PRESENTATION
Disclaimer
FIRST QUARTER 2018
This presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for REC Silicon ASA's (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as "expects", "believes", "estimates" or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for REC Silicon ASA's businesses, energy prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the presentation. Although REC Silicon ASA believes that its expectations and the presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the presentation. REC Silicon ASA makes no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the presentation, and neither REC Silicon ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
This presentation was prepared for the first quarter 2018 results on April 26, 2018. Information contained herein will not be updated. The following slides should be read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation.
REC Silicon ASA shares have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Act.
| REC Silicon Q1 Financial Results |
T. Torvund, CEO |
| Financial Overview |
J.A. May II, CFO |
| Market Outlook |
T. Torvund |
| U.S. / China Trade Dispute Update |
T. Torvund |
Yulin JV Update |
T. Torvund |
| Guidance |
T. Torvund |
| Q & A |
|
Highlights 2018
| Revenues: |
\$69.6M |
| EBITDA: |
\$14.6M |
FBR Cash Cost of \$9.4/kg
- Operation of Both Silane Units at Reduced Rates
- FBR Facility Operated at ~63% Capacity Utilization
Continued Strong Silicon Gas Sales Volumes
- Sales Volume of 897MT (7.5% Decrease vs. Q4'17)
- 6.9% Silane Gas Price Decrease vs. Q4'17
March 31, 2018 Cash Balance of \$112.0M
- Cash Increase of \$7.4M
- \$7.4M Cash Flows from Operations
Successful Completion of \$110M Bond Issue on March 23, 2018
- Ensures Sufficient Liquidity to Meet 2018 Debt Maturities
- Settlement Completed on April 13, 2018
Yulin JV Operating at Reduced Capacity Utilization
- ~800MT of Granular Produced in Q1'18 (Secondary Quality)
- Full Capacity Utilization Expected in H2'18
- Resolution to Equity Contribution Announced on February 1, 2018
Polysilicon Sales Volume ** |
|
| Total |
2,904MT |
| Inventory Increase |
619MT |
FBR Cash Cost |
| Actual |
| Guidance* |
| Deviation |
| Total Polysilicon Production |
|
| Actual |
3,523MT |
| Guidance* |
2,990MT |
| Deviation |
17.8% |
| Semiconductor Production |
|
|
|
|
| Actual |
250MT |
|
|
|
| Guidance* |
210MT |
|
|
|
| Deviation |
18.9% |
|
|
|
| Silicon Gases Sales Vol. |
|
| Actual |
897MT |
| Guidance* |
880MT |
| Deviation |
1.9% |
** Guidance Presented February 9, 2018
** Excludes Fines and Powders
5 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential April 26, 2018
FBR Realized Cash Cost Compared to Guidance 2018
- › Q4'17 Cash Cost Lower Due to:
- 3% Higher Production
- Lower Spending
- › Q1'18 Cash Cost Lower Due to:
- 19.4% Higher Production
- Longer Silane III Operation
- 2017 MGS Inventory
- › Q2'18 Guided Cash Cost
- 27% Lower Production Compared to Q1'18
- Silane III Planned Maintenance
- 2018 MGS Costs
FBR Cash Cost
FIRST QUARTER
| (USD million) |
Q1 2018 |
|
Q4 2017 |
|
Year 2017 |
|
|
Revenues |
EBITDA |
Revenues |
EBITDA |
Revenues |
EBITDA |
| Solar Materials (Moses Lake) |
32.7 |
8.4 |
37.1 |
3.8 |
127.8 |
(1.7) |
| Semiconductor Materials (Butte) |
37.7 |
17.5 |
41.9 |
16.7 |
147.5 |
55.3 |
| Other |
- |
(10.8) |
- |
(9.7) |
- |
(32.7) |
| Eliminations |
(0.8) |
(0.4) |
(0.9) |
(0.5) |
(2.9) |
(1.2) |
| REC Silicon Group |
69.6 |
14.6 |
78.0 |
10.3 |
272.4 |
19.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Key Financial Results
Solar Materials
Revenues: \$32.7M (11.6% Decrease vs. Q4'17) EBITDA Contribution: \$8.4M
- › Polysilicon Sales Volumes 2,563MT (25.2% Decrease vs. Q4'17)
- 17.5% Average Price Increase vs. Q4'17
- 4.8% Prime Grade Solar Price Increase vs. Q4'17
Semiconductor Materials
Revenues: \$37.7M (10.0% Decrease vs. Q4'17) EBITDA Contribution: \$17.5M
- › Siemens Sales Volumes 342MT (25.2% Decrease vs. Q4'17)
-
28.6% Average Price Increase vs. Q4'17
-
Price Increase Due to Higher Mix of Semiconductor Sales Volumes
-
› Silicon Gas Sales Volumes 897MT (7.5% Decrease vs. Q4'17)
- (6.9%) Silane Price Decrease vs. Q4'17
- Framework Distribution Agreement Price Discounts to Maintain Volume
Other and Eliminations
Net Cost: \$11.3M (10.6% Increase vs. Q4'17)
› Higher Expenses due to Efforts to Monetize Non-Core Assets and Re-Finance Debt
EBITDA of \$14.6M
- › High Silicon Gas Sales Volumes
- › Polysilicon Price Increases
- › FBR Cash Cost of \$9.4/kg
Cash Flows From Operating Activities \$7.4M
- › EBITDA of \$14.6M
- › Working Capital Increase (\$6.1M)
- Increased Inventories (\$6.9M)
- Decreased Accounts Payable (\$2.1M)
- Decreased Accounts Receivable \$2.9M
- › Interest payments (\$1.8M)
- › JV Equity Settlement Installment (\$2.7M)
- › Currency Gain of \$3.6M (Weaker USD)
- › Other (\$0.2M)
Liquidity at March 31, 2018
Nominal Debt - \$194M
- › Increased by \$4M in Q1'18
- Due to Weaker USD Relative to NOK
Nominal Net Debt - \$82M
- › Decreased by \$3M in Q4'17
- Increase in Cash of \$7.4M
- Increase in Nominal Debt of \$4M
Indemnity Loan - \$26M
- › Callable Beginning in February 2016
- › Has not Been Called
- › Due Date is Uncertain
Reassessment of Tax - \$30M
- › Do Not Expect Final Ruling Before H2'18
- › Uncertain Timing and Outcome
Completion of \$110M Bond Issue 2018
Successful Issuance of \$110M Senior Secured Bond on March 23, 2018
- › 11.5% Coupon with Semi-annual Interest Payments
- › Settlement Completed on April 13, 2018
- › Five Year Term Due on April 13, 2023
Debt Repurchase of \$112M
- › REC03 NOK 9 million at 100.5% Plus Accrued Interest (\$1.3M)
- › USD Convertible \$41.6M at 103.5% Plus Accrued Interest (\$43.3M)
- › USD Convertible \$66.2M at 102.0% Plus Accrued Interest (\$67.9M)
Remaining Debt Maturities
- › \$57M REC03 Due on May 3, 2018
- › \$2.3M USD Convertible Due on Sep 11, 2018
MARKET OUTLOOK
Global Installation Growth: 2016 – 2022 2018
GW
- › PV Installations Continue to Grow
- Analysts Predict 95GW-120GW in 2018
- › China Expected to Remain Dominant
- › 2017 US Installations Declined Compared to 2016
- 2018 Comparable to 2017
- › Emerging Markets Gaining Strength
- › Moderate Growth in Europe
GTM Installation Forecast 2016-2022E
China RoW Europe US Japan India
Installations in 2018 Follow Previous Years Fluctuation 2018
- › Strong Installations in China Expected in Q2 and Q4 2018
- Due to 2017 FiT Expiring in June 2018 and the 2018 FiT Expiring in December
- › Uncertainty in India Forecast Remains
- Trade Concerns
- › US Installations Expected to be Stronger in H2'18
GTM 2018 Quarterly Installation Forecast
Source: GTM Research, Global Demand Monitor (March 2018)
Polysilicon Spot Price 2018
- › Market Prices Declined Due to Seasonality Slow Down
- › REC Prime Grade Solar Price Increase 4.8% vs. Q4'17
- Contracted Early in the Quarter
- › REC Expects Prices for Q2 in Line with Q1
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR 2017 2018
Copyright © 2017 PVinsights.com All rights reserved
FBR Production and Sales 2018
17 © REC Silicon ASA. All rights reserved. Confidential April 26, 2018
Electronic Grade Polysilicon Sales 2018
U.S./ CHINA TRADE DISPUTE UPDATE
Section 201 US / China Solar Trade Dispute Continues 2018
› Section 201
- Affects all Imported Cells & Modules into US from all Countries
- 4 Year Remedy Announced Effective in Early February 2018
- 30% Tariff on Cells & Modules, Stepdown to 5% Over 4 Years
- 2.5 GW Cell Quota
- Much Less Severe Than Requested by Solarworld & Suniva
› President Trump Express Commitment to Pursue Settlement for US Polysilicon
- New USG is Focused on Value of US Polysilicon Industry
- Section 201 Announcement Noted "The U.S. Trade Representative Will Engage in Discussions…that could lead to positive resolution of the separate antidumping and countervailing duty measures currently imposed on Chinese solar products and U.S. polysilicon..."
› Numerous Companies Have Applied For Products to be Excluded From Section 201
- Exemption Decisions in Coming Months
› Sunpower Acquisition of SolarWorld Americas
- Sunpower Opposed Section 201 Tariffs
- SolarWorld Now Supports Sunpower Product Exclusion Request From the Section 201
US / China Solar Trade Dispute Continues 2018
› AD/CVDs
- Section 201 Tariffs Cumulative to Existing AD/CVDs on Chinese & Taiwanese Cells and Modules
- US AD/CVDs on Chinese Solar Products Now Increased for 2016 Imports to 62%
- › Section 301 Intellectual Property Investigation
- US Threatened Tariff List does not Include Solar Cell or Panels From China
- › Geopolitical Situation between US & China is Interesting
- Potentially Preparing For a Negotiation on Trade Matters and Disputes Between the Two Countries?
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UNITED STATES TRADE REPRESENTATIVE President Trump Approves Relief for U.S. Washing Machine and Solar Cell Manufacturers |
YULIN JV UPDATE
Yulin JV Financial History 2018
› 2014 Yulin JV Agreement:
- Received \$198M for Technology Transfer
- Paid off \$142.7M of REC Debt
- REC's Equity Contribution
- 15% August 2014: \$75M
- 34% July 2017: \$169M Resolved
› February 1, 2018 Agreement:
- Yulin JV Shareholding:
- SNF ~85%, REC Silicon ~15%
- REC to Pay:
- \$ 0.6M in Interest (Paid Q1'18)
- \$10.4M in 3 Installments (Paid \$2.1M Q1'18)
- After January 2021, REC has the option to:
- Buy back ~34% Equity Interest from SNF,
- or Remain a ~15% Equity Holder,
- or Sell REC's ~15% Equity Interest
Yulin JV Signing Ceremony February 2014
Production Goals for 2018: 8,000 MT Granular Polysilicon
Fluid Bed Reactor Status:
- › ~800 MT Granular Polysilicon Produced in Q1'18
- Secondary Quality Start-up Material
- › Remaining FBR Reactors Start-up H2'18
Silane Unit Status:
- › Silane 20 Unit Running at Half Capacity
- › Silane 10 Unit Start-up H2'18
Siemens Reactor Status:
- › Siemens Reactors Finishing Pre-production Preparations
- › Starting Commercial CZ production in Q2'18
- › FZ Production Trial Runs Starting in H2'18
Total Investment Within Budget of \$1.25 Billion
| FBR Production |
|
FBR |
Cash Cost |
|
|
|
|
Total Polysilicon Production |
| Q2 |
2,280MT |
Q2 |
\$13.4/kg |
|
Q2 |
2,660MT |
|
|
|
Semiconductor Production |
|
Silicon Gas Sales |
|
2018 CapEx * |
|
| Q2 |
270MT |
Q2 |
910MT |
|
Maintenance |
\$4M |
** Additions to Property Plant and Equipment
July 19, 2018
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