Earnings Release • Feb 15, 2017
Earnings Release
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Oslo 15 February 2017 Baard Schumann, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO
Fornebu centre: Land purchased in Q4 2016, will give approximately 2 000 units with expected revenue of NOK 10 billion
| Operating revenues | |
|---|---|
886 NOK million
Equity ratio
42.1 per cent
Adjusted EBITDA margin
19.2
per cent
EBITDA margin (NGAAP)
Operating revenues 3 000
NOK million
Units under construction
1 469
Net number: 1 356
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership in joint ventures.
Note: Sales values are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership in joint ventures *Total columns include Selvaag Bolig's gross sales
**Total columns minus dotted areas includes Selvaag Bolig's net sales
Units
Units
Q4 2016: 85% of units under constructions sold by Q4 2016
Q4 2016: 90% of construction volume in Greater Oslo
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership share in joint ventures.
Sales value, units under construction
Units
63
188
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
12
3 246
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP)
share program for employees
equivalents at 31 December 2016
Note: Numbers under NOK 5m are excluded from the cash flow overview
| Balance sheet composition | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| | Book value increased by NOK 1.2 to NOK 28.7 per share |
NOKm | |
| Equity ratio 42.1% |
7 000 | ||
| | Changes from Q3 2016: | 6 000 | Non-current assets |
| Inventories decreased by NOK 106m mainly |
5 000 | ||
| due to units delivered | 4 000 | ||
| Trade receivables stable |
3 000 | Current assets | |
| Cash increased by NOK 143m |
2 000 | ||
| | Prepayments from customers accounts | 1 000 | |
| for NOK 468m of other current non | 0 | Cash | |
| interest-bearing liabilities |
FINANCIAL UPDATE
Land (undeveloped) Work in progress Finished projects
FINANCIAL UPDATE
| Drawn per 31 Dec. (NOKm) |
Interest rate margin |
|---|---|
| 500 | 4.75% |
| 0 | 2.00% |
| 0 | 2.00% |
| 946 | 2.00% - 2.50% |
| 1 131 | 1.75% - 2.70% |
Total Q3 2016 net interesting bearing debt NOK 1 704 million
Note: Top-up loan of NOK 500m in the table differs form the summed up top up loan in the pie chart (NOK 496m). The difference is due to NOK -4m in amortized cost which is not actual debt.
| Dividend per share | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dividend policy | |||
| Up to 50 percent of net profit |
NOK 2.00 |
|||
| Dividend pay-out twice a year from H1 2015 |
1.75 | |||
| | FY'16 EPS NOK 3.21 |
1.50 | ||
| 1.25 | ||||
| | FY'16 dividend of NOK 1.60 per share | 1.00 | ||
| 50% of EPS |
0.75 0.50 |
0.50 | ||
| 1H'16 dividend of NOK 0.65 per share distributed |
0.25 0.00 |
0.00 | ||
| 2H'16 dividend of NOK 0.95 per share proposed |
21
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 31. December 2016. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. These have a development potential of ~5 400 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~4 900 and purchasing options for ~500 units
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Units available for sale (31.01): ~650
The new regulation applies until 30 June 2018 Source: Ministry of Finance, Norway
Increased price pressure in regions around Oslo
MARKET
Source: Ny Analyse, Global Property Guide, Eiendom Norge, Svensk Mäklarstatistik, OECD Selected European cities
Source: Statistics Norway Greater Oslo municipalities include: Ski, Ås, Oppegård, Bærum, Asker, Lørenskog, Skedsmo, Ullensaker
Source: Plansamarbeidet Oslo-Akershus, Selvaag Bolig Note: The numbers are not adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
centre
MARKET – SELVAAG BOLIG ACQUISITIONS
• Expected sales value NOK 10 billion
Feb. 2016 NOK 68 000 per m2 May. 2016 NOK 72 300 per m2 Jun. 2016 NOK 74 700 per m2 Jul. 2016 NOK 77 100 per m2 Aug. 2016 NOK 79 500 per m2
Total: 430-500 units | 1-4 rooms | 35-119 m2 182 of 228 units sold per 03 February 2017
Time from acquisition to sales start: 11 months
29
Total: 430-500 units | 1-4 rooms | 35-119 m2 182 of 228 units sold per 03 February 2017
Time from acquisition to sales start: 11 months
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Second hand – average
New homes (not built)
Units available for sale (31.01): ~825
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
New homes (not built)
Units available for sale (31.01): ~575
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Second hand (Stavanger only) – average Sales price: NOK 36 981 per m2 Jan. 16: NOK 36 099 per m2 Turnover time: 69 days Price increase January: 2.1% Price decrease last 12 months: 2.8% Units available for sale (31.01): ~450 31.01.16: ~850
New homes (not built)
Second hand market: Stavanger, Sola, Randaberg and Sandnes New homes market: Stavanger
Hovinenga, Oslo
SHARE INFORMATION
| % share | ||
|---|---|---|
| 53.5% |
|---|
| 5.6% |
| 3.0% |
| $2.8\%$ |
| $2.2\%$ |
| 1.7% |
| 1.3% |
| $1.1\%$ |
| $1.1\%$ |
| $1.1\%$ |
| 1.0% |
| 1.0% |
| $0.9\%$ |
| $0.8\%$ |
| 0.8% |
| $0.7\%$ |
| 0.7% |
| $0.7\%$ |
| 0.6% |
| $0.6\%$ |
| 81.1% |
| 18.9% |
| 100.0% |
| Shareholder | # of shares | % share |
|---|---|---|
| SELVAAG GRUPPEN AS | 50 180 087 | 53.5% |
| SKANDINAVISKA ENSKILDA BANKEN AB *) | 5 268 003 | 5.6% |
| MORGAN STANLEY & CO. INTERNATIONAL *) | 2 782 677 | 3.0% |
| FLPS - ALL SECTOR SUB |
2 581 800 | 2.8% |
| PARETO AS | 2 065 624 | 2.2% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT | 1 596 000 | 1.7% |
| HOLTA INVEST AS | 1 200 000 | 1.3% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA | 1 061 201 | 1.1% |
| REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHI | 1 045 000 | 1.1% |
| STOREBRAND NORGE I VERDIPAPIRFOND | 1 002 959 | 1.1% |
| MP PENSJON PK | 962 872 | 1.0% |
| EVERMORE GLOBAL VALUE FUND | 892 805 | 1.0% |
| JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON *) | 862 364 | 0.9% |
| J.P. MORGAN SECURITIES LLC *) | 785 000 | 0.8% |
| HOLBERG NORGE | 724 667 | 0.8% |
| STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST COMP *) | 658 639 | 0.7% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET DNB SMB | 641 173 | 0.7% |
| SELVAAG BOLIG ASA **) | 637 958 | 0.7% |
| JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON *) | 564 073 | 0.6% |
| BANAN II AS | 555 190 | 0.6% |
| Total 20 largest shareholders | 76 068 092 | 81.1% |
| Other shareholders | 17 697 596 | 18.9% |
| Total number of shares | 93 765 688 | 100.0% |
*) Updated shareholder list and further information regarding nominee accounts is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en/Aksjeinformasjon/Aksjonarer.aspx **) The shares were purchased for the company's share programmes for employees
*The numbers are not adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
Construction costs financed
Target 100% sale at delivery
Selvaag Bolig ASA is a Norwegian residential property developer with no in-house construction arm, which controls the entire value chain from the acquisition of land to the sale of homes.
Purchase and payment of land takes place after zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the purchase is cancelled
SBO is in charge of the zoning process
Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal made by three external consultants at the time of zoning approval
The median valuation is used as purchase price
Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority of revenue before construction
10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of sale, and proof of financing for the remaining amount is required
Construction contracts with solid counterparties are made with fixed price
Project costs are secured before construction starts
85% of units in production are sold at end Q4'16
| (figures in NOK million) | Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues | 885.5 | 882.0 | 3 000.3 | 3 246.0 |
| Project expenses | (677.0) | (716.0) | (2 379.7) | (2 608.5) |
| Other operating expenses | (69.1) | (59.2) | (231.2) | (217.4) |
| Other gains (loss) | 0.1 | - | 31.7 | - |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | (5.3) | (11.4) | (7.1) | 8.3 |
| EBITDA | 134.2 | 95.4 | 414.0 | 428.4 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (1.8) | (6.2) | (20.1) | (24.1) |
| EBIT | 132.4 | 89.2 | 393.9 | 404.3 |
| Net financial expenses | (4.9) | (8.6) | (29.3) | (33.1) |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 127.5 | 80.6 | 364.6 | 371.2 |
| Income taxes | (11.7) | (13.1) | (63.7) | (91.8) |
| Net income | 115.8 | 67.5 | 300.9 | 279.4 |
| Net income for the period attributable to: | ||||
| Non-controlling interests | 0.1 | (0.1) | (0.3) | (1.8) |
| Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA |
115.7 | 67.6 | 301.2 | 281.1 |
| 2015 | 2016 | Q4 2015 |
|---|---|---|
| 465.9 | 440.3 | 149.3 |
| (15.5) | (14.8) | 5.4 |
| (344.1) | (211.5) | (287.0) |
| 106.4 565.9 672.3 |
213.9 672.3 886.2 |
(132.3) 804.6 672.3 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Q4 2016 | Q4 2015 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 77.0 | 149.3 | 440.3 | 465.9 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | (11.1) | 5.4 | (14.8) | (15.5) |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | 77.0 | (287.0) | (211.5) | (344.1) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at start of period Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
142.9 743.3 886.2 |
(132.3) 804.6 672.3 |
213.9 672.3 886.2 |
106.4 565.9 672.3 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
2016 | Q3 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 383.4 | 383.4 | 397.2 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 10.9 | 11.8 | 20.3 |
| Investments in associated companies and joint ventures | 289.8 | 279.5 | 183.4 |
| Other non-current assets | 261.1 | 259.4 | 114.6 |
| Total non-current assets | 945.1 | 934.1 | 715.5 |
| Inventories (property) | 4 284.0 | 4 390.4 | 4 715.4 |
| - Land |
1 437.3 | 1 434.7 | 1 968.8 |
| - Work in progress |
2 579.7 | 2 653.5 | 2 368.5 |
| - Finished goods |
267.1 | 302.3 | 378.1 |
| Other current receivables | 293.3 | 139.7 | 147.9 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 886.2 | 743.3 | 672.3 |
| Total current assets | 5 463.5 | 5 273.5 | 5 535.5 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 6 408.7 | 6 207.6 | 6 251.1 |
| Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA | 2 689.9 | 2 577.6 | 2 539.6 |
| Non-controlling interests | 9.3 | 9.2 | 9.6 |
| Total equity | 2 699.2 | 2 586.8 | 2 549.2 |
| Non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 2 038.7 | 2 145.4 | 1 846.7 |
| Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities | 186.1 | 202.9 | 262.2 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 2 224.7 | 2 348.2 | 2 108.9 |
| Current interest-bearing liabilities | 534.7 | 301.7 | 771.3 |
| Other current non interest-bearing liabilities | 950.1 | 970.8 | 821.7 |
| Total current liabilities | 1 484.8 | 1 272.5 | 1 593.0 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 6 408.7 | 6 207.6 | 6 251.1 |
Units
Construction starts, scheduled completion and expected revenue Quarterly, expected revenues (IFRS) in NOK million
Heimdal Stasjon (Onsite)
Nybyen Økern (Onsite)
| 42 apartments | NOK 124m | |
|---|---|---|
| 69 apartments | NOK 359m | |
| 85 apartments | NOK 416m |
Lørenporten (Onsite)
| Q4 15 | Q1 16 | Q2 16 | Q3 16 | Q4 16 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of units sold | 209 | 280 | 326 | 277 | 161 |
| Number of construction starts | 171 | 230 | 253 | 223 | 196 |
| Number of units completed | 258 | 183 | 295 | 103 | 255 |
| Number of units delivered | 235 | 179 | 307 | 129 | 254 |
| Number of units under construction | 1 339 | 1 386 | 1 344 | 1 464 | 1 356 |
| Proportion of sold units under construction | 79% | 80% | 83% | 90% | 85% |
| Number of completed unsold units | 65 | 58 | 54 | 48 | 43 |
| Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) | 4 740 | 5 031 | 5 075 | 5 775 | 5 709 |
| Number of employees | 99 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 877.6 | 8.0 | 885.6 |
| Project expenses | (674.4) | (2.7) | (677.1) |
| Other operating expenses |
(17.0) | (52.1) | (69.1) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies and joint ventures | (5.3) | - | (5.3) |
| Other gain (loss), net |
0.1 | - | 0.1 |
| EBITDA | 180.9 | (46.8) | 134.2 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 938.8 | 8.0 | 946.9 |
| Project expenses | (661.6) | (2.7) | (664.3) |
| Other operating expenses | (17.0) | (52.1) | (69.1) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 260.2 | (46.8) | 213.5 |
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
NOKm
Source: IMF, Statistics Norway, Statistics Sweden, Statistics France, Statistics Germany, Statistics UK, Eurostat
of disposable income
Source: 1993- 2013 Eff, Pöyry. 2014-2015 NyAnalyse. Interest payments on new home loans with the home as collateral is considered
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