Earnings Release • Aug 17, 2017
Earnings Release
Open in ViewerOpens in native device viewer
Oslo 17 August 2017 Baard Schumann, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO
Q2 2017 1H 2017
| Operating revenues | |
|---|---|
| -------------------- | -- |
1 135 NOK million
Equity ratio
45.0 per cent
Adjusted EBITDA margin
21.6
per cent
EBITDA margin (NGAAP)
28.0 per cent
Operating revenues
1 591 NOK million
Under construction
1 857
units (SBO' share 1 586)
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership in joint ventures
NOK million
NOK million
Note: Sales values are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership in joint ventures *Total columns show Selvaag Bolig's gross sales
**Total columns excluding dotted areas show Selvaag Bolig's net sales
Units
Hovinenga, Oslo
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's ownership share in joint ventures.
Units
▪ Expected completions for 2017 as of Q2 17: 690 units
81 336
NOKm
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP)
NOK million
3 167 3 283 16% 18% 808 941 947 818 967 17% 22% 23% 25% 28% Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Operating revenues EBITDA margin
Note: Numbers under NOK 5m are excluded from the cash flow overview
Assets Equity and Liabilities
| Balance sheet composition | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ▪ | Book value increased by NOK 0.4 to NOK 29.6 per share |
NOK million | |
| Equity ratio 45.0% ▪ |
7 000 | ||
| ▪ | Changes from Q1 2017: | 6 000 | Non-current assets |
| Inventories decreased by NOK 133m mainly ▪ |
5 000 | ||
| due to units delivered and sale of property | 4 000 | ||
| Trade receivables decreased by NOK 32m ▪ |
3 000 | Current assets | |
| ▪ Cash decreased by NOK 33m |
2 000 | ||
| ▪ | Prepayments from customers accounts for NOK 494m of other current non |
1 000 | |
| interest-bearing liabilities | 0 | Cash | |
FINANCIAL UPDATE
FINANCIAL UPDATE
| Drawn per 30 June (NOKm) |
Interest rate margin |
|---|---|
| 0 | 2.90% |
| 0 | 2.00% |
| 1 161 |
2.00% - 2.50% |
| 1 109 | 1.75% - 2.70% |
Total Q1 2017 net interesting bearing debt NOK 2 267 million
1Selvaag Bolig elected to exercise its call option for early redemption in full of its NOK 500 million senior unsecured callable bond, maturing on 27 June 2018, at 102% of par value. The early redemption of the bond occured on 27 June 2017.
NOK million
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA
** Based on equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA
| Dividend per share | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NOK | |||
| 2.00 | |||
| 1.75 | |||
| ▪ 1H'17 EPS NOK 2.39 |
1.50 | ||
| 1H'17 dividend of NOK 1.20 per share ▪ |
1.25 | 1.20 | |
| 1.00 | |||
| 50% of EPS ▪ |
0.75 | 0.50 | |
| Dividend to be paid 1 September 2017 ▪ |
0.50 | ||
| 0.25 | |||
| 0.00 | |||
Summary
Loan cap at 5x annual income challenging for one-person households
The new regulation applies until 30 June 2018 Source: NTB
Source: Prognosesenteret, Eiendomsverdi and Selvaag Bolig
MARKET
Average price per m2
Source: Røisland & Co, Eiendomsverdi
▪ No price drop on new homes
▪ Price premium for new homes vs. second hand homes historically at ~15% per m2
▪ Normalising premium in 1H' 17 and
July
▪ Average of ~2 800 units completed from 2001-2016
▪ Annual housing demand of more than 5 000 units until 2025 (Statistics Norway estimate)
▪ Well above estimated completions for the 2017-19 period
▪ Low demand alternative: 5 000 units
▪ Medium demand alternative: 6 600 units
▪ 2016 population in Oslo: 658 400
▪ In 1999 Statistics Norway forecasted a 2016 population of 542 000
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge, Finn.no and Selvaag Bolig
MARKET
Second hand – average ▪ Sales price: NOK 68 182 per m2 ▪ Turnover time: 34 days ▪ Price decrease July: 2.8% ▪ Price increase last 12 months: 6.4% ▪ Units available for sale (31.07): ~2 680 ▪ Second hand sales July: 765
▪ Units available for sale (31.07): ~1 500
New homes (not built)
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge, Finn.no and Selvaag Bolig
Second hand (Stavanger only) – average ▪ Sales price: NOK 41 251 per m2 ▪ Jul. 16: NOK 38 346 per m2 ▪ Turnover time: 85 days ▪ Price decrease July: 0.6% ▪ Price increase last 12 months: 1.3% ▪ Units available for sale (31.07): ~526 ▪ 31.07.16: ~529
▪ Second hand sales July: 117 units
New homes (not built)
▪ Units available for sale (31.07): ~300
Second hand market: Stavanger, Sola, Randaberg and Sandnes New homes market: Stavanger
29
Total: 61 units | 1-3 bedrooms | 50-120 m2 28 of 61 units sold per 14 August 2017
Lervig Brygge vest Sales start 10 May 2017
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge, Finn.no and Selvaag Bolig
Second hand – average
New homes (not built)
▪ Units available for sale (31.07): ~825
Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge, Finn.no and Selvaag Bolig
New homes (not built)
▪ Units available for sale (31.07): ~950
32
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 30. June 2017. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. These have a development potential of ~6 000 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~5 500 and purchasing options for ~500 units
SHARE INFORMATION
| Shareholder | # of shares | % share |
|---|---|---|
| Selvaag Gruppen AS | 50 180 087 | 53.5% |
| Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB *) | 5 278 334 | 5.6% |
| Morgan Stanley & Co. Int. Plc. *) | 2 766 231 | 3.0% |
| Selvaag Bolig ASA **) | 2 150 794 | 2.3% |
| Pareto AS | 2 065 624 | 2.2% |
| Verdipapirfondet Pareto Investment | 1 696 000 | 1.8% |
| Holberg Norge | 1 594 764 | 1.7% |
| Holberg Norden | 1 500 000 | 1.6% |
| Flps - All sector sub |
1 236 200 | 1.3% |
| Holta Invest AS | 1 200 000 | 1.3% |
| Regents of the University of Michi | 1 045 000 | 1.1% |
| Seb prime solutions Sissener Canop | 1 000 000 | 1.1% |
| JPMorgan Chase Bank, n.a., London *) | 858 932 | 0.9% |
| Verdipapirfondet Alfred Berg Gamba | 811 201 | 0.9% |
| Mp Pensjon PK | 612 872 | 0.7% |
| Storebrand Norge I Verdipapirfond | 596 778 | 0.6% |
| Banan II AS | 555 190 | 0.6% |
| State Street Bank and Trust Comp *) | 538 270 | 0.6% |
| JPMorgan Chase Bank, n.a., London *) | 524 073 | 0.6% |
| Baard Schumann | 480 937 | 0.5% |
| Total 20 largest shareholders | 76 691 287 | 81.8% |
| Other shareholders | 17 074 401 | 18.2% |
| Total number of shares | 93 765 688 | 100.0% |
*) Updated shareholder list and further information regarding nominee accounts is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en/Aksjeinformasjon/Aksjonarer.aspx **) The shares were purchased for the company's share programmes for employees
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
*The numbers are not adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
▪ Construction costs financed
▪ Target 100% sale at delivery
Selvaag Bolig ASA is a Norwegian residential property developer with no in-house construction arm, which controls the entire value chain from the acquisition of land to the sale of homes.
▪ Purchase and payment of land takes place after zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the purchase is cancelled
▪ SBO is in charge of the zoning process
contract
▪ Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal made by three external consultants at the time of zoning approval
▪ The median valuation is used as purchase price
▪ Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority of revenue before construction
▪ 10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of sale, and proof of financing for the remaining amount is required
▪ Construction contracts with solid counterparties are made with fixed price
▪ Project costs are secured before construction starts
▪ 78% of units in production are sold at end Q2'17
| (figures in NOK million) | Q2 2017 | Q2 2016 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues | 1 134.6 | 1 104.0 | 3 000.3 |
| Project expenses | (840.5) | (918.9) | (2 379.7) |
| Other operating expenses | (59.0) | (55.2) | (231.2) |
| Other gains (loss) | - | - | 31.7 |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | (9.8) | (2.7) | (7.1) |
| EBITDA | 225.4 | 127.2 | 414.0 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (1.0) | (6.0) | (20.1) |
| EBIT | 224.4 | 121.1 | 393.9 |
| Net financial expenses | (23.0) | (7.7) | (29.3) |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 201.4 | 113.4 | 364.6 |
| Income taxes | (55.1) | (29.3) | (63.7) |
| Net income | 146.3 | 84.1 | 300.9 |
| Net income for the period attributable to: | |||
| Non-controlling interests | (0.0) | (0.4) | (0.3) |
| Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA |
146.3 | 84.6 | 301.2 |
| 2016 | Q2 2016 |
|---|---|
| 440.3 | 468.5 |
| (14.8) | (7.5) |
| (211.5) | (188.2) |
| 213.9 672.3 886.2 |
272.8 607.7 0.5 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Q2 2017 | Q2 2016 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 539.5 | 468.5 | 440.3 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | (72.1) | (7.5) | (14.8) |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | (500.8) | (188.2) | (211.5) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at start of period Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
(33.4) 374.5 341.1 |
272.8 607.7 880.5 |
213.9 672.3 886.2 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Q2 2017 | Q2 2016 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 383.4 | 388.0 | 383.4 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 9.4 | 17.4 | 10.9 |
| Investments in associated companies and joint ventures | 280.9 | 180.1 | 289.8 |
| Other non-current assets | 354.9 | 126.8 | 261.1 |
| Total non-current assets | 1 028.5 | 712.2 | 945.1 |
| Inventories (property) | 4 618.5 | 4 286.6 | 4 284.0 |
| - Land |
1 672.4 | 1 542.9 | 1 437.3 |
| - Work in progress |
2 761.3 | 2 370.6 | 2 579.7 |
| - Finished goods |
184.7 | 373.1 | 267.1 |
| Other current receivables | 203.1 | 232.9 | 293.3 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 341.1 | 880.5 | 886.2 |
| Total current assets | 5 162.6 | 5 400.1 | 5 463.5 |
| TOTAL ASSETS | 6 191.2 | 6 112.3 | 6 408.7 |
| Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA | 2 744.1 | 2 590.5 | 2 689.9 |
| Non-controlling interests | 9.4 | 9.2 | 9.3 |
| Total equity | 2 783.5 | 2 599.7 | 2 699.2 |
| Non-current interest-bearing liabilities | 2 062.7 |
1 648.6 | 2 038.7 |
| Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities | 167.6 | 260.2 | 167.1 |
| Total non-current liabilities | 2 230.3 | 1 908.8 | 2 205.8 |
| Current interest-bearing liabilities | 207.1 | 686.2 | 534.7 |
| Other current non interest-bearing liabilities | 970.2 | 917.6 | 969.1 |
| Total current liabilities | 1 177.3 | 1 603.8 | 1 503.7 |
| TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES | 6 191.2 | 6 112.3 | 6 408.7 |
* Corresponding to a book value of NOK 29.6 per share
Units
Construction starts, scheduled completion and expected revenue
Quarterly, expected revenues (IFRS) in NOK million
| Q2 16 | Q3 16 | Q4 16 | Q1 17 | Q2 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of units sold | 326 | 277 | 161 | 190 | 165 |
| Number of construction starts | 253 | 223 | 196 | 186 | 318 |
| Number of units completed | 295 | 103 | 255 | 63 | 210 |
| Number of units delivered | 307 | 129 | 254 | 85 | 222 |
| Number of units under construction | 1 344 | 1 464 | 1 356 | 1 479 | 1 586 |
| Proportion of sold units under construction | 83% | 90% | 85% | 86% | 78% |
| Number of completed unsold units | 54 | 48 | 43 | 32 | 24 |
| Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) | 5 075 | 5 775 | 5 709 | 6 340 | 7 074 |
| Number of employees | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| (41.0) | 225.4 |
|---|---|
| (9.8) | |
| (49.1) | (59.1) |
| (0.4) | (840.5) |
| 8.5 | 1 134.6 |
| Other | Total |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 1 126.1 | 8.5 | 1 134.6 |
| Project expenses | (840.0) | (0.4) | (840.5) |
| Other operating expenses |
(9.9) | (49.1) | (59.1) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies and joint ventures | (9.8) | - | (9.8) |
| Other gain (loss), net |
- | - | - |
| EBITDA | 266.4 | (41.0) | 225.4 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 958.1 | 8.5 | 966.6 |
| Project expenses | (636.3) | (0.4) | (636.7) |
| Other operating expenses | (9.9) | (49.1) | (59.0) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 311.9 | (41.0) | 270.9 |
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
Source: Plansamarbeidet Oslo-Akershus, Selvaag Bolig Note: The numbers are not adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
Source: Ny Analyse, Global Property Guide, Eiendom Norge, Svensk Mäklarstatistik, OECD Selected European cities
Source: Statistics Norway, NRK
Source: OECD, Prognosesenteret
Source: Statistics Norway Greater Oslo municipalities include: Ski, Ås, Oppegård, Bærum, Asker, Lørenskog, Skedsmo, Ullensaker
Source: IMF, Statistics Norway, Statistics Sweden, Statistics France, Statistics Germany, Statistics UK, Eurostat
of disposable income
Source: 1993- 2013 Eff, Pöyry. 2014-2015 NyAnalyse. Interest payments on new home loans with the home as collateral is considered
Building tools?
Free accounts include 100 API calls/year for testing.
Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.