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Scatec ASA

Investor Presentation Jan 26, 2018

3737_rns_2018-01-26_a141a5de-c4ec-44a1-9a62-8bb57dd263b0.pdf

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Fourth quarter 2017

Oslo, January 26, 2018

Our values

Predictable Driving results Changemakers Working together

Disclaimer

The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such presentation may lawfully be communicated ('relevant persons'). Any person who is not a relevant person should not rely, act or make assessment on the basis of this presentation or anything included therein.

The following presentation may include information related to investments made and key commercial terms thereof, including future returns. Such information cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions. This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Scatec Solar ASA or any company within the Scatec Solar Group. This presentation contains statements regarding the future in connection with the Scatec Solar Group's growth initiatives, profit figures, outlook, strategies and objectives as well as forward looking statements and any such information or forward-looking statements regarding the future and/or the Scatec Solar Group's expectations are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, and many factors can lead to actual profits and developments deviating substantially from what has been expressed or implied in such statements.

  • Highlights Raymond Carlsen, CEO
  • Financials Mikkel Tørud, CFO
  • Project Development Terje Pilskog, EVP Project Development
  • Outlook Raymond Carlsen, CEO

Ramping up construction & capturing new opportunities

  • Q4'17 proportionate revenues of NOK 438 million and EBITDA of NOK 106 million
  • Construction under way in Malaysia, Brazil and Honduras
  • Financial close reached for 400 MW in Egypt
  • 40 MW in Malaysia added directly to the backlog
  • Successful issuance of NOK 750 million green bond
  • Board of Directors propose 2017 dividends of NOK 0.78 per share – up 10 percent from 2016

Delivery of materials at the 162 MW Apodi site in Brazil

Financial close for 800 MW – prepared for growth

2017 achievements:

  • Strong financials across all segments
  • Construction start and/or financial close for 794 MW:
  • 197 MW in Malaysia, 162 MW in Brazil
  • 35 MW in Honduras, 400 MW in Egypt
  • Solid traction on business development across emerging markets – 3.5 GW of project pipeline and opportunities
  • Established new partnerships including Africa50 and Statoil
  • Secured corporate funding to support growth plans
  • New equity, refinancing of bond, expanded bank group

SSO's proportionate financials:

(NOK million) 2016 2017
Revenues 1,174 1,668
EBITDA 376 792
EBIT 147 632

SSO's share of cash flow to equity:

(NOK million) 2016 2017
Power P. and O&M 172 165
D&C -5 167
Corporate -63 -65
Total 104 263

Project update: Malaysia & Brazil

Malaysia, 197 MW

  • 25 year PPA with TNB
  • SSO 100%*
  • Capex: USD 293 million
  • Project finance: USD 234 million

Status

  • Civil works approaching completion on all three sites
  • Mechanical installation started
  • Grid connection planned sequentially during 1H 2018

Brazil, 162 MW

  • 20 year PPA with CCEE
  • SSO 44%, Statoil 44%, Apodi 12%
  • Capex: USD 215 million
  • Project finance: USD 140 million

Status

  • Civil works approaching completion
  • Mechanical installation will commence soon
  • Grid connection planned during 2H 2018

Project update: Egypt & Honduras

Egypt, 400 MW

  • 25 year PPA with EETC
  • SSO 51%, Norfund 24%, Africa50 25%
  • Capex: USD 445 million
  • Project finance: USD 335 million

Status

  • Financial close in October 2017
  • Common infrastructure in completion
  • Construction start during 1H 2018

Honduras, 35 MW, phase 1

  • 20 year PPA with ENEE
  • SSO 70%, Norfund 30%
  • Capex: 80 MUSD
  • Project finance: USD 50 million

Status

  • Project experienced civil unrest
  • Construction work will continue in close corporation with Honduran authorities
  • Some impact on cost and schedule

Project update: South Africa, Mozambique & Mali

South Africa, 258 MW

  • 20 year PPA with ESKOM
  • SSO 42%, Norfund 18%, BEEE Trust 40%
  • Capex: USD 315 million
  • Project finance: USD 260 million

Mozambique, 40 MW

  • 25 year PPA with EDM
  • SSO 52.5%, Norfund 22.5%, EDM 25%
  • Capex: USD 76 million
  • Project finance: USD 62 million

Mali, 33 MW

  • 25 year PPA with Energie du Mali
  • SSO 51%, IFC 30%, Africa Power 19%
  • Capex: USD 56 million
  • Project finance: USD 42 million

Status

• Preparing with IPP Office and lenders for financial close

Status

• Working to close out remaining conditions precedent of the loan to reach financial close

Status

• Currently finalizing project loan and guarantee agreements

Financial review

Mikkel Tørud, CFO

Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]

Q4'17 - Consolidated & proportionate financials

Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] 10

Solid financial results across segments

Fourth
quarter 2017
(NOK million)
Power
Production
100% basis
Power
Production
SSO share*
Operation &
Maintenance
SSO share*
Development &
Construction
SSO share*
Corporate
SSO share*
Total
Revenues and other income 285 125 15 294 4 438
Gross margin 285 125 15 38 4 182
EBITDA 249 107 4 10 -15 106
Operating profit (EBIT) 174 68 4 9 -15 66
EBIT (%) 61% 54% 27% 3% - 15%
Full year 2017
(NOK million)
Power
Production
100% basis
Power
Production
SSO share*
Operation &
Maintenance
SSO share*
Development &
Construction
SSO share*
Corporate
SSO share*
Total
Revenues and other income 1,120 532 69 1,054 13 1,668
Gross margin 1,120 532 69 442 13 1,056
EBITDA 973 454 28 361 -50 792
Operating profit (EBIT) 663 298 27 358 -51 632
EBIT (%) 59% 56% 39% 34% - 38%

Very stable revenues and EBITDA

Operation & Maintenance

Seasonally lower revenues and EBITDA

• The decrease in revenues and EBITDA quarter on quarter is mainly due to lower O&M performance bonus reflecting seasonally lower performance ratio

Moderate construction revenues - set to increase

  • NOK 200 million of construction revenues in Malaysia and Honduras + Brazil through JV with Statoil
  • Remaining construction contract value in Malaysia, Honduras and Brazil of NOK 2.6 billion

A solid financial position

  • Cash position of NOK 2,863 million of which NOK 688 million at the group level
  • Group* book equity strengthened to NOK 2,072 million – equity ratio of 74%
  • Successful refinance of the 2018 Bond new NOK 750 million bond with 4 year tenor
NOKm Consolidated SSO prop.
Share
Group
level**
Cash 2,863 1,880 688
Interest bearing
liabilities*
-7,221 -3,894 -741
Net debt -4,358 -2,013 -53

Financial position (NOKm)

2017 - movement of free cash at group level

• Fully funded for projects under construction and in project backlog (1,183 MW)

Project Development

Terje Pilskog, EVP Project Development

Developing close to 3 GW of opportunities globally

Legend

  • Backlog (789 MW)
  • Pipeline (745 MW)

• Opportunities (~2 800 MW)

Market Characteristics

  • Solid solar irradiation
  • Strong clean energy demand
  • Renewable programmes supporting growth
  • Active support from project finance banks and DFIs
  • Credible local partners

Outlook in South Africa Project Development

Political situation

  • ANC selected pro-business Cyril Ramaphosa as new party leader in December 2017
  • Immediate effects of the leadership change
  • Currency: ZAR strengthened to best level in 2.5 years
  • Corruption: Prosecution of State Capture actors
  • Eskom: New board and acting CEO

Future solar potential

  • Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) sets volume, technology mix and pace of new generation capacity
  • 1st iteration IRP 2010-2030 included 8.4 GW of PV
  • 2 nd draft IRP indicates annual addition of at least 1 GW of PV from 2022 onwards based on conservative demand and PV costs forecasts

Development of Proposed Integrated Resource Plan, 2020 - 2035

Scatec Solar position in South Africa

REIPPP Programme

  • 258 MW in Upington
  • Awarded preferred bidder status in 2015
  • Approved by Board of Eskom
  • Awaiting formal sign-off by Ministry
  • 430 MW in pipeline
  • Validity of bid bonds extended to 31 March 2018

Project opportunity portfolio

  • Additional 400 MW of projects
  • High irradiation, good interconnection situation

Future potential

  • Tenders
  • Private PPAs in the C&I space
  • Wheeling to multi-site off-takers

Building position in South East Asia

Malaysia

  • RSS 3 to be launched
  • Projects from previous auctions
  • Bi-lateral and private PPAs in region

Vietnam

  • 4+ GW annual new capacity needed
  • FiT in place; PV competitive with coal
  • Negotiating first 50 MW project

Bangladesh

  • Urgent need for new capacity
  • First 50 MW project awaiting approval Myanmar:
  • 70 MW project proposal submitted

  • 35.49 MYR/MWh PPA price

  • Capex of ~ 50 mUSD
  • SSO to fund 100% equity
  • ~75% leverage
  • Target financial close end 2018

Nigeria and Pakistan – development status Project Development

Nova Scotia, Nigeria, 100 MW

  • 20 year PPA with NBET
  • SSO 51%, Norfund 24.5%, Africa 50 24.5%
  • Capex: USD 150 million
  • Mandated OPIC, IsDB and AfDB for project finance

Sukkur, Pakistan, 150 MW

  • Partnership with Nizam Energy
  • 3 x 50 MWp projects in State of Sindh
  • Capex: USD 150 million
  • Tariff proposal backed by LoI from FMO

Triggers for further development

  • Power Sector Restructuring Program approval by World Bank
  • Finalization of Partial Risk Guarantee
  • Sovereign Guarantee with Federal Government of Nigeria

Triggers for further development

  • Application for costs+ tariff submitted in August 2017
  • Generation license received for all 3 projects in August 2017
  • Tariff hearing in November 2017
  • Awaiting tariff award

Outlook

Raymond Carlsen, CEO

Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected]

Return and margin targets:

  • Average equity return of 15% after tax on investments in new solar power plants
  • Project development and construction (D&C) gross margins averaging 15%

2018 targets:

  • Power Production 635 GWh
  • O&M revenues of NOK 70-80 million and EBITDA margins of 40-45%
  • 2018 cash flow to SSO equity of NOK 160-180 million from plants in operation

Focus on project delivery and pipeline development

  • Emerging markets continue to present themselves with attractive opportunities
  • Further expansion of our portfolio will benefit from our strong partnerships
  • Very high construction activity in 2018 and 2019
  • Capital Markets Day to be held May 30, 2018

Thank you

Our values Predictable Driving results Changemakers Working together

Consolidated profit & loss

(NOK million) Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 16 FY
17
FY 16
Total revenues 281.5 654.9 363.1 1,491.5 1,084.9
OPEX -74.0 -60.4 -69.5 -250.2 -251.9
EBITDA 207.4 594.5 293.6 1,241.3 833.0
Depreciation, amortization and impairment -59.9 -60.3 -83.7 -248.1 -270.1
Operating profit 147.6 534.3 209.9 993.2 563.0
Interest, other
financial
income
10.4 11.1 14.1 51.2 50.8
Interest, other financial expenses -146.7 -119.3 -135.7 -523.8 -504.8
Foreign exchange gain/(loss) 0.7 -14.3 27.2 -59.8 -10.1
Net financial expenses -135.6 -122.5 -94.4 -532.3 -464.1
Profit before income tax 12.0 411.8 115.5 460.9 98.9
Income tax (expense)/benefit -13.4 -5.0 -38.7 -23.0 -28.4
Profit/(loss) for the period -1.4 406.8 76.8 437.9 70.4
Profit/(loss) attributable to:
Equity holders of the parent -34.9 383.0 46.2 339.1 3.5
Non-controlling interests 33.5 23.8 30.5 98.8 67.0
Basic and diluted EPS (NOK) -0.34 3.71 0.49 3.36 0.04

Consolidated cash flow statement

(NOK million) Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 16 FY 17 FY 16
Net cash flow from operations 175.9 190.9 214.8 844.1 732.0
Net cash flow from investments -536.0 -192.4 211.8 -874.1 -582.0
Net cash flow from financing 1,931.8 -129.4 -199.8 1,639.8 -660.0
Net increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 1,571.7 -130.9 226.8 1,609.8 -510.1
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents 172.5 -58.9 56.5 116.1 8.7
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period 1,118.9 1,308.8 853.9 1,137.2 1,638.6
Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period 2,863.1 1,118.9 1,137.2 2,863.1 1,137.2

Segment results – Q4'17

(NOK million) Power
Production
Operation &
Maintenance
Development &
Construction
Corporate Eliminations Total
External revenues 285.8 - - - - 285.8
Internal revenues - 14.6 268.6 4.1 -287.3 -
Net gain/(loss) from sale of project assets - - 2.6 - - 2.6
Net income /
(loss) from JV and associates
-0.9 - -2.0 - -4.1 -7.0
Total revenues and other
income
285.0 14.6 269.2 4.1 -291.4 281.5
Cost of sales - - -234.4 - 234.4 -
Gross profit 285.0 14.6 34.8 4.1 -57.0 281.5
Operating expenses -35.6 -11.0 -26.8 -18.7 18.1 -74.0
EBITDA 294.4 3.6 8.0 -14.6 -39.0 207.4
Depreciation,
amortisation and impairment
-74.9 0.1 -0.8 -0.4 16.2 -59.8
Operating profit (EBIT) 174.4 3.7 7.2 -14.9 -22.8 147.6

Project companies' financials – Q4'17

(NOK million) Czech
Republic
Kalkbult Linde Dreunberg ASYV Agua Fria Jordan Segment
overhead
Total
segment
SSO prop.
share
SSO shareholding 100% 39% 39% 39% 54% 40% 90/50.1%
Revenues 11.1 85.1 46.4 85.4 7.4 26.1 24.3 -0.8 285.0 125.5
OPEX -3.4 -8.9 -3.9 -5.7 -1.1 -5.5 -2.5 -4.6 -35.6 -18.8
EBITDA 7.7 76.2 42.5 79.7 6.3 20.6 21.8 -5.4 249.4 106.7
Net
interest
expenses
-5.2 -26.4 -11.8 -23.7 -2.6 -9.1 -11.5 0.4 -89.9 -40.8
Normalised loan
repayments
-5.9 -8.2 -7.4 -13.8 -3.2 -11.8 -6.8 - -57.0 -28.0
Cash flow to equity* -2.0 32.0 16.9 31.1 0.2 -0.3 3.7 -3.7 77.7 30.0

* Cash flow to equity: is EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average quarterly) loan and interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments.

Profitable growth over the last four years

Cash flow to Scatec Solar's equity

Cash flow to equity from PP and O&M* (NOKm)

Cash flow to equity from D&C* (NOKm)

• Calculation of SSO's share of cash flow to equity based on proportionate method:

Q4 17 -
NOKm
Power
Production
O&M D&C Corporate Total
Revenues 125.5 14.6 294.2 4.1 438.4
EBITDA 106.7 3.6 9.7 -14.6 105.4
Net
interest
&
loan
repayments
-68.8 0.6 0.8 -10.0 -77.4
Tax -8.0 -1.0 -2.7 5.9 -5.8
SSO
share
of
CF
to
equity*:
30.0 3.2 7.7 -18.6 22.3

(*) Cash flow to equity is defined as EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average over each calendar year) loan and net interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments. The definition implies changes in net working capital and investing activities are excluded from the figure.

Scatec Solar's share of cash flow to equity

Interest paid on corporate bond

Copyright: Scatec Solar ASA

www.scatecsolar.com • [email protected] 33 (*) Cash flow to equity is defined as EBITDA less normalised (i.e. average over each calendar year) loan and net interest repayments, less normalised income tax payments. The definition implies changes in net working capital and investing activities are excluded from the figure.

Q4'17 movement of free cash at group level

• Approximately 25% of cash position represents a positive EPC working capital position

Further strengthening of growth capacity

Fully funding for investments in projects under construction and in backlog (1,183 MW) and further project development over the next 1-2 years

Annual cash flow to equity from Power Production and O&M is expected

(*) After tax D&C cash flow adjusted for working capital changes related to construction

Project Pipeline

Project pipeline status

Project Capacity Status
South Africa 430 MW SSO bid the projects in Nov 2015. Award of preferred bidder status expected after
closing of the round 4 Upington projects. Bid validity extended until Feb 2018 at
request of IPP Office.
Pakistan 150 MW All required development steps completed. Hearing of the tariff application took
place during Q417. Expecting official feedback on the application in first half 2018.
Nigeria 100 MW Signed Joint Development Agreement with Norfund and Africa50 in Nov 2016.
Working with lenders and the World Bank to secure remaining project documents.
Kenya 48 MW Re-initialed PPA with local utility Kenya Power and Lighting Company in June
2017. Partners continue the work to complete the development of the project.
Burkina Faso 17 MW Concession agreement to be signed with Ministry of Energy. Awaiting
final sign-off from Ministry of Finance before PPA can be signed.
Total 745 MW

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