Earnings Release • Feb 10, 2016
Earnings Release
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4Q 2015
| Financial metric | 4Q15 (\$m) | 4Q14 (\$m) | 4Q15 Guidance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | 193.5 | 154.4 | 168-178 |
| Adj. EBITDA* | 32.8 | 34.4 | 29-33 |
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| Financial metric | 2015 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | 615.9 | 480.8 |
| Adj. EBITDA* | 108.0 | 118.0 |
New leadership
Continued high end user growth
New services launched
Connected TV business strong
O&O focus
Focus on ARPU through advertising
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• Tech Licensing
• Executive Summary
• Advertising
• Browser
• Closing
This presentation contains, and is i.a. based on, forward-looking statements regarding Opera Software ASA and its subsidiaries. These statements are based on various assumptions made by Opera Software ASA, which are beyond its control and which involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performances or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements may in some cases be identified by terminology such as "may", "will", "could", "should", "expect", "plan", "intend", "anticipate", "believe", "estimate", "predict", "potential" or "continue", the negative of such terms or other comparable terminology. These forward looking statements are only predictions. Actual events or results may differ materially, and a number of factors may cause our actual results to differ materially from any such statement. Such factors include i.a. general market conditions, demand for our services, the continued attractiveness of our technology, unpredictable changes in regulations affecting our markets, market acceptance of new products and services and such other factors that may be relevant from time to time. Although we believe that the expectations and assumptions reflected in the statements are reasonable, we cannot guarantee future results, levels of activity, performance or achievement.
Opera Software ASA makes no representation or warranty (express or implied) as to the correctness or completeness of the presentation, and neither Opera Software ASA nor any of its subsidiaries, directors or employees assumes any liability connected to the presentation and the statements made herein. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements for any reason after the date of this presentation to conform these statements to actual results or to changes in our expectations. You are advised, however, to consult any further public disclosures made by us, such as filings made with the Oslo Stock Exchange or press releases.
This presentation is not an offer or invitation to sell or issue securities for sale in the United States, and does not constitute any solicitation for any offer to purchase or subscribe any securities. Securities may not be sold in the United States unless they are registered or are exempt from registration. Opera Software ASA does not intend to register any securities in the United States or to conduct a public offering in the United States. Any public offering of securities to be made in the United States would be made by means of a prospectus that will contain detailed information about Opera Software ASA and its management, as well as financial statements. Copies of this presentation should not be distributed in or sent into any jurisdiction where such distribution may be unlawful. The information in this presentation does not constitute an offer of securities for sale in Canada, Japan or Australia.
| Financial metric | 4Q15 (\$m) | 4Q14 (\$m) | 4Q15 Guidance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | 193.5 | 154.4 | 168-178 |
| Adj. EBITDA* | 32.8 | 34.4 | 29-33 |
| OCF | 21.4 | 20.3 |
| \$m | 4Q15 | 4Q14 | Q on Q |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 193.5 | 154.4 | 25% |
| Publisher and revenue share cost - | 90.9 | 54.4 | 67% |
| Payroll and related expenses - | 41.6 | 39.8 | 5% |
| Stock-based compensation expenses - | 3.0 | 3.7 | -19% |
| Depreciation and amortization - | 15.4 | 11.3*** | 36% |
| Other operating expenses - | 28.2 | 25.8 | 9% |
| Total expenses** = | 179.1 | 135.0 | 33% |
| Adjusted EBITDA* | 32.8 | 34.4 | -5% |
| EBIT** | 14.5 | -11.6 | |
| Net Income | -6.6 | -58.3 | |
| EPS (USD) | -0.045 | -0.407 | |
| Non - IFRS Net Income |
11.2 | 25.7 | |
| Non – IFRS EPS (USD) |
0.075 | 0.180 |
*Adj EBITDA, excluding stock-based compensation expenses and one-time costs
** Excludes one-time costs
***Excludes Skyfire imparment cost of \$31 million in 4Q14
*Adj EBITDA, excluding stock-based compensation expenses and one-time costs
| Customer Type | 4Q15 (\$m) | Change vs 4Q14 | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile Advertising - 3rd Party Publishers |
145.4 | +41% | Above expectations |
| Consumer (Owned and Operated Properties) |
36.6 | +24% | Broadly in line with expectations |
| Tech Licensing | 11.5 | -47% | Broadly in line with expectations |
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Brand Performance
| Customer Type | 4Q15 (\$m) | 4Q14 (\$m) | % Growth | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instant Play Performance | 59 | 35 | +68% | Very strong growth |
| Instant Play Brand | 28 | 13 | +125% | Strong growth |
| Non-Instant Play Performance | 14 | 10 | +36% | Solid |
| Non-Instant Play Brand | 44 | 45 | -2% | Stable |
| Total Mobile Advertising - 3rd Party Publishers |
145 | 103 | +41% | Above expectations |
| Customer Type | 4Q15 (\$m) |
Vs 4Q14 (\$m) |
% Growth | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobile Browser | 8.7 | 6.3 | +40% | Strong search and speed-dial growth |
| Apps and Games* | 8.6 | 0.5 | +1510% | Strong performance from Bemobi |
| Performance and Privacy Apps |
0.9 | 0.0 | N/A | Solid ramp from SurfEasy |
| Operator Co-brand Solutions | 4.4 | 10.4 | -59% | As expected |
| Desktop Browser | 14.0 | 12.4 | +13% | Strong ex FX, driven by search |
| Total Consumer (O&O) | 36.6 | 29.6 | +24% | Solid growth |
| Total Consumer (O&O)** | 41.0 | 29.6 | +38% | Strong growth |
• Other Tech Licensing volatile and unpredictable
• Connected TV revenue stable and predictable
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| Cost line | 4Q15 vs. 4Q14** |
Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Payroll | 5% | Higher headcount, partly offset by FX tailwind |
| Publisher and revenue share cost |
67% | Driven by growth in Mobile Advertising - 3rd Party Publishers and \$4.0 million related to Revenue Share Cost from Consumers (Owned and Operated Properties). |
| Other OPEX | 9% | Marketing and hosting expenses key drivers |
| Depreciation & Amortization |
36% | Higher investments in Opera Mini server infrastructure and depreciation on intangible assets related to acquisitions. |
| Stock-based compensation expenses |
-19% | Lower performance assumptions for RSU's |
| Total Expenses* | 33% |
• FY 2015 Guidance
• FY 2016 Outlook
| Vs. 4Q15* | Comments (Outlook) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Mobile Advertising - 3rd Party Publishers |
Down | Strong Instant Play Performance revenue, seasonally weakest quarter for Brand Advertisers. |
| Consumer (Owned and Operated Properties) |
Flat | Mobile O&O Up, offset by desktop seasonality and FX headwinds |
|
| Tech Licensing | Flat/Down | Solid TV revenue offset by lower other Tech Licensing revenue |
|
| Expenses | Payroll | Up | Headcount growth in Advertising business in particular |
| Publisher and revenue share cost | Down | Reflecting Mobile Advertising (3rd PP) revenue trend |
|
| Stock-based compensation | Up | Impacted by new RSU grants, partly dependent on shareprice and performance |
|
| Depreciation | Flat | Investments in cloud based server hosting infrastructure offset by decline in acquisition related depreciation |
|
| Other Opex | Flat | Stable |
| Metric | 1Q16 Guidance |
|---|---|
| Revenue* | \$152 - 160m |
| Adj. EBITDA** | \$14 - 18m |
| Vs. 2015* | Comments (Outlook) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Mobile Advertising - 3rd Party Publishers |
Up | Strong growth from both Brand and Performance businesses, particularly from Instant Play Video |
| Consumer (Owned and Operated Properties) |
Up | Growth from Mobile O&O, Apps & Games, Performance & Privacy Apps and Desktop, partly offset by FX headwinds and declining co-Brand Revenue |
|
| Tech Licensing | Down | Solid TV revenue offset by lower other Tech Licensing revenue |
|
| Expenses | Payroll | Up | Headcount growth in Advertising business in particular |
| Publisher and revenue share cost | Up | Reflecting Mobile Advertising (3rd PP) revenue trend |
|
| Stock-based compensation | Up | Impacted by new RSU grants, partly dependent on share price and performance |
|
| Depreciation | Flat/Down | Investments in cloud based server hosting infrastructure offset by decline in acquisition related depreciation |
|
| Other Opex | Up | Hosting and marketing biggest drivers |
| Metric | Growth vs. 2015 |
|---|---|
| Mobile Advertising | 17-27% |
| Consumer | 23-26% |
| Tech Licensing | (33-40)% |
| Metric | 2016 Outlook |
| Revenue* | \$690 - 740m |
| Adj. EBITDA** | \$100 - 125m |
* Assumes FX rates as of February 9th 2016 **Adj EBITDA, excluding stock-based compensation expenses and one-time costs
Ahead of Twitter (MoPub), AOL (Millennial), InMobi & Facebook (LiveRail)
Source: MixRank, Q4 2015, U.S.
New publisher relationships in Q4 & growth of existing publisher relationships gave more access and reach in the most popular apps worldwide.
Creating meaningful value for the mobile publisher ecosystem
Publishers w/ \$1MM+ Earnings Run Rate
YOY Share of OMW Revenue, Video vs. Non-Video (Actuals)
31
Partnership in Turkey between Major TV Show & Leading CPG Men's Grooming Brand
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Also saw over 90% increase in programmatic DSP connections
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Focus on speed and savings as the key value proposition. Tailored for mobile first users and quick access to content.
Progressive web app platform that engages users with compelling content, secure and fast to search and load web pages.
The browser of choice for users and OEM's.
Next generation web content consumption and discovery.
Be the entry point for the users web experience.
How to monetize our mobile browsers
The browser is a gateway for content discovery and consumption. Our goal is to engage users by offering the the content they want. Our monetization strategy is built upon the time user spend in our browsers.
• Build Traffic/ad inventory for owned properties.
• Build ad inventory through:
a) Engaging users thought personalized content in the home page.
b) Driving traffic to owned content properties (OMS, Video, sports) .
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Added encryption for secure usage of Wi-Fi hotspot.
Signed global distribution agreement with Tier 1 OEM, beginning Q1 2016.
▪ Excellent publisher feedback and monetization
▪ Live in Latin America
▪ Excellent publisher feedback and monetization
▪ Partnership ▪ with IDEA in India
Global agreement signed with Ooredoo Group
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