Investor Presentation • Nov 19, 2015
Investor Presentation
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This document is being furnished for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any security, future or other financial instrument or product. It is not intended to form the basis of an investment decision and has not been verified. Storm Capital Management Ltd. ("Storm") makes no recommendation or representation as to, and accepts no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein or any other information, whether written or oral, made available and any liability therefore is expressly disclaimed. Such information is presented as of the date and, if applicable, time indicated and Storm does not accept any responsibility for updating any such information.
Any simulations, projections, valuations and statistical analyses contained herein have been provided to assist the recipient in the evaluation of the matters described herein; such simulations, projections, valuations and analyses may be based on subjective assessments and assumptions and may utilise one among alternative methodologies that produce differing results; accordingly, such simulations, projections, valuations and statistical analyses are not to be viewed as facts and should not be relied upon as an accurate representation of future events. No representation or warranty is given as to any of the simulations or analyses, or as to the achievement or reasonableness of any future projections or estimates, contained in this document.
This document has been prepared by Storm Capital Management Ltd. and should not be considered impartial research under FCA Rules. The views expressed may not be supported by independent analysis. The author of this document may be remunerated as a result of transactions generated by this information.
Storm Capital Management Ltd. is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Conduct Authority. Its registered office is at 100 New Bond Street, London W1S 1SP, United Kingdom.
Total Comprehensive Income of USD -6.3m in Q3
Russia values and property shares written down
3. However, cash flows from rental properties remain good and 100% occupancy.
NAV per share at NOK 11.47
| i l l. U S D m |
Q 3 2 0 1 5 |
Q 3 2 0 1 4 |
9 M 2 0 1 5 |
9 M 2 0 1 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T l C h i I t o a o m p r e e n s v e n c o m e |
6. 3 - |
1 3. 9 - |
1 4. 0 - |
1 2. 9 - |
| S f j i t u m m a r y o m a o r e m s : |
||||
| O f N I i i t t t r o m n e s m e n p r o p e r e s v |
2. 2 |
2. 6 |
6. 9 |
8 7. |
| V l h i i t t t a e c a n g e n e s m e n p r o p e r e s u v |
-6 0 |
-9 5 |
-1 8. 3 |
-1 4. 9 |
| V l h h i l i t t a u e c a n g e s a r e s n r e a e s a e c o m p a n e s |
-1 4 |
-1 9 |
0. 1 |
3. 9 |
| O h i t t t e r o p e r a n g c o s s |
-0 4 |
-0 6 |
-1 4 |
-2 3 |
| F d d l i i d i t t n s a n q n e s m e n s u u v |
-0 3 |
-0 2 |
-0 2 |
0. 7 |
| B i t o r r o n g c o s s w |
-0 9 |
-0 8 |
-2 4 |
2. 5 |
| C i / l u r r e n c y g a n s o s s e s |
0. 4 |
-1 6 |
-1 1 |
-1 9 |
| C d i d i i t t- t t t o n r a c a n n e r e s e r v a v e s |
-0 7 |
0. 2 |
-0 7 |
-0 5 |
| T a e s x |
0. 8 |
-2 1 |
3. 2 |
-3 1 |
| \$ ( U S '0 ) 0 0 |
3 1 / 1 2 / 1 4 / / 3 1 0 3 0 7 |
( 1) 3 0 / 0 9 / 1 5 P F r o o r m a |
3 1 / 1 2 / 1 4 / / 3 1 0 3 0 7 |
( 1) 3 0 / 0 9 / 1 5 P F r o o r m a |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I t t t n v e s m e n p r o p e r y |
\$ 7 0, 3 4 3 |
\$ 5 2, 0 4 3 |
B k l a n o a n s |
\$ 4 2, 4 3 8 |
\$ 3 8, 8 4 3 |
| I h t t t n e s m e n s p r o p e r s a r e s v y |
\$ 1 4, 1 9 2 |
\$ 1 3, 1 3 6 |
O h l i b i l i i t t e r a e s |
\$ 1 6, 0 7 5 |
\$ 1 0, 5 9 2 |
| T l t t t o a n o n- c r r e n a s s e s u |
\$ 8 4, 5 6 8 |
\$ 6 2, 2 0 5 |
T l l i b i l i i t t o a a e s |
\$ 5 5 8, 1 3 |
\$ 5 4 9, 4 3 |
| ( 2) C h & l i i d i t t a s q n e s m e n s u v |
\$ 1 2, 2 2 1 |
\$ 8, 5 5 8 |
|||
| T l t t t o a c u r r e n a s s e s |
\$ 1 2, 3 1 7 |
\$ 8, 9 8 8 |
E i t q u y |
\$ 3 8, 7 8 6 |
\$ 2 4, 7 5 7 |
| T l t t o a a s s e s |
\$ 9 2 9 9 7, |
\$ 4, 1 9 3 7 |
T l i d l i b i l i i t t t o a e q a n a e s u y |
\$ 9 2 9 9 7, |
\$ 4, 1 9 3 7 |
| E i i t t q u y r a o |
4 0 % |
3 3. 4 % |
(1) Unaudited.
(2) Includes cash invested in liquid securities for cash management purposes.
As at 30 September 2015. Numbers in NOK per share.
Source: Storm Capital Management Ltd.
Source: Storm Capital Management Ltd.
(1) As per 30 September 2015. Includes investment in Storm Bond Fund and direct investments in bonds.
(2) Sector split as per 30 September 2015.
Source: Oslo Stock Exchange, Bloomberg
(1) SRE and OSEBX adjusted for dividends. As per 18 November 2015.
Economic activity (as measured by industrial production) showing decline at slower rate
Investment volumes low
Source: Cushman & Wakefield
(1) Average rental rates is a weighted average rental rate of asking rents of deals closed within the period, US\$ / m²/ annum/ triple net
Source: Cushman & Wakefield
(1) Average rental rates is a weighted average rental rate of asking rents of deals closed within the period, RUB / m²/ annum/ triple net
New construction at low levels, negative absorbtion
Vacancy during Q3 down from 19% to 18% for class A, flat at 5% for Class B
Source: Cushman & Wakefield(1) In rub/sq m/month including VAT and OPEX.
Project development: Increasing activity.
Asset management: Increased occupancy.
(1) Share price as per 18 November 2015. NAV = latest published quarterly accounts.
| G D 2 |
P G r o w 0 1 E 5 |
h ( Y- Y ) t o- 2 0 1 6 E |
U l n e m p 2 0 1 E 5 |
t o y m e n 2 0 1 6 E |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, | 2, | 6, | 8 | |||
| 6 | 0 | 1 | % | |||
| % | % | % | 5, | |||
| 3, | 2, | 7, | 7, | |||
| 0 | 8 | 7 | 7 | |||
| % | % | % | % | |||
| 3, | 3, | 6 | 2 | |||
| % | % | % | % | |||
| 5 | 5 | 7, | 7, | |||
| 4, | 2, | 5, | 5, | |||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |||
| % | % | % | % |
Total Comprehensive Income of USD -6.3m in Q3
Russia values and property shares written down
3. However, cash flows from rental properties remain good and 100% occupancy.
NAV per share at NOK 11.47
APPENDIX
(1) As per 18 November 2015. The MICEX Index is denominated in rubles, the RTS Index is denominated in dollar.
100 New Bond Street London, W1S 1SP United Kingdom
E-mail: [email protected] Tel: +44 (0)207 409 3378 Fax: +44 (0)207 491 3464
Web: www.stormcapital.co.uk
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