger between Knightsbridge Shipping Limited and the Former Golden Ocean Group Limited was completed on March 31, 2015, with Knightsbridge as the acquiring company. Following the merger the Company was renamed to Golden Ocean Group Limited. Results reported for the second quarter is for the merged company.

  • In April, Golden Ocean completed several transactions in order to strengthen its cash position and balance sheet
  • The current fleet of Golden Ocean as per August 27, 2015:
Capesize Kamsarmax
/Panamax
Iceclass
Panamax
Supramax
Sailing 17* 8 10 5
Newbuilding 20** - - 3
BB/TC in + JV 7 + 1(JV) 2 - 1
Total 45 10 10 9

* Of which 1 will be delivered to Ship Finance and chartered back on TC

** Of which 4 are sold and will be delivered to new owners upon completion

Recent development

  • Fleet development:
  • The Company took delivery of 1 Supramax and 1 Capesize newbuilding during Q2 2015. Debt on the Capesize vessel has been drawn in Q3 2015.
  • The Company sold and delivered Channel Navigator in May and Channel Alliance in June 2015
  • The Company decided not to declare optional periods for Golden Sakura and the vessel was redelievered in June 2015
  • Newbuilding program:
  • The Company agreed in April 2015 to sell four Capesize newbuilding contracts, upon delivery of the completed vessels
  • The Company agreed during April 2015 to postpone delivery of several of its newbuilding contracts by 79 months in aggregate

Corporate transactions and financing

  • In April 2015, the Company received the remaining receivable of \$40.1 million from Jinhaiwan in relation to the claim held by the Former Golden Ocean. In total \$215.8 million has been received between Q2 2014 and Q2 2015, of which \$40.5 million is interest.
  • In April 2015, the Company agreed to a sale leaseback transaction with Ship Finance International Ltd (SFL) for eight Capesize vessels
  • Sold enbloc for \$272 million
  • Time charter at \$17,600 / day for 7 yrs and \$14,900 / day for last 3 yrs (including OPEX of \$7,000 / day) + profit split of 33% to SFL
  • En-bloc purchase option of \$112 million after 10 yrs, or SFL has option to extend charter for 3 yrs at \$14,900 / day
  • Seven vessels have been delivered so far in the third quarter and we expect the last vessel to be delivered during September.

Profit & Loss

2014 2015 2015 2014 2014
Apr-Jun Apr-Jun INCOME STATEMENT Jan-Jun Jan-Jun Jan-Dec
(in thousands of \$)
20,593 49,333 Operating revenues 67,416 40,698 96,715
The result for Q2 is for the
merged company
Operating expenses
Net operating income was
5,643 21,278 Voyage expenses 34,692 7,242 33,955
3,315 23,924 Ship operating expenses 30,974 6,357 18,676 reduced by \$8.1M (net) as a result
- 5,348 Charter hire expense 5,348 - - of the amortization of favourable
1,095 4,811 Administrative expenses 5,963 2,479 5,037 and unfavourable TC contracts.
- - Vessel impairment loss 140,962 - -
3,745 14,778 Depreciation 24,596 6,392 19,561 • Second quarter vessel earnings
13,798 70,139 Total operating expenses 242,535 22,470 77,229 were inline with average spot
6,795 (20,806) Net operating (loss) income (175,119) 18,228 19,486 market rates for spot vessels
Other income (expenses)
5 382 Interest income 385 10 29
(191) (11,296) Interest expense (12,863) (755) (2,525)
Interest expense includes
(141) (1,752) Other financial items (2,167) (255) (737) amortization of the difference
- (2,073) Bargain purchase gain arising on consolidation 78,876 - -
(327) (14,739) Total other income (expenses) 64,231 (1,000) (3,233) between nominal value and fair
6,468 (35,545) Net (loss)
income from continuing operations
(110,888) 17,228 16,253 value of the CB at date of merger
(186) - Net loss from discontinued operations - (228) (258)
6,282 (35,545) Net (loss) income (110,888) 17,000 15,995
Basic (loss) earnings per share from continuing
0.15 (0.21) operations (\$) (0.86) 0.46 0.31
Basic loss per share from discontinued
(0.01) - operations (\$) - (0.01) -
0.14 (0.21) Basic (loss) earnings per share (\$) (0.86) 0.45 0.30

Balance Sheet

2015
June 30
2014
June 30
2014
Dec 31
BALANCE SHEET
(in thousands of \$)
ASSETS
Short term
Cash and cash equivalents
Restricted cash
83,216
1,593
18,130
-
42,221
-
Other current assets 113,193 16,247 22,058
Long term
Restricted cash
Vessels, net
Newbuildings
Other long term assets
58,245
1,731,191
325,274
127,923
15,000
527,898
99,047
3,946
18,923
852,665
323,340
3,533

Vessels increased with deliveres of
Golden Taurus and Golden Aso in Q2
Total assets 2,440,635 680,268 1,262,740
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
Short term
Current portion of long-term debt and obligations under
capital lease
182,972 2,604 19,812
Other current liabilities 46,469 12,254 14,967
Long term
Long-term debt and obligations under capital lease
Other long term liabilities
941,970
5,785
122,396
-
343,688
-

Debt increased with debt on Golden
Taurus less debt repaid on two vessels
Equity 1,263,439 543,014 884,273 sold and ordinary debt repayments.
Total liabilities and equity 2,440,635 680,268 1,262,740 Debt on Golden Aso to be drawn in Q3

Amortization of long term TC contracts

  • Operating revenues in the three months ended June 30, 2015 have been reduced by \$9.2 million as a result of the amortization of favourable time charter (out) contracts, which were acquired as a result of the merger of Knightsbridge and The Former Golden Ocean on March 31, 2015 and were valued at \$127.1 million. Charter hire expense in the same period has been reduced by \$1.1 million as a result of the amortization of unfavourable time charter (in) contracts, which were acquired as a result of the merger and were valued at \$7.6 million. The net effect was a \$8.1 million reduction in net income in the three months ended June 30, 2015.
  • The amortization will affect the results for the remaining period of the TC contracts. Expected net amortization cost per quarter is on average:
  • ~ 8.4 million per quarter in 2015
  • ~ 6.4 million per quarter in 2016
  • ~ 5.0 million per quarter in 2017
  • ~ 4.5 million per quarter in 2018 and 2019
  • ~ 2.9 million per quarter in 2020
  • ~ 0.8 million per quarter in 2021
  • ~ 0.2 million (income) per quarter in 2022-2024
  • This has no cash effect on the company

Newbuildings: Delivery schedule

Yard 2015 (Q3-Q4) 2016 2017
Capesize 3 9 4
Supramax 0 3
Capesize (Sold) 2 2
  • Five vessels unfinanced
  • Three Supramax with delivery 2016
  • Two Capesize with delivery 2017

Open positions including newbuildings

Capesize exposure - Core Fleet *

2015 2016 2017
Total vessel days 3 917 13 988 15 793
Open vessel days 3 836 13 995 15 788
Open position (%) 98 % 100 % 100 %
Average net rate on fixed days na na na
No of vessels 30 40 42
Panamax exposure - Core Fleet
2015 2016 2017
Total vessel days 2 561 7 148 6 903
Open vessel days 1 188 4 376 5 285
Open position (%) 46 % 61 % 77 %
Average net rate on fixed days 15 872 19 331 22 152
No of vessels 20 20 19
Supramax exposure - Core Fleet
2015 2016 2017
Total vessel days 846 3 102 3 589
Open vessel days 501 3 102 3 589
Open position (%) 59 % 100 % 100 %
Average net rate on fixed days na na na
No of vessels 6 9 9

* Golden Opus included with 50%

Vessel operating expenses

Vessel type Q2-15
Supramax \$/d 4 699
Panamax \$/d 5 929
Capesize \$/d 5 395
  • These numbers include dry dock expences of \$989k, mainly related to Golden Beijing, Golden Eminence and Golden Eclipse
  • Based on 5 Supramaxes, 20 Panamax/Kamsarmax and 26 Capesize (Golden Aso only with 1 day)

Macro Update

Herman Billung, CEO Golden Ocean Management AS

Chinese Dry Bulk imports

Source: Custom data / Reuters (Clarkson Platou)

Chinese iron ore supply

Assumptions base case
steel
Iron ore
Domestic Iron ore
production demand lore prod imports
2014 838 1215 290 933
2015 838 1215 263 960
2016 854 1230 240 1000
2017 872 1251 215 1045
Assumptions downside risk scenario
steel Iron ore Domestic Iron ore
production demand lore prod imports
2014 838 1215 290 933
2015 838 1215 290 933
2016 854 1230 290 948
2017 872 1251 290 969

Chinese iron ore mining companies closing down

Australian and Brazilian mining companies competing for Chinese mkt

Production Forecast

Source: Lorentzen & Stemoco Research, Pareto Securities

Chinese iron ore imports will surpass 1bn tons this year

Incremental increase in Chinese electricity production

China's coal demand – only 6 % covered by imports

Source: CNEB (Clarkson Platou)

Bulk carriers: Existing fleet and order book per August 2015

Existing On Del. Rest Share of
Bulk carriers fleet order YTD 2015 2016 2017 $2018+$ fleet
Handysize
10-14,999 dwt 3.9 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7%
15-19,999 dwt 4.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.7%
20-29,999 dwt 29.0 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3%
30-39,999 dwt 52.8 13.0 3.8 4.3 6.3 2.3 0.2 24.6%
Total 90.5 13.6 4.0 4.8 6.4 2.3 0.2 15.1%
Handymax/Supramax
40-52,999 dwt 58.3 2.9 1.0 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.9%
53-64,999 dwt (blt > 1999) 116.1 36.9 8.4 13.2 18.0 5.3 0.5 31.8%
Total 174.3 39.7 9.4 14.9 18.9 5.5 0.5 22.8%
Total 264.8 53.4 13.4 19.7 25.3 7.8 0.7 20.2%
Panamax/Kamsarmax
65-84,999 dwt** 157.7 26.1 6.0 10.6 11.4 3.5 0.7 16.5%
Post-Panamax
85-119,999 dwt 51.2 3.6 1.1 1.4 1.5 0.5 0.2 7.0%
Capesize
120,000 dwt + 294.1 52.6 10.8 16.2 28.4 7.1 0.9 17.9%
Grand total 767.8 135.6 31.2 47.8 66.6 18.8 2.4 17.7%
No. of vessels 10,534 1,667 412.0 625 782 233 27 15.8%

Underlying fleet growth - monthly

Source: Clarkson Platou

Bulk Carrier fleet trend –

Fleet development, Capesize bulk carriers

Vale will phase out VLCC-VLOC conversions

Chinese shipyards are making little or no money

Price quotations USD 94.0 mill.
Total shipyard costs USD 90.1 mill.
Overhead $USD$ 6.5 mill.
Labour USD 21.0 mill.
Marine equipment USD 30.0 mill.
Engine USD 11.6 mill.
Steel USD 21.0 mill.

Thank you for your attention !

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