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Prosafe SE

Investor Presentation Feb 9, 2017

3718_rns_2017-02-09_7d04d2ed-b64c-4a89-964e-8e29ded52f92.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Q4 2016 results & market update

Disclaimer

All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. Certain such forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "believe", "may", "will", "should", "would be", "expect" or "anticipate" or similar expressions, or the negative thereof, or other variations thereof, or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans or intentions. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this presentation as anticipated, believed or expected. Prosafe does not intend, and does not assume any obligation to update any industry information or forward-looking statements set forth in this presentation to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.

Agenda

Highlights

  • Plan the work Work the plan
  • Financial results
  • Status, strategy and outlook
  • Summary

Highlights

  • Reinforcing safety culture
  • Good operating performance and strong EBITDA
  • Impairment of Safe Astoria MUSD 85: No cash effect and no impact on covenants
  • Closing of Axis transaction; 100% of Safe Nova and Safe Vega and 25% of Safe Swift
  • New contract for the Safe Caledonia for Total in the UK in 2017
  • Extensions for the Safe Boreas and Safe Zephyrus
  • Safe Notos commencing contract and Safe Concordia continuing to work
  • Johan Sverdrup ITT for 2018 and 2019 received
  • Current market is dominated by "Greenfield" delays could create opportunities
  • Cost optimisation ahead of plan with further measures in progress
  • Strengthened management team in place

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Plan the work - Work the plan
  • Financial results
  • Status, strategy and Outlook
  • Summary

Plan the work - Work the plan

Rebuilding of Prosafe - status

  • Company refinanced
  • Strengthened management structure and team in place
  • Reorganisation and substantial cuts for efficiency
  • Spend reduction for max cash
  • Fleet high-grading from scrapping
  • Consolidation and fleet renewal
  • Flexible models for strategic optionality
  • Commercial strategy adapted to circumstances

Strengthening management team

Working the plan to rebuild leading position and create shareholder value

Update on Cost and capex

2011-2015
annual
average
levels
Initial target
levels
Run rate
(January 2017)
Ambition
By
Q2
Offshore opex1) USD 180m USD 140 –
150m
USD 130 –
140m
Further reductions
of 10%+/-
Onshore opex USD 40m USD 28m
(-USD
10-12 m/
25-30%))
USD 24m/-40% (=
18% versus 10%
indicated in Q3)
Further reductions
of 10%+/-
Annual fleet
capex2)
USD 60m USD 20-30m USD
10-15m
USD 10-15m
Headcount
reduction (in %)
35-40
percent
45-50% onshore.
Offshore pending
vessel activity –
20-35%

1) Will to some extent be affected by activity level

2) Excluding new-builds and conversions, updated from Q2 presentation

Update on vessel's cost per day

CPD for vessels in operation being reduced by ca. 20-30% since 2014*

Opex
(CPD k/d)
(figures
in
USD)
NCS/UK NCS (TSV) UKCS Brazil
DP Moored Moored DP
2014 75-80/60-65 100-105 50-55 60-65
2017e 60-65/45-50 85-90 35-40 40-45
% reduction 19%/24% 15% 29% 32%
Stacking
CPD
(k/d)
(figures
in USD)
High-spec
vessels
1)
(cold/warm)
Low-spec
vessels
1)
(cold/warm)
August
'16 estimate
15-30 5-10
Now 15-25 5-10

1) Will depend on location and duration and cold/warm/hot stack

2) * slightly less on TSV given complexity of operations

Fleet renewal and rightsizing

  • Completed the acquisition of the Safe Nova and Safe Vega
  • Termination rights and USD 60 mill refund guarantee intact
  • Started marketing of the Safe Swift (pre. Dan Swift)
  • Dialogue for optimal flexibility and value creation commenced with yard in China
  • Continued scrapping with Safe Lancia being the 4th vessel

Diversified fleet and flexible models

Strategic optionality to meet client needs in most regions

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Plan the work Work the plan
  • Financial results
  • Status, strategy and outlook
  • Summary

Income statement

(Unaudited figures in USD million) Q4 16 Q3 16 Q4 15 2016 2015
Operating revenues 125.8 129.8 103.9 474.0 474.7
Operating expenses (47.8) (61.5) (52.5) (220.8) (211.8)
EBITDA 78.0 68.3 51.4 253.2 262.9
Depreciation (34.1) (29.1) (24.5) (115.7) (86.5)
Impairment (84.7) 0.0 (145.6) (84.7) (145.6)
Operating profit/loss (40.8) 39.2 (118.7) 52.8 30.8
Interest income 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2
Interest expenses (18.4) (28.7) (10.4) (85.6) (41.6)
Other financial items 33.7 196.8 (11.9) 222.2 (29.5)
Net financial items 15.4 168.2 (22.2) 136.9 (70.9)
Profit/(Loss) before taxes (25.4) 207.4 (140.9) 189.7 (40.1)
Taxes (7.3) (5.5) (2.1) (17.1) (10.5)
Net profit/(loss) (32.7) 201.9 (143.0) 172.6 (50.6)
EPS (0.51) 16.13 (58.85) 8.36 (21.29)
Diluted EPS (0.47) 15.78 (58.85) 8.10 (21.29)

Operating revenue and expenses - key points

(USD million) Q4 16 Q3 16 Q4 15 2016 2015
Charter income 95.8 114.4 93.7 375.5 425.4
Mob/demob income 17.5 2.1 1.5 34.0 5.4
Other income 12.5 13.3 8.7 64.5 43.9
Total 125.8 129.8 103.9 474.0 474.7
  • Non-recurring cost items of MUSD 62
  • Britannia/Hibernia/Jasminia (stacking, mobilisation and prepare for scrap cost): MUSD 40
  • Financial restructuring: MUSD 12
  • Resizing of organization: MUSD 7
  • Axis acquisition: MUSD 3

Balance sheet & covenant update

(Unaudited figures in USD million) 31.12.16 30.09.16 31.12.15
Goodwill 226.7 226.7 226.7
Vessels 2 029.3 1 887.3 1 578.6
New builds 122.2 318.8 228.5
Other non-current assets 13.9 4.1 4.9
Total non-current assets 2 392.1 2 436.9 2 038.7
Cash and deposits 205.7 183.4 57.1
Other current assets 89.1 90.9 91.4
Total current assets 294.8 274.3 148.5
Total assets 2 686.9 2 711.2 2 187.2
Share capital 7.9 6.7 72.1
Other equity 1 121.6 1 070.3 643.1
Total equity 1 129.5 1 077.0 715.2
Interest-free long-term liabilities 62.2 102.1 58.9
Interest-bearing long-term debt 1 342.9 1 373.3 1 107.5
Total long-term liabilities 1 405.1 1 475.4 1 166.4
Other interest-free current liabilities 104.4 105.8 166.1
Current portion of long-term debt 47.9 53.0 139.5
Total current liabilities 152.3 158.8 305.6
Total equity and liabilities 2 686.9 2 711.2 2 187.2

Covenants - large headroom:

  • Liquidity minimum MUSD 65
  • Q4: MUSD 205.7
  • Interest coverage ratio (adjusted EBITDA : Net interest expense over previous 12 month period) minimum 1.0

$$
\bullet \ \textsf{Q4:4.2}
$$

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Plan the work Work the plan
  • Financial results
  • Status, strategy and outlook
  • Summary

From 80% average utilization to 30%+firm in 2017

Total order book of almost USD 1 billion, ca 50/50 split firm/options

Being active in the restructuring of the industry

Status TSV Safe Scandinavia at Oseberg East

  • Firm contract till summer 2018
  • Strong technical performance
  • Goal to be the safest operator as per Zero mindset – no compromise.
  • Full focus on PSA Order and LTI
  • Remain cautiously optimistic about extended life at Oseberg East given technical performance and production development

The market is slowly but surely bottoming out

Capacity Utilization by Offshore Segment

Source: Clarksons Platou Securities AS

Also dayrates bottoming out?

  • North Sea recent awards indicate a significant dayrate reduction through 2016 and 2017
  • Other regions somewhat less affected
  • Some signs, however, of higher rates from 2018 onwards
  • Positive rate development anticipated to continue pending demand pick up and supply side

Market anticipated to normalise with spend-more MMO

Share of market (ca.) 25% 75% 0-10%
Market visibility High Low Medium
Lead time Long Short Medium
Average duration 8 months 6 months Anticipated longer
Key drivers Project sanctioning,
hookup
and commissioning
Age of installed topsides,
subsea tieback projects
Shutdowns and
platform removal
Current market 80% 20%

Improved tendering indicating pick up from 2018?

Prosafe fleet renewal – A managed process…

Contributing to replacement and rebalancing

EBITDA and capex guidance

Previous guidance
2016 and 2017 combined MUSD 320+
=> 2017 MUSD 110+/-
Capex per year MUSD 20-30
Current guidance
2016 and 2017 combined MUSD 365 +/-
(slight
increase)
2017
remain
low
point
(anticipated)
MUSD 110 +
Capex per year MUSD 10-15*
Onshore
cost
& headcount
Additional
10% +/-
Liquidity

cash flow from
operations
Neutral at ca. MUSD
100** p.a
=> Runway is
"protected"

*) Incl. SPS for the Safe Caledonia

**) 2017 is however also impacted by USD 30 m repayment of sellers credit to Jurong

Agenda

  • Highlights
  • Plan the work Work the plan
  • Financial results
  • Strategy and Outlook

Summary

Summary

  • Reinforcing safety culture
  • Strengthening the management team
  • Solid underlying performance and cash control
  • Further cost reductions underway
  • New contract and extensions despite soft market
  • Focus on safe and efficient operations of the TSV
  • Prosafe will continue to be active and assist in the supply side rebalance towards 2020
  • Guarded optimism as market activity anticipated to gradually pick up from 2018 driven mainly by a normalization of brownfield markets
  • Continue to rebuild Prosafe to take the lead in industry development

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