Earnings Release • Nov 9, 2017
Earnings Release
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Oslo 9 November 2017 Baard Schumann, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO
HIGHLIGHTS
379 NOK million
Equity ratio
per cent
Bjerke, Oslo
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
*Total columns show Selvaag Bolig's gross sales **Columns excluding dotted areas show Selvaag Bolig's net sales
Hovinenga, Oslo
*Down from 87% as of Q2 due to a new project added that will be completed in 2018
▪ Expected completions for 2018 as of Q3 17: 850 units
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP)
Note: Amounts below NOK 5m are excluded from the cash flow overview
239
Cash and cash equivalents at 30 September 2017
| Book value decreased by NOK 1.0 ▪ |
Balance sheet composition | |
|---|---|---|
| to NOK 28.6 per share | NOK million | |
| Equity ratio 42.4% ▪ H1 17 dividend payment of NOK 1.20 per share ▪ |
7 000 | |
| Changes from Q2 2017: ▪ |
6 000 | Non-current assets |
| Inventories increased by NOK 160m ▪ |
5 000 | |
| Trade receivables increased by NOK 33m ▪ |
4 000 | |
| Cash decreased by NOK 102m ▪ |
3 000 | Current assets |
| Prepayments from customer's accounts ▪ for NOK 477m of other current non |
2 000 | |
| interest-bearing liabilities | 1 000 | |
| 0 | Cash | |
15
| Drawn at 30 Sep. (NOKm) |
Interest rate margin |
|---|---|
| 0 | 2.90% |
| 17 | 2.00% |
| 1 193 |
2.00% - 2.50% |
| 1 287 | 1.75% - 2.70% |
Total Q2 2017 net interest-bearing debt NOK 1 929 million
NOK million
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA
** Based on equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA
MARKET
Second-hand – average
New homes (not built)
*Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 9 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge, Finn.no and Selvaag Bolig
MARKET
*Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 3 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi
MARKET
Source: Røisland & Co
Number of units completed in Oslo, 2001-2016
Second hand market: Stavanger, Sola, Randaberg and Sandnes New homes market: Stavanger
Second-hand (Stavanger only) – average
New homes (not built)
▪ Units available for sale (31.10): ~ 280
Sources: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge, Finn.no and Selvaag Bolig
Second-hand – average
New homes (not built)
▪ Units available for sale (31.10): ~ 1 000
*Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 9 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge, Finn.no and Selvaag Bolig
MARKET
Second-hand – average
New homes (not built)
▪ Units available for sale (31.10): ~ 1 100
*Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 9 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge, Finn.no and Selvaag Bolig
Housing types Selvaag Bolig: flats, semi-detached and terraced homes Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
Hovinenga, Oslo
Next event: 4 th quarter 2017 13 February 2018
The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 40 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.
The company will maintain an equity ratio of minimum 30 per cent
Selvaag Bolig's aim is to manage the group's resources so that shareholders secure a return in the form of dividend and the rise in the share price. This return will be competitive with other investments.
The company's goal is to pay dividends twice a year totalling up to 50 per cent of its net profit
Previous dividend policy New dividend policy
SHARE INFORMATION
| $%$ share |
|---|
| 53.5% |
|---|
| 5.6% |
| 2.9% |
| $2.3\%$ |
| 2.2% |
| $1.8\%$ |
| $1.8\%$ |
| 2.0% |
| $1.6\%$ |
| 1.3% |
| 1.3% |
| $1.3\%$ |
| $1.1\%$ |
| $0.9\%$ |
| $0.9\%$ |
| $0.6\%$ |
| $0.6\%$ |
| $0.6\%$ |
| $0.5\%$ |
| $0.5\%$ |
| 83.4% |
| 16.6% |
| 100.0% |
| Shareholder | # of shares | % share |
|---|---|---|
| SELVAAG GRUPPEN AS | 50 180 087 | 53.5% |
| SKANDINAVISKA ENSKILDA BANKEN AB *) | 5 278 334 | 5.6% |
| MORGAN STANLEY & CO. INT. PLC. *) | 2 752 820 | 2.9% |
| SELVAAG BOLIG ASA **) | 2 150 794 | 2.3% |
| PARETO AS | 2 065 624 | 2.2% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT | 1 696 000 | 1.8% |
| HOLBERG NORGE | 1 669 764 | 1.8% |
| HOLBERG NORDEN | 1 919 004 | 2.0% |
| SEB PRIME SOLUTIONS SISSENER CANOP | 1 502 510 | 1.6% |
| FLPS - ALL SECTOR SUB |
1 221 000 | 1.3% |
| STATE STREET BANK AND TRUST COMP *) | 1 216 135 | 1.3% |
| HOLTA INVEST AS | 1 200 000 | 1.3% |
| REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHI | 1 045 000 | 1.1% |
| JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON *) | 858 932 | 0.9% |
| VERDIPAPIRFONDET ALFRED BERG GAMBA | 811 201 | 0.9% |
| STOREBRAND NORGE I VERDIPAPIRFOND | 599 932 | 0.6% |
| BANAN II AS | 555 190 | 0.6% |
| JPMORGAN CHASE BANK, N.A., LONDON *) | 519 073 | 0.6% |
| TORSTEIN TVENGE | 500 000 | 0.5% |
| BAARD SCHUMANN | 480 937 | 0.5% |
| TOTAL 20 LARGEST SHAREHOLDERS | 78 222 337 | 83.4% |
| OTHER SHAREHOLDERS | 15 543 351 | 16.6% |
| TOTAL NUMBER OF SHARES | 93 765 688 | 100.0% |
* Updated shareholder list and further information regarding nominee accounts are presented at: http://sboasa.no/en/Aksjeinformasjon/Aksjonarer.aspx ** The shares were purchased for the company's share programmes for employees
Book value at time of valuation (Nov 2016)
Eiendom
NOK million
▪ Delivery in accordance with expectations
Delivery to customers
▪ Purchase and payment of land takes place after zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the purchase is cancelled
▪ SBO is in charge of the zoning process
▪ Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal made by three external consultants at the time of zoning approval
▪ The median valuation is used as purchase price
▪ Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority of revenue before construction
▪ 10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of sale, and proof of financing for the remaining amount is required
▪ Construction contracts with solid counterparties are made with fixed price
▪ Project costs are secured before construction starts
Competitive housing offering, targeting growth regions
Efficient and flexible cost structure
Capital-efficient business model backed by strong balance sheet
Large, actively-managed land bank
| (figures in NOK million) | Q3 2017 | Q3 2016 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating revenues | 379.4 | 387.3 | 3 000.3 |
| Project expenses | (297.4) | (282.7) | (2 379.7) |
| Other operating expenses | (52.5) | (54.9) | (231.2) |
| Other gains (loss) | - | 31.6 | 31.7 |
| Associated companies and joint ventures | (3.3) | 2.3 | (7.1) |
| EBITDA | 26.1 | 83.5 | 414.0 |
| Depreciation and amortisation | (1.0) | (6.1) | (20.1) |
| EBIT | 25.1 | 77.5 | 393.9 |
| Net financial expenses | (5.1) | (9.8) | (29.3) |
| Profit/(loss) before taxes | 20.1 | 67.7 | 364.6 |
| Income taxes | (3.7) | (8.5) | (63.7) |
| Net income | 16.4 | 59.2 | 300.9 |
| Net income for the period attributable to: | |||
| Non-controlling interests | (0.0) | 0.0 | (0.3) |
| Shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA |
16.4 | 59.1 | 301.2 |
| 2016 | Q3 2016 |
|---|---|
| 440.3 | (223.8) |
| (14.8) | 6.8 |
| (211.5) | 79.8 |
| 213.9 672.3 886.2 |
(137.2) 880.5 743.3 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Q3 2017 | Q3 2016 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net cash flow from operating activities | (163.4) | (223.8) | 440.3 |
| Net cash flow from investment activities | (45.7) | 6.8 | (14.8) |
| Net cash flow from financing activities | 107.2 | 79.8 | (211.5) |
| Net change in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at start of period Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
(102.0) 341.1 239.1 |
(137.2) 880.5 743.3 |
213.9 672.3 886.2 |
44
| Q3 2017 | Q3 2016 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|
| 383.4 | 383.4 | 383.4 |
| 8.5 | 11.8 | 10.9 |
| 307.6 | 279.5 | 289.8 |
| 372.1 | 259.4 | 261.1 |
| 1 071.5 | 934.1 | 945.1 |
| 4 778.8 | 4 390.4 | 4 284.0 |
| 1 682.4 | 1 434.7 | 1 437.3 |
| 2 866.5 | 2 653.5 | 2 579.7 |
| 229.9 | 302.3 | 267.1 |
| 247.9 | 139.7 | 293.3 |
| 239.1 | 743.3 | 886.2 |
| 5 265.8 | 5 273.5 | 5 463.5 |
| 6 337.4 | 6 207.6 | 6 408.7 |
| 2 689.9 | ||
| 9.4 | 9.2 | 9.3 |
| 2 688.7 | 2 586.8 | 2 699.2 |
| 1 923.0 | 2 145.4 | 2 038.7 |
| 167.5 | 202.9 | 167.1 |
| 2 090.4 | 2 348.2 | 2 205.8 |
| 573.7 | 301.7 | 534.7 |
| 984.6 | 970.8 | 969.1 |
| 1 558.3 | 1 272.5 | 1 503.7 |
| 6 337.4 | 6 207.6 | 6 408.7 |
| 2 679.2 | 2 577.6 |
Units
4 300
| Q3 16 | Q4 16 | Q1 17 | Q2 17 | Q3 17 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of units sold | 277 | 161 | 190 | 165 | 178 |
| Number of construction starts | 223 | 196 | 186 | 318 | 77 |
| Number of units completed | 103 | 255 | 63 | 210 | 81 |
| Number of units delivered | 129 | 254 | 85 | 222 | 75 |
| Number of units under construction | 1 464 | 1 356 | 1 479 | 1 586 | 1 582 |
| Proportion of sold units under construction | 90% | 85% | 86% | 78% | 78% |
| Number of completed unsold units | 48 | 43 | 32 | 24 | 30 |
| Sales value of units under construction (NOK million) | 5 775 | 5 709 | 6 340 | 7 074 | 7 047 |
| Number of employees | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| (29.2) | 26.1 |
|---|---|
| (3.3) | |
| (39.1) | (52.5) |
| (0.1) | (297.4) |
| 10.0 | 379.4 |
| Other | Total |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFRS EBITDA for the quarter, per segment | |||
| Operating revenues | 369.3 | 10.0 | 379.4 |
| Project expenses | (297.3) | (0.1) | (297.4) |
| Other operating expenses |
(13.4) | (39.1) | (52.5) |
| Share of income (losses) from associated companies and joint ventures | (3.3) | - | (3.3) |
| Other gain (loss), net |
- | - | - |
| EBITDA | 55.3 | (29.2) | 26.1 |
| (figures in NOK million) |
Property development | Other | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating revenues | 487.6 | 10.0 | 497.7 |
| Project expenses | (342.1) | (0.1) | (332.2) |
| Other operating expenses | (13.4) | (39.1) | (52.5) |
| EBITDA (percentage of completion) | 132.1 | (29.2) | 102.9 |
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
Sources: Plansamarbeidet Oslo-Akershus, Selvaag Bolig Note: The figures are not adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's interest in joint ventures
50
MARKET
Source: OECD, Prognosesenteret
Household debt in % of net disposable income (2015) Homeownership rate (2016)
Source: Statistics Norway Greater Oslo municipalities include: Ski, Ås, Oppegård, Bærum, Asker, Lørenskog, Skedsmo, Ullensaker
▪ Rapid population growth in Oslo followed by stable development
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