Black Sea Property AS
Org. No. 914 892 902
Aheloy Resort - Project Update
March 2017
.
Disclaimer
Black Sea Property AS ("Black Sea Property" or "BSP") has produced this presentation. Black Sea Property has made no enquires as to the correctness of the information provided to us by the Developers, and we have not requested or taken part in any due diligence reviews for any of the projects discussed in this report:
Black Sea Property has relied primarily on information provided by the board and management of the Developers in written or oral form;
The information includes non-factual information with regard to forward looking information which intrinsically is subjective and based on "best judgment".
Accuracy and completeness of information:
Although Black Sea Property believes the information to be correct as the time of the issuance of this presentation, there is no certainty that the information is correct or that it is complete. It is fully possible that had Black Sea Property had access to other or more extensive information, the conclusion and information of the report could have been materially different;
The conclusions in this report are made on the basis of a number of important assumptions. Whereas these are made to the best of our ability, based on discussions with management and access to relevant information, there is no certainty with regard to the correctness of these assumptions. Even relatively moderate changes to our assumptions may lead to material changes in the conclusion of this report and the valuation of the developers and developments.
Black Sea Property judgment with regard to non-factual information:
Whereas the information provided to us has been the basis for the valuation and analysis, Black Sea Property has, as far as possible, evaluated the substance of the information independently and made its own opinion with regard to the implication of the information on the value of the developments.
Liability
Black Sea Property expressly disclaim any representation and warranty with regard to the content and conclusions of this presentation;
Black Sea Property will not accept any responsibility for the use of or reliance up on the information contained in this presentation whatsoever.
The Development – Resort Facilities Improvement
The Development
The Development
Recent Pictures
The Development
|
Number of |
Resort square |
Average unit |
Other |
Doba 1 |
EPOA |
Aheloy |
EPOAsq. |
| Building |
|
|
|
|
|
owned |
Residence |
m |
|
Units |
meters |
size |
owners |
units |
units |
receivable |
estimate |
| N |
175 |
13,237 |
75.64 |
|
|
175 |
|
13,237 |
| М |
183 |
12,834 |
70.13 |
|
|
183 |
|
12,834 |
| P |
244 |
16,553 |
67.84 |
109 |
50 |
|
85 |
5,766 |
| L |
298 |
18,800 |
63.09 |
|
|
251 |
47 |
18,800 |
| K* |
100 |
6,300 |
63.00 |
|
|
|
100 |
6,300 |
| Total |
1,000 |
67,724 |
|
109 |
50 |
609 |
232 |
56,937 |
|
|
|
|
159 |
|
|
841 |
|
* Reduction according to new plansprojected |
|
|
|
1,000 |
|
|
|
|
** Acquisition to take place H1 2017
- Reduced number of apartments in building "K" from 300 to 100 apartments
- Resort's total number of apartments reduced from 1200 to 1000 apartments
- Improved quality of resort and facilities
- Reduced financial risk
- EPO Aheloy plans to acquire all assets including land from Aheloy Residence in Q1 / early Q2
- Change in legislation much simplifies the process
Progress made as of March 2017
REDUCED FINANCIAL RISK
- From short to long term loan financing with UniCredit Bulbank
- Loan principal reduced last year to EUR 7.5m from the initial EUR 10m
- Full repayment maturity in 2018 extended with 7 years
- EUR 500'000 principal repayment at the end of 2017 followed by 7 even annual repayments of EUR 1m each
- Reduced necessity for short term sale of apartments
- Share Issue supported with more than 50% already committed by large shareholders
- Reduced number of apartments in building "K"
- Increased quality of resort and reduced financing needs
- Decision to complete "M" building before "P"
- External owners to be asked to support in finishing works for "P" building
- Building "N" finished in time and on budget
- Completed negotiations for "M" building, construction contract to be signed in March
Progress made as of March 2017
- Building works well underway at "Aheloy Resort"
- The resort is planned to be fully operational for summer 2018 with total 602 apartments, commercial areas and landscape
- Possibility to open partly for summer 2017 season, depending on
- W&S solution
- Evaluation of cost/benefit taking into account start up cost, rental income and reputation
- BSP has began initial investigation works on setting up a management company and establishing connections with tour operators
- Period May September crucial to prepare agreements with tour operators the upcoming holiday season
- Potential for high yearly profit when operated as hotel, table below shows possibilities for 2018 season with P, N and M operational
- Supported by the recent conclusion the the C&W valuation report dated March '17
Hotel operatingearnings2018 / EBIToperatingprofit / |
euro |
2,544,835 |
|
|
Open days |
days |
132 |
per key |
4,227 |
Available rooms |
rooms |
602 |
79,464 |
|
At 75%occupancy nightssold |
nights |
59,598 |
|
|
Average Daily Rate |
euro |
60 |
3,575,880 |
|
Room costsincludingFood & Beverage |
% |
46.5 |
2,038,252 |
|
Suplementary servicesprofit |
euro |
595,980 |
|
|
The fully operational resort with 1'000 units, can result in profit increase to EUR 4 to 5 million annually. The figures are supported in the C&W March 2017 valuation report.
Progress made as of March 2017
- Established plan to acquire all assets from Aheloy Residence
- Use change in legislation to complete acquisition process soon
- Focused on finding solution for W&S utility connection
- Approval of W&S plans is now pending by the regional administration and municipality. W&S plans and financial project calculations were prepared and submitted for EU / regional administration for financing.
- Remaining risk connected to cost and timing
- Electrical Connections
- Based on solution with acquiring all assets including land, we believe this will be implemented as a consequence
Financing Plan PHASE 1
FINANCIALEXPENSESTOCOMPLETEPHASE1
Remainingconstruction BuildingN & Landscape |
163,699 |
Sewage and EVN electrical connection |
600,000 |
Total organizational expenses |
185,000 |
Furnishing"N" units(175) |
175,000 |
Restaurantsand commercial areas |
650,000 |
Building "P" to be tourist operational |
1,190,000 |
Resort fence and additional landscape facilities |
100,000 |
Bank loan 2017 principal and interest |
741,350 |
Building "M" to be tourist operational |
1,248,000 |
TOTAL 5,053,049
FINANCIALINCOME
Avaiable CIW to date |
540,940 |
Share issue BSPand local partner |
3,000,000 |
Possible loan from Tour Operator (358 units) N&M |
1,500,000 |
Income ownerswith title deedsin "P" |
574,661 |
TOTAL 5,615,601
Financing Plan PHASE 2
| FINANCIALEXPENSESTOCOMPLETEPHASE2 |
|
Remainingconstruction buildingK& L |
4,820,000 |
Phase 2 landscape and restaurants |
2,000,000 |
FurnitureK& L |
995,000 |
|
|
| TOTAL |
7,815,000 |
- BPS forward plans to finance the phase 2 construction are connected to the following factors:
- Continuity in the great demand for hotel accommodation and willingness by tour operators to provide financing.
- Sale of apartments in an operational resort
- Operational profit
- BSP may consider finishing buildings "K" and "L" on the outside for summer season 2018 along with their respective commercial space and landscape
Black Sea Property
- The tasks that will occupy BSP's focus going forward are:
- Overseeing the execution of the building works.
- Securing the outside utility connection permits (W&S and electrical), vital for operating the resort Summer 2017, including construction
- Implement solution acquiring remaining assets in Aheloy Residence
- Evaluate risk and find proper solution for commercial assets in Aheloy Commercial
- Historical court-cases and risk for new court cases
- Constructing the commercial areas, restaurants and new reception.
- Manage share issue
- Organizing for opening the resort and its hotel operations
- Sale of apartments.
Black Sea Tourism & Property Highlights
- The vast and unspoiled Black Sea Coast remains very popular. Beach resorts such as Sunny Beach are always full of foreign tourists. Last year, Sunny Beach was ranked the friendliest for your wallet out of 84 destinations. Sunny Beach remains the best bet for bargain holiday hunters with all costs measured by the index total a mere EUR 43.21 per person for one night's stay (including meals, drink and entertainment).
- Bulgaria has finally emerged as a top overseas property destination in Europe, following the difficult situation in Turkey and North Africa, and by being able to offer price value packages at much competitive prices from its direct competitor Greece.
- For the first time in Bulgaria's history we do not have a single nationality dominating buyers. Now, from the start of 2016 the single largest group buying holiday property is actually Bulgarians (35%). Perhaps because prices are so much lower than they were, perhaps because of healthy rental returns for those who can self manage holiday lets.
- Sunny Beach remains the most dominant region for holiday sales with approximately 30% of all transactions, 50% if considering neighboring St Vias, Nessebar and Ravda too.
- Currency shifts have enabled Russian vendors, who remain the majority owners of available secondary stock, to sell at slashed Euro prices and still take home a profit in Rubles. The clear result is lower prices across the region. We can speculate as to why so many are selling now, but with recession in Russia showing no sign of ending and with profitable liquid investments available in Bulgaria, it is easy to see why owners are offloading.
Black Sea Tourism & Property Highlights
- As far as the Sea holiday homes were concerned, transactions for prime properties on the beachfront were in the range of EUR 800 – 1000 per sq. m with high quality finishing works and furniture. Average quality properties in the first and second rows from the sea were in the range EUR 650 – 800 per sq. m. While properties in secondary locations were around EUR 500 per sq.m. Prices greatly depended on the type of property and available facilities.
- The average price at which deals were concluded in Sunny Beach during the first months of the year was EUR 520 per sq .m. - a decrease from levels around EUR 600 per sq .m. The total purchase price of apartments in Sunny Beach in recent months is around EUR 27'700 - and here noticeable shrinking budgets from levels around EUR 35'000.
- The average yield of investment in holiday property, bought for rental is between 6% and 7%.
- Bulgaria today stands proudly on the tourist market and interestingly ranks first in the EU with the impressive growth of the number of overnight stays of tourists last year. The total number of nights spent in the country (by foreigners and Bulgarians) was over 8 million for summer season 2016, as compared to growth in 2015 was above 18%. The increased number of tourists increased considerably and revenues in tourism - the first seven months of 2016 they increased by almost half a billion BGN or 15% up compared to the same period of 2015. The first seven months of last year, total revenues from international tourism in the current account balance, over BGN 3.4 billion.
- After closely following and observing the property market development over the past 12 months BSP is very positive what is happening in the rental market. On the other side, obviously, the currency weaknesses that happens both in Russia and UK influence negatively at least short term property sales. Normally, on long term, the correlation between property prices and rental income will overcome the unproportioned figures observed today.
- During the course of 2016 much more Turkish nationals are considering and actively exploring investment and lifestyle opportunities at the Bulgarian Black Sea coast. Israel, Romania and the central European countries as Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia and others consider property purchases in Bulgaria.
Thank you for you attention.