Earnings Release • Nov 12, 2015
Earnings Release
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Oslo 12 November 2015 Baard Schumann, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO
Kilenkollen, Fornebu, Greater Oslo
HIGHLIGHTS
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership in joint ventures. * Includes 95 student residences with an average value of NOK 0.7 million (dotted area)
790
YE 2016: ~80% of construction volume in Greater Oslo
Note: Projects are included when construction start is decided. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership share in joint ventures.
95% of 2015 completions sold by Q3 2015
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP)
| Balance sheet composition | ||
|---|---|---|
| Book value per share NOK 27.2 (40%) |
NOKm | |
| NOK 26.4 in Q2 2015 (40%) |
7 000 | |
| Changes since Q2 2015: |
6 000 | Non-current assets Non-current assets |
| Inventories decreased by NOK 32m |
5 000 | |
| Trade receivables decreased by NOK 56m |
4 000 | |
| Cash increased by NOK 334m |
3 000 | Current assets Current assets |
| Prepayments from customers |
2 000 | |
| account for NOK 282m of other | 1 000 | Cash |
| current non interest-bearing liabilities | 0 | Cash |
| Q3'15 vs Q2'15 | Inventory value development | |
|---|---|---|
| NOKm | ||
| Land value down NOK 57m Due to construction starts Work in progress up NOK 96m |
5 000 136 4 000 2 741 3 000 |
359 374 2 359 2 360 |
| Finished goods down NOK 71m Due to delivered units |
2 000 1 000 - |
|
Sound debt structure FINANCIAL UPDATE
| Drawn per 30 Sep (NOKm) |
Interest rate margin |
|---|---|
| 500 | 4.75% |
| 0 | 2.50% |
| 0 | 2.00% |
| 992 | 2.00% - 2.50% |
| 1 326 |
1.90% - 2.50% |
Note: Top-up loan of NOK 500m in the table differs form the summed up top up loan in the pie chart (NOK 493m). The difference is due to NOK -7m in amortized cost which is not actual debt.
Approved by bondholders
Market
Outlook and summary
| | Rising prices for second-hand homes in Oslo Up 11% last 12 months, up 4% in Q3 |
80 000 70 000 |
+6% 61 698 |
|---|---|---|---|
| | Prices for new-built homes have increased less |
60 000 50 000 |
|
| | Up 6% last 12 months, up 1% in Q3 Low reaction/sales time: 35 days in Norway / |
40 000 30 000 |
|
| 17 days in Oslo | 20 000 10 000 |
||
| 0 |
*Source: DNB Eiendom Nybygg Oslo og Akershus. Nr 3 2015
Price per square meter, NOK
Q3 2014 Q3 2015
Source: Eiendomsverdi
Selected areas: Oslo, Lørenskog, Ski ,Oppgård, Bærum, Asker
Market inventory second hand homes 31 October Sold units October
~375 units | 2-4 rooms | ~40-100 sq. m Sales start phase 1 October 2015 40 of the first 70 units sold first week
Time from acquisition to sales start: 8 months
NOK 220m acquisition in Feb. '15 Sales start Oct. '15
~160 units | 1-4 rooms | 35-111 sq. m Sales start phase 1 24 October 2015 45 of the first 80 units sold first week
Time from acquisition to sales start: 7 months
NOK 156m acquisition March '15 Sales start Oct. '15
Acquistion of site at Frysja, Oslo
Bergen
Source: Eiendomsverdi
Selected areas: Bergen
MARKET – SECOND-HAND INVENTORY
Selected areas: Stavanger, Sola, Randaberg, Sandnes
| Units | |
|---|---|
| 2000 | |
| 1750 | |
| 1500 | |
| 1250 | |
| 1000 | |
| 750 | |
| 500 | |
| 250 | |
| 0 |
Market inventory second-hand homes 31 October Sold units October
Market inventory second-hand homes 31 October
Sold units October
October
Sold units October
* Selected markets: Greater-Oslo, Tromsø, Trondheim, Bergen and Stavanger Housing types Selvaag Bolig: flats, semi-detached and terraced homes
Source: Selvaag Bolig and Eiendomsverdi
27
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 30. September 2015. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) 155 units at Tromsø (Troms county), 3) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. These have a development potential of ~4 950 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~4 300 and purchasing options for ~650
units
Kilenkollen, Fornebu, Greater Oslo
Selvaag Bolig ASA is a Norwegian residential property developer with no in-house construction arm, which controls the entire value chain from the acquisition of land to the sale of homes.
Construction costs financed
Target 100% sale at delivery
Purchase and payment of land takes place after zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the purchase is cancelled
SBO is in charge of the zoning process
Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal made by three external consultants at the time of zoning approval
The median valuation is used as purchase price
Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority of revenue before construction
10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of sale, and proof of financing for the remaining amount is required
Construction contracts with solid counterparties are made with fixed price
Project costs are secured before construction starts
| (figures in NOK million) |
Q3 2015 | Q3 2014 | 9M 2015 | 9M 2014 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues | 778.4 | 764.7 | 2 364.1 | 1 818.8 | 2 945.2 |
| Project expenses | (623.9) | (628.3) | (1 892.5) | (1 507.2) |
(2 371.8) |
| Other operating expenses | (53.1) | (41.6) | (158.3) | (135.1) | (215.5) |
| Other gains (loss) |
- | - | - | - | (3.5) |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | 9.4 | 0.5 | 19.7 | 28.0 | 32.4 |
| EBITDA | 110.9 | 95.3 | 333.0 | 204.5 | 386.9 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (6.1) | (5.1) | (17.9) | (15.5) | (21.2) |
| EBIT | 104.7 | 90.1 | 315.1 | 189.0 | 365.7 |
| Net financial expenses | (9.4) | (5.9) | (24.5) | (16.7) | (17.0) |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 95.4 | 84.3 | 290.6 | 172.3 | 348.7 |
| Income taxes | (25.9) | (23.4) | (78.8) | (46.7) | (94.2) |
| Net income | 69.5 | 60.9 | 211.8 | 125.6 | 254.5 |
| Net income for the period attributable to: | |||||
| Non-controlling interests | (1.4) | 0.1 | (1.7) | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA | 74.5 | 60.8 | 217.1 | 124.4 | 253.2 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Q3 2015 | Q3 2014 | 9M 2015 | 9M 2014 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 279.7 | 56.6 | 316.6 | 16.1 | 187.3 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | 28.7 | 23.1 | (20.8) | 30.2 | (5.7) |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | 26.0 | (56.7) | (57.1) | 143.6 | (202.7) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at start of period Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
334.4 470.2 804.6 |
23.0 754.0 777.0 |
238.7 565.9 804.6 |
189.9 587.0 777.0 |
(21.1) 587.0 565.9 |
| 2014 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 401.8 | 406.4 | 420.3 | 415.6 |
| 21.4 | 22.6 | 7.9 | 17.4 |
| 192.3 | 209.0 | 144.0 | 156.7 |
| 122.2 | 123.5 | 125.5 | 121.8 |
| 737.8 | 761.5 | 697.7 | 711.5 |
| 4 348.8 | |||
| 1 614.4 | |||
| 2 360.3 | |||
| 374.1 | |||
| 280.3 | 350.1 | 291.9 | 588.0 |
| 804.6 | 470.2 | 777.0 | 565.9 |
| 5 748.2 | 5 515.6 | 5 618.9 | 5 502.8 |
| 6 486.0 | 6 277.1 | 6 316.6 | 6 214.2 |
| 2 547.1 | 2 472.6 | 2 313.8 | 2 442.6 |
| 13.1 | 14.5 | 23.9 | 14.7 |
| 2 560.2 | 2 487.1 | 2 337.7 | 2 457.3 |
| 2 470.1 | 2 018.5 | 2 295.0 | 1 752.4 |
| 309.1 | 308.4 | 302.9 | 293.6 |
| 2 779.2 | 2 326.9 | 2 598.0 | 2 046.0 |
| 959.5 | |||
| 751.4 | |||
| 1 146.6 | 1 463.1 | 1 380.9 | 1 710.9 |
| 6 486.0 | 6 277.1 | 6 316.6 | 6 214.2 |
| Q3 2015 4 663.3 1 814.1 2 641.9 207.4 340.4 806.2 |
Q2 2015 4 695.3 1 871.2 2 546.0 278.1 748.9 714.2 |
Q3 2014 4 550.1 1 673.4 2 740.6 136.0 728.1 652.8 |
* Corresponding to a book value of NOK 27.2 per share
No of units
Construction starts, scheduled completion and expected revenue Quarterly, expected revenues (IFRS) in NOK million
| Q3 14 | Q4 14 | Q1 15 | Q2 15 | Q3 15 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of units sold | 259 | 233 | 308 | 210 | 208 |
| Number of construction starts | 203 | 280 | 284 | 199 | 204 |
| Number of units completed | 274 | 319 | 208 | 190 | 172 |
| Number of units delivered | 279 | 266 | 224 | 232 | 202 |
| Number of units under construction | 1 347 | 1 308 | 1 384 | 1 394 | 1 426 |
| Proportion of sold units under construction | 76% | 77% | 81% | 80% | 78% |
| Number of completed unsold units | 18 | 39 | 40 | 31 | 25 |
| Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) | 5 159 | 4 689 | 4 968 | 4 909 | 5 077 |
| Number of employees | 100 | 99 | 99 | 99 | 99 |
| 110.9 | (31.4) |
|---|---|
| 9.4 | |
| (53.1) | (37.0) |
| (623.6) | (1.0) |
| 778.2 | 6.6 |
| Total | Other |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 771.6 | 6.6 | 778.2 |
| Project expenses | (622.6) | (1.0) | (623.6) |
| Other operating expenses | (16.1) | (37.0) | (53.1) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies and joint ventures | 9.4 | - | 9.4 |
| Other gain (loss), net |
- | - | - |
| EBITDA | 142.2 | (31.4) | 110.9 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 819.0 | 6.6 | 825.6 |
| Project expenses | (649.4) | (1.0) | (650.4) |
| Other operating expenses | (16.1) | (37.0) | (53.1) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 153.5 | (31.4) | 122.2 |
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
Book value at time of valuation (Nov 2014)
NOKm
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