Investor Presentation • Aug 22, 2017
Investor Presentation
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BAKKAFROST GROUP Oslo 22 August 2017
| ▪ Harvested 18,402 tgw in Q2 2017 (13,004 tgw in Q2 2016) |
|
|---|---|
| Operation | ▪ Feed sales of 17,032 tonnes in Q2 2017 (16,295 tonnes in Q2 2016) |
| ▪ Raw material purchase of 163,100 tonnes in Q2 2017 (83,970 tonnes in Q2 2016) |
|
| Revenues and | ▪ Revenues of DKK 1,206 million in Q2 2017 (DKK 790 million in Q2 2016) |
| Margins | ▪ Operational EBIT** of DKK 459 million in Q2 2017 (DKK 307 million in Q2 2016) |
| Cash Flow | ▪ Cash flow from operations of DKK 498 million in Q2 2017 (DKK 248 million in Q2 2016) |
| Segments | ▪ Positive results in Farming and FOF segments, while loss in VAP segment |
| Dividend | ▪ Dividend of DKK 8.70 per share (NOK 10.69) paid out in April 2017 |
*) Including internal sales of 16,012 tonnes in Q2 2017 (14,260 tonnes in Q2 2016)
**) EBIT before fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates, badwill and revenue tax
| (DKK million) | Q2 2017 |
Q2 2016 |
H1 2017 |
H1 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 1,206 | 790 | 2,060 | 1,694 |
| Operational EBITDA | 505 | 336 | 882 | 618 |
| Operational EBIT | 459 | 307 | 795 | 561 |
| Profit for the period | 398 | 224 | 477 | 437 |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 41.8% | 42.6% | 42.8% | 36.5% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 38.1% | 38.9% | 38.6% | 33.1% |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming) (NOK) | 33.50 | 34.47 | 33.71 | 32.68 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming and VAP) (NOK) | 29.77 | 27.88 | 29.51 | 27.76 |
| Operational EBIT/Kg (VAP) (NOK) | -13.01 | -18.37 | -14.88 | -15.07 |
| EBITDA margin (Fishmeal, -oil and feed) | 15.1% | 20.7% | 15.6% | 22.5% |
▪ SUMMARY OF Q2 2017
Same trend as in Q1 2017, sales to Europe and Eastern Europe increased, as sales to USA and Asia decreased
| Total sales of salmon by markets |
Q2 2017 |
Q2 2016 |
H1 2017 |
H1 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU | 46% | 39% | 46% | 39% |
| USA | 16% | 23% | 17% | 23% |
| Asia | 16% | 21% | 15% | 21% |
| Eastern Europe | 22% | 17% | 22% | 17% |
| Fresh salmon only by markets |
Q2 2017 |
Q2 2016 |
H1 2017 |
H1 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EU | 28% | 19% | 28% | 19% |
| USA | 21% | 30% | 23% | 29% |
| Asia | 22% | 28% | 20% | 29% |
| Eastern Europe | 29% | 23% | 29% | 23% |
▪ 3.2% reduced global supply in Q2 2017, compared with Q2 2016, corresponding to 14,900 tonnes
Global supply down 2.8% despite 3.9% increase in harvest
European supply decreased by 1.4%
American supply increased by 14.3%
| SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT |
Q2 2017 |
Q2 2016 |
Change % |
|---|---|---|---|
| SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT | Q2 2017 | Q2 2016 | Change % |
| Norway | 235 | 249 | -5.5 % |
| UK | 39 | 35 | 11.8 % |
| Ireland | 5 | 4 | 38.5 % |
| Faroes | 22 | 18 | 23.2 % |
| Total Europe | 301 | 305 | -1.4 % |
| Chile | 117 | 93 | 26.0 % |
| Canada | 30 | 35 | -14.4 % |
| USA | 5 | 5 | -1.8 % |
| Total Americas | 152 | 133 | 14.3 % |
| Other | 19 | 17 | 17.4 % |
| Total (Harvested quantity) | 473 | 455 | 3.9 % |
| Inventory movements | -10 | 22 | -143.9 % |
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 463 | 477 | -2.8 % |
▪ Q2 consumption decrease materially exceeded European supply decrease (1.4%)
▪ Strong demand despite high price environment
▪ No effect of the normalizing diplomatic relationship between Norway and China in the quarter
| Estimated volumes | Q2 comparison | Estimated volumes | YTD comparison | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markets | Q2 2017E | Q2 2016 | Volume | % | H2 2017 | H2 2016 | Volume | % |
| E U |
205,000 | 225,700 | -20,700 | -9.2% | 410,800 | 449,800 | -39,000 | -8.7% |
| USA | 95,900 | 95,400 | 500 | 0.5% | 193,800 | 198,400 | -4,600 | -2.3% |
| Russia | 13,100 | 12,600 | 500 | 4.0% | 27,200 | 31,400 | -4,200 | -13.4% |
| Japan | 14,300 | 12,400 | 1,900 | 15.3% | 28,200 | 27,300 | 900 | 3.3% |
| Greater China | 23,200 | 24,500 | -1,300 | -5.3% | 44,200 | 49,200 | -5,000 | -10.2% |
| ASEAN | 20,800 | 15,800 | 5,000 | 31.6% | 41,000 | 34,400 | 6,600 | 19.2% |
| Latin America | 31,400 | 30,700 | 700 | 2.3% | 66,200 | 74,400 | -8,200 | -11.0% |
| Ukraine | 2,500 | 2,100 | 400 | 19.0% | 5,500 | 4,300 | 1,200 | 27.9% |
| Other markets | 57,100 | 57,700 | -600 | -1.0% | 116,500 | 112,300 | 4,200 | 3.7% |
| Total all markets | 463,300 | 476,900 | -13,600 | -2.9 % | 933,400 | 981,500 | -48,100 | -4.9 % |
Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam) ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations (estimated re-export from Vietnam subtracted) Latin America (including both Mexico and Caribbean + domestic consumption in Chile) All figures above are in tonnes hog, and are rounded to the nearest 100 tonnes.
Salmon markets, sold quantity (head on gutted - HOG)
Source: Kontali
Source: Kontali
▪ Bakkafrost transferred 1.9 million smolts in Q2 2017 (1.9 million smolts in Q2 2016)
▪ Temperatures in Q2 2017 were in average 7.6oC, compared with 7.2oC in Q2 2016
| Harvest Volumes tonnes [HOG] |
Q2 2017 |
Q2 2016 |
H1 2017 |
H1 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Region | 13,581 | 8,904 | 22,705 | 10,413 |
| West Region | 4,821 | 4,100 | 8,855 | 13,525 |
| Total | 18,402 | 13,004 | 31,560 | 23,938 |
| (DKK million) | Q2 2017 |
Q2 2016 |
H1 2017 |
H1 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 1,039 | 752 | 1,790 | 1,453 |
| Operational EBIT | 489 | 358 | 863 | 619 |
| Operational EBIT margin | 47% | 48% | 48% | 43% |
33.50 34.47 33.71 32.68 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 Q2 2017 Q2 2016 H1 2017 H1 2016
| (NOK/kg) | Q2 2017 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Region |
West Region |
Farming | ||
| Operational EBIT/kg gw | 35.01 | 29.23 | 33.50 |
| (DKK million) | Q2 2017 |
Q2 2016 |
H1 2017 |
H1 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 273 | 187 | 464 | 367 |
| Operational EBIT | -54 | -68 | -108 | -93 |
| Operational EBIT margin | -20% | -36% | -23% | -25% |
| VAP produced volumes (tgw) |
5,273 | 4,664 | 8,909 | 7,824 |
▪ Havsbrún sourced 163,100 tonnes of raw material in Q2 2017, compared with 83,970 tonnes in Q2 2016
* Including sales to Bakkafrost, corresponding to ~94% of feed volumes in Q2 2017 (Q2 2016: 88%)
| (DKK million) | Q2 2017 |
Q2 2016 |
H1 2017 |
H1 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 317 | 220 | 594 | 508 |
| EBITDA | 48 | 45 | 93 | 114 |
| EBITDA margin | 15.1% | 20.7% | 15.6% | 22.5% |
| Feed sold (tonnes)* | 17,032 | 16,295 | 36,859 | 30,749 |
| Fishmeal sold external (tonnes) | 17,941 | 4,063 | 25,504 | 15,779 |
Volumes of raw material purchase and feed sale [tonnes]
| (DKK million) | Q2 2017 |
Q2 2016 |
H1 2017 |
H1 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 1,206 | 790 | 2,060 | 1,694 |
| Operational EBITDA* | 505 | 336 | 882 | 618 |
| Operational EBIT* | 459 | 307 | 795 | 561 |
| Fair value adjustment of biological assets | 55 | -29 | -180 | 78 |
| Onerous contracts | 25 | 23 | 55 | -37 |
| Income from associates | -2 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| Revenue tax | -45 | -30 | -76 | -52 |
| EBIT | 491 | 278 | 594 | 559 |
| Net Financial items | -5 | -6 | -11 | -27 |
| EBT | 486 | 272 | 583 | 532 |
| Taxes | -88 | -48 | -106 | -95 |
| Profit for the period | 398 | 224 | 477 | 437 |
| Operational EBITDA margin | 41.8% | 42.6% | 42.8% | 36.5% |
| Operational EBIT margin | 38.1% | 38.9% | 38.6% | 33.1% |
| Operational EBIT/kg (Farming and VAP) (NOK) | 29.77 | 27.88 | 29.51 | 27.76 |
| EBITDA margin (fishmeal, -oil and feed) | 15.1% | 20.7% | 15.6% | 22.5% |
* Operational EBITDA and EBIT adjusted for fair value adjustment of biomass, onerous contracts, income from associates, badwill and revenue tax.
Operational EBIT (DKK million)
Earnings per share (DKK)
*) EBIT before fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates, badwill and revenue tax
| (DKK million) | End H1 2017 |
End H1 2016 |
End 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 377 | 295 | 377 |
| Property, plant and equipment | 2,380 | 1,793 | 2,118 |
| Financial assets | 59 | 136 | 59 |
| Long term receivables | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Biological assets | 1,544 | 1,036 | 1,858 |
| Inventory | 460 | 485 | 356 |
| Receivables | 326 | 241 | 292 |
| Other receivables | 134 | 183 | 110 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 353 | 174 | 235 |
| Total Assets | 5,633 | 4,343 | 5,418 |
| Equity | 3,599 | 2,634 | 3,549 |
| Deferred tax and other taxes | 648 | 445 | 546 |
| Long-term interest bearing debt | 476 | 737 | 827 |
| Financial derivatives | 118 | 114 | 101 |
| Short-term interest bearing debt | 388 | 0 | 0 |
| Accounts and other payables | 404 | 413 | 395 |
| Total Equity and Liabilities | 5,633 | 4,343 | 5,418 |
| (DKK million) | Q2 2017 |
Q2 2016 |
H1 2017 |
H1 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash flow from operations | 498 | 248 | 863 | 493 |
| Cash flow from investments | -170 | -198 | -349 | -317 |
| Cash flow from financing | -474 | -197 | -396 | -103 |
| Net change in cash | -146 | -147 | 118 | 72 |
| Cash at the end of the period | 353 | 174 | 353 | 174 |
| Undrawn facilities | 719 | 643 | 719 | 643 |
▪ APPENDIX
▪ Global supply in 2017 expected to increase around 2%, compared to 2016
▪ Forecast for feed sales in 2017 is 85,000 tonnes
▪ Contracted around 58% of expected harvest for the rest of 2017
▪ Negative supply growth of 5% in H1 2017 will turn into supply growth of 8-10% in H2 2017
| Global Supply of Atlantic Salmon (head on gutted - HOG) | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017E | 2018E | |||||||
| Norway | 1.076 | 1.112 | 1.055 | 1.080 | 1.151 | ||||||
| UK | 153 | 150 | 142 | 157 | 159 | ||||||
| Ireland | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | ||||||
| Faroes | 75 | 69 | 66 | 72 | 74 | ||||||
| Total Europe | 1.316 | 1.345 | 1.277 | 1.324 | 1.400 | ||||||
| Chile | 508 | 529 | 503 | 488 | 538 | ||||||
| Canada | 86 | 122 | 128 | 124 | 131 | ||||||
| USA | 22 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 19 | ||||||
| Total Americas | 615 | 669 | 651 | 631 | 689 | ||||||
| Other | 54 | 64 | 64 | 74 | 84 | ||||||
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 1.985 | 2.079 | 1.992 | 2.029 | 2.173 | ||||||
| Supply growth - Global | 8% | 5% | -4% | 2% | 7% | ||||||
| Supply growth - Europe | 6% | 2% | -5% | 4% | 6% | ||||||
| Supply growth - Americas | 14% | 9% | -3% | -3% | 9% |
| Salmon Markets (head on gutted - HOG) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017E | 2018E | ||||
| E U |
916 | 980 | 949 | 929 | 1.009 | |||
| USA | 331 | 374 | 372 | 401 | 428 | |||
| Japan | 58 | 54 | 59 | 61 | 66 | |||
| Russia | 131 | 96 | 69 | 61 | 65 | |||
| Others | 550 | 576 | 544 | 577 | 605 | |||
| Total (Sold Quantity) | 1.986 | 2.080 | 1.993 | 2.029 | 2.173 |
All figures are in hog-equivalents and thousand tonnes.
Figures represent sold quantity of Atlantic Salmon from each producing country
Source: Kontali
| MARKET CURRENCY | Q2 2017 | Q2 2016 Change % |
|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq Norway (EUR) | 7.22 | 6.85 5.3 % |
| UB North East US 12-14lb HOG (USD per kg) | 8.61 | 8.73 -1.3 % |
| DKK | Q2 2017 | Q2 2016 Change % |
| Nasdaq Norway | 53.70 | 51.00 5.3 % |
| UB North East US 12-14lb HOG (per kg) | 58.12 | 57.51 1.1 % |
All figures are in hog-equivalents and thousand tonnes.
Figures represent sold quantity of Atlantic Salmon from each producing country
Source: Kontali
BAKKAFROST / Q2 2017 PRESENTATION Page 30
Investments will be made step by step in the relevant parts of the value chain to secure:
590 570 360 410 280 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Farming Hatcheries Harvest/VAP FOF Investment Programme 2016 – 2020 (mDKK)
| (mDKK) | Q2 2017 |
Q1 2017 |
Q4 2016 |
Q3 2016 |
Q2 2016 |
Q1 2016 |
Q4 2015 |
Q3 2015 |
Q2 2015 |
Q1 2015 |
Q4 2014 |
Q3 2014 |
Q2 2014 |
Q1 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1,206 | 854 | 868 | 640 | 790 | 905 | 760 | 677 | 800 | 613 | 757 | 584 | 711 | 631 |
| Operational EBIT |
459 | 335 | 350 | 255 | 307 | 254 | 257 | 206 | 303 | 235 | 227 | 209 | 212 | 186 |
| Profit/Loss | 398 | 79 | 555 | 347 | 224 | 213 | 319 | 168 | 191 | 132 | 222 | 211 | 126 | 87 |
| Harvest (tgw) | 18,402 | 13,158 | 12,940 | 10,664 | 13,004 | 10,934 | 13,675 | 12,982 | 14,182 | 9,726 | 12,651 | 10,881 | 11,212 | 9,269 |
| Op. EBIT Farming & VAP (NOK/kg) | 29.77 | 29.40 | 32.00 | 28.97 | 27.88 | 27.55 | 21.83 | 18.10 | 22.62 | 26.12 | 19.48 | 19.73 | 17.66 | 21.37 |
| Equity ratio |
64% | 65% | 66% | 63% | 61% | 66% | 66% | 63% | 61% | 61% | 60% | 57% | 53% | 57% |
| NIBD | 560 | 459 | 635 | 504 | 603 | 218 | 391 | 182 | 302 | 227 | 233 | 357 | 555 | 503 |
Turnover for the Bakkafrost Group has increased from 820 mDKK in 2010 to 3.2 bDKK in 2016.
Operational EBIT for the Bakkafrost Group has increased from 247 mDKK in 2010 to 1.2 bDKK in 2016.
The margin in Farming was NOK 34.50 per kg in 2016.
The margin in VAP was NOK -13.82 per kg in 2016.
• Dividend for 2016 of DKK 8.70 (NOK 10.36) per share is paid out in Q2 2017
* Adj. EPS is EPS adjusted for fair value adjustments of biomass and onerous contracts provisions
Dividend per share in % of adj. EPS *
| No of shares | Account name | type | Citizenship | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.594.437 | 9,4% | Jacobsen Oddvør | FRO | |
| 4.494.174 | 9,2% | JACOBSEN JOHAN REGIN | FRO | |
| 3.681.562 | 7,5% | Nordea Bank AB Denmark Branch, CCA | NOM | DNK |
| 3.322.931 | 6,8% | FOLKETRYGDFONDET | NOR | |
| 1.460.757 | 3,0% | CLEARSTREAM BANKING | NOM | LUX |
| 1.413.660 | 2,9% | VERDIPAPIRFONDET DNB | NOR | |
| 1.073.369 | 2,2% | SWEDBANK ROBUR SMABO NORDEN | SWE | |
| 947.648 | 1,9% | JPMorgan Chase Bank, S/A NON-TREATY LENDI | NOM | GBR |
| 873.587 | 1,8% | Skandinaviska Enskil SEB AB, UCITS V - Sw | NOM | SWE |
| 700.000 | 1,4% | VERDIPAPIRFONDET HAN NORGE | NOR | |
| 638.129 | 1,3% | State Street Bank an A/C EXEMPT LUX REGI | NOM | USA |
| 514.560 | 1,1% | JPMorgan Chase Bank, A/C VANGUARD BBH LEN | NOM | USA |
| 502.726 | 1,0% | NORDEA NORDIC FUND | FIN | |
| 478.139 | 1,0% | VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALF | NOR | |
| 464.966 | 1,0% | SEB NORDENFOND Skandinaviska Enskil | SWE | |
| 464.775 | 1,0% | KLP AKSJENORGE INDEK | NOR | |
| 458.745 | 0,9% | UBS Switzerland AG A/C OMNIBUS-DISCLOSE | NOM | CHE |
| 444.298 | 0,9% | J.P. Morgan Bank Lux JPML SA RE CLT ASSET | NOM | LUX |
| 430.864 | 0,9% | STOREBRAND NORGE I V JPMORGAN EUROPE LTD, | NOR | |
| 430.000 | 0,9% | MONTANARO EURO SMALL BNY MELLON SA/NV | IRL | |
| 27.389.327 | 56,1% | |||
| 48.858.065 | 100 | Total number of shares as per 15. Aug 2017 | ||
| 241.123 | 0,7 | Wherof own shares | ||
| 48.616.942 | 99,3 | Total number of outstanding shares | ||
Share development
http://www.bakkafrost.com/en/frontpage/
BAKKAFROST / Q2 2017 PRESENTATION Page 37
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