Earnings Release • Nov 10, 2015
Earnings Release
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Opera enables more than 350 million internet consumers worldwide to connect with the content and services that matter most to them. Opera also helps publishers monetize their content through advertising and advertisers reach the audiences that build value for their businesses, capitalizing on a global consumer audience reach that exceeds 1 billion.
| Financial metric |
3Q15 (\$m) | 3Q14 (\$m) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Total revenue | 149.4 | 138.8 |
| Profitability | Adj. EBITDA* | 27.5 | 33.9 |
*Adj EBITDA, excluding stock-based compensation expenses and one-time costs
| 3Q15 Actuals(\$m) | 3Q15 Midpoint Guidance* (\$m) |
|
|---|---|---|
| Total revenue |
149.4 | 150.5 |
| Adj. EBITDA** |
27.5 | 27.0 |
Excluding the adverse impact of changes in foreign exchange rates post our 2Q15 report, revenue would have been above \$150m in 3Q15
*Provided at 2Q15 Presentation (August 12th, 2015) **Adj EBITDA, excluding stock-based compensation expenses and one-time costs
QUARTERLY REPORT
THIRD QUARTER 2015
This presentation contains, and is i.a. based on, forward-looking statements regarding Opera Software ASA and its subsidiaries. These statements are based on various assumptions made by Opera Software ASA, which are beyond its control and which involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performances or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements may in some cases be identified by terminology such as "may", "will", "could", "should", "expect", "plan", "intend", "anticipate", "believe", "estimate", "predict", "potential" or "continue", the negative of such terms or other comparable terminology. These forward looking statements are only predictions. Actual events or results may differ materially, and a number of factors may cause our actual results to differ materially from any such statement. Such factors include i.a. general market conditions, demand for our services, the continued attractiveness of our technology, unpredictable changes in regulations affecting our markets, market acceptance of new products and services and such other factors that may be relevant from time to time. Although we believe that the expectations and assumptions reflected in the statements are reasonable, we cannot guarantee future results, levels of activity, performance or achievement.
Opera Software ASA makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to the correctness or completeness of the presentation, and neither Opera Software ASA nor any of its subsidiaries, directors or employees assumes any liability connected to the presentation and the statements made herein. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements for any reason after the date of this presentation to conform these statements to actual results or to changes in our expectations. You are advised, however, to consult any further public disclosures made by us, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange or press releases.
This presentation is not an offer or invitation to sell or issue securities for sale in the United States, and does not constitute any solicitation for any offer to purchase or subscribe any securities. Securities may not be sold in the United States unless they are registered or are exempt from registration. Opera Software ASA does not intend to register any securities in the United States or to conduct a public offering in the United States. Any public offering of securities to be made in the United States would be made by means of a prospectus that will contain detailed information about Opera Software ASA and its management, as well as financial statements. Copies of this presentation should not be distributed in or sent into any jurisdiction where such distribution may be unlawful. The information in this presentation does not constitute an offer of securities for sale in Canada, Japan or Australia.
| Financial metric | 3Q15 (\$m) | 3Q14 (\$m) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Total revenue | 149.4 | 138.8 |
| Profitability | Adj. EBITDA* | 27.5 | 33.9 |
| Cash | Operating Cash Flow | 20.1 | 18.2 |
| generation | Free Cash Flow** | 15.4 | 12.9 |
Excluding the impact of year-over-year changes in foreign exchange rates, revenue would have increased by 17% (to approximately \$163m)
**Adj EBITDA, excluding stock-based compensation expenses and one-time costs ** Operating Cash Flow less capital expenditures and capitalized R&D costs
| \$m | 3Q15 | 3Q14 | Q on Q |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 149.4 | 138.8 | 8% |
| Publisher and revenue share cost - | 58.8 | 43.9 | 34% |
| Payroll and related expenses - | 37.7 | 39.1 | -4% |
| Stock-based compensation expenses - | 0.8 | 4.5 | -81% |
| Depreciation and amortization - | 15.7 | 10.0 | 57% |
| Other operating expenses - | 25.4 | 21.9 | 16% |
| Total expenses** = | 138.4 | 119.3 | 16% |
| Adjusted EBITDA* | 27.5 | 33.9 | -19% |
| EBIT** | 11.0 | 19.5 | |
| Net Income | -17.2 | -11.7 | |
| EPS (USD) | -0,118 | -0,082 | |
| Non - IFRS Net Income |
17.4 | 19.8 | |
| Non – IFRS EPS (USD) |
0,120 | 0,139 |
*Adj EBITDA, excluding stock-based compensation expenses and one-time costs
** Excludes one-time costs
*Adj EBITDA, excluding stock-based compensation expenses and one-time costs
Revenue within guidance range
| Customer Type |
3Q15 (\$m) | Change vs 3Q14 |
Comments |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile Advertising - 3rd Party Publishers* |
96.2 | +11% | In line with expectations |
| Consumer (Owned and Operated Properties) |
37.1 | +4% | In line with expectations |
| Tech Licensing | 16.1 | Flat | In line with expectations |
*3Q15 vs. 3Q14 pro forma revenue growth of -3% (pro forma includes AdColony for 3Q14)
| Customer Type | 3Q15 (\$m) | Vs 3Q14 (\$m)* | % Growth | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instant Play Performance | 40 | +0 | +1% | Solid trend, 3Q14 very strong |
| Instant Play Brand | 13 | +5 | +63% | Strong growth |
| Non-Instant Play Performance |
11 | -8 | -39% | Weak |
| Non-Instant Play Brand | 31 | -1 | -3% | Stable |
| Total Mobile Advertising - 3rd Party Publishers |
96 | -3 | -3% | In line with expectations |
Revenue growth was driven primarily by increased AdColony Instant Play revenue from premium and performance advertisers and "appinstall" driven spend from primarily the mobile gaming sector.
Ran campaigns for many of the top revenue grossing app developers in the world
| Top 5 Brand Verticals 3Q15 |
|---|
| 1. CPG / FMCG |
| 2. Entertainment |
| 3. Technology/Consumer Electronics |
| 4. Automotive |
| 5. Healthcare |
Video Accounted for 57% of total Mobile Advertising (3rd PP) in 3Q15
Brand vs. Performance
Consumer- Owned and Operated Properties revenue in line with expectations
| Customer Type | 3Q15 (\$m) | Vs 3Q14 (\$m) | % Growth | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile Browser | 9.8 | 8.4 | +18% | Strong |
| Apps and Games* | 7.4 | 0.4 | +1813% | Strong performance from Bemobi |
| Performance and Privacy Apps |
0.7 | 0.0 | N/A | Solid ramp from SurfEasy |
| Operator Co-brand Solutions | 6.0 | 14.4 | -58% | As expected |
| Desktop Browser | 13.1 | 12.7 | +3% | Solid ex FX |
| Total Consumer (O&O) | 37.1 | 35.8 | +4% | |
| Total Consumer (O&O)** | 47.3 | 35.8 | +32% | Solid growth |
Tech Licensing revenue in line with expectations
Revenue (\$m)
THIRD QUARTER 2015
QUARTERLY REPORT
THIRD QUARTER 2015
| Metric | 4Q15 Guidance |
|---|---|
| Revenue* | \$168 - 178m |
| Adj. EBITDA** | \$29 - 33m |
* Assumes FX rates as of November 10th 2015
**Adj EBITDA, excluding stock-based compensation expenses and one-time costs
| Vs. 3Q15* | Comments (Outlook) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Mobile Advertising - 3rd Party Publishers |
Up | Strong growth from both Brand and Performance businesses |
| Consumer (Owned and Operated Properties) |
Up | Solid search and mobile advertising revenue growth. Includes a full quarter of Bemobi revenue |
|
| Tech Licensing | Down | Solid TV revenue offset by lower other Tech Licensing revenue |
|
| Expenses | Payroll | Up | Headcount growth in Advertising business and Bemobi in particular |
| Publisher and revenue share cost |
Up | Reflecting Mobile Advertising (3rd PP) revenue trend |
|
| Stock-based compensation | Flat/Up | Stable trend with cost of RSU program leveling out, partly dependent on shareprice and performance |
|
| Depreciation (excluding impairment expenses) |
Flat | Investments in cloud based server hosting infrastructure and acquisition related depreciation |
|
| Other Opex | Up | High activity quarter |
|
* Assumes FX rates as of November 10th 2015
US Brand - Active Sellers by Month
• Compounded value of globally diverse business
• Pipeline • Big titles to • Brand pipeline gaining momentum
launch • Potential upside if strength continues
• Building for growth in 2016
| Metric | Old*** 2015 Guidance |
Updated 2015 Guidance* |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | \$600-618m | \$590-600m |
| Adj. EBITDA** | \$108-118m | \$104-108m |
* Assumes FX rates as of November 10th 2015
**Adj EBITDA, excluding stock-based compensation expenses and one-time costs
***Guidance given at 2Q15 presentation August 12th 2015
*Vs guidance given at 2Q15 presentation August 12th 2015
- Browser Products - Performance & Privacy - Apps & Games
Strong October with 144M MAUs
More valuable ad formats, including video being added
Installable web apps give app-like look-and-feel to web sites
Opera for Android will be pre-installed on Parrot's Rear Seat Entertainment system for Porsche
Product Updates
▪ Max allows us to stay in touch with our users across any app or browser.
▪ Max creates a platform for rich audience analytics, targeted recommendations and contextual cross promotion of apps & services.
▪ Strong Global Relevance
During the next two years, 1.4 billion Android devices will be shipped.
Source: iSupply Statista 2014
Despite the download leadership no emerging markets appears within the top 10 countries in revenues for apps.
| Google Play App Downloads | Google Play App Revenue | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank Q1 2015 | Country | Rank Change vs. Q1 2014 |
Country | Rank Change vs. Q1 2014 |
| United States | Japan | |||
| $\overline{2}$ | Brazil | United States | ||
| 3 | India | $\blacktriangle$ 2 | South Korea | |
| 4 | Russia | $\blacktriangledown$ 1 | Germany | |
| 5 | Mexico | $\blacktriangle$ 1 | Taiwan | ▲1 |
| 6 | Turkey | $\blacktriangle$ 1 | United Kingdom | $\blacktriangledown$ 1 |
| 7 | South Korea | $\blacktriangledown 3$ | Hong Kong | ▲1 |
| 8 | Indonesia | $\blacktriangle$ 1 | France | $\blacktriangledown$ 1 |
| 9 | Thailand | $\blacktriangle$ 2 | Australia | |
| 10 | Germany | $\mathbf{v}$ | Canada | ▲1 |
| Monetization channels | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advertising | User fees / subscriptions |
3rd Partners |
Party Distribution |
|||||
| Browser and Content Apps | ||||||||
| Browsers | App Store | News / Discover |
Bemobi Apps Club |
Project 1 | Project 2 | … | ||
| Performance and Privacy Apps | ||||||||
| Opera Max | Web Pass | App Pass | Surfeasy | Project 1 | Project 2 | … |
Opera Mediaworks Revenue Growth
International Revenues have grown to 38 % in Q3'15
New publisher relationships solidified in Q3 gives Opera Mediaworks more access and reach in the most popular apps worldwide
comScore findings show OMW's creative best practices for native mobile video yields superior results.
| Lift Over Control | Outperformed comScore Mobile Norm |
vs. Aggregate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile Ad Recall | +11 points | nearly 2x higher |
|
| Ad Uniqueness | +18 points | n/a | 2x higher |
| Favorability | +12 points | 3x higher | |
| Likelihood to Recommend |
+15 points | 3x higher | |
| Purchase Intent | +11 points | more than 2x higher |
Ad format mix shift favors video and video is the key driver of revenue growth.
Non-Video Video
"AT&T AdWorks' ability to deliver household specific TV advertising based on interests and demographics to a rapidly growing base of more than 12 million households, combined with Opera Mediaworks' mobile advertising, will be a game-changer for advertisers and consumers"
Rick Welday, President, AT&T AdWorks
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