Investor Presentation • Feb 15, 2016
Investor Presentation
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Oslo 15 February 2016 Baard Schumann, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO
882 NOK million
Equity ratio
40.8 per cent
Adjusted EBITDA margin
15.1
per cent
EBITDA margin (NGAAP)
14.6 per cent
Operating revenues
3 246 NOK million
Units under construction
1 339
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership in joint ventures. * Includes 95 student residences with an average value of NOK 0.7 million (dotted area)
Units
No of units
Q4 2015: 79% sold, 69% of construction volume in Greater Oslo
YE 2016: ~85% of construction volume in Greater Oslo
Note: Projects are included when construction start is decided. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership share in joint ventures.
88% of 2016 completions sold by Q4 2015
NOK million
11
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP)
interests in subsidiaries
| | Book value per share NOK 27.1 (41%) |
NOKm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOK 27.2 in Q3 2015 (40%) |
7 000 | ||
| | Changes since Q3 2015: | 6 000 | Non-current assets Non-current assets Non |
| Inventories increased by NOK 52m |
5 000 | ||
| Trade receivables decreased by |
4 000 | Current assets | |
| NOK 71m | 3 000 | Current assets | |
| Cash decreased by NOK 132m |
2 000 | ||
| | Prepayments from customers | 1 000 | |
| account for NOK 298m of other | 0 | Cash Cash |
|
| current non interest-bearing liabilities |
Non-current liabilities Non-current liabilities
| Q4'15 vs Q3'15 | Inventory value development | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| NOKm | |||
| Land value up NOK 155m |
5 000 | ||
| Mainly due to land acquisitions |
374 4 000 |
359 | |
| NOK 881m in added value on the land bank |
3 000 2 360 |
||
| Work in progress down NOK 273m |
2 000 | ||
| Finished goods up NOK 171m |
1 000 | ||
| Mainly due to unsold units |
- | ||
FINANCIAL UPDATE
| Drawn per 31 Dec (NOKm) |
Interest rate margin |
|---|---|
| 500 | 4.75% |
| 0 | 2.00% |
| 0 | 2.00% |
| 1 094 | 2.00% - 2.65% |
| 1 030 |
1.90% - 2.65% |
Total Q3 2015 net interesting bearing debt NOK 2 006 million
Note: Top-up loan of NOK 500m in the table differs form the summed up top up loan in the pie chart (NOK 494m). The difference is due to NOK -6m in amortized cost which is not actual debt.
| Annual | dividend per share | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dividend policy | NOK | ||
| Up to 50 percent of net profit |
2.00 | |||
| Dividend pay-out twice a year form H1 2015 |
1.75 | |||
| 1.50 | ||||
| | FY'15 EPS NOK 3.01 | 1.25 | 1.2 | |
| | FY'15 dividend of NOK 1.50 per share | 1.00 | ||
| 0.75 | ||||
| H1 2015 dividend of NOK 0.70 per share |
0.50 | 0.5 | ||
| distributed | 0.25 | |||
| H2 2015 dividend of NOK 0.80 per share proposed |
0.00 | |||
| To be paid after approval by the AGM on 29 April |
Source: Eiendomsverdi
Selected areas: Oslo, Lørenskog, Ski ,Oppgård, Bærum, Asker
21
Historically high market activity and
959 units available for sale in upcoming projects per January 2016
Total volumes of second-hand and new projects in Oslo at ~2100 units per
Average market price Oslo new housing January 2016: NOK ~64k per m2 , Selvaag Bolig NOK ~61.5k per m2
Selvaag Bolig coming to market with large new projects in H1 2016
~153 units | 1-4 rooms | 35-111 sq. m
Time from acquisition to sales start: 7 months
NOK 156m acquisition March '15 Sales start Oct. '15
~403 units | 3-4 rooms | 58-127 sq. m
Time from acquisition to sales start: 9 months
NOK 195m acquisition January '14 Sales start Oct. '14
Source: Selvaag Bolig, Eiendomsverdi and Røisland & Co
MARKET – SECOND-HAND AND NEW PROJECTS INVENTORY
| Trondheim January 2007-2016 |
||
|---|---|---|
| 2 000 | ||
| 1 600 | ||
| 1 200 | ||
| 800 | ||
| 400 | ||
| 0 | ||
Selected areas: Stavanger, Sola, Randaberg, Sandnes
Sold units January
Market inventory second-hand homes 31 January
Sold units January
Market inventory second-hand homes 31 January
Sold units January
Second-hand inventory ~ 400 Inventory of new projects ~850
Second-hand inventory ~ 630
Inventory of new projects ~1000
Total inventory ~1630
Second-hand inventory ~ 1400 Inventory of new projects ~ 850 Total inventory ~ 2250
• Ambition to become leading player in the region
Photo: Roger Hardy, Scanpix
26
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 31. December 2015. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) 80 units at Tromsø (Troms county), 3) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. These have a development potential of ~4 550 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~3 900 and purchasing options for ~650 units
Marginal sales in Rogaland
* Selected markets: Greater-Oslo, Tromsø, Trondheim, Bergen and Stavanger Housing types Selvaag Bolig: flats, semi-detached and terraced homes
Source: Selvaag Bolig and Eiendomsverdi
Selvaag Bolig ASA is a Norwegian residential property developer with no in-house construction arm, which controls the entire value chain from the acquisition of land to the sale of homes.
Construction costs financed
Target 100% sale at delivery
Purchase and payment of land takes place after zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the purchase is cancelled
SBO is in charge of the zoning process
Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal made by three external consultants at the time of zoning
The median valuation is used as purchase price
Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority of revenue before construction
10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of sale, and proof of financing for the remaining amount is required
Construction contracts with solid counterparties are made with fixed price
Project costs are secured before construction starts
| Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | 2015 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 246.0 | 2 945.2 | ||
| (2 608.5) | (2 371.8) | ||
| (217.4) | (215.5) | ||
| - | (3.5) | ||
| 8.3 | 32.4 | ||
| 428.4 | 386.9 | ||
| (24.1) | (21.2) | ||
| 404.3 | 365.7 | ||
| (33.1) | (17.0) | ||
| 371.2 | 348.7 | ||
| (91.1) | (94.2) | ||
| 280.1 | 254.5 | ||
| (0.1) | (0.0) | (1.8) | 1.2 |
| 69.1 | 128.8 | 286.1 | 253.2 |
| (716.0) (59.2) - (11.4) (12.3) |
882.0 95.4 (6.2) 89.2 (8.6) 80.6 68.3 |
1 126.5 (864.6) (80.4) (3.5) 4.4 182.4 (5.7) 176.7 (0.3) 176.4 (47.5) 128.9 |
| (figures in NOK million) | Q4 2015 | Q4 2014 | 2015 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 149.3 | 171.1 | 464.4 | 187.3 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | 5.4 | (35.9) | (15.5) | (5.7) |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | (287.0) | (346.3) | (344.1) | (202.7) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents | (132.3) | (188.1) | 104.8 | (21.1) |
| Cash and cash equivalents at start of period Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
804.6 672.3 |
754.0 565.9 |
565.9 670.7 |
587.0 565.9 |
40
| (figures in NOK million) | 2015 | Q3 2015 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 397.2 | 401.8 | 415.6 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 20.3 | 21.4 | 17.4 |
| Investments in associated companies and joint ventures | 183.4 | 192.3 | 156.7 |
| Other non-current assets | 114.6 | 122.2 | 121.8 |
| Total non-current assets | 715.5 | 737.8 | 711.5 |
| Inventories (property) | 4 715.4 | 4 663.3 | 4 348.8 |
| - Land |
1 938.0 | 1 814.1 | 1 614.4 |
| - Work in progress |
2 399.3 | 2 641.9 | 2 360.3 |
| - Finished goods |
378.1 | 207.4 | 374.1 |
| Other current receivables | 147.9 | 280.3 | 588.0 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 672.3 | 804.6 | 565.9 |
| Total current assets | 5 535.5 | 5 748.2 | 5 502.8 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 6 251.1 | 6 486.0 | 6 214.2 |
| Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA |
2 541.6 | 2 547.1 | 2 442.6 |
| Non-controlling interests | 9.6 | 13.1 | 14.7 |
| Total equity | 2 551.1 | 2 560.2 | 2 457.3 |
| Non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 1 846.7 | 2 470.1 | 1 752.4 |
| Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities | 308.0 | 309.1 | 293.6 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 2 154.7 | 2 779.2 | 2 046.0 |
| Current interest-bearing liabilities | 771.3 | 340.4 | 959.5 |
| Other current non interest-bearing liabilities | 773.9 | 806.2 | 751.4 |
| Total current liabilities | 1 545.2 | 1 146.6 | 1 710.9 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 6 251.1 | 6 486.0 | 6 214.2 |
* Corresponding to a book value of NOK 27.1 per share
No of units
Construction starts, scheduled completion and expected revenue
Quarterly, expected revenues (IFRS) in NOK million
| Lørenskog Stasjonsby (Onsite) |
28 apartments | NOK 106m | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyhavn (Onsite) |
37 terraced | NOK 186m | |||
| Løren 5 (Onsite) |
52 apartments | NOK 197m | |||
| Kilenkollen (Modular) |
54 apartments | NOK 214m |
| Q4 15 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 | ||||
| 171 | ||||
| 258 | ||||
| 235 | ||||
| 1 339 | ||||
| 79% | ||||
| 65 | ||||
| 4 689 | 4 968 | 4 909 | 5 077 |
4 740 |
| 99 | 99 | 99 | 99 | 99 |
| Q4 14 233 280 319 266 1 308 77% 39 |
Q1 15 308 284 208 224 1 384 81% 40 |
Q2 15 210 199 190 232 1 394 80% 31 |
Q3 15 208 204 172 202 1 426 78% 25 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 877.4 | 4.6 | 882.0 |
| Project expenses | (714.6) | (1.4) | (716.0) |
| Other operating expenses | (15.9) | (43.4) | (59.2) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies and joint ventures | (11.4) | - | (11.4) |
| Other gain (loss), net |
- | - | - |
| EBITDA | 135.5 | (40.1) | 95.4 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 713.6 | 4.6 | 718.2 |
| Project expenses | (552.9) | (1.4) | (554.4) |
| Other operating expenses | (15.9) | (43.4) | (59.2) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 144.8 | (40.1) | 104.7 |
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
NOKm
Source: IMF, Statistics Norway, Statistics Sweden, Statistics France, Statistics Germany, Statistics UK, Eurostat
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