Q2 2017 results and market update
Disclaimer
All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. Certain such forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "believe", "may", "will", "should", "would be", "expect" or "anticipate" or similar expressions, or the negative thereof, or other variations thereof, or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans or intentions. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this presentation as anticipated, believed or expected. Prosafe does not intend, and does not assume any obligation to update any industry information or forward-looking statements set forth in this presentation to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.
Agenda
Highlights
- Financial results and guidance
- Plan the work work the plan
- Status and outlook
- Summary
Highlights
- Good operating performance
- Safety focus zero mindset no compromise
- Utilisation of 38.5 per cent in the quarter
- Q3 event: Safe Notos off hire for 35 days for preventative repair and maintenance of gangway
- Safe Boreas commenced firm 13 month contract early August for Statoil at Mariner in the UK
- Statoil nominated the firm 12 month period with the earliest start-up date (June 2018) for Safe Zephyrus at Johan Sverdrup field in Norway
- Delivering on cost and capex reductions. Focus on continuous improvement remains
- Positioning TSV Safe Scandinavia towards and beyond summer 2018 for strategic optionality based on vessel's unique characteristics in drilling and well support operations
- Safe Regency the 5th vessel sold for scrap to preserve cash and to high-grade the fleet
- Looking for optionality and value creation potential from financing terms, price and timing of delivery of COSCO new builds. Stand-still and termination right extended to December 2017
Agenda
- Highlights
- Financial results and guidance
- Plan the work work the plan
- Status and outlook
- Summary
Income statement
| (Unaudited figures in USD million) |
Q2 17 |
Q1 17 |
Q2 16 |
6M 17 |
6M 16 |
2016 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Operating revenues |
61.7 |
75.7 |
115.4 |
137.4 |
218.4 |
474.0 |
| Operating expenses |
(37.3) |
(44.9) |
(53.8) |
(82.2) |
(111.5) |
(220.8) |
| EBITDA |
24.4 |
30.8 |
61.6 |
55.2 |
106.9 |
253.2 |
| Depreciation |
(33.8) |
(33.4) |
(29.1) |
(67.2) |
(52.5) |
(115.7) |
| Impairment |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
(84.7) |
| Operating profit/(loss) |
(9.4) |
(2.6) |
32.5 |
(12.0) |
54.4 |
52.8 |
| Interest income |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
| Interest expenses |
(18.0) |
(18.6) |
(18.6) |
(36.6) |
(38.5) |
(85.6) |
| Other financial items |
(4.9) |
3.6 |
(7.9) |
(1.3) |
(8.3) |
222.2 |
| Net financial items |
(22.5) |
(14.9) |
(26.4) |
(37.4) |
(46.7) |
136.9 |
| Profit/(Loss) before taxes |
(31.9) |
(17.5) |
6.1 |
(49.4) |
7.7 |
189.7 |
| Taxes |
(1.1) |
(1.6) |
(0.9) |
(2.7) |
(4.3) |
(17.1) |
| Net profit/(loss) |
(33.0) |
(19.1) |
5.2 |
(52.1) |
3.4 |
172.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| EPS |
(0.46) |
(0.27) |
0.02 |
(0.73) |
0.01 |
8.36 |
| Diluted EPS |
(0.38) |
(0.22) |
0.02 |
(0.59) |
0.01 |
8.10 |
Balance sheet
| (Unaudited figures in USD million) |
30.06.17 |
31.03.17 |
31.12.16 |
30.06.16 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Goodwill |
226.7 |
226.7 |
226.7 |
226.7 |
| Vessels |
1 967.0 |
1 997.8 |
2 029.3 |
1 559.0 |
| New builds |
124.9 |
123.3 |
122.2 |
654.9 |
| Other non-current assets |
12.3 |
13.9 |
13.9 |
4.3 |
| Total non-current assets |
2 330.9 |
2 361.7 |
2 392.1 |
2 444.9 |
| Cash and deposits |
218.8 |
250.6 |
205.7 |
68.2 |
| Other current assets |
41.6 |
43.5 |
89.1 |
86.6 |
| Total current assets |
260.4 |
294.1 |
294.8 |
154.8 |
| Total assets |
2 591.3 |
2 655.8 |
2 686.9 |
2 599.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Share capital |
7.9 |
7.9 |
7.9 |
72.1 |
| Other equity |
1 077.4 |
1 106.3 |
1 121.6 |
606.4 |
| Total equity |
1 085.3 |
1 114.2 |
1 129.5 |
678.5 |
| Interest-free long-term liabilities |
68.2 |
61.1 |
62.2 |
98.4 |
| Interest-bearing long-term debt |
1 335.7 |
1 336.3 |
1 342.9 |
1 520.7 |
| Total long-term liabilities |
1 403.9 |
1 397.4 |
1 405.1 |
1 619.1 |
| Other interest-free current liabilities |
84.2 |
96.3 |
104.4 |
106.1 |
| Current portion of long-term debt |
17.9 |
47.9 |
47.9 |
196.0 |
| Total current liabilities |
102.1 |
144.2 |
152.3 |
302.1 |
| Total equity and liabilities |
2 591.3 |
2 655.8 |
2 686.9 |
2 599.7 |
EBITDA and capex guidance
| Current guidance |
|
| 2017 EBITDA |
Ca. MUSD 120 1) |
| Capex per year |
2) MUSD 10-15 |
|
|
1) May vary with currency movements 2) Incl. SPS for the Safe Caledonia
Agenda
- Highlights
- Financial results and guidance
- Plan the work – work the plan
- Status and outlook
- Summary
TSV Safe Scandinavia – Westcon dispute
- Court proceedings commenced 22 August 2017
- The yard's budget for the work matured to approx. NOK 1.07 billion after several revisions
- Total cost claimed by yard approx. NOK 2.4 billion
- Prosafe has already paid approx. NOK 2.1 billion
- Yard has claimed additional approx. NOK 300 million*
- Prosafe has claimed:
- Re-payments of approx. NOK 300 million*
- And compensation for losses in connection with delayed start-up of contract
- Expect ruling before year-end
- * excl. interest and legal cost
Contributing to fleet renewal and high-grading
Fleet renewal – controlling 3 new builds at COSCO
- Negotiations with COSCO regarding Nova, Vega and Eurus ongoing
- The standstill agreement between Prosafe and COSCO related to Safe Nova and Safe Vega has been extended until December 2017
- Looking for optionality and value creation potential from financing terms, price and timing of delivery
- Solid downside protection (Nova and Vega) in cancellation rights with approx. USD 60 million secured by a refund guarantee from Bank of China
Protecting the runway
- Good cash flow generation
- Reduced cost and capex
- Cash neutral at EBITDA of approx. USD 100 million1)
1) 2017 is, however, impacted by USD 30 million repayment of sellers credit to Jurong in June. On the RCF, MUSD 30 was prepaid in Q4 2016 and utilised for a bank guarantee (BG). If and when this BG is deleted, the company will have MUSD 30 available under the RCF to draw.
Agenda
- Highlights
- Financial results and guidance
- Plan the work work the plan
- Status and outlook
- Summary
Johan Sverdrup contract - building order book and longevity
- Will provide longevity of operations for the Safe Zephyrus and generate firm cash flow in a soft market
- Statoil has nominated the 12 month firm period with start-up 1 June 2018 +/- 30 days
- Firm contract value of MUSD 53 and this includes mobilisation, demobilisation and fuel consumption
- The contract is anticipated to position Safe Zephyrus well for any additional work for the Johan Sverdrup development
TSV Safe Scandinavia
- Firm contract with Statoil till summer 2018 at Oseberg on the NCS
- Strong operational and technical performance
- Drilling program well ahead of plan
- Focus on Safety & Compliance
- Focus on positioning the TSV Safe Scandinavia towards and beyond 2018
- Unique vessel characteristics and drilling support experience gained provide strategic optionality and value creation opportunities in the medium to long term
Contract portfolio Firm order book at end Q2 2017 of approx. MUSD 443
Outlook
- For the near term, continued oil price volatility and low E&P spending are causing uncertainty
- In the longer term, a combination of cost reduction, the low reserve replacement ratios and accumulating work related to producing and ageing infrastructure is expected to contribute to increased spending and activity
- Falling capex per barrel should be positive for sanctioning of new projects medium to longer term
Prospects and tendering
- The near term market activity in terms of bidding is reduced compared to April this year
- Compared to April, some tenders, like Johan Sverdrup has been awarded and some tenders have been cancelled
- Current tenders predominantly outside the North Sea
- However the prospect list with a threeyear look-out remains at a relatively high level
- High number of potential projects going to tender in the North Sea in the next three years
Tenders and Prospects - outlook is generally three years
P90, P50 and P10 are prospects probability of moving to a tender. Source: Prosafe
Proactive in restructuring of industry
Position and strategy
- Prosafe is restructured financially and organisationally
- Cost and capex reductions protect runway in a lower for longer scenario
- 69% of current order book available for 2018 onwards
- Prosafe is well positioned across a global market
- TSV niche and bespoke characteristics of the TSV provide strategic optionality
- Anticipated scrapping and consolidation globally will lead to a more balanced industry
- Prosafe continues to be proactive in restructuring of the industry
Agenda
- Highlights
- Financial results and guidance
- Plan the work work the plan
- Status and outlook
Summary
Summary
- Good operating performance
- Safety focus – zero mindset – no compromise
- Utilisation of 38.5 per cent in the quarter
- Q3 event: Safe Notos off hire for 35 days for preventative repair and maintenance of gangway
- Safe Boreas commenced firm 13 month contract early August
- Statoil nominated the firm 12 month period with the earliest start-up date (June 2018) for Safe Zephyrus at Johan Sverdrup field in Norway
- Delivering on cost and capex reductions. Focus on continuous improvement remains
- Positioning TSV Safe Scandinavia towards and beyond summer 2018 for strategic optionality based on vessel's unique characteristics in drilling and well support operations
- Safe Regency the 5th vessel sold for scrap to preserve cash and to high-grade the fleet
- Looking for optionality and value creation potential from financing terms, price and timing of delivery of COSCO new builds. Stand-still and termination right extended to December 17
- Continue to be proactive in industry restructuring
Appendix
Operating revenue
| (USD million) |
Q2 17 |
Q1 17 |
Q2 16 |
6M 17 |
6M 16 |
2016 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Charter income |
56.3 |
66.3 |
109.1 |
122.6 |
165.3 |
375.5 |
| Mob/demob income |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
2.4 |
14.4 |
34.0 |
| Other income |
4.1 |
8.3 |
5.8 |
12.4 |
38.7 |
64.5 |
| Total |
61.7 |
75.7 |
115.4 |
137.4 |
218.4 |
474.0 |
Update on vessel's cost per day
CPD in operation being reduced by an average of ca. 30% since 2014
Opex (CPD k/d)* (figures in USD) |
NCS/UK |
NCS (TSV) |
UKCS |
Brazil |
|
DP |
Moored |
Moored |
DP |
| 2014 |
75-80/60-65 |
100-105 |
50-55 |
60-65 |
| 2017e |
60-65/40-45 |
85-90 |
30-35 |
40-45 |
| % reduction |
19%/32% |
15% |
38% |
32% |
* Excl. fuel cost, any additional crew and project related costs
Stacking CPD (k/d) (figures in USD) |
High-spec vessels 1) (cold/warm) |
Low-spec vessels 1) (cold/warm) |
August 2016 estimate |
15-30 |
5-10 |
| From Q3 2017 |
10-20 |
5-10 |
1) Will depend on location and duration and cold/warm/hot stack
Update on cost and capex
|
2011-2015 annual average levels |
Initial target levels |
Run rate (May 2017) |
| Offshore opex1) |
USD 180m |
USD 140 – 150m |
USD 130 – 140m |
| Onshore opex |
USD 40m |
USD 28-30m (-25-30%) |
USD 22m (-45%) |
Annual fleet capex2) |
USD 60m |
USD 20-30m |
USD 10-15m |
Headcount reduction (in %) |
|
35-40% onshore |
Ca. 50% onshore. Offshore pending vessel activity – 20-35% |
1) Will to some extent be affected by activity level
2) Excluding new-builds and conversions, updated from Q2 presentation
Order book Firm order book at end Q2 2017 of approx. MUSD 443
Firm contracts