Investor Presentation • Feb 13, 2018
Investor Presentation
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Oslo 13 February 2018 Baard Schumann, CEO Sverre Molvik, CFO
2
NOK
Q4 2017
| O i t p e r a n g |
r e e n e s v u |
|---|---|
| ------------------------------------------- | -------------------------------------- |
1 259
NOK million
Adjusted EBITDA margin
19.3
per cent
EBITDA margin (NGAAP)
15.1
per cent
Operating revenues
3 229
NOK million
Operating revenues (NGAAP)
689
per cent
Operating revenues (NGAAP)
2 971
per cent
Note: All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
Note: Sales value is adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures
*Total columns show Selvaag Bolig's gross sales **Columns excluding dotted areas show Selvaag Bolig's net sales
Hovinenga, Oslo
9
10
Operational update
Financial update
NOK million
NOK million
* Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting (NGAAP)
Note: Amounts below NOK 5m are excluded from the cash flow overview
486
Net change in borrowings
Cash and cashequivalents at 31 December 2017
| B k l i d b N O K 1 8 o o a e n c r e a s e v u y |
O i l l i N K m o n |
|
|---|---|---|
| O h N K 3 0 4 t o p e r s a r e |
7, 0 0 0 |
|
| i i % E 4 5. 0 t t q u y r a o |
6, 0 0 0 |
N t t o n- c r r e n a s s e s u |
| C h f Q 3 2 0 1 7 a n g e s r o m : |
5, 0 0 0 |
|
| I i d d b N O K 3 t 1 5 n e n o r e s e c r e a s e m v y |
0 0 0 |
|
| d i b l d d b O T N K 8 r a e r e c e v a e s e c r e a s e y m |
4, | |
| C h i d b N O K 2 4 6 a s n c r e a s e y m |
3, 0 0 0 |
C t t u r r e n a s s e s |
| P f t t 's r e p a m e n s r o m c s o m e r a c c o y u u |
t n s 2, 0 0 0 |
|
| f O f h N K 3 8 5 t t o r m o o e r c u r r e n n o n i b i l i b i l i i t t- t n e r e s e a r n g a e s |
1, 0 0 0 |
|
| 0 | C h a s |
|
Current liabilities
Non-current liabilities
| Q | Q | Q | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| 4 | 4 | 4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| N | N | N | |
| O | O | O | |
| K | K | K | |
| i | i | i | |
| l | l | l | |
| l | l | l | |
| i | i | i | |
| m | m | m | |
| o | o | o | |
| n | n | n |
Note: Joint ventures and land options not included in the valuation
| D t r a n a w D 3 1 e c. ( ) N O K m |
I t t t n e r e s r a e i m a r g n |
|---|---|
| 0 | 2. 9 % 0 |
| 0 | % 2. 0 0 |
| 1 2 4 8 |
% % 2. 0 0 2. 5 0 - |
| 9 6 9 |
1. % 2. 6 0 % 7 5 - |
Total Q3 2017 net interest-bearing debt NOK 2 258 million
NOK million
* Net income attributable to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA
** Based on equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA
21
Operational update
Financial update
MARKET
Nominal price increase, January 2018
-0.4%
Price change adjusted for seasonal variations
-0.9% versus January 2017
6 430
Number of units supplied to the market
+8.4% versus January 2017
6 762
Number of sold units
44 days in January 2017
*Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 3 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
*Greater Oslo = Oslo and AkershusSource: Statistics Norway, Akershus municipality, Oslo municipality
Greater Oslo low alternative
Estimated population 2031: (Low) ~ 1.43 million
Source: Statistics Norway
Homeownership rate among immigrants in Norway (per year living in Norway)
Source: Statistics Norway
Source: Røisland & Co
MARKET
Source: Røisland & Co
| 2 0 1 7 |
i l b l A v a a e 0 1. 0 1. 2 0 1 7 2 5 6 |
S l i d h t t u p p e o e k t m a r e 3 2 9 0 |
S l d o 9 3 1 1 |
S l i d h t t u p p e o e k i t m a r e a g a n 4 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A i l b l a a e v 2 0 1. 0 1. 0 1 6 |
S l i d h t t p p e o e u k t m a r e |
S l d o |
S l i d h t t p p e o e u k i t m a r e a g a n |
|
| 2 0 1 6 |
9 9 5 |
0 4 4 1 |
8 0 4 4 |
6 |
Number of units completed in Oslo, 2001-2016
MARKET
Source: Samfunnsøkonomisk analyse, Finn.no
Stavanger: Stavanger, Sola, Randaberg and Sandnes
* Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 6 months before being removed
Sources: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
MARKET
*Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 6 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
MARKET
*Unsold units that have been withdrawn from the market are marked as inventory for 6 months before being removed Sources: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
MARKET
Housing types Selvaag Bolig: flats, semi-detached and terraced homes Source: Eiendomsverdi, Eiendom Norge and Selvaag Bolig
NOK
Next event: 1st quarter 2018 23 May 2018
The company aims to pay dividends of minimum 40 per cent of net annual profit, paid in two instalments over the year. However, the size of the dividend will be weighed against the company's liquidity forecasts and capital adequacy.
The company will maintain an equity ratio of minimum 30 per cent
Selvaag Bolig's aim is to manage the group's resources so that shareholders secure a return in the form of dividend and the rise in the share price. This return will be competitive with other investments.
The company's goal is to pay dividends twice a year totalling up to 50 per cent of its net profit
Previous dividend policy New dividend policy
SHARE INFORMATION
| 53.5% |
|---|
| 5.6% |
| 2.9% |
| 2.2% |
| 2.1% |
| 2.1% |
| 1.9% |
| 1.8% |
| 1.8% |
| 1.3% |
| 1.3% |
| 1.1% |
| 1.0% |
| $0.9\%$ |
| $0.8\%$ |
| 0.7% |
| $0.6\%$ |
| $0.6\%$ |
| 0.6% |
| 0.5% |
| $83.5\%$ |
| 16.5% |
| 100.0% |
| S h h l d a r e o e r |
# f h o s a r e s |
% h s a r e |
|---|---|---|
| S E L V A A G G R U P P E N A S |
0 8 0 0 8 5 1 7 |
3. % 5 5 |
| S O S G S G S O L A N D F R A K R I N A R F A T I H E T F N D |
5 2 7 8 3 3 4 |
% 5. 6 |
| *) M O R G A N S T A N L E Y C O I N T. P L C & |
2 7 4 7 4 2 3 |
2. 9 % |
| P A R E T O A S |
2 0 6 5 6 2 4 |
% 2. 2 |
| ) ** S E L V A A G B O L I G A S A |
2 0 0 4 0 7 1 |
2. 1 % |
| S E B P R I M E S O L U T I O N S S I S S E N E R C A N O P |
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 |
% 2. 1 |
| O G O H L B E R N R D E N |
1 8 1 2 5 3 9 |
% 1. 9 |
| H O L B E R G N O R G E |
9 3 3 1 6 7 6 |
8 % 1. |
| O O S V E R D I P A P I R F N D E T P A R E T I N V E T M E N T |
1 6 8 6 0 0 0 |
% 1. 8 |
| F L P S - G L S- M S U B |
2 0 2 0 0 0 1 |
3 % 1. |
| H O L T A I N V E S T A S |
1 2 0 0 0 0 0 |
% 1. 3 |
| *) G C J P M O R A N H A S E B A N K, N. A. L O N D O N , |
1 0 1 0 1 6 6 |
1. 1 % |
| R E G E N T S O F T H E U N I V E R S I T Y O F M I C H I |
9 9 8 3 5 1 |
% 1. 0 |
| *) O G C S O O J P M R A N H A E B A N K, N. A. L N D N , |
8 5 6 0 2 1 |
% 0. 9 |
| *) S T A T E S T R E E T B A N K A N D T R U S T C O M P |
7 6 6 7 5 4 |
0. 8 % |
| *) S S S C O T A T E T R E E T B A N K A N D T R U T M P |
6 3 0 4 7 3 |
% 0. 7 |
| S T O R E B R A N D N O R G E I V E R D I P A P I R F O N D |
9 0 9 3 2 5 |
0. 6 % |
| S B A N A N I I A |
5 5 5 1 9 0 |
% 0. 6 |
| F I D E L I T Y I N T R E A L E S T A T E F U N D |
5 3 1 3 0 0 |
0. 6 % |
| T i T t o r s e n e n g e v |
5 0 0 0 0 0 |
% 0. 5 |
| T l 2 0 l h h l d t t o a a r g e s s a r e o e r s |
7 8 2 6 9 8 6 0 |
8 3. 5 % |
| O h h h l d t e r s a r e o e r s |
9 8 2 8 1 5 4 5 |
% 1 6. 5 |
| l b f h T t o a n u m e r o s a r e s |
9 3 7 6 5 6 8 8 |
% 1 0 0. 0 |
* Further information regarding shareholders is presented at: http://sboasa.no/en
** The shares were purchased for the company's share programmes for employees
Stockholm40 units
Note: The numbers represent the size of the land portfolio as at 31 December 2017. All numbers are adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's share in joint ventures. 1) Greater Oslo area: Oslo, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold and Østfold, 2) The residential property development portfolio consists of land plots that are to be paid for when planning permission is received. The portfolio has a development potential of ~6 600 residential units, whereof the company has purchasing obligations for ~6 100 and purchasing options for ~500 units.
LAND BANK
City development, which creates value for multiple stakeholders Includes the largest aquarium in Northern Europe
Lørenskog Stasjonsby Approximately 1 500 units, remaining
57
Sandsliåsen, Bergen Approximately 370 units Expected sales start H2 2018
Target 100% sale at delivery
Delivery in accordance with expectations
Purchase and payment of land takes place after zoning plan approval. If this is not obtained, the purchase is cancelled
SBO is in charge of the zoning process
Purchase price is decided by a land appraisal made by three external consultants at the time of zoning approval
The median valuation is used as purchase price
Pre-sales of minimum 60% secures the majority of revenue before construction
10% of purchase price paid by the buyer at point of sale, and proof of financing for the remaining amount is required
Construction contracts with solid counterparties are made with fixed price
Project costs are secured before construction starts
Competitive housing offering, targeting growth regions
Efficient and flexible cost structure
Capital-efficient business model backed by strong balance sheet
Large, actively-managed land bank
| ( ) f i i N O K i l l i g u r e s n m o n |
Q 4 2 0 1 7 |
Q 4 2 0 1 6 |
2 0 1 7 |
2 0 1 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| l i T t t o a o p e r a n g r e e n e s v u |
1 2 5 8. 8 |
8 8 5. 5 |
3 2 2 8. 8 |
3 0 0 0. 3 |
| P j t r o e c e x p e n s e s |
( ) 9 8 2. 9 |
( ) 0 6 7 7. |
( ) 2 3 2. 8 4 |
( ) 2 3 9. 7 7 |
| O h i t t e r o p e r a n g e x p e n s e s |
( ) 6 5. 1 |
( ) 6 9. 1 |
( ) 2 3 4. 7 |
( ) 2 3 1. 2 |
| ( ) O h i l t e r g a n s o s s |
- | 0. 1 |
- | 3 1. 7 |
| A i d i d j i t t t s s o c a e c o m p a n e s a n o n v e n u r e s |
3. 7 |
( ) 5. 3 |
( ) 1 3. 6 |
( ) 7. 1 |
| E B I T D A |
2 1 4. 5 |
1 3 4. 2 |
5 4 7. 7 |
4 1 4. 0 |
| D i i d i i t t t e p r e c a o n a n a m o r s a o n |
( ) 1. 0 |
( ) 1. 8 |
( ) 4. 1 |
( ) 2 0. 1 |
| E B I T |
2 3. 1 5 |
3 2. 1 4 |
3. 5 4 7 |
3 9 3. 9 |
| f i i l N t e n a n c a e p e n s e s x |
( ) 2. 6 |
( ) 4. 9 |
( ) 3 9. 9 |
( ) 2 9. 3 |
| ( ) / P f i l b f t t r o o s s e o r e a e s x |
2 1 0. 9 |
1 2 7. 5 |
8 5 0 3. |
3 6 4. 6 |
| I t n c o m e a x e s |
( ) 4 8. 7 |
( ) 1 1. 7 |
( ) 1 0 2. 7 |
( ) 6 3. 7 |
| i N t e n c o m e |
1 6 2. 2 |
1 1 5. 8 |
4 0 1. 1 |
3 0 0. 9 |
| N i f h i d i b b l t t t t t t e n c o m e o r e p e r o a r u a e o : |
||||
| l l i i N t t t o n- c o n r o n g n e r e s s |
( ) 0. 0 |
0. 1 |
0. 1 |
( ) 0. 3 |
| S h h l d i S l l i S B A A a r e o e r s n e a a g o g v |
1 6 2. 2 |
1 1 5. 7 |
4 0 1. 0 |
3 0 1. 2 |
| 2016 | 2017 | Q4 2016 |
|---|---|---|
| 440.3 | 303.2 | 77.0 |
| (14.8) | (114.1) | (11.1) |
| (211.5) | (589.8) | 77.0 |
| 213.9 672.3 886.2 |
(400.6) 886.2 485.6 |
142.9 743.3 886.2 |
| ( ) f i i O i l l i N K g r e s n m o n u |
Q 4 2 0 1 7 |
Q 4 2 0 1 6 |
2 0 1 7 |
2 0 1 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N h f l f i i i i t t t t e c a s o r o m o p e r a n g a c e s w v |
5 0 6. 3 |
7 7. 0 |
3 0 3. 2 |
4 4 0. 3 |
| N h f l f i i i i t t t t t e c a s o r o m n e s m e n a c e s w v v |
2 9. 6 |
( ) 1 1. 1 |
( ) 1 1 4. 1 |
( ) 8 1 4. |
| N h f l f f i i i i i t t t e c a s o w r o m n a n c n g a c v e s |
( ) 8 2 9. 5 |
7 7. 0 |
( ) 8 8 5 9. |
( ) 2 1 1. 5 |
| N h i h d h i l t t e c a n g e n c a s a n c a s e q u v a e n s C h d h i l f i d t t t t a s a n c a s e q u v a e n s a s a r o p e r o C h d h i l d f i d t t a s a n c a s e q u v a e n s a e n o p e r o |
2 4 6. 4 2 3 9. 1 8 4 5. 6 |
2. 9 1 4 3. 3 7 4 8 8 2 6. |
( ) 4 0 0. 6 8 8 2 6. 8 4 5. 6 |
2 3. 9 1 2. 3 6 7 8 8 2 6. |
Intangible assets 383.4 383.4 383.4 Property, plant and equipment 11.4 8.5 10.9 Investments in associated companies and joint ventures 316.2 307.6 289.8 Other non-current assetsTotal non-current assets
Equity attributed to shareholders in Selvaag Bolig ASA 2 848.7 2 679.2 2 689.9 Non-controlling interests 9.4 9.4 9.3 Total equity 2 858.1 2 688.7 2 699.2
Non-current interest-bearing liabilities 1 836.8 1 923.0 2 038.7 Other non-current non interest-bearing liabilities 153.5 167.5 167.1 Total non-current liabilities
Current interest-bearing liabilities 380.6 573.7 534.7 Other current non interest-bearing liabilities 1 122.9 984.6 969.1 Total current liabilities
* Corresponding to a book value of NOK 30.4 per share
Units
balance sheet
| Q 4 1 6 |
Q 1 1 7 |
Q 2 1 7 |
Q 3 1 7 |
Q 4 1 7 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N b f i l d t u m e r o u n s s o |
1 6 1 |
1 9 0 |
1 6 5 |
1 7 8 |
1 6 8 |
| N b f i t t t t u m e r o c o n s r u c o n s a r s |
1 9 6 |
1 8 6 |
3 1 8 |
7 7 |
2 1 7 |
| N b f i l d t t u m e r o u n s c o m p e e |
2 5 5 |
6 3 |
2 1 0 |
8 1 |
3 3 6 |
| b f i d l i d N t u m e r o u n s e v e r e |
2 5 4 |
8 5 |
2 2 2 |
7 5 |
3 5 5 |
| b f i d i N t t t u m e r o u n s u n e r c o n s r u c o n |
1 3 5 6 |
1 4 7 9 |
1 5 8 6 |
1 5 8 2 |
1 4 6 3 |
| i f l d i d i P t t t t r o p o r o n o s o n s n e r c o n s r c o n u u u |
% 8 5 |
% 8 6 |
% 7 8 |
% 7 8 |
% 7 3 |
| b f l d l d i N t t m e r o c o m p e e n s o n s u u u |
4 3 |
3 2 |
2 4 |
3 0 |
2 3 |
| ( ) S l l f i d i O i l l i N K t t t a e s a e o n s n e r c o n s r c o n m o n v u u u u |
5 7 0 9 |
6 3 4 0 |
7 0 7 4 |
7 0 4 7 |
6 9 9 4 |
| b f l N m e r o e m p o e e s u y |
1 0 0 |
1 0 0 |
1 0 0 |
1 0 0 |
1 0 0 |
| (39.0) | 214.5 |
|---|---|
| 3.7 | |
| (51.0) | (65.1) |
| (1.6) | (982.9) |
| 13.7 | 1 2 5 8 . 8 |
| Other | Total |
| ( ) f i i N O K i l l i g u r e s n m o n |
P d l t t r o p e r y e v e o p m e n |
O h t e r |
T l t o a |
|---|---|---|---|
| S f h I F R E B I T D A t t t o r e q a r e r, p e r s e g m e n u |
|||
| O i t p e r a n g r e e n e s v u |
1 2 4 5. 1 |
1 3. 7 |
8. 8 1 2 5 |
| P j t r o e c e x p e n s e s |
( ) 9 8 3 1. |
( ) 1. 6 |
( ) 9 8 2. 9 |
| O h i t t e r o p e r a n g e x p e n s e s |
( ) 1 4. 1 |
( ) 0 5 1. |
( ) 6 5. 1 |
| ( ) S h f i l f i d i d j i t t t a r e o n c o m e o s s e s r o m a s s o c a e c o m p a n e s a n o n v e n u r e s |
3. 7 |
- | 3. 7 |
| ( ), O h i l t t e r g a n o s s n e |
- | - | - |
| E B I T D A |
2 5 3. 5 |
( ) 3 9. 0 |
2 1 4. 5 |
| ( ) f i i N O K i l l i g u r e s n m o n |
d l P t t r o p e r e e o p m e n y v |
O h t e r |
l T t o a |
|---|---|---|---|
| O i t p e r a n g r e v e n u e s |
6 7 5. 1 |
1 3. 7 |
6 8 8. 8 |
| P j t r o e c e x p e n s e s |
( ) 8. 3 5 1 |
( ) 1. 6 |
( ) 9. 9 5 1 |
| O h i t t e r o p e r a n g e x p e n s e s |
( ) 1 4. 1 |
( ) 5 1. 0 |
( ) 6 5. 1 |
| ( ) E B I T D A f l i t t p e r c e n a g e o c o m p e o n |
1 4 2. 8 |
( ) 3 9. 0 |
1 0 3. 8 |
Note: Construction costs are exclusive of financial expenses in the segment reporting.
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Sources: Plansamarbeidet Oslo-Akershus, Selvaag Bolig Note: The figures are not adjusted for Selvaag Bolig's interest in joint ventures
MARKET
Household debt in % of net disposable income (2015) Homeownership rate (2016)
Source: Statistics Norway Greater Oslo municipalities include: Ski, Ås, Oppegård, Bærum, Asker, Lørenskog, Skedsmo, Ullensaker
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