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Scatec ASA

Quarterly Report Oct 28, 2015

3737_rns_2015-10-28_b4fca1fe-42b5-4a80-a603-63260450ebd6.pdf

Quarterly Report

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Third quarter 2015

Raymond Carlsen, CEO Mikkel Tørud, CFO Oslo, October 28, 2015

Our values

Predictable Driving results Change makers Working together

Disclaimer

The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.

The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec Solar ASA or any company within the Scatec Solar Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Solar Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Solar Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.

Agenda

  • Operational review
  • Financial review
  • Outlook

Operational review

Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]

Operational highlights

Solid operational performance

  • Revenues of NOK 204 million (130)*, EBITDA of NOK 159 million (79) and net profit of NOK 8 million (7)
  • Power production lower than forecasted in South Africa due to significantly lower irradiation than expected based on historical weather data
  • The 60 MW Agua Fria plant grid connected operating asset portfolio now stands at 279 MW
  • The 53 MW Los Prados project entered backlog (344 MW) and good progress in project pipeline (1,287 MW)
  • SSO's share of cash flow to equity reached NOK 37 million (30) – continued growth in cash flow from PP and O&M

The 60 MW Agua Fria plant in Honduras

Steady growth in cash flow from PP and O&M

Project development

A solid project funnel – basis for further growth

Americas, Africa, MENA,

milestone outstanding

Americas, East and West Africa, South Africa, Egypt,

South Africa, Mali, Honduras

8 MW Hawaii project sold

426 MW

IN OPERATION / UNDER CONSTRUCTION

Preparing for execution of backlog projects

Project Capacity Target
construction start
SSO
ownership
Status
Upington,
South Africa
258 MW Q1
2017
42%* Department of Energy and Eskom target signing of
PPA and financial close in December 2015
Segou,
Mali
33 MW Q1 2016 50% Project finance and EPC preparations well
advanced.
Los Prados,
Honduras
53 MW Q4 2015 70% Project finance well advanced and certain EPC
activities to start immediately
Total 344 MW
Waihonu,
Hawaii
8 MW Q4 2015 49% Project sale closed in October. Cash consideration of
NOK 76 million –
SSO net margin of NOK 12 million.

Project pipeline is progressing well

Project Capacity Target
construction start
Status
Egypt 332 MW 2016 Final project documents expected from government before
year end 2015, project finance process well advanced. SSO
mobilizing locally to prepare for execution.
Pakistan 150 MW 2016 Securing site and tariff in process, but approval processes
takes time. Project finance available.
South Africa 430 MW 2018 Bidding deadline was moved one month to first week of
November. SSO is well prepared and ready to submit bids.
East & West
Africa
145 MW 2016 Mozambique
and Kenya is moving forward with good progress.
Americas 230 MW 2016 Awaiting certain clarifications from utilities for projects in Latin
America. 200 MW in the US for sale.
Total 1,287 MW

Financial review

Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]

Consolidated financials

Financials reflect stable operations

  • Underlying revenues increased as second quarter included NOK 20 million from UK project sales
  • Net profit impacted by non-cash currency losses on intercompany loans and withholding tax on dividend declaration from Scatec Solar's EPC company in South Africa – totalling 16 MNOK

Production increase driven by start of Agua Fria

  • The quarter on quarter increase in production volume and revenues was mainly driven by start up of the 60 MW Agua Fria plant in Honduras
  • Agua Fria revenues based on base tariff - additional incentive tariff for early completion under evaluation by utility
  • EBITDA margin over the last two quarters impacted by lower irradiation and production than forecasted based on historical weather data

Consolidated revenues & EBITDA (NOKm)

Steady increase in revenues and margin

  • The increased profitability is mainly due to performance bonus
  • Overperformance revenues/bonus profit sharing based on plant performance irrespective of irradiation

Consolidated revenues & EBITDA (NOKm)

Moderate construction progress in Jordan

  • D&C revenues and margins reflect project development and plant construction
  • Moderate construction progress in Jordan – expected to pick up in the fourth quarter
  • Construction of the Agua Fria plant completed in the quarter

Consolidated revenues & EBITDA (NOKm)

Stable long term cash flow generation

Q3'15 -
NOK million
Power
Production
O&M D&C Corporate Total Elim. Consolidated
Revenues 200.7 17.4 141.7 1.7 361.5 -157.4 204.1
EBITDA 171.2 11.4 4.2 -9.9 176.9 -17.8 159.2
Net
interest
expenses
-85.5 -85.5
Loan
repayment
-21.2 -21.2
Tax -4.6 -2.9 -0.7 2.7 -5.4
Total
cash
flow
to
equity*:
59.9 8.5 3.6 -7.2 64.8
SSO
share
of
CF
to
equity*:
31.7 8.5 3.6 -7.2 36.6
YTD'15
SSO
CF
to
equity*:
91.9 20.4 56.0 -19.2 149.3
  • Distributions of NOK 34 million from Kalkbult and the Czech power plants received in the quarter – NOK 92 million paid in the first nine months of 2015
  • Distributions of NOK 18 million from the Linde plant to be received in the fourth quarter

Financial position

A growing asset base

  • Cash position of NOK 963 million of which NOK 213 million free cash
  • All non-current interest bearing liabilities represent non-recourse project financing
  • Overdraft facility with Nordea Bank to be increased from NOK 100 million to NOK 250 million in the fourth quarter.
  • Preparations for accessing further debt at the corporate level is well progressed and continues in the fourth quarter

Non-current liabilities Current liabilities Equity Non-current assets Current assets

Outlook

Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]

Solid market outlook

  • Target to own gross 750 MW by end of 2016
  • 426 MW in operation and under construction
  • 344 MW in project backlog
  • 1,287 MW in project pipeline
  • A solid platform for increased growth going forward
  • Annual cash flow to SSO equity of NOK 155-175 million from 279 MW currently in operation (PP and O&M)
  • 15-20% gross margin from Development and Construction - remaining construction contract value in Jordan of 85 MUSD
  • Target average equity IRR of 15% nominal after tax on power plant investments.
  • Q4'15 production target of 140,000 MWh

The 75 MW Dreunberg plant in South Africa

Thank you

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Consolidated profit & loss

(NOK million) Q3 15 Q2 15 Q3
14
FY 2014
Total revenues 204.1 204.8 130.2 476.4
Gross profit 202.3 187.3 128.8 471.3
EBITDA 159.2 146.2 78.8 292.9
Depreciation, amortization and
impairment
-46.1 -38.1 -27.4 -101.9
Operating profit 113.1 108.1 51.4 191.0
Interest, other financial income
Interest, other financial expenses
Foreign exchange gain/(loss)
Net financial expenses
18.5
-100.5
-4.9
-86.9
15.8
-95.3
1.0
-78.5
8.3
-65.3
18.4
-38.5
54.8
-248.6
62.3
-131.5
Profit before income tax 26.2 29.6 12.9 59.6
Income tax (expense)/benefit
Profit/(loss) for the period
-17.8
8.4
-8.3
21.3
-5.4
7.4
-11.1
48.5
Profit/(loss) attributable to:
Equity holders of the parent 3.3 18.6 -5.4 -17.9
Non
-controlling interests
5.1 2.7 12.8 66.4
Basic and diluted EPS (NOK) 0.03 0.20 -0.08 -0.25

Consolidated cash flow statement

(NOK million) Q3 15 Q2 15 Q3 14 FY 2014
Net cash flow from operations -30.5 102.7 -258.4 -96.5
Net cash flow from investments -193.8 -1,142.8 -122.6 -909.8
Net cash flow from financing 203.4 750.7 146.7 972.0
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents -20.9 -289.4 -234.2 -34.3
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivavelents -18.6 -2.2 -19.0 58.0
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period 1,002.5 1,294.1 919.3 1,025.4
Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period 963.0 1,002.5 666.1 1,049.1

Segment results – Q3'15

(NOK million) Power
Production
Operation &
Maintenance
Development &
Construction
Corporate Eliminations Total
External
revenues
201.5 0.8 2.0 - - 204.2
Internal revenues -0.7 16.6 139.8 1.7 -157.4 -
Net income /
(loss) from associates
- - -0.1 - - -0.1
Total revenues and other
income
200.7 17.4 141.7 1.7 -157.4 204.1
Cost of sales - - -123.9 - 122.0 -1.9
Gross profit 200.7 17.4 17.8 1.7 -35.4 202.3
Operating expenses -29.5 -6.0 -13.6 -11.6 17.6 -43.1
EBITDA 171.2 11.4 4.2 -9.9 -17.8 159.2
Depreciation,
amortisation and impairment
-59.8 -0.7 -1.7 -0.1 16.3 -46.1
Operating profit (EBIT) 111.4 10.6 2.5 -10.0 -1.5 113.1

SSO's profit normally impacted by growth investments

  • Scatec Solar is investing early phase project development and construction as well as corporate functions that impacts SSO's share of net profit
  • However these investments pays off through access to attractive projects and significant cash generation
Third
quarter (NOKm)
Consolidated SSO prop. share %
Total revenues 204.1 111.0 54%
Cost of sales & opex -45.0 -40.2 98 %
EBITDA 159.2 70.3 44 %
D&A & Impairments -46.1 -17.2 37 %
EBIT 113.1 53.2 47 %
Net financials & tax -104.7 -40.3 38 %
Net profit 8.4 3.3 39 %
(NOK million) Czech
Republic
Kalkbult Linde Dreunberg ASYV Agua Fria Segment
overhead
Total
segment
SSO prop.
share
SSO shareholding 100% 39% 39% 39% 43% 40% - - -
Revenues 30.4 64.8 27.3 53.0 8.2 17.6 -0.4 200.7 97.0
OPEX -2.4 -8.7 -4.5 -8.5 -1.3 -1.5 -2.5 -29.5 -14.6
EBITDA 27.9 56.1 22.9 44.4 6.8 16.0 -2.9 171.2 82.4
Net
interest expenses
-5.3 -29.5 -14.0 -29.8 -3.5 -4.7 1.4 -85.5 -35.9
Normalised loan
repayments
-5.4 -3.5 -6.2 -4.3 -1.8 - - -21.2 -11.6
Cash flow to equity* 14.5 20.2 2.6 11.0 1.2 11.3 -1.0 59.9 31.7

* Cash flow to equity: is EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average over the calendar year) loan and interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments.

Power Production D&C, O&M,
(NOK million) Czech
Republic
Kalkbult Linde Dreunberg ASYV Agua
Fria
Red
Hills
Oryx EJRE/
GLAE
Corporate &
Eliminations*
Consolidated
Project
equity
201.1 314.6 207.3 361.9 26.9 321.8 283.2 65.6 273.2 -625.4 1,430.2
Total assets 663.4 1,408.6 820.7 1,565.0 208.6 943.2 1,394.5 241.4 347.7 -388.1 7,205.0
PP&E* 554.2 1,161.9 634.5 1,253.2 173.2 896.2 1,381.3 126.5 224.5 -1,164.4 5,241.1
Cash** 61.3 196.0 108.2 168.4 27.2 12.1 - 39.8 33.2 316.7 963.0
Gross debt 414.8 1,005.7 568.1 1,127.3 169.1 440.5 1,032.0 149.3 58.8 - 4,965.7
Net debt 353.5 809.7 459.9 958.9 141.9 428.4 1,032.0 109.5 25.6 -316.7 4,002.7
Net working
capital***
-22.5 -70.7 -50.2 -80.8 -16.3 -146.1 -66.1 54.1 43.4 368.6 13.4

* The amount of NOK 1,164 million includes capitalised development spending on projects that have not yet reached construction phase of NOK 72 million.

** Cash in project companies includes cash in proceeds accounts, debt service reserve accounts and cash available for redistribution to project company shareholders. Cash in D&C, O&M and Corporate include NOK 166 million of restricted cash related to deposits for withholding tax, guarantees, VAT and rent as well as collateralised shareholders financing.

*** Net working capital includes trade and other receivables, other current assets, trade and other payables, income tax payable, other current liabilities and intercompany receivables and payables.

Segment results – Q3'15

(NOK million) Power
Production
Operation &
Maintenance
Development &
Construction
Corporate Eliminations Total
External
revenues
201.5 0.8 2.0 - - 204.2
Internal revenues -0.7 16.6 139.8 1.7 -157.4 -
Net income /
(loss) from associates
- - -0.1 - - -0.1
Total revenues and other
income
200.7 17.4 141.7 1.7 -157.4 204.1
Cost of sales - - -123.9 - 122.0 -1.9
Gross profit 200.7 17.4 17.8 1.7 -35.4 202.3
Operating expenses -29.5 -6.0 -13.6 -11.6 17.6 -43.1
EBITDA 171.2 11.4 4.2 -9.9 -17.8 159.2
Depreciation,
amortisation and impairment
-59.8 -0.7 -1.7 -0.1 16.3 -46.1
Operating profit (EBIT) 111.4 10.6 2.5 -10.0 -1.5 113.1

Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]

D&C margins reduces consolidated PP&E

  • Margins created through D&C of power plants are eliminated in consolidated financial statement
  • Elimination booked against PP&E in consolidated financial statements

Leads to:

  • A negative effect on consolidated equity short term as corresponding non-recourse finance is included at full value
  • Improves consolidated net profit over time through reduced depreciation

Production increase after grid connection of Agua Fria

  • Power production volumes in South Africa continued to be affected by lower irradiation than expected in the quarter
  • Plant availability remained high

Power Production (MWh)

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