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Bakkafrost P/f

Earnings Release Nov 24, 2015

7331_iss_2015-11-24_f0a6f686-2532-4100-b5f3-ca174b020f6d.pdf

Earnings Release

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Q3 2015

BAKKAFROST GROUP ODD ELIASEN COO HAVSBRÚN OSLO November 24th 2015

  • This presentation includes statements regarding future results, which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Consequently, actual results may differ significantly from the results indicated or implied in these statements.
  • No representation or warranty (expressed or implied) is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Accordingly, none of the Company, or any of its principal shareholders or subsidiary undertakings or any of such person's officers or employees or advisors accept any liability whatsoever arising directly or indirectly from the use of this document.

SUMMARY OF Q3 2015

  • MARKETS AND SALES
  • SEGMENT INFORMATION
  • FAROE ISLANDS
  • – EXCELLENT CONDITIONS FOR COST EFFECTIVE FARMING
  • STRATEGY FOR GROWTH
  • OUTLOOK

Higher volumes from Farming

  • Harvested 12,982 tgw in Q3 2015 (10,881 tgw in Q3 2014)
  • Feed sales of 27,011 tonnes in Q3 2015* (29,808 tonnes in Q3 2014*)
  • Revenues of DKK 677 million in Q3 2015 (DKK 584 million in Q3 2014)
  • Operational EBIT of DKK 206 million in Q3 2015 (DKK 209 million in Q3 2014)
  • Cash flow from operations of DKK 367 million in Q3 2015 (DKK 280 million in Q3 2014)
  • Positive results, but lower margins in all segments

*) Including internal sale of 24,071 tonnes in Q3 2015 (23,587 tonnes in Q3 2014)

Positive results, but lower margins

  • Farming/VAP division decreased margin from 19.73 NOK/kg in Q3 2014 to 18.10 NOK/kg in Q3 2015
  • VAP segment delivered a margin of 2.95 NOK/kg in Q3 2015, compared with 6.77 NOK/kg in Q3 2014
  • Farming margin was 17.25 NOK/kg in Q3 2015, compared with 17.02 NOK/kg in Q3 2014. The only margin higher in Q3 2015, compared with Q3 2014
  • FOF delivered a margin of 13.0% in Q3 2015, compared with 21.5% in Q3 2014
  • Group Operational EBIT almost unchanged at DKK 206 million in Q3 2015, compared with DKK 209 million in Q3 2014
(DKK million) Q3
2015
Q3
2014
M9
2015
M9
2014
Operating revenues 677 584 2,091 1,926
Operational EBITDA 232 233 823 676
Operational EBIT 206 209 744 606
Profit for the period 168 211 492 425
Operational EBITDA margin 34.3% 39.9% 39.4% 35.1%
Operational EBIT margin 30.4% 35.7% 35.6% 31.5%
Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming) (NOK) 17.25 17.02 20.03 18.15
Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming and VAP) (NOK) 18.10 19.73 22.03 19.48
Operational EBIT/Kg (VAP) (NOK) 2.95 6.77 5.52 2.58
EBITDA margin (Fishmeal, oil and feed) 13.02% 21.46% 19.45% 18.88%
  • Revenues increased DKK 93 million or 16%. The increase is due to higher volumes in Q3 2015, than corresponding period 2014
  • Operational EBIT decreased from DKK 209 million to DKK 206 million due to lower margins in all segments
  • Decrease in fair value of biomass due to lower spot prices in DKK at the end of Q3 2015
  • No provision for onerous contracts and no income from associates
  • Financial items positive by DKK 23 million, whereof DKK 33 million positive unrealised currency gain relates to the bond loan of NOK 500 million
  • Profit after tax decreased from DKK 211 million in Q3 2014 to DKK 168 million in Q3 2015
(DKK million) Q3
2015
Q3
2014
M9
2015
M9
2014
Operating revenues 677 584 2,091 1,926
Operational EBITDA* 232 233 823 676
Operational EBIT* 206 209 744 606
Fair value adjustment on biological assets -18 60 -111 -63
Onerous contracts 0 0 0 71
Income from associates 0 0 -14 3
EBIT 188 269 620 617
Net Financial items 23 -14 -5 -32
EBT 212 255 615 585
Taxes -43 -44 -123 -160
Profit for the period 168 211 492 425
Operational EBITDA margin 34.3% 39.9% 39.4% 35.1%
Operational EBIT margin 30.4% 35.7% 35.6% 31.5%
Operational EBIT/kg (Farming and VAP) (NOK) 18.10 19.73 22.03 19.48
EBITDA margin (fishmeal, oil and feed) 13.0% 21.5% 19.4% 18.9%

* Operational EBITDA and EBIT adjusted for non-operational related items such as fair value adjustment of biomass, onerous contracts, income/loss from associates etc.

BALANCE SHEET

  • Investments in PPE of DKK ~ 204 million in Q3 2015. The final part of the Hans á Bakka investment was in Q3 2015
  • Financial assets are unchanged in Q3 2015, compared to end Q2 2015
  • The carrying amount of biological assets has decreased, compared to end 2014
  • Increase in inventory due to intake and prices of raw material in FOF
  • Increase in equity because of positive results in the period
  • NIBD at DKK 182 million down from DKK 233 million at end 2014*
  • Equity ratio 63% (Covenants 40%)
  • * Incl. unrealised exchange gain, losses and deposits on financial derivatives related to the debt
(DKK million) End M9
2015
End M9
2014
End
2014
Intangible assets 295 295 295
Property, plant and equipment 1,346 973 1,041
Financial assets 113 132 125
Long-term receivables 0 14 1
Biological assets 947 960 1,014
Inventory 297 286 267
Receivables 128 184 172
Other receivables 194 114 142
Cash and cash equivalents 250 368 405
Total Assets 3,570 3,327 3,463
Equity 2,260 1,892 2,064
Deferred tax and other taxes 530 451 414
Long-term interest bearing debt 389 583 505
Financial derivatives 127 54 117
Short-term interest bearing debt 0 100 100
Accounts and other payables 263 245 263
Total Equity and Liabilities 3,570 3,327 3,463

SUMMARY OF Q3 2015

MARKETS AND SALES

  • SEGMENT INFORMATION
  • FAROE ISLANDS
  • – EXCELLENT CONDITIONS FOR COST EFFECTIVE FARMING
  • STRATEGY FOR GROWTH
  • OUTLOOK

Good market diversification

  • Access to all markets
  • Flexible and efficient market adaptation
  • Strong market position in US, Asia and Eastern Europe
  • EU stable market share 34% in Q3 2015, compared with 35% in Q3 2014
  • VAP/contract share 29% in Q3 2015, compared with 39% last year
Total sales of salmon
by markets
Q3
2015
Q3
2014
M9
2015
M9
2014
EU 34% 35% 34% 46%
USA 19% 21% 18% 22%
Asia 17% 20% 14% 22%
Eastern Europe 30% 24% 34% 10%
Fresh salmon only
by markets
Q3
2015
Q3
2014
M9
2015
M9
2014
EU 9% 9% 8% 11%
USA 25% 29% 25% 36%
Asia 24% 29% 20% 37%
Eastern Europe 42% 33% 47% 16%
  • SUMMARY OF Q3 2015
  • MARKETS AND SALES

SEGMENT INFORMATION

  • FAROE ISLANDS
  • – EXCELLENT CONDITIONS FOR COST EFFECTIVE FARMING
  • STRATEGY FOR GROWTH
  • OUTLOOK

Fishmeal, -oil and feed plant Havsbrún, Fuglafjørður

SEGMENT FARMING – OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE

Revenues and margin

  • Revenues increased 28%, and volumes increased 19%, compared to Q3 2014
  • The operational EBIT increased 10% from DKK 167 million in Q3 2014 to DKK 183 million in Q3 2015
  • 70% volume in the quarter from A71 Funningsfjørður
  • higher share of downgraded fish originating from technical issues with lights in bad weather conditions last winter
  • caused higher costs, reduced volumes and reduced prices
(DKK million) Q3
2015
Q3
2014
M9
2015
M9
2014
Operating revenues 558 435 1,639 1,469
Operational EBIT 183 167 626 513
Operational EBIT margin 33% 38% 38% 35%

Farming site A71 Funningsfjørður

Lower combined margin from VAP and Farming

  • VAP operational EBIT was 2.95 NOK/kg and Farming operational EBIT was 17.25 NOK/kg in Q3 2015
  • Combined VAP/Farming operational EBIT was 18.10 NOK/kg in Q3 2015, compared with 19.73 NOK/kg in Q3 2014
  • Bakkafrost's strategy is to sell 40-50% of our products as VAP products
  • Losses during periods with high increase in spot prices and gains during periods with drop in spot prices is quite normal.
  • Long-term strategy, optimizing markets
  • stabilizes cash flow benefitting in periods with spot prices under pressure

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 VAP EBIT FARMING EBIT

Margin - EBIT per kg total harvested quantity [NOK/kg]

Fishmeal, Oil and Feed Reduced volumes y/y

  • EBITDA DKK 42 million in Q3 2015, compared with DKK 62 million in Q3 2014
  • EBITDA margin of 13.0% in Q3 2015, compared with 21.5% in Q3 2014
  • Raw material intake for fishmeal and oil in Q3 2015 was 10,417 tonnes, compared with 19,782 tonnes in Q3 2014
  • Quantity of Feed was 27,011 tonnes in Q3 2015, compared with 29,808 tonnes in Q3 2014, corresponding to a decrease of 9%
  • Internal feed sales increased
  • External feed sales decreased
(DKK million) Q3 2015 Q3 2014 M9 2015 M9 2014
Operating revenues 320 287 809 746
EBITDA 42 62 157 141
EBITDA margin 13.0% 21.5% 19.4% 18.9%
Feed sold (tonnes)* 27,011 29,808 59,068 62,591
Fishmeal sold external (tonnes) 4,701 1,201 19,952 15,884
Fish Oil sold external (tonnes) 6 35 11 3,364

Sourcing of raw material (tonnes)

*Including sales to Bakkafrost, corresponding to ~89% of feed volumes in Q3 2015 (Q3 2014: 79%)

MARKET CONDITIONS FEED

Timing of raw material purchase affects profit

  • Raw material intake YTD 2015 similar to YTD 2014 at 171 thousands tonnes
  • Prices on fishmeal and fish oil have decreased during 2015
  • Lower margins in Q3 2015 caused by higher costs on inventory of fishmeal and fish oil from 2015
  • Price of salmon feed is based on actual and expected raw material prices at the beginning of the quarter
  • Havsbrún's high quality salmon feed is based on high contents of marine raw material

Volumes of raw material purchase and feed sale [tonnes]

Fishmeal and fish oil price index (Q1 2014 =100)

  • SUMMARY OF Q3 2015
  • MARKETS AND SALES
  • SEGMENT INFORMATION
  • FAROE ISLANDS

– EXCELLENT CONDITIONS FOR COST EFFECTIVE FARMING

  • STRATEGY FOR GROWTH
  • OUTLOOK

FAROE ISLANDS

  • 18 islands – 1,387 km2
  • 48,788 inhabitants (April 2015)
  • Home rule – within the Kingdom of Denmark
  • Part of the Danish monetary union, Danish krone (DKK)
  • Key sectors (% of wage earners, 2014)
  • Service/public admin.: ~40%
  • Private service: ~31%
  • Construction: ~12%
  • Fishing : ~17%
  • Unemployment rate (March 2015): 3.1%
  • Total working force (number of people 2014): 28,707
  • GDP: DKK 14.7bn (2013)
  • GDP/capita: DKK 305,000 (2013) (Norway: 360,000) (2013)

Total export of fish products (2013)

  • DKK 6,171 million
  • whereof farmed fish accounts for 48%

TAXES

  • Total Percent of GDP: 42.4% (2013)
  • Corporate Tax: 18%
  • Farming Licence Tax : 4.5% plus 0.5% of revenues
  • Restriction on a single foreign ownership of 20% in farming companies
  • One company may max. control 50% of licences in the Faroe Islands

Source: Hagstova Føroya

FAROE ISLANDS – EXCELLENT CONDITIONS FOR COST EFFECTIVE FARMING

best performance on high SGR and low FCR

Natural growth area for wild salmon

GEOGRAPHY
Faroese fjords provide separation between locations
ºC
16

Improves biological control and area management
14
12
WATER
Stable seawater temperatures throughout the year
between 6-12 degrees Celsius
10
8

Excellent water quality and circulation conditions
6
LOCATION
Efficient distribution to European, US and Far Eastern
markets
4
BIOMASS
Biological sustainability setting the biomass target per
license
FEED
Sustainable feed, based on local marine raw
materials. High on Omega-3, proved track record with

CRISIS AND POSSIBILITIES

Harvest 1,000 tonnes

  • Crisis and restructure in
  • Consolidation of industry from 67 to 27 companies
  • Bakkafrost new strategy
  • Crisis and restructure in
  • Consolidation of industry, from 27 to 4 companies
  • Vision and strategy update

BAKKAFROST – MOST VERTICAL INTEGRATED SALMON FARMING COMPANY

One of the most vertical integrated salmon farming companies in the world

  • Full traceability to the benefit of our customers
  • 45 years of experience
  • Focus on cost centres
  • Vertical integration reduces operational and financial risk
  • A market focused company with own sale and marketing department

A GOOD REGULATORY FARMING ENVIRONMENT

During the period 2001-2004 the Faroe Islands were severely struck by ISA outbreaks

New legislation and regulation was introduced in 2003 known as "The Faroese Veterinary Model":

  • One generation based farming model
  • Fallowing periods between each generation
  • Immunisation and vaccination programs
  • Restricting movement of equipment and fish
  • Density limits introduced
  • Brood stock facilities allowed on land only
  • Fish for harvest not allowed in open waiting cages at harvest station
  • Minimum distances between farms and hatcheries
  • Rules to fight and control sea-lice introduced

The Model has resulted in one of the most predictable fish production environments in the world with good KPI for salmon farming, such as FCR, Mortality and Growth rate

Key Performing Indicators developed positively post New Veterinary System

The mortality rate with the Faroese Veterinary Model has been between 5 and 10% compared to 20 to 25% before – despite the annual production has never been higher than now

FCR in Faroe Islands positive development since new Veterinary system in 2013

  • Steady development
  • Lowest in the industry
  • Feed costs largest share of costs in farming operations

Harvest yield in Faroe Islands positive development since new Veterinary system in 2013

  • Steady development
  • Highest in the industry
  • Positive impact:
  • lowering cost (more efficient)
  • higher volume
  • increasing revenues

Harvest yield per smolt released (kg wfe per smolt)

DEVELOPMENT OF KPI 2003G – 2013G

Average size on harvested fish in Faroe Islands positive development since new Veterinary system in 2013

  • Steady development
  • Highest in the industry
  • Positive impact:
  • higher price
  • higher volume
  • increasing revenues

Average size on harvested fish (kg wfe)

DEVELOPMENT OF KPI 2003G – 2013G

Mortality rate in Faroe Islands positive development since new Veterinary system in 2013

  • Steady development
  • Lowest in the industry
  • Positive impact:
  • effeciency
  • lower costs
  • result of good biology

Mortality rate (%)

Source: Kontali

  • Local raw materials, high on marine ingredients
  • Own recepie, different taste
  • Focus on fish welfare
  • Low mortality rate
  • High yield per smolt
  • Large fish high harvest weight
  • Low FCR

=> Low costs

  • Good product story
  • High fillet yield
  • High in Omega 3

=> High product value

DEVELOPMENT PER QUARTER Q1 2012 – Q3 2015

(mDKK) Q3
2015
Q2
2015
Q1
2015
Q4
2014
Q3
2014
Q2
2014
Q1
2014
Q4
2013
Q3
2013
Q2
2013
Q1
2013
Q4
2012
Q3
2012
Q2
2012
Q1
2012
Revenue 677 800 613 757 584 711 631 667 741 610 473 582 457 416 400
Op. EBIT 206 303 235 227 209 212 186 124 187 169 105 99 86 78 60
Profit/Loss 168 191 132 222 211 126 87 138 200 184 67 148 26 91 16
Harvest (tgw) 12,982 14,182 9,726 12,651 10,881 11,212 9,269 11,097 11,335 10,540 8,296 13,044 9,730 10,219 11,348
Op. EBIT Farming &
VAP (NOK/kg)
18.10 22.62 26.12 19.48 19.73 17.66 21.37 12.44 15.76 15.29 12.16 7.25 8.00 7.78 5.42
Equity ratio 63% 61% 61% 60% 57% 53% 57% 54% 52% 49% 48% 49% 47% 47% 43%
NIBD 182 302 227 233 357 555 503 641 728 786 775 807 770 733 764

Turnover for the Bakkafrost Group has increased from 820 mDKK in 2010 to 2.7 bDKK in 2014.

Operational EBIT for the Bakkafrost Group has increased from 247 mDKK in 2010 to 834 mDKK in 2014.

The margin in Farming was NOK 17.65 per kg in 2014 – the highest ever.

The margin in VAP was NOK 3.69 per kg in 2014 – at the same time as Farming margin was record high.

Margin EBIT/kg last 15 years (NOK/kg) Margin EBIT/kg last 5 years (NOK/kg) Margin EBIT/kg 2014E (NOK/kg)

During the last 15 years, 2000 - 2014 Norway had the highest margin of the farming countries with 6.3 NOK/kg in average, while BAKKA had 5.7 NOK/kg.

The last five years - 2010-2014 BAKKA had a strong average margin of 13.00 NOK/kg.

In 2014, BAKKA had a farming margin of 17.7 NOK/kg.

Higher value from:

  • a good regulatory farming environment
  • the new structure of the industry in the Faroe Islands
  • company specific strategy

Source: Kontali

  • SUMMARY OF Q3 2015
  • MARKETS AND SALES
  • SEGMENT INFORMATION
  • FAROE ISLANDS
  • – EXCELLENT CONDITIONS FOR COST EFFECTIVE FARMING
  • STRATEGY FOR GROWTH
  • OUTLOOK

INVESTMENTS – PROGRAMME 2014 - 2017

The investments will be made step by step in the relevant parts in the value chain to secure:

  • Efficiency
  • Biological risk
  • Organic growth

INVESTMENTS – PROGRAMME 2015 - 2017

Status on main investments

  • Harvest/VAP factory
  • Construction of buildings in progress - expected finalized in Jan-2016
  • Installation of machinery started, testing in March-2016
  • Operation to start up in Q2 2016

Total investment programme 2015 – 2017 1,120 million DKK

  • New 8,000m3 Hatchery at Viðareiði Construction in progress
  • To start operation in Q2 2016

  • Live fish carrier Hans á Bakka

  • Testing
    • Focus on non-chemical treatments
  • Operation started
  • Main activity to supply new Harvest facility from 2016

Drawing of Bakkafrost's new Hatchery in Viðareiði. New Hatchery on top and existing facilities below

BUILDING NEW HARVEST & VAP FACTORY

New Harvest & VAP factory in Glyvrar

Merging 7 factories into one facility

  • Improve efficiency and create synergies
  • Double capacity
  • Significant reduction of internal transportation between own factories
  • New products
  • Reduce risk in farming
  • Start-up in Q2 2016

Building new Harvest & VAP factory to be completed in Q2 2016

BUILDING NEW HATCHERIES

New Hatchery in Viðareiði (S-21)

Significant capacity expansion in progress

  • Recycling of 99% of water
  • saving water and heating
  • The goal is to increase average size of smolts from 100g to 300g in 2018
  • Reduce risk in farming
  • Reduce total time of production cycle at sea
  • Viðareiði facility to start-up in Q2 2016
  • New hatchery project to start-up in Q4 2015 to be finalized in Q2 2017

Building new 8,000m3 Hatchery in Viðareiði to be finalized in summer 2016

Actual growth period with larger smolt

  • Reduced risk
  • Up to 6 months reduced growth period will reduce risk significantly
  • Reduced mortality
  • Fewer treatments and lower treatment costs
  • Organic growth
  • Shorter production cycle in farms will increase production
  • Around 30% theoretical growth potential with size increase from 100g to 500g

Results with large smolt in the Faroe Islands

The graph shows actual growth period until harvest at 6 kg wfe in Faroe Islands in the period 2005-2014

  • SUMMARY OF Q3 2015
  • MARKETS AND SALES
  • SEGMENT INFORMATION
  • FAROE ISLANDS
  • – EXCELLENT CONDITIONS FOR COST EFFECTIVE FARMING
  • STRATEGY FOR GROWTH
  • OUTLOOK

OUTLOOK

Market

  • 0% global supply growth in 2016
  • Forward prices increased to around NOK 44 per kg next 12 months

Farming

  • 2015 estimated harvest volumes unchanged at 49,000 - 51,000 tonnes HOG
  • 2016 estimated harvest volumes at 48,000 tonnes
  • Expected smolt release
  • in 2015 total 10.4 million pieces
  • in 2016 total 10.5 million pieces

VAP

Contracted 78% of available capacity for 2015

Fishmeal, oil and feed

  • Forecast for feed sales
  • 79,000 tonnes in 2015
  • 80,000 tonnes in 2016

Tax proposal to be voted in near future

  • Government prose to increase tax on companies holding farming licenses:
  • Reduction on tax on taxable income from 22.5% to 18%
  • Increase revenue tax from 0.5% to 5.0% based on NASDAQ monthly reference price
  • Only partly effect on the Bakkafrost Group's payable tax

LARGEST SHAREHOLDERS

20 largest shareholders
No of
shares
Account name type Citizenship
4.594.437 9,4% Jacobsen Oddvør FRO
4.491.217 9,2% Jacobsen Johan Regin FRO
1.856.508 3,8% SPAR
NORD
BANK A/S
S/A
CLIENT
ACCOUNT
NOM DNK
1.508.860 3,1% DANSKE
BANK 3993 NORDIC
SETTLEME
NOM DNK
1.413.833 2,9% Skandinaviska
Enskil A/C
CLIENTS
ACCOUNTNOM
SWE
1.216.483 2,5% JP Morgan Bank Luxem JPML SA
RE CLT
ASSET
NOM
LUX
1.052.168 2,2% VERDIPAPIRFONDET
DNB
NOR
926.904 1,9% SWEDBANK
ROBUR
SMABO
NORDEN
SWE
850.988 1,7% J.P. Morgan Chase
Ba A/C
US
RESIDENT
NONNOM USA
789.277 1,6% STATE
STREET
BANK AN A/C
CLIENT
OMNIBUS
NOM
F
USA
754.214 1,5% Morgan Stanley
& Co.
MS
& CO
INTL PLC
MSI
NOM
GBR
680.931 1,4% STATE
STREET
BANK AN A/C
EXEMPT LUX REGI
NOM USA
654.089 1,3% The Bank of
New York BNY MELLON
NOM USA
599.783 1,2% J.P. Morgan Chase
Ba EUROPEAN
RESIDENT
OMOM GBR
574.217 1,2% UBS
(LUXEMBOURG)
S.A
UBS(LUXEMBOURG)
NOM S.A-
LUX
572.653 1,2% STATE
STREET
BANK & A/C
CLIENT
FUND NUMB NOM USA
569.112 1,2% SEB
Private Bank S.A
NOM LUX
536.903 1,1% FOLKETRYGDFONDET NOR
470.256 1,0% SKANDINAVISKA
ENSKIL
A/C
CLIENTS
ACCOUNT
NOM
DNK
466.490 1,0% VERDIPAPIRFONDET
ALF
NOR
24.579.323 51.44
48.858.065 100 Total number of shares as per October 28th 2015
302.352 0,7 Wherof own shares
48.555.713 99,3 Total number of outstanding shares

Origin of shareholders, 5 largest countries

No of shares %
Origin
No of shareholders
12.822.363 26,2%
Faroe Isl
946
10.851.527 22,2%
UK
97
9.022.995 18,5%
Norway
2.267
6.422.450 13,1%
USA
79
1.508.877 3,1%
Belgium
38

Total number of shareholders: 3,587 - from 22 different countries

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